Core Viewpoint - The price of silicon wafers continues to rise, driven by increased demand from the photovoltaic installation sector, which has exceeded expectations this year [1][2][3]. Price Trends - The average transaction price for M10 monocrystalline silicon wafers (182mm/150μm) increased to 3.36 yuan per piece, a week-on-week increase of 6.67% - The average price for N-type monocrystalline silicon wafers (182mm/130μm) rose to 3.45 yuan per piece, with a week-on-week increase of 5.83% - The average price for G12 monocrystalline silicon wafers (210mm/150μm) remained at 4.35 yuan per piece, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 3.57% [1]. Demand and Supply Dynamics - From January to July, the domestic newly installed photovoltaic capacity reached 97.2 GW, a year-on-year increase of 158% - In July alone, the newly installed capacity was 18.7 GW, marking a year-on-year increase of 174% and a month-on-month increase of 9% [2]. - The increase in silicon wafer prices is attributed to the unexpected surge in demand, as well as a reduction in overall industry capacity utilization due to lower prices earlier in the year [2][3]. Market Expectations - The silicon industry association noted that major producers are operating at full capacity, with an expected supply of 58 GW to 60 GW of silicon wafers in August [3]. - Despite the price increases, leading companies like LONGi Green Energy have maintained their prices, benefiting from strong cost control capabilities [4]. - Future price trends for silicon wafers will depend on various factors, including production capacity, the momentum of silicon material price increases, and the pricing trends in the battery segment [4]. Mid-term Outlook - Although the production of N-type battery cells is expected to increase, the market has not yet entered a phase of large-scale inventory replenishment, suggesting that silicon wafer prices may remain low and fluctuate in the mid-term [5]. - The overall supply of silicon materials and wafers still exceeds demand, which may provide competitive advantages to companies with technological and pricing advantages [5].

在经历了一周的短暂暂停后，中国有色金属工业协会硅业分会恢复更新了周度硅料报价。 通威股份董事会秘书严轲提到，伴随硅料价格逐步下探触及行业部分产能成本线，部分相对落后产能将 逐步出清，部分新项目的投建与运行也存在较大不确定性，考虑到多晶硅环节具有高投入、高风险的化 工属性，长期来看将保持较为合理的价格与毛利率。同时，在短期供应相对过剩和N型产品占比提升的 背景下，不同产能产品品质的差异也将带来价格分化。 特变电工总经理黄汉杰表示，当前多晶硅新产能处于全面爬坡过程中，当下公司主要采取的措施是全面 落实安全生产，确保产出稳定、质量全面提升，更高比例的生产N型硅料，满足下游需求的结构性变 化，不断改进工艺，实施精细化成本管理，进一步降低成本。 数据显示，本周N型料成交均价为7.52万元/吨，较两周前市场价格下降19.23%。单晶致密料成交均价为 6.79万元/吨，较两周前市场价格下降15.23%。 硅业分会指出，本周成交量基本来源于一线大厂，大厂和小厂的成交价差逐步拉大。同时，N-P价差开 始收窄，N型成交量高于P型成交量，N型降价幅度略高于P型。 价格变动原因主要有两点，一是当前下游硅片企业减产超50%，对多晶硅需 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trends in the photovoltaic (PV) industry, highlighting the price fluctuations of polysilicon, silicon wafers, solar cells, and modules, as well as the supply and demand dynamics affecting these segments [5][9][15]. Polysilicon Segment - The main transaction prices for N-type polysilicon are reported at 36.5 RMB/KG for recycled material, 34.0 RMB/KG for dense material, and 33.0 RMB/KG for granular silicon [5][6]. - There is an increase in transaction volume post-holiday, with some manufacturers selling below the mainstream price to stabilize cash flow, while crystal pulling factories are pushing for lower prices [6]. - Overall polysilicon inventory is above 370,000 tons, with a trend of increasing inventory due to slowed downstream purchasing [7]. - During the wet season, some manufacturers confirmed production increases, but cautious purchasing from crystal pulling factories is leading to price pressure [8][9]. Silicon Wafer Segment - The main transaction prices for N-type silicon wafers are 0.93 RMB/piece for M10, 1.27 RMB/piece for G12, and 1.07 RMB/piece for G12R [9][12]. - There is a divergence in supply and demand across different specifications, with excess inventory for 183N wafers, while demand for 210RN wafers is improving due to new production lines [10]. - Silicon wafer inventory remains stable at around 2 billion pieces, with no significant growth expected in the short term [12]. Solar Cell Segment - The main transaction prices for N-type solar cells are 0.250 RMB/W for M10, 0.270 RMB/W for G12, and 0.260 RMB/W for G12R [12][15]. - There is a significant pressure on the supply of 183-sized cells, while demand for 210RN cells is relatively strong, supporting current prices [13]. - Inventory levels for specialized solar cell manufacturers are around one week, but there is a risk of inventory rising due to oversupply [14]. Module Segment - The main transaction prices for modules are 0.67 RMB/W for 182mm double-sided TOPCon modules and 0.75 RMB/W for 210mm double-sided HJT modules [15]. - There is a vacuum in terminal module demand, with major manufacturers reducing production and mid-tier manufacturers also cutting back [16]. - Module prices are experiencing differentiation, with larger high-efficiency modules commanding a premium, while traditional components are seeing prices drop below 0.65 RMB/W [17]. Overseas Demand - In Europe, module prices remained stable in May, but future prices may be affected by the decline in imported products [18]. - In India, anti-dumping rulings on imported photovoltaic glass may increase local component costs [18]. - In the United States, FOB prices are stable, but concerns are rising regarding new investigations into Southeast Asian manufacturers [18].