记者从多个独立信源了解到，中芯国际已向下游客户发布涨价通知，且此次涨价主要集中于8英寸BCD 工艺平台，涨价幅度在10%左右。中芯国际方面向《科创板日报》记者回应称："公司对媒体新闻不做 回复和评价。"另有芯片公司人士透露，世界先进（VIS）同样通知BCD平台涨价10%。据其分析称，AI 服务器等产品电源芯片的大量需求占用BCD产能，是此次涨价主要行业因素，"暂不清楚未来其他晶圆 厂是否会跟进涨价"。（科创板日报） 消息称三星电子放缓DDR4停产进程 将与客户签署不得取消或更改的长期协议 三星电子今年四季度放缓了关停部分DDR4内存生产线的计划，计划明年一季度与特定服务器领域客户 签署不可取消、更改的DDR4长期供货合约。确保三星产能调度获得最大利润，主要应用于服务器等级 订单，也反映出2026年DDR4需求持续增温。（科创板日报） 中芯国际通知客户8英寸BCD工艺平台涨价10% 今日，在第三届商业航天发展大会上，商业航天产业联盟科创基金正式启动。该基金由盈达资本、清盈 科创等机构联合发起，中关村领创商业航天产业联盟参与合作。基金首次发行规模10-20亿，远期拟扩 至100亿，存续期10年，将分阶段完成资金投 ...

公众号记得加星标⭐️，第一时间看推送不会错过。 今年第三季度，三星电子超越美光科技，重夺高带宽内存（HBM）市场第二的位置。此前，该公司 在第一季度和第二季度一度落后于美光，位居第三，但随着HBM3E（第五代）产品供应量的增加， 其市场份额呈现回升趋势。在DRAM市场，三星也紧随领先企业SK海力士之后。 据市场研究公司Counterpoint Research 12月19日发布的数据显示，三星电子第三季度全球HBM市 场份额（按营收计）达到22%，较上一季度的15%大幅增长7个百分点。同期，美光科技的市场份额 为21%，被三星电子超越，位居第二。 三星电子在整体DRAM市场也展开了激烈的争夺。在第三季度基于营收的DRAM市场份额排名中， SK海力士以34%的份额稳居榜首，三星电子紧随其后，市场份额为33%，两家公司之间的差距仅为 1个百分点。SK海力士在今年第一季度实现了突破，历史上首次超越三星电子，荣登DRAM营收榜 首。三星电子自1992年以来一直占据半导体行业霸主地位，如今却跌至第二位，这在半导体历史上 是前所未有的。三星电子的市场份额从第二季度的32%提升至第三季度的33%，重夺第一的希望越 来越大。 ...

Group 1 - Gree Electric Appliances, led by Dong Mingzhu, will not adopt aluminum technology for air conditioning until it achieves the same level of technical assurance as copper [1] - The Chinese home appliance technology annual conference has released relevant standards to promote the application of aluminum in the air conditioning sector [1] Group 2 - Huawei's HarmonyOS installation has surpassed 30 million units, increasing by 3 million in less than a month [3] - The latest data shows that the number of devices equipped with HarmonyOS 5 and HarmonyOS 6 was 27 million as of November [3] Group 3 - The price of DDR5 memory has surged due to increased demand driven by AI, leading many users to revert to the AM4 platform due to its cost-effectiveness [4] - The AM4 platform is now seen as a viable option due to its mature technology and affordability, even contributing to environmental benefits [4] Group 4 - SPhotonix has announced a plan to implement its 5D glass storage technology in data centers, with a single 5-inch glass disc capable of storing up to 360TB of data [8] - The stability of this storage technology is projected to last for 13.8 billion years [8] Group 5 - The China Iron and Steel Association has called for steel companies to avoid "involution" and hopes for a response from automotive companies [10] - The demand for automotive steel is expected to grow in the future [10] Group 6 - China Mobile has released a white paper on 6G transmission technology, emphasizing the core concept of "beyond connectivity" [16] - The white paper details the architecture and key technological directions for 6G transmission networks [16]

