Workflow
Rio预调鸡尾酒
icon
Search documents
历史重演,「禁酒令」已预示关税战结局?| 氪金·大事件
36氪· 2025-04-23 09:15
Core Viewpoint - The article draws parallels between the historical Prohibition era in the United States and current economic challenges, suggesting that extreme policies may exacerbate societal issues rather than resolve them [3][30]. Historical Context of Prohibition - The Prohibition era began in 1920 with the 18th Amendment, aiming to reduce alcohol consumption and improve societal morals, but it led to increased crime and a thriving black market [5][11]. - The initial goals of Prohibition, such as reducing crime and improving public health, were not achieved; instead, it resulted in a significant loss of tax revenue and increased illegal activities [6][8][26]. Economic Impact - During Prohibition, the price of alcoholic beverages surged, with beer prices increasing by 700% and overall alcohol consumption rising by 50% [7][27]. - The government faced escalating costs to enforce Prohibition, with expenditures on enforcement rising from $440,000 to $1.34 million over the years [26]. Rise of Organized Crime - Prohibition created lucrative opportunities for organized crime, exemplified by figures like Al Capone, who capitalized on the illegal alcohol trade, generating estimated annual revenues of $100 million by 1927 [19][25]. - The black market for alcohol thrived, with organized crime syndicates establishing extensive distribution networks and engaging in violent turf wars [16][24]. Social Consequences - The societal issues intended to be addressed by Prohibition, such as alcohol-related health problems, worsened, with alcohol consumption increasing and incidents of alcohol poisoning rising dramatically [27]. - The failure of Prohibition highlighted the disconnect between government policies and public behavior, leading to a growing movement to repeal the law [29][30]. Conclusion and Modern Parallels - The article concludes that current economic policies in the U.S., such as tariffs and trade restrictions, may similarly burden the public and lead to unintended consequences, echoing the lessons learned from the Prohibition era [30].