Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - The report presents overnight market information, export - sales data, import data, and production - inventory data of major countries in the oilseeds and oils market, as well as price data [1] 3. Summary by Related Content Overnight Market Information - A private exporter reported the sale of 114,000 tons of soybeans for delivery in the 2025/2026 marketing year to unknown destinations [1] US Export Sales Data - For the week ending November 27, US soybean export sales net increased by 1.106 million tons, down 52% from the previous week and 7% from the four - week average, with net sales of 2.142 million tons to the Chinese mainland; export shipments were 803,500 tons, up 5% from the previous week and down 25% from the four - week average. New sales were 1.2148 million tons for the current market year and 10,000 tons for the next market year [1] - For the week ending November 27, US soybean meal export sales net increased by 436,000 tons, up 189% from the previous week and 112% from the four - week average; export shipments were 367,400 tons, up 9% from the previous week and 22% from the four - week average. New sales were 487,600 tons for the current market year and 0 tons for the next market year [1] China's Import Data - In November 2025, China's edible oil imports were 1.03 million tons, up 42.9% year - on - year; cumulative imports from January to November were 9.03 million tons, up 5.9% year - on - year. Soybean oil imports were 50,000 tons, up 827.2% year - on - year; cumulative imports from January to November were 340,000 tons, up 23.8% year - on - year. Palm oil imports were 330,000 tons, up 97.8% year - on - year; cumulative imports from January to November were 2.29 million tons, down 7.6% year - on - year. Rapeseed and mustard oil imports were 170,000 tons, down 16.8% year - on - year; cumulative imports from January to November were 1.91 million tons, up 14.5% year - on - year [1] Indonesia's Production and Export Data - In October, Indonesia's palm oil inventory decreased by 10% to 2.33 million tons compared to the previous month, despite increased production. Domestic consumption increased by 8.5% to 2.22 million tons. Crude palm oil production was 4.35 million tons, higher than 3.93 million tons in September. The 1 - 10 month crude palm oil production increased by nearly 10%. Palm oil product exports were 2.8 million tons, down about 3% from the previous year [1] Canada's Rapeseed Data - AAFC raised the forecast for Canada's rapeseed ending stocks in the 2025/2026 season by 450,000 tons to 2.95 million tons in its December 17 report, higher than 1.597 million tons in the 2024/2025 season. Rapeseed export forecast was raised from 7 million tons in November to 8 million tons, but still 1.3 million tons lower year - on - year. Domestic rapeseed use forecast reached a record high of 12 million tons [1] Price Data - The report provides the spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from December 12 to December 18, 2025 [1]

Group 1: Report Core Views - The soybean export sales of the United States from November 13th are expected to increase, with the 2025 - 26 annual soybean export sales expected to net increase by 60 - 140 million tons, the 2025 - 26 annual soybean meal export sales expected to net increase by 5 - 45 million tons, and the 2025 - 26 annual soybean oil export sales expected to net increase by 0.5 - 2.5 million tons [1] - The soybean crushing volume in the United States in October 2025 was 7.11 million short tons, and the soybean oil production was 2.83 billion pounds, which increased by 18% compared to September 2025 and 11% compared to October 2024 [1] - Malaysia's palm - oil inventory at the end of November reached the highest level in more than six and a half years, with a 13% increase to 2.84 million tons due to increased production and weak export demand [1] - Australia's 2025/26 annual rapeseed production is expected to increase to 7.2 million tons, and Canada's 2025/26 annual rapeseed production is expected to increase to 21.8 million tons [1] Group 2: Key Data U.S. Data - The U.S. soybean crushing volume in October 2025 was 7.11 million short tons (237 million bushels), the September 2025 crushing volume was 6.15 million short tons (205 million bushels), and the October 2024 crushing volume was 6.47 million short tons (216 million bushels) [1] - The U.S. soybean oil production in October 2025 was 2.83 billion pounds, a 18% increase from September 2025 and an 11% increase from October 2024 [1] Malaysia Data - Malaysia's palm - oil inventory at the end of November increased by 13% to 2.84 million tons, the November production decreased by 5.3% to 1.94 million tons, and the export volume decreased by 28.13% to 1.21 million tons [1] - From December 1 - 10, Malaysia's palm - oil export volume decreased by 15% according to ITS and 10.31% according to AmSpec [1] Rapeseed Data - Australia's 2025/26 annual rapeseed production is expected to be 7.2 million tons, and Canada's 2025/26 annual rapeseed production is expected to be 21.8 million tons [1] Spot Price Data | Date | Bean Meal (Jiangsu) | Rapeseed Meal (Guangdong) | Soybean Oil (Jiangsu) | Palm Oil (Guangzhou) | Rapeseed Oil (Jiangsu) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/12/04 | 3020 | 2520 | 8520 | 8620 | 9890 | | 2025/12/05 | 3020 | 2500 | 8540 | 8720 | 9870 | | 2025/12/08 | 3020 | 2500 | 8500 | 8660 | 9760 | | 2025/12/09 | 3000 | 2460 | 8450 | 8570 | 9630 | | 2025/12/10 | 3030 | 2490 | 8500 | 8510 | 9680 | [5]

