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 AI需求强劲,重点关注三季报有望超预期方向
 SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-10-26 09:48
 Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the AI-PCB and core computing hardware sectors, as well as the Apple supply chain and self-sufficient industries [4][29].   Core Insights - Strong demand for AI continues to drive significant growth in the industry, with many companies expected to exceed Q3 earnings forecasts due to robust orders from major AI clients [1][4]. - The AI server and related hardware markets are anticipated to see accelerated growth, with Nvidia's AI server shipments expected to increase in Q4 [1][4]. - The report highlights the ongoing price increases in storage chips and the strong demand for AI-related products, indicating a favorable market environment for companies involved in these sectors [1][4][25].   Summary by Sections  1. Industry Overview - AI demand remains robust, with companies like Shengyi Technology reporting Q3 revenues of 2.84-3.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 135-170% [1]. - TSMC is optimistic about AI demand, projecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 45% for AI revenue from 2024 to 2029 [1].   2. Subsector Insights  2.1 Consumer Electronics - Apple has launched new products, including the iPhone 17 series and AI-related devices, which are expected to drive demand in the consumer electronics sector [5][6]. - The report anticipates a surge in end-side AI applications, particularly in smart devices and home automation [5].   2.2 PCB - The PCB industry is experiencing high demand, particularly driven by automotive and industrial applications, with price increases noted for raw materials [7][29]. - The overall PCB market is expected to maintain a high level of activity, supported by AI growth and policy incentives [7].   2.3 Components - The report notes that AI applications are increasing the demand for passive components, particularly in mobile devices [22]. - The LCD panel market is stabilizing, with effective production control measures in place [23].   2.4 IC Design - The storage sector is projected to see price increases due to supply constraints and rising demand from cloud computing and consumer electronics [24][25].   2.5 Semiconductor Equipment - The report emphasizes the trend of domestic semiconductor equipment manufacturers benefiting from the push for self-sufficiency amid geopolitical tensions [26][31]. - Companies like North Huachuang are expected to gain market share as domestic production ramps up [31].   3. Key Companies - Companies such as Shengyi Technology, North Huachuang, and Jiangfeng Electronics are highlighted as key players benefiting from the AI and semiconductor trends [29][31][33]. - The report suggests that these companies are well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI-related products and services [30][31].
 台积电先进制程需求强劲,未来AI需求指引乐观
 SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-10-19 12:07
 Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the industry, particularly focusing on AI-related sectors and the semiconductor supply chain, indicating a strong demand trajectory and potential for growth [1][4][28].   Core Insights - TSMC reported strong demand for advanced processes, with Q3 revenue reaching $33.1 billion, a 40.8% year-on-year increase, and net profit of $15.1 billion, up 50% year-on-year. The company raised its full-year revenue growth guidance to around 35% [1]. - The AI revenue CAGR is projected to exceed 45% from 2024 to 2029, driven by a surge in token usage reflecting strong demand for AI computing power [1][4]. - The report highlights a robust demand for AI-related hardware, particularly in the PCB and semiconductor sectors, with expectations for continued high growth in performance and sales [1][4][28].   Summary by Sections  1. Industry Segments  1.1 Consumer Electronics - Apple launched new products, including the iPhone 17 series and AI-related devices, indicating strong market demand and potential for accelerated AI integration in consumer electronics [5][6].  1.2 PCB - The PCB industry is experiencing high demand, particularly from automotive and industrial sectors, with expectations for sustained growth in Q4 [7].  1.3 Components - The report notes an increase in demand for passive components, particularly in AI applications, with significant growth in MLCC usage in mobile devices [20].  1.4 IC Design - The storage segment is expected to see price increases of 10% to 20% in DRAM products due to supply constraints and rising demand from cloud computing and consumer electronics [22][24].  1.5 Semiconductor Manufacturing - The report emphasizes the trend of domestic semiconductor equipment and materials gaining market share due to geopolitical factors, with a focus on self-sufficiency in the supply chain [25][27].   2. Key Companies - TSMC remains optimistic about AI demand, with a strong forecast for revenue growth in AI-related sectors [1][28]. - Northern Huachuang is positioned to benefit from domestic semiconductor equipment demand, with expectations for increased market share [30][31]. - Other notable companies include Jiangfeng Electronics, which reported significant growth in ultra-pure target materials, and Zhongwei Company, which is expanding its R&D efforts in advanced semiconductor manufacturing [32][33].