Core Viewpoint - The global memory market is experiencing a severe shortage due to explosive demand for high-performance memory from AI servers, which is expected to drive price increases throughout 2026 [1][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Major memory manufacturers, including Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, have initiated capacity expansion plans, but these efforts are insufficient to alleviate the current memory shortage [1]. - Samsung plans to increase its DRAM wafer input to nearly 8 million pieces by 2026, a 5% increase from 2025 [1]. - SK Hynix's DRAM production is expected to rise from 5.97 million pieces in 2025 to 6.48 million pieces in 2026, an 8% increase, driven by expansion at its Cheongju M15X plant [2]. Group 2: Production Challenges - Despite increased wafer input, actual chip output faces technical bottlenecks, particularly for Samsung as it transitions to 10nm 6th generation DRAM, which may temporarily reduce production capacity [2]. - The supply-demand imbalance is critical, with DRAM suppliers meeting only about 60% of customer demand, and server-specific DRAM satisfaction rates falling below 50% [3]. Group 3: Price Trends - DRAM contract prices are expected to rise sharply, with a forecasted increase of 55% to 60% in Q1 2026 [3]. - NAND Flash contract prices are also projected to increase by 33% to 38% during the same period, particularly driven by server demand [3]. - Despite a weak PC market, DRAM prices for PCs are anticipated to continue rising due to reduced supply allocations to PC manufacturers [4]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook - Experts believe that the current supply crisis will not see fundamental relief until Samsung's P4 factory becomes operational, which is not expected until after 2027 [4][5]. - SK Hynix also requires the launch of its Yongin semiconductor cluster to significantly enhance production capacity [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company Beijing Junzheng (300223.SZ) has indicated a positive trend in demand for Nand Flash products [1] Group 1 - The company is actively engaging with investors regarding its product demand [1]

Group 1 - The storage industry maintained high prosperity in Q2, with DRAM industry revenue reaching $31.63 billion, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.1%, and NAND Flash top five brands' revenue increasing by 22.0% to $14.67 billion [1] - Demand from AI servers and data centers is expected to keep the storage industry prosperous in Q3, with DRAM's prosperity expected to be higher than NAND Flash due to its closer ties to the AI industry chain and higher demand for DDR5 and HBM [1] - The integrated circuit ETF (159546) tracks the integrated circuit index (932087), which selects listed companies involved in design, manufacturing, packaging testing, and related materials and equipment to reflect the overall performance of the integrated circuit industry [1] Group 2 - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Guotai Zhongzheng All Index Integrated Circuit ETF Initiated Link C (020227) and Guotai Zhongzheng All Index Integrated Circuit ETF Initiated Link A (020226) [1]