Market Overview - The USDA's November supply and demand report indicates that the expected soybean planting area for the 2025/26 season is 81.1 million acres, with a harvest area of 80.3 million acres and a yield of 53 bushels per acre, leading to an estimated production of 4.253 billion bushels, a decrease from the previous month's estimate of 4.301 billion bushels [1] - NOPA's monthly report predicts that U.S. soybean processing in October will reach 209.522 million bushels, a 5.9% increase from September and a 4.8% increase from October 2024, potentially setting a new monthly record [2] - Malaysian palm oil exports for the first half of November are reported to have decreased significantly, with AmSpec reporting a 10% drop and SGS reporting a 44.9% decrease compared to the previous month [2][3] Production and Export Forecasts - Industry analyst Thomas Mielke forecasts Indonesia's palm oil production for 2026 to be 49 million tons, slightly down from 49.4 million tons in 2025, while Malaysia's production is expected to decrease from 19.86 million tons in 2025 to 19.5 million tons in 2026 [3] - Dorab Mistry anticipates a global palm oil production increase of 1.5 million tons for the 2025/26 season, with total vegetable oil supply rising by 4.2 million tons and demand increasing by 6 million tons [3] - Canada's canola seed exports have decreased by 35.67% to 121,200 tons as of November 9, with a year-on-year decline of 54.10% [3] Pricing and Market Dynamics - Malaysia has set the reference price for palm oil at 4,206.38 ringgit per ton for December, with an export tax rate of 10% [3] - The market for soybean oil remains strong, driven by the performance of canola oil and high import costs, which support soybean oil prices despite a pullback in soybean prices [6]

Report Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Core Viewpoints - The report presents the latest information on the supply and demand of major oilseeds and oils in the 2025/26 period, including data on soybeans, rapeseeds, and palm oil, as well as the expected trend of U.S. soybean crushing volume and inventory [1] Summary by Related Catalogs 2025/26 Annual U.S. Soybean Information - The estimated production for the 2025/26 U.S. soybean season is 4.253 billion bushels, down from the September estimate of 4.301 billion bushels - The estimated planting area is 81.1 million acres, the same as the September estimate - The estimated harvested area is 80.3 million acres, consistent with the September estimate - The estimated yield per acre is 53 bushels, down from the September estimate of 53.5 bushels - The estimated export volume is 1.635 billion bushels, down from the September estimate of 1.685 billion bushels - The estimated ending stocks are 290 million bushels, down from the September estimate of 300 million bushels [1] 2025/26 Annual Global Soybean Information - Brazil's estimated soybean production is 175 million tons, the same as the September estimate, and the estimated export volume is 112.5 million tons, up from the September estimate of 112 million tons - Argentina's estimated soybean production is 48.5 million tons, the same as the September estimate, and the estimated export volume is 8.25 million tons, up from the September estimate of 6 million tons - China's estimated soybean imports are 112 million tons, the same as the September estimate - Global estimated soybean production is 421.75 million tons, down from the September estimate of 425.87 million tons, and the estimated ending stocks are 121.99 million tons, down from the September estimate of 123.99 million tons [1] U.S. October Soybean Crushing Volume - The estimated U.S. soybean crushing volume in October is 209.522 million bushels, an increase of 5.9% from September's 197.863 million bushels and 4.8% from October 2024's 199.943 million bushels, setting a new record high [1] U.S. October Soybean Oil Inventory - The estimated U.S. soybean oil inventory in October is 1.257 billion pounds, an increase of 1.1% from the end - of - September inventory of 1.243 billion pounds and 17.0% from October 2024's 1.074 billion pounds [1] 2025/26 Annual Global Rapeseed Information - Global estimated rapeseed production is 92.273 million tons, an increase of 6.274 million tons year - on - year, and the estimated ending stocks are 11.336 million tons, an increase of 1.504 million tons year - on - year - Global estimated rapeseed oil production is 35.009 million tons, an increase of 0.873 million tons year - on - year, and the estimated ending stocks are 3.19 million tons, a decrease of 0.016 million tons year - on - year - Global estimated rapeseed meal production is 50.005 million tons, an increase of 0.949 million tons year - on - year, and the estimated ending stocks are 1.541 million tons, an increase of 0.153 million tons year - on - year - Canada's estimated rapeseed export volume is 6.7 million tons, a decrease of 2.631 million tons year - on - year; the estimated rapeseed oil export volume is 3.375 million tons, an increase of 0.06 million tons year - on - year; the estimated rapeseed meal export volume is 5.5 million tons, a decrease of 0.299 million tons year - on - year [1] Malaysia Palm Oil Export - Malaysia's palm oil product export volume from November 1 - 15 is 728,995 tons, a decrease of 15.5% compared to the same period last month [1] Indonesia Palm Oil Production - Indonesia's palm oil production in 2026 is expected to increase by 3 - 4%, lower than this year's estimated growth rate of 4 - 7%, and the 2025 palm oil export is expected to increase by 6 - 7% [1] Spot Prices - The report provides spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from November 10 - 14, 2025 [2]

