公众号记得加星标⭐️，第一时间看推送不会错过。 在RISC-V 峰会上，计算机体系结构传奇人物 David Patterson 发表了一场备受好评的主题演讲。他 利用扫描的原始幻灯片，带领观众回到 1981 年，讲述了精简指令集计算 (RISC) 在加州大学伯克利 分校的诞生。 帕特森以幽默的方式开场，提到他妻子酷爱穿越时空的电影，并解释说年龄增长使人能够轻松地穿越 回过去。他翻阅旧文件，重新发现了那些经典的塑料幻灯片——这些对许多年轻听众来说都很陌生 ——并用它们重现了四十多年前他在校园里做的演讲。 在此背景下，复杂指令集计算机（CISC）占据了主导地位。当时的主流理念认为，更丰富、更多样 化的指令能够弥合高级语言和硬件之间的"语义鸿沟"。摩尔定律推动了内存密度的不断提高，使得微 程序设计变得成本低廉。市场营销强化了这样一种观念：程序越复杂，可靠性就越高；而寄存器则被 视为过时的技术。 事实证明并非如此。高级语言编程仅使用了一小部分指令。诸如 VAX 的数组索引指令或 IBM 370 的多寄存器移动等复杂操作，通常比一系列简单的操作要慢。设计周期急剧延长，微代码错误层出不 穷；帕特森在 1979 年至 19 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report maintains the EPS forecast for Techtronic Industries (00669) at $0.70 and $0.80 for 2025 and 2026 respectively, with a target price of HKD 115.49, indicating a potential upside of 22.6% [1] - The company reported 1H25 revenue of $7.833 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, and a net profit of $628 million, up 14.2%, aligning with expectations [1] Group 2 - Milwaukee continues to outperform the industry, while Ryobi achieves high single-digit growth; 1H25 electric tools revenue reached $7.425 billion, a 7.9% increase, with Milwaukee growing 11.9% and Ryobi 8.7% [2] - In 1H25, North America generated $5.872 billion in revenue, up 7.5%, while Europe saw $1.401 billion, an 11.9% increase; other regions experienced a decline of 6.5% to $560 million [2] Group 3 - The company's gross margin improved to 40.3%, up 0.3 percentage points, driven by growth in high-value products and improved profitability in consumer brands; net margin increased to 8.0%, up 0.5 percentage points [3] - R&D expenses rose to 4.6% of revenue, an increase of 0.5 percentage points, while sales expenses increased to 17.2%, up 0.2 percentage points; inventory grew by 6.61% as the company prepares for potential tariff changes [3] Group 4 - Since 2025, U.S. home sales have been declining, with new home sales down 6.6% in June 2025; however, the actual annualized consumption of tools and hardware in March 2025 was $41.94 billion, a 3.8% increase [4] - In May and June 2025, there was a disturbance in demand for hardware tools, with actual annualized consumption dropping to $39.95 billion, a 3.4% year-on-year decrease [4]

Core Insights - The company reported 1H25 performance in line with expectations, with revenue of $7.833 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, and a net profit of $628 million, up 14.2% year-on-year [1] Performance Overview - Milwaukee continues to outperform the industry, while Ryobi achieved high single-digit growth. In 1H25, power tools revenue reached $7.425 billion, growing 7.9% year-on-year, with Milwaukee's revenue increasing by 11.9% in local currency and Ryobi by 8.7% [1] - The floor care business saw revenue of $408 million, a decline of 4.6% year-on-year, primarily due to decreased demand for the VAX brand in the UK and Australia [1] - By region, North America generated $5.872 billion in revenue, up 7.5% year-on-year; Europe saw revenue of $1.401 billion, increasing by 11.9%; other regions contributed $560 million, down 6.5% [1] Profitability and Inventory Management - The company's gross margin improved to 40.3%, up 0.3 percentage points year-on-year, driven by growth in high-value products like Milwaukee and improved profitability in consumer brands [2] - The net profit margin for 1H25 was 8.0%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [2] - R&D expenses as a percentage of revenue rose by 0.5 percentage points to 4.6%, while sales expenses increased by 0.2 percentage points to 17.2%. Management and financial expenses decreased by 0.9 and 0.2 percentage points to 9.5% and 0.7%, respectively [2] - Inventory increased by 6.61% year-on-year as the company raised finished goods stock to prepare for potential tariff changes in the second half of 2025 [2] Market Trends and Economic Indicators - Since 2025, U.S. housing sales have been declining, with new home sales down 6.6% year-on-year in June 2025, and existing home sales remaining flat [2] - Anticipated tariffs led to increased end-user orders and elevated inventory levels in the supply chain [3] - The actual annualized consumption of tools and hardware in the U.S. was $41.94 billion in March 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.8%. However, by June, this figure dropped to $39.95 billion, a decline of 3.4% year-on-year [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at $0.70 and $0.80, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 17.4 and 15.2 for 2025 and 2026 [3] - The target price is set at HKD 115.49, implying P/E ratios of 21.5 and 18.6 for 2025 and 2026, with a potential upside of 22.6% [3]