证券研究报告|公司点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 08 月 26 日 [Table_Title] 越南业务投产，毛利率受产能爬坡影响 [Table_Title2] 恒辉安防(300952) | [Table_DataInfo] 评级： | 买入 | 股票代码： | 300952 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上次评级： | 买入 | 52 周最高价/最低价： | 35.41/15.58 | | 目标价格： | | 总市值(亿) | 51.40 | | 最新收盘价： | 29.78 | 自由流通市值(亿) | 21.53 | | | | 自由流通股数(百万) | 172.59 | [Table_Summary] 事件概述 公司 2025H1 收入/归母净利/扣非归母净利/经营性现金流分别为 5.93/0.55/0.48/0.69 亿元、同比增长 15.43%/11.82%/10.66%/274.18%。非经主要来自政府补助 0.10 亿元（同比增加 64.51%）；经营性现金流高于 归母净利主要由于折旧增加以及应收减少。25Q2 公司收入/归母净利/扣非归母净利分 ...

公 华福证券 纺织鞋类制造 司 研 究 公 司 财 报 点 华利集团（300979.SZ） 25H1 业绩点评：毛利率短期承压，新工厂顺利 投产 事件：公司发布 25 年半年报，25H1 实现营收 126.61 亿元，同增 10.36%， 实现归母净利 16.71 亿元，同比-11.06%，实现扣非净利 16.83 亿元，同比 -8.75%。其中，25Q2 收入、净利分别同比+9.0%、-16.7%。 投资要点： 新客户推动量增，adidas 顺利出货 评 分量价看，25 年上半年公司销售运动鞋 1.15 亿双，同比增长 6.14%；经测算 25Q2 销量/ASP 分别同增 5.2%/3.6%。客户根据市场需 求调整产品类别，运动休闲鞋/户外靴鞋/运动凉鞋拖鞋收入分别同比 +10.78%/-57.31%/+74.35%。高质量新客户持续放量，前五大客户收入 占比由去年同期的 76.61%降至 71.88%，On 和 New Balance 新晋成为 公司前五大客户。此外，公司与战略新客户 Adidas 的合作顺利推进， 实现量产出货。 新厂爬坡阶段性影响毛利率，费用管控效果显著 公司 25H1 运动鞋业务毛利 ...

国信证券8月22日发布研报称，给予华康股份（605077.SH，最新价：17.83元）优大于市评级。评级理 由主要包括：1）2025年上半年归母净利润同比下滑3.38%，主要为舟山华康项目一期一阶段部分产能 转固，折旧增加所致；2）舟山新产能有序投产，将有力推动公司业绩上行；3）拟现金加股权收购豫鑫 糖醇，巩固木糖醇行业领先地位。风险提示：产品价格波动的风险、原材料价格波动的风险、舟山新增 产能投产进度低于预期的风险、舟山项目新增产能的市场消化风险、市场竞争加剧的风险。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huakang Co., Ltd. is "Outperform the Market" [4][6][24] Core Views - The company experienced a 3.38% year-on-year decline in net profit attributable to shareholders in the first half of 2025, primarily due to increased depreciation from the Zhoushan project [1][9] - The company achieved a revenue of 1.866 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a 37.32% year-on-year growth [1][9] - The new production capacity in Zhoushan is expected to significantly boost the company's performance as it gradually comes online [2][4] - The acquisition of Yuxin Sugar Alcohol is aimed at consolidating the company's leading position in the xylitol industry, with a transaction value of 1.098 billion yuan [3][18] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.866 billion yuan, a 37.32% increase year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 134 million yuan, down 3.38% [1][9] - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenues of 1.049 billion yuan, a 44.95% increase year-on-year, but net profit decreased by 9.79% year-on-year [1][9] Production Capacity and Projects - The Zhoushan "200,000 tons corn deep processing health food ingredients project" is being developed in two phases, with the first phase nearing completion [2][4] - The first phase of the project focuses on liquid syrup and some crystalline sugar alcohol products, while the second phase will introduce dietary fibers and modified starches [2] Acquisition Strategy - The company plans to acquire 100% of Yuxin Sugar Alcohol through a combination of cash and stock, with the acquisition expected to enhance its market position in xylitol [3][18] - Post-acquisition, the company’s domestic production capacity in xylitol is projected to exceed 50% [3][18] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a growth trajectory over the next five years, driven by new production capacities and strategic acquisitions [4][23] - Revenue projections for the next three years are adjusted to 4.161 billion yuan, 5.482 billion yuan, and 6.304 billion yuan, respectively [4][23]

