电子掘金 博通 AI ASIC 超预期，应关注哪些投资机遇？ 20250907 摘要 博通积压订单达 1,100 亿美元，主要由 AI 驱动，表明全球 AI 需求高景 气度延续至 2027 年，当前订单覆盖度已能看到 2027 年的需求，与光 模块行业及海外 CSP 企业数据中心建设规划相互印证。 博通新增第四家 AI 定制化芯片客户 OpenAI，订单金额达 100 亿美元， 预计 2026 财年交付，AI 收入增速显著高于此前指引 60%，表明新兴头 部企业对 AI 定制化芯片需求强劲，渗透率提升加速。 博通在 AI 网络产品方面持续创新，包括用于 scale out 网络的 Tomahawk 6、用于 scale up 网络的 Tomahawk Ultra 以及用于 scale across 网络的 JERICHO 4，适用于数据中心多种通信需求，AI 网络弹性有望超过 AI 基建平均增速。 ASTERLABS 的 PCIe Switch 产品线预计明年凭借亚马逊一家大客户实 现至少 10 亿美元收入规模，X 系列用于 Scale Up 网络，P 系列用于 Scale Out 网络，将在 2026 年成 ...

The Broadcom Ink logo is displayed on a mobile phone in this photo illustration in Brussels, Belgium, on September 2, 2025. (Photo by Jonathan Raa/NurPhoto via Getty Images)NurPhoto via Getty ImagesBroadcom's stock (NASDAQ: AVGO) is climbing, buoyed by impressive quarterly earnings and a new customer win for its custom AI chips. Adding to the optimism, the company expects revenue growth to speed up next year. It's no surprise, then, that the stock has more than doubled in the past twelve months.But what cou ...

Key Takeaways Broadcom expects Q3 revenues of $15.8B, up 21% year over year with modest sequential growth.AI revenues are projected to rise 60% to $5.1B, driven by hyperscaler investments in accelerators.VMware's subscription shift and strong Cloud Foundation adoption are expected to lift software growth.Broadcom (AVGO) is set to report its third-quarter fiscal 2025 results on Sept. 4.For third-quarter fiscal 2025, AVGO expects revenues of $15.8 billion. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged a ...

Core Insights - Astera Labs (ALAB) is experiencing significant growth driven by strong demand for its Aries, Taurus, and Scorpio product families, with Q2 2025 revenues increasing by 149.7% year over year and 20% sequentially [1][10] - The company anticipates Q3 2025 revenues to be between $203 million and $210 million, indicating a sequential growth of 6% to 9% [4][10] Product Performance - The Aries product family is diversifying across GPU and custom ASIC-based systems, with the Aries 6 solution supporting PCIe 6 beginning volume ramp in Q2 2025 [2] - Scorpio product line has exceeded 10% of total revenues in Q2 2025, marking it as the fastest ramping product line in Astera Labs' history, with strong demand for Scorpio P-Series and X-Series PCIe Fabric Switches [3][10] Competitive Landscape - Astera Labs faces competition from Broadcom and Marvell Technology in the connectivity and high-speed interconnect domain [5] - Broadcom offers a wide range of high-performance PCIe Switches with low latency and power consumption, while Marvell benefits from demand for electro-optics products and next-generation switches [6][7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Astera Labs shares have appreciated 31.5% year to date, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 12.5% [8] - The stock is trading at a premium with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 31.97X compared to the sector's 6.66X, indicating a Value Score of F [13]

Core Insights - Broadcom (AVGO) is experiencing growth in semiconductor sales driven by an expanding product portfolio, including the Jericho4 Ethernet fabric router capable of interconnecting over one million AI accelerators across data centers [1][10] - The company anticipates a significant increase in AI revenues, projecting a 60% year-over-year growth to $5.1 billion for Q3 fiscal 2025, alongside a 25% growth in semiconductor revenues to $9.1 billion [3][10] Product Developments - In June, Broadcom shipped the Tomahawk 6, the first Ethernet switch with a capacity of 102.4 Terabits/sec [2] - The Tomahawk Ultra, announced in mid-July, achieves a switch latency of 250ns at full throughput of 51.2 Tbps, supporting up to 77 billion packets per second [2] Market Position and Competition - Broadcom is a significant player in the semiconductor market but faces strong competition from NVIDIA and AMD [5] - NVIDIA's data center business is thriving due to rising demand for AI infrastructure, with key orders from major tech companies [6] - AMD is expanding its AI market presence with new products, including the Instinct MI350 Series GPUs, which offer substantial AI compute gains [7] Financial Performance - Broadcom shares have increased by 26.8% year-to-date, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which has returned 12.5% [8][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings is $6.63 per share, indicating a 36.1% growth from fiscal 2024 [13] Valuation Metrics - Broadcom's stock is trading at a forward Price/Earnings ratio of 36.85X, higher than the sector average of 27.64X, reflecting a premium valuation [15]

