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25Q2半导体持仓总结及Q3景气度展望,关注旺季下的绩优赛道
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-04 07:13
Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Insights - The semiconductor sector is expected to continue its optimistic growth trajectory in 2025, driven by AI and domestic substitution efforts [5][17] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a notable increase in the allocation of semiconductor stocks within the electronic sector, with a significant focus on storage and power components [2][5] - The report highlights the strong performance of key companies in the semiconductor space, particularly in the storage segment, where price increases are anticipated [4][5] Summary by Sections 1. Q2 Semiconductor Holdings and Q3 Outlook - In Q2 2025, the A-share electronic industry allocation was 18.67%, maintaining the top position in the market, with a slight increase in the overweight ratio [2][14] - The semiconductor sector accounted for the highest proportion of holdings at 10.47% among various electronic components [2][25] 2. Q3 Downstream Industry Outlook - The report indicates stable growth in consumer electronics, with significant increases in the production of new energy vehicles and industrial applications [3][15] - In June 2025, China's smartphone production reached 108 million units, reflecting an 8.4% year-on-year increase [3][30] - The production of new energy vehicles saw a notable rise, with 1.234 million units produced, marking an 18.8% increase [3][32] 3. Storage Sector Recommendations - Jiangbolong is highlighted as a key player in the storage sector, benefiting from both cyclical and growth factors, with expected price increases in NAND and DDR4 products [4][16] - The company is positioned to leverage domestic substitution in enterprise storage, projecting a 200% year-on-year revenue increase in Q1 2025 [4][16] 4. Overall Market Trends - The semiconductor market is expected to see continued price increases in Q3 2025, particularly in the storage segment, with a focus on performance and efficiency improvements [5][17] - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic substitution and the resilience of key players in the semiconductor industry amid global supply chain challenges [5][17]
电子行业研究周报:国内算力资本开支有望加速-2025-02-27
Shengang Securities· 2025-02-27 15:04
行 业 研 究 国内算力资本开支有望加速 ——电子行业研究周报 投资摘要: 市场回顾 上周(2.17-2.21)申万电子行业指数上涨 6.96%,在申万 31 个行业中排名第 3,跑赢沪深 300 指数 5.96%。申万电子行业三级子行业中数字芯片设计、半 导体设备、印制电路板、半导体材料、电子化学品Ⅲ指数涨跌表现相对靠前, 分别跑赢沪深 300 指数 9.82%、9.26%、8.80%、6.69%、5.96%。 每周一谈:国内算力资本开支有望加速 AI 大模型持续迭代,或将支撑算力硬件投入信心。根据 IT 之家消息,近期 xAI 发布最新一代大模型 Grok 3,在数学推理、科学逻辑推理和代码写作等能力 表现方面,Grok-3 在多项 benchmark 测试中均取得了比 DeepSeek-v3、 GPT-4o、Gemini-2 pro 更优的成绩。Grok 3 使用了 10 万个英伟达 H100 GPU (后扩展到 20 万),累计训练时长达到 2 亿 GPU 小时,这一规模是前代产 品 Grok 2 的十倍。大规模的计算能力部署,使得 Grok 3 能够在更短时间内 处理海量数据集,同时显著提升了模型的 ...