Core Viewpoint - The electric vehicle (EV) business has become the biggest highlight for Xiaomi in the latest quarter, with both Morgan Stanley and UBS emphasizing that EV deliveries will be a key driver for the stock price in the second half of the year [1][5][11]. Financial Performance - Xiaomi's Q2 2025 adjusted net profit reached 10.831 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 75.4%, marking the highest quarterly profit in history [3]. - Total revenue for Q2 reached 115.956 billion RMB, a year-on-year growth of 30% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 4%, exceeding Morgan Stanley's expectations by 3% [15]. - The company's overall gross margin improved to 22.5%, up 1.8 percentage points year-on-year, but down 0.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [8]. Business Segment Analysis - The EV business showed a gross margin of 26.4%, significantly up by 3.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, indicating strong profit potential [8]. - AIoT business gross margin was 22.5%, up 2.8 percentage points year-on-year but down 2.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [9]. - The smartphone business faced challenges with a gross margin of 11.5%, down 0.7 percentage points year-on-year and 0.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, reflecting intense market competition [10]. Electric Vehicle Business Insights - UBS maintains a delivery forecast of 720,000 units for 2026, assuming full capacity operation of the second-phase factory [14]. - The average selling price of EVs increased by 6.4% quarter-on-quarter to 254,000 RMB, driven by high-end models SU7 Ultra and YU7 [11]. - The strong order intake for the YU7 model is expected to drive EV delivery volumes, which will be a key catalyst for stock price growth in the second half of the year [13]. Market Outlook - Morgan Stanley maintains an "Overweight" rating with a target price of 62 HKD, indicating an 18% upside potential from the current stock price [1][5]. - The company's diversified business strategy is proving effective, with the rapid development of the EV business opening new growth avenues [17].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in orders on hand, indicating a potential turning point in performance for the third quarter [4][5] - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 599 million, a year-on-year decrease of 18.16%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 93 million, down 51.41% year-on-year [2][4] - The company has signed contracts with a corresponding revenue amount of 1.75 billion as of the end of the first half of 2025, representing a 478% increase compared to the beginning of the period [4] Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the company recorded revenue of 313 million, a year-on-year decrease of 18.01%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.49% [2][4] - The gross profit margin for the casting high-temperature alloy business was 39.4%, down 11.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross profit margin for the deformation high-temperature alloy business was 25.6%, down 4.9 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The company forecasts net profits attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 to be 300 million, 450 million, and 650 million, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 14%, 47%, and 46% [4]