Group 1 - Canada is expected to have a bumper crop of canola for the 2025/2026 season, with a production estimate of 20.028 million tons, a 12% increase year-on-year, despite a 2% decrease in planting area [2] - Canadian canola exports are projected to decline by 7% to 7 million tons, with only 1.095 million tons exported as of October 17, compared to 2.599 million tons during the same period last year [2] - The carryover stock of Canadian canola is expected to rise significantly by 92% to 2.5 million tons, indicating a substantial increase in inventory pressure [2] Group 2 - Russia's canola production is projected to increase to 5.5 million tons, with a corresponding rise in canola oil exports, as China continues to import Russian canola oil [3] - Australia is in its canola harvest season, with an expected production of 6.4 million tons, but exports to China will be limited as Australia prioritizes meeting EU demand [3] - China's canola imports have sharply decreased to 2.446 million tons in the first nine months of the year, down from 4.23 million tons in the same period last year, with significant declines in imports from Canada and Russia [4] Group 3 - Domestic oilseed crushing has significantly slowed, with coastal oil mills reporting only 0.6 thousand tons of canola stock remaining as of October 24 [4] - The domestic supply of canola oil is heavily reliant on imported canola seeds, with a total canola oil supply of approximately 2.6 million tons in the first nine months, a 14% decrease year-on-year [5] - The demand for canola meal remains stable, with imports of canola meal from Dubai and India increasing despite a 35.5% decrease in imports from Canada due to tariffs [4][5]

Group 1: Grain Harvesting in Liaoning - Liaoning province has entered the final stage of autumn grain harvesting, with a total of 51.038 million acres harvested, achieving a progress rate of 94.8% as of October 27 [1] - In Xinmin City, the grain sowing area has stabilized at over 2.4 million acres, with an expected total grain output of 2.3 billion jin for the year [3] - In Shenyang's Shenbei New District, 160 rice harvesters have been deployed, with 5.738 million acres of rice harvested, reaching a progress rate of 76.6%, and full harvest expected by November [5] Group 2: Oilseed Rape Planting in Anhui - In Wangjiang County, Anhui Province, 520,000 acres of oilseed rape are being planted, utilizing machinery to enhance efficiency [6] - Wangjiang County is the largest oilseed rape planting area in Anhui, promoting a "rice-oil rotation" model and introducing high-quality oilseed varieties [8] - The integration of sowing and fertilization machinery is being employed to ensure precise planting and fertilization [9] Group 3: Hawthorn Harvesting in Shandong - In Qingzhou, Shandong Province, 24,000 acres of hawthorn are being harvested, with a focus on local特色产业 (characteristic industry) [10] - The hawthorn yield is expected to be 20% higher than last year due to favorable weather conditions, although prices are lower compared to previous years [10] - The local industry has established a collaborative model involving farmers, enterprises, and research institutions, resulting in an annual output value exceeding 2.5 billion yuan [14]

