春风动力 20250911 摘要 春风动力巩固中大排量摩托车领先地位，受益于国内大排量摩托车市场 渗透率提升空间（预计增长 2 至 4 倍）和海外市场广阔前景（出口空间 约为内销 10 倍），2023 年和 2024 年销量分别约为 10 万辆和 13 万 辆，预计 2025 年保持高增速。 春风动力在全球全地形车（ATV/UTV）市场表现突出，跻身前五，市场 份额约为 10%。全球全地形车市场容量稳定在 80 至 100 万辆，美国市 场占比七八成。公司推出 U8、U10 Pro 及 C10 SUV 等高端车型，预计 推动长期增长。 为应对关税风险，春风动力实施全球化布局，在国内设有杭州和重庆工 厂，海外设立泰国（租赁）和墨西哥工厂，分别负责输往美国的 UTV 产 品及高端 UTV/SUV 产品，有效降低关税影响。 春风动力股权架构稳定，由赖氏家族实际控制，并通过多轮股权激励方 案绑定核心高管和人员利益，推动公司长期发展，当前掌舵人是赖铭杰。 公司财务表现亮眼，2024 年营收达 10,050 亿元，2025 年上半年营收 增长超 30%。毛利率维持在 30%左右。2024 年净利润约 14 亿元，预 计 ...

Summary of Chuanfeng Power Conference Call Company Overview - Chuanfeng Power has experienced rapid revenue and profit growth, with average annual growth rates of 36% for revenue and 52% for profit from 2019 to 2024, resulting in revenue quadrupling and profit octupling during this period [2][3] Industry Insights All-Terrain Vehicle (ATV) Market - The global ATV market has stabilized at over 1 million units, with Chuanfeng Power maintaining over 70% of national export share and increasing its North American market share to over 10% [2][5] - The company is expected to benefit from new products and tariff policy optimizations, potentially achieving a 20% market share in the U.S. and 50% in non-U.S. regions, translating to annual sales of 300,000 units [5] Motorcycle Market - The global motorcycle market, particularly in the mid-to-large displacement segment, presents significant growth opportunities, with a market size of approximately 5 million units, ten times that of the domestic market [6][7] - Chuanfeng Power has made progress in Europe, with market shares in Italy and Spain increasing, and aims to capture a larger share in emerging markets like Latin America and Southeast Asia [8][10][11] Electric Two-Wheeler Market - Chuanfeng Power's electric two-wheeler business is expanding rapidly, with production capacity expected to reach 300,000 units by the end of the year, and projected sales of 10,000 to 180,000 units from 2024 to 2027 [13] Strategic Goals - The company aims to achieve annual global sales of 1 million units across its product lines, contributing at least 15 billion RMB in net profit [12] - Chuanfeng Power plans to enhance its product matrix with new models, including the SR series and NK series, and establish a sub-brand CF light to target the small-displacement market [2][12] Financial Projections - The all-terrain vehicle segment is projected to contribute over 35 billion RMB in net profit, while traditional motorcycles and electric two-wheelers are expected to contribute over 300 billion and 100 billion RMB, respectively [14] - Overall, Chuanfeng Power is positioned to grow into a company with a market capitalization of over 100 billion RMB, competing with Indian and Japanese counterparts [14][15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% compared to the market benchmark within the next six months [8][25]. Core Views - The company reported strong performance in its 2025 mid-year results, with revenue reaching 9.855 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.002 billion yuan, up 41% year-on-year [2][4]. - The all-terrain vehicle segment showed remarkable growth, with sales revenue of 4.731 billion yuan, a 34% increase year-on-year, and a sales volume of 101,800 units, up 25% year-on-year [4][3]. - The electric two-wheeler brand "Jike" experienced explosive growth, achieving sales of 250,500 units and revenue of 872 million yuan, reflecting a staggering year-on-year growth of 652.06% [5][6]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 28.38%, a decrease of 3.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved to 10.57% [6][7]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecast upwards, expecting net profits of 1.867 billion yuan, 2.435 billion yuan, and 3.041 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 27%, 30%, and 25% [7][13]. - The report highlights a robust sales network expansion, with 130 new channels added in the first half of 2025, bringing the total to over 3,000 channels globally [4][5].

Summary of Chuanfeng Power Conference Call Company Overview - Chuanfeng Power's business segments include all-terrain vehicles (ATVs), motorcycles, and electric two-wheelers. The revenue distribution for 2024 is projected to be 48% from four-wheel vehicles, 40% from motorcycles, and 3% from electric vehicles [4][5][6]. Industry Insights - The global all-terrain vehicle market is stable, with North America dominating, contributing 80% of the market. The preference in North America is shifting towards high-end models, while Europe primarily favors ATVs [2][6]. - The demand for all-terrain vehicles surged post-pandemic, with North American demand increasing by 28% in 2020. However, there was a decline in 2021-2022, yet demand remained above pre-pandemic levels [8][9]. Key Financial Metrics - Chuanfeng Power's revenue is expected to reach 1.9 billion yuan in 2025 and 2.5 billion yuan in 2026, with a long-term market capitalization target of 70-80 billion yuan [7][36]. - The company’s global all-terrain vehicle sales increased from 67,000 units in 2020 to 151,000 units in 2021, raising its market share from 6% to 15% [6][9]. Market Dynamics - The North American market has transitioned from a supply-demand imbalance to a promotional phase to reduce inventory, with Chuanfeng responding by stabilizing prices and increasing promotional expenses [11][9]. - Tariffs and international shipping costs have significantly impacted Chuanfeng's all-terrain vehicle business, with ATV tariffs rising from 2.5% to 27.5% in 2021, affecting profit margins [12]. Product Development - Chuanfeng has made progress in optimizing its product structure, particularly in the 1,000CC segment, with new high-end models like U10 Pro and Z10 set to launch [13][18]. - The company is focusing on expanding its product offerings in the 600-800CC range while continuing to develop small-displacement scooters [25]. Competitive Landscape - Chuanfeng leads in non-U.S. dealer channels but still lags behind competitors like Polaris in the U.S. market [3][14]. - The company’s high-end product U10 Pro has shown strong performance, with superior specifications compared to competitors [16][17]. Future Outlook - The electric two-wheeler market is expected to grow significantly, with Chuanfeng's electric brand "Jiehe" projected to sell 600,000 to 700,000 units in 2025 [30]. - The domestic large-displacement motorcycle market is on an upward trend, with a significant increase in the share of models above 400CC [19][20]. Strategic Initiatives - Chuanfeng is enhancing its brand competitiveness through extensive marketing efforts and channel expansion, aiming to increase its dealer network significantly by 2025 [26][27]. - The company is committed to R&D, with a focus on improving technology and product capabilities, which is expected to drive future growth [28]. Conclusion - Chuanfeng Power is well-positioned for growth in the all-terrain vehicle and motorcycle markets, with a strong focus on product innovation, market expansion, and strategic partnerships. The long-term outlook remains positive, with significant potential for market capitalization growth [36].