证券研究报告 | 2025年08月11日 华利集团（300979.SZ） 上半年收入增长 10%，盈利受老客订单波动及新厂产能爬坡影响承压 |  | 公司研究·公司快评 | |  | 纺织服饰·纺织制造 |  投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 丁诗洁 | 0755-81981391 | | dingshijie@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980520040004 | | 证券分析师： | 刘佳琪 | 010-88005446 | | liujiaqi@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980523070003 | 事项： 公司公告：2025 年 8 月 8 日，公司发布中期业绩快报及分红预案，2025 年上半年，公司销售运动鞋 1.15 亿双，同比增长 6.14%；实现营业收入人民币 126.61 亿元，同比增长 10.36%；实现归属于上市公司股东 的净利润人民币 16.64 亿元，同比减少 11.42%。公司拟派发现金红利 1 元/股，分红率达 70%。 国信纺服观点：1） ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International indicates a positive trend in the gross margin of Huahong Semiconductor (01347), predicting a rebound in gross margin to 11.5% in Q3 2025, following a recovery in product prices and strong demand for PMIC products [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported revenue of $566 million in Q2 2025, slightly exceeding the median guidance and expectations, with a gross margin of 10.8%, surpassing the upper limit of guidance [1] - The revenue forecast for 2025/26 has been raised to $2.41 billion and $2.87 billion, respectively, from previous estimates of $2.29 billion and $2.77 billion [1] - The gross margin forecast for 2025 has been increased to 10.8%, up from 9.2% [1] Group 2: Operational Insights - Management highlighted that the improvement in gross margin is primarily due to increased capacity utilization, initial cost control effects, and stabilization in product prices [1] - The company has adjusted prices in Q2 2025, with overall price increases in the single digits, expected to be more evident in Q3 and Q4 2025 [1] - The guidance for Q3 2025 revenue is set between $620 million and $640 million, with a gross margin of 10-12%, all exceeding previous expectations [1] Group 3: Market Demand and Capacity - The demand for PMIC products has surged, with a year-on-year growth of 59.5%, and the revenue share from analog/PMIC platforms has increased to 28.5%, up 7.4 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Management noted that the demand for related BCD platforms could be double the previous supply capacity [2] - The company expects to complete 80-90% of the capacity installation at the ninth factory by the end of 2025, with full completion by mid-2026 [2] Group 4: Production Capacity Projections - The company has completed a monthly capacity ramp-up of 25,000 wafers in the first half of 2025, with an updated forecast to reach 50,000 wafers per month by the end of 2025 [2] - The ramp-up rate is expected to be faster than previously predicted, with plans to achieve all 83,000 wafers of planned capacity by Q3 2026 [2] - The majority of PMIC products are 12-inch, which may help stabilize the average selling price (ASP) [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 20.10, up from the previous RMB 19.95 [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported better-than-expected performance in its half-year results for 2025, with revenue of RMB 999 million (up 8.1% year-on-year) and net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 117 million (up 14.2% year-on-year) [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from a favorable industry environment and a sufficient order backlog, leading to continuous growth in performance from 2025 to 2027 [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of RMB 999 million, with a year-on-year growth of 8.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 117 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.2% [1]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of RMB 561 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 30.8% [1]. Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from environmental testing services was RMB 487 million (up 5.8% year-on-year) with a gross margin of 55.0% (down 0.8 percentage points) [2]. - Integrated circuit testing revenue reached RMB 155 million (up 21.0% year-on-year) with a gross margin of 36.5% (down 6.4 percentage points) [2]. - Testing equipment revenue was RMB 310 million (up 6.3% year-on-year) with a gross margin of 26.6% (down 4.7 percentage points) [2]. Cash Flow and Capital Expenditure - The company's net operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 was RMB 99 million, an increase of 29.3% year-on-year, attributed to improved collection mechanisms [3]. - Capital expenditure was RMB 217 million, a decrease of 7.5% year-on-year, mainly due to reduced equipment purchases [3]. Profit Forecast - The report maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027, estimating net profits attributable to shareholders of RMB 289 million, RMB 357 million, and RMB 429 million respectively [4]. - The expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for net profit from 2023 to 2027 is projected at 23%, which is higher than the average of comparable service companies at 21% [4].

Group 1: Metal Sector - China Hongqiao's net profit forecast for 2024 is CNY 223.72 billion, with a PE ratio of 8.14[12] - Hualing Steel's net profit is projected to increase from CNY 20.32 billion in 2024 to CNY 28.54 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 19.72[12] - Xiamen Tungsten's net profit is expected to rise from CNY 17.28 billion in 2024 to CNY 21.01 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 22.97[12] Group 2: Construction and Transportation - Sichuan Road and Bridge's net profit is forecasted to grow from CNY 72.10 billion in 2024 to CNY 82.86 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 10.35[12] - YTO Express's net profit is expected to decrease from CNY 40.12 billion in 2024 to CNY 35.39 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 13.03[12] - China Merchants Highway's net profit is projected to be CNY 55 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 14.56[12] Group 3: Chemical and Energy Sector - Yara International's net profit is expected to rise from CNY 9.50 billion in 2024 to CNY 17.94 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 30.56[12] - Funiu Power's net profit forecast for 2025 is CNY 28.95 billion, with a PE ratio of 9.18[12] - Huajin's net profit is projected to recover to CNY 0.92 billion in 2025 after a loss of CNY 27.95 billion in 2024[12] Group 4: Strategic Metals and New Materials - Xiamen Tungsten's strategic metal segments are expected to contribute 79% to profits in 2024, with a focus on tungsten and rare earths[21] - Zhongcai Technology's special glass fiber is projected to see significant demand growth due to AI hardware requirements, with expected profits of CNY 0.2 billion in 2024[30] - The company anticipates a profit contribution from special glass fiber of CNY 7.2 billion by 2026[30]