Core Insights - The domestic oilseed and oil futures market showed mixed performance on September 5, with canola and palm oil prices rising over 1% while soybean meal experienced a slight decline [1][2] Price Movements - Canola futures rose by 1.57% to 5225.00 CNY/ton - Palm oil futures increased by 1.34% to 9502.00 CNY/ton - Soybean meal futures decreased by 0.10% to 3060.00 CNY/ton - Soybean oil futures rose by 0.84% to 8418.00 CNY/ton [1] Futures Market Data - The opening and closing prices for various contracts on September 5 were as follows: - Soybean oil: Opened at 8340.00 CNY, closed at 8348.00 CNY - Palm oil: Opened at 9382.00 CNY, closed at 9376.00 CNY - Canola oil: Opened at 9725.00 CNY, closed at 9713.00 CNY - Soybean meal: Opened at 3043.00 CNY, closed at 3063.00 CNY - Canola meal: Opened at 2514.00 CNY, closed at 2524.00 CNY [2] Warehouse Receipt Data - As of September 4, warehouse receipts showed the following changes: - Soybean oil: Increased by 1284 contracts to 16344 contracts - Palm oil: Increased by 200 contracts to 639 contracts - Canola oil: Increased by 235 contracts to 6879 contracts - Soybean meal: Increased by 3750 contracts to 19375 contracts - Canola meal: Decreased by 210 contracts to 4846 contracts [3] Basis Data - The basis data as of September 4 indicated a phenomenon of "inverted futures" for several contracts, where spot prices exceeded futures prices: - Canola oil: Spot price 9858.33 CNY, futures price 9713 CNY, basis 145 CNY - Canola meal: Spot price 2631.67 CNY, futures price 2524 CNY, basis 107 CNY - Palm oil: Spot price 9400 CNY, futures price 9376 CNY, basis 24 CNY - Soybean one: Spot price 4305 CNY, futures price 3966 CNY, basis 339 CNY - Soybean meal: Spot price 3084 CNY, futures price 3063 CNY, basis 21 CNY - Soybean oil: Spot price 8428 CNY, futures price 8348 CNY, basis 80 CNY [4]

Trade Relations - China aims to resume rapeseed trade with Australia after a five-year suspension [1] - The move seeks to secure supplies of rapeseed, a key animal feed ingredient [1] - This occurs amidst strained relations with Canada, a major supplier [1]

Agriculture Outlook - Ample monsoon rainfall in India has improved prospects for winter-sown crops [1] - Key reservoirs have been replenished, benefiting crops relying on dams and groundwater [1] - Wheat and rapeseed are examples of winter-sown crops that will benefit [1]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic oilseed market shows mixed performance, with canola meal futures rising while other oil futures decline as of June 30, indicating volatility in the sector [1]. Price Movements - Canola meal futures increased by 1.14% to 2572.00 CNY/ton - Canola oil futures decreased by 0.43% to 9421.00 CNY/ton - Palm oil futures fell by 0.69% to 8308.00 CNY/ton - Soybean oil futures dropped by 0.32% to 7976.00 CNY/ton [1][2]. Futures Market Data - Soybean oil opened at 7994.00 CNY, closing at 8002.00 CNY - Palm oil opened at 8366.00 CNY, closing at 8366.00 CNY - Canola oil opened and closed at 9466.00 CNY - Soybean meal opened at 2942.00 CNY, closing at 2938.00 CNY - Canola meal opened at 2558.00 CNY, closing at 2543.00 CNY [2]. Warehouse Receipt Data - Soybean oil warehouse receipts remained stable at 18882 lots - Palm oil warehouse receipts increased by 470 lots to 470 lots - Canola oil warehouse receipts remained stable at 300 lots - Soybean meal warehouse receipts rose by 9610 lots to 35561 lots - Canola meal warehouse receipts decreased by 1141 lots to 21544 lots [3]. Basis and Spot Prices - Canola meal spot price is 2475 CNY, with a futures price of 2509 CNY, resulting in a basis of -68 CNY and a basis rate of -2.75% - Palm oil spot price is 8586 CNY, with a futures price of 8366 CNY, resulting in a basis of 220 CNY and a basis rate of 2.56% - Soybean one spot price is 4295 CNY, with a futures price of 4144 CNY, resulting in a basis of 151 CNY and a basis rate of 3.52% - Soybean meal spot price is 2906 CNY, with a futures price of 2938 CNY, resulting in a basis of -32 CNY and a basis rate of -1.10% - Soybean oil spot price is 8254 CNY, with a futures price of 8002 CNY, resulting in a basis of 252 CNY and a basis rate of 3.05% [4].