11 月 发 达 经 济 体 经 济 成 色 如 昔 股 票 周二 A 股下挫，市场成交偏低；港 股冲高回落，三大指数走势分化； 欧洲股市分歧走势，市场关注俄乌 和谈进程；美股上涨，特朗普暗示 美联储下一任主席人选，市场预期 政策倾向较为鸽派，推动股市上行。 外 汇 / 商 品 交易员密切关注乌克兰和平谈判进 展，周二国际油价震荡下行；特朗 普表示计划明年初宣布美联储主席 人选，周一美元指数小幅下跌，离 岸人民币迈向 14 个月新高；铜价 从历史高点回落，白银维持在历史 高点附近，黄金下滑。 环球市场动态 固 定 收 益 美国国债涨跌不一，收益率曲线趋 陡。特朗普称计划明年初宣布美联 储主席人选，市场对哈塞特成为下 一任美联储主席的预期升温。亚洲 债市利差变动不大，中国投资级债 券利差多数走阔。 产品及投资方案部 注：bp/bps=基点；pt/pts=百分点 中信证券财富管理 (香港) 免责声明请参考封底 2025 年 12 月 3 日 ▪ 发达经济体 11 月经济成色依旧未有显著变化，延后发布的数据显示美国就业市场和消费动能走弱，市场对美 联储 12 月是否降息的预期经历 V 型反转。欧元区增长动能仍不强劲 ...

Group 1 - The core issue of rising memory prices is driven by increased demand from AI giants, leading to significant price hikes in consumer electronics [1][8][9] - The price of 16GB DDR5 memory has surged, with current prices rarely falling below 800 yuan, compared to less than half that earlier this year [1][8] - AI server requirements are substantially higher, with DRAM memory needs being eight times that of regular servers, and NAND flash needs three times higher [10][11] Group 2 - The memory industry is experiencing a "super cycle," with DRAM prices reaching historical highs and expected to remain elevated until at least mid-2026 [16][19] - Major players like Samsung and SK Hynix are shifting production capacity towards high-bandwidth memory (HBM) to meet the surging demand from AI data centers [15][24] - The Korean semiconductor industry is benefiting significantly from this cycle, regaining pricing power after years of low prices due to oversupply [19][20] Group 3 - Domestic memory manufacturers, such as Yangtze Memory Technologies and ChangXin Memory Technologies, are emerging as competitors in the market, focusing on NAND and DRAM technologies respectively [33][34] - The Chinese memory industry has developed a complete supply chain, with various companies contributing to the production and technology advancements [40][41] - Despite the challenges, the rise of domestic players indicates a potential shift in the global memory market dynamics, with a focus on high-value products and technology upgrades [40][41]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the memory sector, with strong demand and supply constraints leading to significant price increases, suggesting a favorable investment environment [3][6][9]. Core Insights - NVIDIA's inventory increase is strategic, aimed at expanding rack capacity, and customer inventory levels remain low, indicating no immediate concerns [1][4]. - The transition from Blackwell to Ruben products is anticipated to be successful, with strong demand expected for Vera Rubin in 2026 [1][5]. - Google's Gemini 3 performance is expected to boost TPU-related business, with moderate revenue growth projected for 2025 [1][5]. - The memory market is experiencing robust demand from cloud computing, AI, and traditional server DDR5 memory, with prices rising significantly due to supply shortages [6][7]. - Micron's long-term profitability outlook is optimistic, with projected earnings per share of approximately $30 in 2026, potentially reaching $40 if conditions improve [3][8]. - SanDisk's enterprise SSD business is benefiting from high demand, although there are concerns in the enterprise HDD segment [3][8]. Summary by Sections NVIDIA - NVIDIA's recent performance exceeded expectations, with a $3 billion revenue beat and a $10 billion increase in future guidance, reflecting strong growth momentum [2]. - Concerns regarding inventory and capital expenditure plans are deemed overblown, as the company maintains a solid long-term outlook [2][4]. Memory Market - The memory market is currently in a strong position, with demand outpacing supply, leading to significant price increases of 40%-70% for some products [6][7]. - The overall outlook for the memory industry is described as exceptionally strong, surpassing previous high points [9]. Micron and SanDisk - Micron is expected to maintain a strong performance, with a positive earnings forecast and advancements in high bandwidth memory [8]. - SanDisk is experiencing a surge in its SSD business due to supply shortages, with expectations of substantial revenue growth [8][10].

