Core Insights - The company, founded by Mr. Mao Ge Ping in 2000, focuses on integrating art and products to create a competitive cosmetics brand with a revenue of 3.885 billion yuan in 2024, including 2.304 billion yuan from color cosmetics, 1.429 billion yuan from skincare, and 0.152 billion yuan from makeup training, achieving a net profit of 0.881 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Brand Positioning and Development - The company is positioned as a high-end brand, leveraging Mr. Mao's extensive experience as a renowned makeup artist to enhance brand perception and marketing efforts [2] - The brand has a high customer retention rate, with an overall repurchase rate of 30.9% and a higher offline repurchase rate of 34.9% in 2024 [2] Group 2: Growth Drivers - The company has expanded its distribution channels significantly, with 409 offline counters by the end of 2024, including 378 direct-operated counters, and online sales accounting for 47.8% of total product sales [2] - Color cosmetics remain the core product line with sales of 2.304 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 42.04%, while skincare sales reached 1.429 billion yuan, up 23.21% year-on-year [2] Group 3: Future Outlook and Financial Projections - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected net profits of 1.16 billion yuan, 1.53 billion yuan, and 1.96 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of approximately 37, 28, and 22 times based on current market valuation [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market for new consumption has shown signs of recovery since the second half of 2024, with the company Maogeping successfully listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in December 2024, achieving a stock price increase of 263% from its issue price of 29.8 HKD per share to 108.3 HKD by June 30, 2024 [1][2]. Company Performance - In 2024, Maogeping achieved a revenue of 3.885 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 34.6%, and a net profit of 881 million RMB, with a growth of 32.8% [3]. - The company's gross profit margin remained high at 84.4%, with a slight decrease of 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous year [5]. Product and Brand Analysis - Maogeping heavily relies on its single brand, MAOGEPING, which accounted for 99.3% of its revenue in the first half of 2024, raising concerns about brand sustainability [8]. - The pricing strategy of MAOGEPING products is high, with gross profit margins for color cosmetics and skincare products at 83.6% and 87.2%, respectively, indicating a significant brand premium [8][9]. Marketing and R&D Expenditure - The company has a disproportionate focus on marketing over research and development, with marketing expenses reaching 1.904 billion RMB in 2024, while R&D expenses were only 32.3 million RMB, accounting for less than 1% of revenue [9][10]. Production and Operational Model - Maogeping operates on a light-asset model, relying on external manufacturers for production, which poses long-term risks related to supply chain reliability and quality control [9][10]. Ownership Structure - The company is characterized as a family business, with the Maogeping family holding over 90% of shares prior to the IPO, raising concerns about potential conflicts of interest and governance issues [11][13]. - Prior to the IPO, the family distributed nearly 900 million RMB in dividends, which may reflect poorly on the company's image as it seeks to raise capital [15].