Summary of Key Points from the OCP APAC Summit Industry Overview - The Open Compute Project (OCP) is an industry consortium focused on redesigning hardware technology for data centers, emphasizing efficiency, scalability, and openness. It has over 400 members as of 2025, initiated by Meta in 2011 [3][2]. Core Insights and Arguments AI Data Center Innovations - The OCP APAC Summit highlighted advancements in AI hardware, infrastructure, and networking, with participation from major tech companies like Google, Meta, Microsoft, TSMC, and AMD [2][7]. - Meta is aggressively launching its Hyperion data center, which is expected to significantly benefit server ODMs like Quanta and Wiwynn [4][29]. - AMD's UALink and Ultra Ethernet are set to enhance networking capabilities, enabling larger clusters and improved performance [9][11]. Power and Cooling Solutions - The power consumption of AI servers is projected to double, with NVIDIA's GPUs expected to reach 3,600W by 2027, necessitating a shift to high-voltage direct current (HVDC) systems for efficiency [23][24]. - Liquid cooling is becoming essential for managing the thermal load of high-density AI racks, with designs evolving to accommodate this need [34][23]. Market Dynamics - The AI hardware market is transitioning from proprietary solutions to a more open, collaborative environment, benefiting specialized hardware vendors [10][11]. - The back-end networking market for AI is projected to exceed $30 billion by 2028, driven by the demand for high-bandwidth communication within AI clusters [18]. Important but Overlooked Content - The shift to panel-level processing by ASE is a critical innovation for manufacturing larger AI packages, improving area utilization and cost-effectiveness [13]. - The integration of retimers in cables is essential for maintaining signal integrity in high-density AI racks, addressing challenges posed by traditional passive copper cables [18]. - MediaTek is positioning itself as a leader in on-device AI integration, which is crucial as the demand for edge computing grows [26][30]. Company-Specific Highlights - **Delta**: Target price raised from $460 to $715 due to strong growth momentum driven by AI power needs [21]. - **Google**: Engaging with OCP to upgrade AI infrastructure, including the introduction of the Mt. Diablo power rack for efficient power distribution [24][33]. - **Seagate**: Emphasized the complementary role of HDDs alongside SSDs for high-capacity storage in AI applications [39][41]. - **TSMC**: Focused on co-development of system-level standards to support higher performance compute systems [40]. Conclusion The OCP APAC Summit underscored the rapid evolution of AI infrastructure, highlighting the importance of collaboration among tech giants to address the challenges of power, cooling, and networking in data centers. The insights gained from this event will shape the future landscape of AI technology and its supporting ecosystem.

Core Insights - Broadcom is shipping the Jericho4 Ethernet fabric router, capable of interconnecting over one million custom AI accelerators across multiple data centers, offering unmatched bandwidth, security, and lossless performance [1][7] - The company has seen a significant increase in AI networking revenues, which surged 170% year over year, contributing to 40% of AI revenues in Q2 of fiscal 2025 [2][7] - Broadcom's strong portfolio and partnerships with major tech companies are driving its market share growth among hyperscalers [2][9] Product Developments - The Jericho4 system scales to 36,000 HyperPorts, each operating at 3.2 Tb/s, with advanced features for data protection and long-distance transport [1] - The Tomahawk 6 Ethernet switch, launched in June, delivers 102.4 Terabits/sec, doubling the bandwidth of its predecessor, while the Tomahawk Ultra achieves 250ns switch latency at full 51.2 Tbps throughput [3] Financial Performance - Broadcom's shares have increased by 30.4% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Electronics Semiconductors industry and the Computer and Technology sector [4] - The company reported cash and cash equivalents of $9.47 billion and generated $6.55 billion in cash flow from operations as of May 4, 2025 [11] - In Q2 of fiscal 2025, Broadcom paid $2.8 billion in cash dividends and repurchased approximately 25 million shares for $4.2 billion [12] Market Outlook - Broadcom expects third-quarter fiscal 2025 AI revenues to rise 60% year over year to $5.1 billion, despite anticipated lower margins due to a higher mix of lower-margin XPU products [9][13] - The company’s third-quarter revenue guidance of $15.8 billion suggests a 21% year-over-year growth but indicates modest sequential growth [13] Valuation Metrics - Broadcom's stock is trading at a premium, with a forward Price/Sales ratio of 19.59X, significantly higher than the sector average and its peers [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal third-quarter earnings is $1.66 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 33.87% [14] Strategic Positioning - Broadcom's focus on AI-powered security solutions and its partnerships with companies like NVIDIA and Meta Platforms are expected to enhance its revenue growth [10][8] - The company is positioned well for long-term growth, although declining gross margins and macroeconomic challenges may impact its premium valuation [18]

