The Monsters系列

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财经观察|曾炒到过万,如今不到千元!Labubu二手价全线下跌,能否迎来理性回归?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 09:29
Core Insights - The price of the Labubu series has significantly decreased, with the price of the complete Labubu 3.0 series dropping to about one-fourth of its peak value [1][5] - The mini version of Labubu has seen a rapid decline in prices shortly after its release, indicating a shift in market dynamics [1][8] - The overall trend in the secondary market reflects a return to rational consumer behavior, moving away from speculative pricing [9][13] Price Trends - The average transaction price for the third generation "Loyalty" Labubu has decreased from a peak of 2987 yuan to 683 yuan [1] - The mini version of Labubu has seen its price drop from 2000 yuan to approximately 1634 yuan shortly after launch [1] - The prices of various hidden and popular models have also seen significant declines, with some down by as much as 60% [2][6] Market Dynamics - The increase in production capacity by Pop Mart has contributed to the price drop, with monthly production now exceeding ten times that of the previous year [4][8] - The secondary market for Labubu has experienced a reversal in supply and demand, leading to a significant drop in prices as supply increases [11][12] - Analysts suggest that the decline in secondary market prices may be a positive sign for the long-term health of the market, as it indicates a move towards sustainable pricing [7][15] Consumer Behavior - Consumers are shifting from viewing Labubu as a "social currency" to focusing on the intrinsic value of the products, leading to more rational purchasing decisions [13][15] - The trend indicates a maturation in consumer attitudes, with a growing rejection of inflated prices driven by speculation [13][15] - The market is moving towards a healthier ecosystem, where the focus is on genuine consumer demand rather than speculative trading [12][15]
LABUBU二手价全线暴跌!泡泡玛特股价大跌6.66%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-10 12:15
Group 1 - The LABUBU series, once highly sought after, is experiencing a significant decline in second-hand prices, with the hidden version "Ben Wo" dropping from approximately 4356 yuan to 834 yuan over the past 90 days [1] - Following the peak price of 339.8 HKD per share on August 26, the stock price of Pop Mart has been on a downward trend, falling 7.5% on September 8 and reaching 269 HKD per share by September 10, resulting in a total market capitalization of approximately 361.2 billion HKD [4] - The initial sale of the LABUBU series sparked a buying frenzy, with prices on second-hand platforms reaching as high as 3200 yuan for a complete set of 14 figures, and some sellers charging up to 2699 yuan for "proxy buying" services, which is more than double the official price [4] Group 2 - The average transaction price for the mini LABUBU has significantly decreased, with the A-M version averaging 147 yuan and the complete N-Z set averaging 1511 yuan as of September 10 [4] - In response to the drastic price fluctuations, scalpers are adopting a conservative approach, with some halting purchases and waiting for market conditions to improve, indicating a shift in market sentiment [10] - The latest financial report from Pop Mart shows a remarkable revenue increase of 204.4% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, reaching 13.876 billion yuan, with a net profit growth of 396.5% [10]
交银国际每日晨报-20250821
BOCOM International· 2025-08-21 01:44
Group 1: Company Performance and Growth - The report highlights a significant revenue increase for Bubble Mart, achieving RMB 13.88 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 204.4% [1] - Adjusted net profit for Bubble Mart reached RMB 4.71 billion, a substantial increase of 362.8% year-on-year, with improved profitability reflected in a gross margin of 70.3% and a net profit margin of 33.9% [1][2] - Management has raised the full-year revenue forecast for 2025 to no less than RMB 30 billion, previously set at RMB 20 billion, with an expected net profit margin of 35% [1][2] Group 2: IP Diversification and Market Expansion - Bubble Mart's diverse IP matrix has driven rapid revenue growth, with the core IP "The Monsters" series seeing a staggering 668% increase in revenue to RMB 4.81 billion in the first half of 2025 [2] - The company has expanded its IP portfolio, with four other major IPs generating over RMB 1 billion each, alleviating concerns about reliance on a single IP [2] - Both domestic and overseas markets have shown rapid growth, with plans to increase store presence in overseas markets to over 200 by year-end, including more than 60 in the Americas [2] Group 3: Financial Projections and Market Position - The report projects a 39-49% increase in profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with a target price adjustment to HKD 394.00, maintaining a "Buy" rating for Bubble Mart [2] - The report emphasizes the company's strong IP operation capabilities and ongoing globalization efforts, positioning it as a preferred stock in the consumer sector [2] Group 4: Other Company Highlights - WuXi AppTec reported a 62% year-on-year revenue increase to RMB 2.7 billion in the first half of 2025, with a gross margin improvement to 36.1% [3] - Management has raised the full-year revenue growth guidance from 35% to over 45%, anticipating continued margin improvements in the second half of 2025 [3] - The report notes that the company is expected to invest RMB 1.56 billion in capital expenditures in 2025, with a total of RMB 7 billion by 2029 [3]