Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International indicates a positive trend in the gross margin of Huahong Semiconductor (01347), predicting a rebound in gross margin to 11.5% in Q3 2025, following a recovery in product prices and strong demand for PMIC products [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported revenue of $566 million in Q2 2025, slightly exceeding the median guidance and expectations, with a gross margin of 10.8%, surpassing the upper limit of guidance [1] - The revenue forecast for 2025/26 has been raised to $2.41 billion and $2.87 billion, respectively, from previous estimates of $2.29 billion and $2.77 billion [1] - The gross margin forecast for 2025 has been increased to 10.8%, up from 9.2% [1] Group 2: Operational Insights - Management highlighted that the improvement in gross margin is primarily due to increased capacity utilization, initial cost control effects, and stabilization in product prices [1] - The company has adjusted prices in Q2 2025, with overall price increases in the single digits, expected to be more evident in Q3 and Q4 2025 [1] - The guidance for Q3 2025 revenue is set between $620 million and $640 million, with a gross margin of 10-12%, all exceeding previous expectations [1] Group 3: Market Demand and Capacity - The demand for PMIC products has surged, with a year-on-year growth of 59.5%, and the revenue share from analog/PMIC platforms has increased to 28.5%, up 7.4 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Management noted that the demand for related BCD platforms could be double the previous supply capacity [2] - The company expects to complete 80-90% of the capacity installation at the ninth factory by the end of 2025, with full completion by mid-2026 [2] Group 4: Production Capacity Projections - The company has completed a monthly capacity ramp-up of 25,000 wafers in the first half of 2025, with an updated forecast to reach 50,000 wafers per month by the end of 2025 [2] - The ramp-up rate is expected to be faster than previously predicted, with plans to achieve all 83,000 wafers of planned capacity by Q3 2026 [2] - The majority of PMIC products are 12-inch, which may help stabilize the average selling price (ASP) [2]

每日晨报 2025 年 5 月 13 日 交银国际研究 今日焦点 | 台积电 | | TSM US | | --- | --- | --- | | 先进制程优势在扩大，首予买入 | | 评级: 买入 | | 收盘价: 美元 176.52 目标价: | 美元 225.00 | 潜在涨幅: +27.5% | | 王大卫, PhD, CFA | Dawei.wang@bocomgroup.com | | 产品周期与供需周期均利于业绩稳定增长。从产品周期角度看，我们认 为台积电新产品单价打破之前上市后逐渐下滑的趋势，公司对于半导体 设计厂商客户的议价能力或在增强，3 纳米工艺芯片或不会在 2 纳米上 市前后降价。 从全球先进制程的供需关系看，我们认为之前以智能手机为主导的先进 制程需求正转化为手机和高性能计算需求竞争供给的格局。我们认为全 球先进制程芯片或进入一个长于之前周期的上行周期，而作为全球高端 智能手机芯片和人工智能加速芯片的主要甚至唯一供应商，台积电或进 一步受益。 进入 2 纳米时代技术优势或继续扩大。我们认为台积电在先进制程和先 进封装技术上的优势或在扩大。我们认为 2 纳米工艺相对之前的 3 纳米 工 ...