Group 1 - Singapore's National AI Strategy (AISG) has shifted from using Meta's model to Alibaba's Qwen open-source architecture for its Southeast Asian language model project, indicating a significant expansion of Chinese open-source AI models globally [1] - The newly launched "Qwen-SEA-LION-v4" model quickly ranked first in an open-source leaderboard measuring Southeast Asian language capabilities, outperforming Meta's model which struggled with regional languages like Indonesian, Thai, and Malay [1] Group 2 - The establishment of the Commercial Space Administration has been confirmed, which will integrate various functions related to the satellite industry, enhancing coordination and efficiency in commercial space launch approvals and satellite operation licensing [2] - The first flight of the medium-sized launch vehicle is imminent, supporting large-scale satellite constellation networking, with over a hundred satellites already in orbit [2] Group 3 - AI-driven high-performance computing (HPC) is increasing the demand for advanced packaging technologies, with cloud service providers considering a shift from TSMC's CoWoS solution to Intel's EMIB technology to accommodate more complex module integrations [3] Group 4 - The launch of the Zhuque-3 rocket by Beijing Blue Arrow Aerospace is scheduled for November 29, marking a significant milestone in China's manned space program [4] Group 5 - A new national standard for mobile power supplies is set to be implemented, which is expected to increase industry costs by 20%-30% due to higher quality component requirements and hardware upgrades [5] Group 6 - Huawei has officially launched the Mate80 series, with prices starting at 4699 yuan for the Mate80 and 5999 yuan for the Mate80 Pro, featuring the new HarmonyOS 6 [6] Group 7 - Beijing's AI Industry Investment Fund has invested in Pixel Bloom Technology, a developer of AI office tools, increasing its registered capital from approximately 2.85 million yuan to about 3.33 million yuan [7] Group 8 - LG Chem has announced a breakthrough in solid-state battery technology, improving battery capacity by approximately 15% and high-rate discharge capacity by about 50% compared to existing electrolytes [8] Group 9 - ADATA's chairman has indicated that the demand for memory chips, particularly DRAM and NAND Flash, is at a 20-year high, with supply shortages expected to persist into the first half of 2026 [9] Group 10 - Carl Power has unveiled a comprehensive solution for unmanned freight transport, with plans to begin demonstration operations of its first "transport robot" in the first half of 2026, aiming for 1 million units on the road within the next decade [10]

Macro News - The People's Bank of China announced that the 1-year and 5-year Loan Prime Rates (LPR) remain unchanged at 3.0% and 3.5% respectively, marking six consecutive months of stability since June [1] - The Federal Reserve's October meeting minutes revealed mixed opinions among officials regarding a potential rate cut in December, with a 36.2% probability of a 25 basis point cut and a 63.8% probability of maintaining the current rate [1] - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will not release the October non-farm payroll report, combining it with the November data to be published on December 16 [2] Industry News - Counterpoint Research forecasts that memory prices are expected to rise by approximately 50% before the second quarter of 2026, primarily due to a critical chip shortage affecting traditional LPDDR4 [3] - The Shanghai Real Estate Brokerage Industry Association initiated a self-discipline campaign to maintain market order, emphasizing accurate market reflection, honest information dissemination, and fair competition among real estate agencies [4] - The China Semiconductor Industry Association predicts that the chip design industry sales will reach 835.73 billion yuan in 2025, a 29.4% increase from 2024, translating to approximately 118.04 billion USD, marking the first time sales exceed 100 billion USD [5] Sector Opportunities - CITIC Securities suggests that domestic charging infrastructure is poised for a new acceleration phase, driven by policy support, particularly for high-power fast charging equipment, benefiting related charging pile equipment companies [6] - Huaxin Securities believes that the overall price of the new energy vehicle supply chain is at a low point, with strong demand resilience, presenting a good opportunity for investment in core companies within the supply chain [6] - CITIC Securities highlights significant advancements in Gemini 3 Pro's multimodal understanding and logical reasoning capabilities, suggesting continued attention to the development of native multimodal technologies and the new application opportunities they present [6]

