Core Viewpoint - The report from交银国际 predicts a slight decrease in revenue and an increase in gross margin for华虹半导体 in Q4 2025, with adjustments made to the revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027, while maintaining a buy rating with a target price of 91 HKD [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue was reported at 6.35 billion USD, meeting expectations, while gross margin was 13.5%, exceeding both the bank's forecast of 11.6% and the previous guidance of 12% [2] - The management indicated that the increase in gross margin is attributed to improved capacity utilization, cost reduction, and price increases [2] - For Q4 2025, the management guided revenue between 6.5 billion and 6.6 billion USD, with a gross margin forecast of 12% to 14% [2] Group 2: Capacity and Capital Expenditure - The estimated capacity for the 9A plant is approximately 34,000 wafers per month, with an expected increase of nearly 9,000 wafers per month [2] - Management anticipates that the 9A plant will reach a capacity of 60,000 to 65,000 wafers per month by mid-2026, with total investment for the plant amounting to 6.7 billion USD [2] - The company is expected to spend over 5 billion USD on the 9A plant construction by the end of 2025, with remaining expenditures of 1.3 to 1.5 billion USD in 2026 [2] Group 3: Pricing and Market Demand - The average selling price (ASP) increased by over 5% quarter-on-quarter in Q3 2025, reflecting price hikes implemented since Q2 2025 [3] - Demand across various platforms has shown improvement, with significant growth in revenue from PMIC products, driven by AI server demand, increasing over 32% year-on-year [3] - The management is considering further price adjustments, although specific increases have not been quantified, and the strategy may focus on allocating capacity to high-demand platforms [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International predicts a revenue of $656 million and a gross margin of 13.6% for Huahong Semiconductor in Q4 2025, slightly down from previous estimates of $679 million and 12.1% [1] - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to $2.4 billion, $2.84 billion, and $3.26 billion respectively, with gross margins revised to 11.9%, 14.3%, and 16.8% [1] Group 1 - Q3 2025 revenue met expectations at $635 million, while gross margin exceeded expectations at 13.5% [2] - The management indicated that the increase in gross margin is attributed to improved capacity utilization, cost reduction, and price increases [2] - The guidance for Q4 2025 revenue is set between $650 million and $660 million, with a gross margin forecast of 12% to 14% [2] Group 2 - The capacity of the 9A plant is estimated at approximately 34,000 wafers per month, with plans to increase to 60,000 to 65,000 wafers per month by mid-2026 [2] - Total investment for the 9A plant is projected at $6.7 billion, with over $5 billion expected to be spent by the end of 2025 [2] - The company is expected to continue aggressive expansion, although no new investment plans for additional capacity beyond the 9A plant were disclosed [2] Group 3 - Average Selling Price (ASP) increased by over 5% quarter-on-quarter, reflecting price adjustments made since Q2 2025 [3] - Demand for various platforms has shown improvement year-on-year, particularly in embedded NVM and independent NVM products [3] - The company is likely to continue seeking price adjustments, with a focus on platforms experiencing strong demand, which may further support gross margin growth [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International indicates a positive trend in the gross margin of Huahong Semiconductor (01347), predicting a rebound in gross margin to 11.5% in Q3 2025, following a recovery in product prices and strong demand for PMIC products [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported revenue of $566 million in Q2 2025, slightly exceeding the median guidance and expectations, with a gross margin of 10.8%, surpassing the upper limit of guidance [1] - The revenue forecast for 2025/26 has been raised to $2.41 billion and $2.87 billion, respectively, from previous estimates of $2.29 billion and $2.77 billion [1] - The gross margin forecast for 2025 has been increased to 10.8%, up from 9.2% [1] Group 2: Operational Insights - Management highlighted that the improvement in gross margin is primarily due to increased capacity utilization, initial cost control effects, and stabilization in product prices [1] - The company has adjusted prices in Q2 2025, with overall price increases in the single digits, expected to be more evident in Q3 and Q4 2025 [1] - The guidance for Q3 2025 revenue is set between $620 million and $640 million, with a gross margin of 10-12%, all exceeding previous expectations [1] Group 3: Market Demand and Capacity - The demand for PMIC products has surged, with a year-on-year growth of 59.5%, and the revenue share from analog/PMIC platforms has increased to 28.5%, up 7.4 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Management noted that the demand for related BCD platforms could be double the previous supply capacity [2] - The company expects to complete 80-90% of the capacity installation at the ninth factory by the end of 2025, with full completion by mid-2026 [2] Group 4: Production Capacity Projections - The company has completed a monthly capacity ramp-up of 25,000 wafers in the first half of 2025, with an updated forecast to reach 50,000 wafers per month by the end of 2025 [2] - The ramp-up rate is expected to be faster than previously predicted, with plans to achieve all 83,000 wafers of planned capacity by Q3 2026 [2] - The majority of PMIC products are 12-inch, which may help stabilize the average selling price (ASP) [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Huahong Semiconductor (01347) is expected to see a reversal in its gross margin trend in 2Q25, with a forecasted gross margin rebound to 11.5% in 3Q25 and stability in 4Q25 due to positive price changes in most platform products [1] - The company’s revenue forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been raised to $2.41 billion and $2.87 billion respectively, up from previous estimates of $2.29 billion and $2.77 billion, reflecting the impact of price increases, product mix changes, and high demand for PMIC [1] - The management highlighted that the gross margin exceeded guidance due to improved capacity utilization, cost control effects, and price stabilization, with 2Q25 revenue reported at $566 million, slightly above the median guidance [1] Group 2 - The management noted strong resilience in downstream demand and manageable tariff impacts, with PMIC product revenue experiencing a robust year-on-year growth of 59.5%, contributing to 28.5% of total revenue, an increase of 7.4 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company’s capacity ramp-up is expected to be faster than previously predicted, with the ninth factory projected to reach 80-90% completion by the end of 2025, and full completion by mid-2026, with a monthly capacity ramp-up of 50,000 wafers by the end of 2025 [2] - The management indicated that the demand for PMIC products is likely to be double the previous supply capacity, and the company is adjusting prices, with overall price increases expected to be in the single digits, reflecting a reduction in pricing pressure across most platforms [2]

Group 1: TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) - TSMC's advanced process advantages are expanding, with a buy rating initiated and a target price of $225, indicating a potential upside of 27.5% from the closing price of $176.52 [1] - The product and supply-demand cycles are favorable for stable revenue growth, with new product pricing breaking the previous trend of decline post-launch, enhancing TSMC's bargaining power with semiconductor design clients [1][2] - TSMC is expected to start mass production of 2nm technology in the second half of 2025, which will further strengthen its technological advantages over previous 3nm processes [2] Group 2: Hua Hong Semiconductor - Hua Hong Semiconductor's Q1 2025 performance met guidance, with the ninth factory starting production and adding 10,000 pieces of monthly capacity [3] - The company expects Q2 2025 revenue to be between $550 million and $570 million, with a gross margin guidance of 7%-9%, reflecting a decrease from previous expectations due to increased depreciation pressure during capacity ramp-up [3][6] - Management is focused on accelerating capacity ramp-up and controlling costs to mitigate the impact of depreciation on gross margins [3] Group 3: Automotive Industry - In April 2025, the retail sales of passenger cars in China reached 1.755 million units, a year-on-year increase of 14.5%, with domestic brands outperforming the overall market [7] - New energy vehicle (NEV) retail sales recorded 905,000 units in April, with a penetration rate of 51.5%, indicating strong growth compared to the previous year [7][8] - The report anticipates stable growth in the automotive market for May 2025, with a focus on the performance of new energy vehicle exports, which are expected to maintain high growth rates [8]