Core Insights - Broadcom has officially launched the Jericho4 Ethernet structure router, designed for next-generation distributed AI infrastructure [1] - The Jericho4 router can interconnect over one million XPU processors across multiple data centers, breaking traditional scaling limitations with its groundbreaking bandwidth, security, and lossless transmission performance [1] - Together with the Tomahawk 6 and Tomahawk Ultra product lines, Broadcom provides a comprehensive networking solution for high-performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence [1]

Core Insights - Broadcom Inc. has launched the Jericho4 ethernet fabric router, designed for the next generation of distributed AI infrastructure, capable of interconnecting over one million XPUs across multiple data centers [1][2] - The Jericho4 router addresses the increasing infrastructure demands of AI models, which exceed the capabilities of a single data center, by providing high-bandwidth, secure, and lossless transport across regional distances [2][3] Product Features - Jericho4 can scale to 36,000 HyperPorts, each operating at 3.2 Tb/s, with features such as deep buffering and line-rate MACsec for enhanced security and performance over distances exceeding 100 km [3][4] - The router utilizes Broadcom's 3.2T HyperPort technology, consolidating four 800GE links into a single logical port, which improves utilization by up to 70% and streamlines traffic flow [4][5] - Jericho4 supports MACsec encryption on every port at full speed, ensuring data security without compromising performance, even under high traffic loads [5][6] Compliance and Interoperability - The Jericho4 router is compliant with specifications from the Ultra Ethernet Consortium (UEC), ensuring interoperability across open, standards-based Ethernet AI fabrics [6][9] - This compliance allows for seamless integration with a wide ecosystem of UEC-compliant NICs, switches, and software stacks, enhancing its utility in diverse networking environments [6][9] Market Position and Collaboration - Broadcom's Jericho4 is positioned to meet the growing demands of distributed AI workloads, with industry leaders expressing confidence in its capabilities to enhance scalability and efficiency in AI networking [11][12][13] - Collaborations with companies like Accton, Arista Networks, and DriveNets highlight the router's potential to support advanced AI infrastructure and improve energy efficiency in large-scale GPU clusters [11][12][13][14] Availability - Jericho4 is currently sampling to customers, indicating its readiness for market deployment [8]

Core Insights - Broadcom Inc. has launched the Jericho4 ethernet fabric router, designed for the next generation of distributed AI infrastructure, capable of interconnecting over one million XPUs across multiple data centers [1][2] - The Jericho4 router addresses the increasing infrastructure demands of AI models, which exceed the capabilities of a single data center, by providing high-bandwidth, secure, and lossless transport over regional distances [2][3] Product Features - Jericho4 can scale to 36,000 HyperPorts, each operating at 3.2 Tbps, featuring deep buffering and line-rate MACsec for enhanced security and performance over distances exceeding 100 km [3][4] - The router utilizes Broadcom's 3.2T HyperPort technology, consolidating four 800GE links into a single logical port, which improves utilization by up to 70% and streamlines traffic flow [4][5] - Jericho4 supports MACsec encryption on every port at full speed, ensuring data security without compromising performance, even under high traffic loads [5][6] Compliance and Interoperability - The Jericho4 is compliant with specifications from the Ultra Ethernet Consortium (UEC), ensuring interoperability across open, standards-based Ethernet AI fabrics [6][9] - This compliance allows for seamless integration with a wide ecosystem of UEC-compliant NICs, switches, and software stacks, enhancing its utility in diverse networking environments [6][9] Market Position and Collaboration - Broadcom's Jericho4 is positioned to meet the growing demands of distributed AI workloads, with industry leaders expressing confidence in its capabilities to enhance scalability and performance in AI networking [11][12][13] - Collaborations with companies like Accton, Arista Networks, and DriveNets highlight the router's potential to support next-generation AI infrastructure and improve energy efficiency [11][12][13][14]