Group 1: Tencent - Tencent's Q3 performance exceeded expectations, particularly in the international gaming segment, which saw a revenue increase of 43% year-on-year [1] - Despite challenges from short video platforms, the gaming industry has returned to growth, with Tencent's stock rising 58% due to gaming growth [1] - Other business segments also performed better than expected, attributed to the application of AI improving operational efficiency [1] Group 2: Bilibili - Bilibili's Q3 results showed a 9% year-on-year increase in daily active users and an 8% increase in monthly active users, indicating stable growth [2] - Revenue grew by 5% year-on-year to 7.7 billion RMB, with a continuous improvement in gross margin and a 7% increase in net profit margin, likely due to AI applications reducing costs [2] - Despite a 15% decline in gaming revenue, Bilibili managed to maintain overall growth, demonstrating less dependency on gaming [2] Group 3: JD.com - JD.com's Q3 results were slightly better than expected, but the company reported a loss of 1.1 billion RMB due to a 15 billion RMB investment in the food delivery business [3] - The e-commerce growth rate declined from 20.6% to 14.9%, with future growth potentially dropping below 5% if government subsidies cease [3] - The company has significant operational costs associated with its food delivery service, making it challenging to achieve profitability in that segment [3] Group 4: SMIC - SMIC reported Q3 revenue of 17.16 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 9.9%, and a net profit of 1.52 billion RMB, up 43.1% year-on-year [4] - The company's valuation is difficult to assess using traditional metrics like P/E ratio, as its value is more closely tied to technological advancements [4] Group 5: Kioxia - Kioxia's latest quarterly report showed a 60% year-on-year decline in net profit, leading to a significant drop in the global memory sector [5] - The U.S. Federal Reserve's hawkish stance contributed to declines in major stock indices, impacting global markets [5]

Core Insights - SanDisk has raised its NAND flash contract prices by 50% in November, indicating a tightening supply in the memory market driven by AI data center demand and severe wafer shortages [2] - Major memory suppliers like Transcend, Innodisk, and Apacer Technology have reported significant revenue growth, attributing this to the prioritization of high-margin DRAM production for AI applications [3][4] - DRAM prices have surged by approximately 172% year-on-year, making it a highly valuable asset across various applications [5][6] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The price increase by SanDisk has caused disruptions in the supply chain, leading manufacturers to pause shipments and reassess pricing strategies [2] - Transcend reported a Q3 revenue of NT$41.1 billion (US$1.33 million), a 27% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 63% year-on-year increase, with a gross margin of 45% [2] - Innodisk's revenue grew by 64% year-on-year to NT$38 billion (US$1.23 million), with net profit increasing nearly 250% [2][3] Group 2: Supply Chain Challenges - The focus on high-margin DRAM production has led to shortages of older DDR4 products, further driving up prices for downstream products [3] - Major Korean memory manufacturers like Samsung and SK Hynix are currently only fulfilling 70% of orders, impacting delivery rates for cloud service providers [6] - Smaller OEMs and distributors are facing projected order fulfillment rates of only 35% to 40% by Q1 2026, which could delay product launches and threaten expected revenues [6] Group 3: Price Trends - The price of a 16GB DDR5 chip has increased from US$7 to US$13 in just six weeks, significantly affecting profit margins for memory module manufacturers [6] - A G.Skill Trident Z5 Neo RGB 32GB memory kit has seen its price rise from approximately US$106 to US$239, confirming the upward price trend in the memory market [7] - Industry executives predict that the last quarter of the year will mark the beginning of significant price increases in the memory sector, with potential shortages lasting up to a decade [7]