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如何应对市场波动?彼得·林奇罕见露面:如果你不懂自己买的公司,一旦下跌就会慌,那就别买……
聪明投资者· 2025-10-11 03:51
Core Insights - Peter Lynch, a legendary fund manager, achieved an annualized return of 29.2% while managing the Fidelity Magellan Fund from 1977 to 1990, growing it from $18 million to $14 billion [5][6]. - Lynch emphasizes the importance of understanding what one is buying and suggests that investors should write down their reasons for purchasing a stock before buying it [7][10]. - He warns that the real danger in investing is not market volatility but being scared away by it, noting that the average stock on the NYSE experiences a 100% annual volatility [8][9]. Investment Philosophy - Lynch's key investment principle is to know what one is buying; if an investor cannot explain their investment to an 11-year-old in a minute, they should not buy it [10][81]. - He believes that successful investing is not about predicting the future but understanding the present and relying on diligence, common sense, and real-world observation [13][110]. - Lynch advises investors to write a script before buying stocks, detailing why they are buying and why the stock is undervalued [84][91]. Market Insights - Lynch acknowledges the current high valuations in the market, with the S&P 500 trading at a 22x P/E ratio, which he does not consider catastrophic [11]. - He expresses skepticism about the AI hype, stating he has not invested in any AI stocks and only recently learned how to pronounce "Nvidia" [10][161]. - Lynch reflects on the market's tendency to overlook companies that are undervalued or in distress but have potential for recovery, suggesting that these can be lucrative investment opportunities [170][171]. Personal Experience and Lessons - Lynch shares his journey from being a caddy to becoming a successful analyst at Fidelity, highlighting the importance of real-world experience in understanding investments [32][39]. - He recounts the pressure of managing funds for many American families and how he navigated market downturns by maintaining confidence in his investments [22][24]. - Lynch emphasizes that ordinary investors can succeed by applying diligence and common sense, rather than relying solely on complex models or predictions [172][174].
芯片内幕人士——芯片法案
2025-10-09 02:00
TechInsights 平台 --- TechInsights Platform library.techinsights.com/hg-content/d4f4042b-c17d-4b75-87a7-1d07cdd93ce0 By G. Dan Hutcheson 作者:G. Dan Hutcheson Summary: 摘要: Chip Acts: Intel, Hamilton, Jefferson, Jackson, Biden, Trump 芯片法案:英特尔、汉密尔顿、杰斐逊、杰克逊、拜登、特朗普 Last Friday I explained the rationale behind President Trump's flip on Lip-Bu Tan and the larger strategy governing the move… Since then, SoftBank announced it would invest $2B of equity in Intel, which opened the door for the Trump administration to pro ...
乔布斯逝世14周年,苹果CEO库克深切缅怀这位朋友
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-05 10:23
小米掌门人雷军曾自曝第一个偶像是柳传志,第二个偶像是乔布斯,乔布斯导引自己想成立一番事业。 在做锤子手机之前,罗永浩是业余手机发烧友,偶像是乔布斯。杀入手机行业后,他十分自信甚至有点 自恋,直言自己在用户体验、审美、营销推广、恋物、完美主义倾向这五个方面一点都不输给偶像乔布 斯。 快播创始人王欣也是乔布斯的忠实拥趸,他曾表示,自己非常欣赏乔布斯对产品近乎偏执的痴迷、重新 定义行业的魄力。当然,外界在缅怀乔布斯的同时,总是拿库克治下的苹果与乔布斯时代的苹果作对 比,这早已成为科技圈老生常谈的话题。 作者:龚进辉 今天(10月5日)不仅是十一假期第五天,也是苹果联合创始人乔布斯逝世14周年的日子,时间过得可 真快!每年他的生日、忌日,苹果掌门人库克都会发文深切缅怀他,今年自然也不例外。 在乔布斯逝世14周年的日子,库克公开表达对他深深的怀念,"Steve相信未来充满光明与无限可能,照 亮前行的道路,激励我们前进。我们怀念你,我的朋友。"不难看出,乔布斯是苹果不可或缺的精神图 腾,虽然他已离开多年,但至今仍对苹果产生深远影响,激励库克和苹果员工打造更伟大的产品。 提起乔布斯,全球科技圈可谓无人不知无人不晓,不仅曾是 ...
库克发文悼念乔布斯逝世十四周年:照亮前行道路,激励我们前进
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-05 08:40
据了解,史蒂夫·乔布斯是苹果公司联合创始人,也是全球科技与设计领域的标志性人物。 1976年,21岁的乔布斯与沃兹尼亚克、韦恩在车库创立苹果,推 出Apple I电脑,开启个人计算机时代;后因公司内部分歧离开,创办NeXT与皮克斯,皮克斯的《玩具总动员》更革新动画产业。 2025年10月5日,正值苹果公司创始人史蒂夫·乔布斯去世十四周年,苹果公司CEO库克在社交媒体发文称,"Steve相信未来充满光明与无限可能,照亮前行 的道路,激励我们前进。我们怀念你,我的朋友。" 1997年他回归苹果,带领团队推出iMac、iPod、iPhone、iPad等划时代产品,以"简洁至上"的设计理念和"科技与艺术结合"的思路,重新定义手机、音乐播 放器等品类,让苹果成为全球市值最高的公司之一。 2011年10月5日,乔布斯因癌症去世,他留下的创新精神与对细节的极致追求,至今影响着科技行业。 ...
9月25日沪深两市涨停分析
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 07:22
Group 1 - Nuclear power companies are focusing on upstream suppliers for valves and welding materials, with significant applications in controlled nuclear fusion projects [2] - Shanghai Electric is a key player in the domestic magnetic confinement nuclear fusion mainframe system [2] - Alibaba plans to increase capital expenditure beyond the initial 380 billion [2] Group 2 - Global second-largest copper mine has halted production due to a major accident [3] - Precision cold-formed components are expected to see extended applications across multiple fields [5] - TSMC is raising prices for advanced processes, indicating a trend in semiconductor pricing [3] Group 3 - The company is a leader in printer-compatible consumable chip technology, collaborating with major partners for laser printer control [4] - Nvidia is set to invest 100 billion in OpenAI, highlighting the growing importance of AI technology [4] - The company has developed various types of 800G series products, which are currently in customer testing [4] Group 4 - The company has a photovoltaic power generation capacity of 130 MW [6] - The company is involved in supply chain services for cross-border e-commerce [6] - The company is testing deep ultraviolet lithography equipment manufactured by a specific supplier [6] Group 5 - The company is focusing on high-frequency and high-speed copper cable connections, primarily for AI applications [7] - OpenAI is collaborating with a precision electronics manufacturer to produce AI devices [7] - The company is a leading player in the market for freeze-dried powder injection products [7]
OpenAI从苹果挖了20多人搞硬件,知情人士:苹果创新缓慢、官僚主义令人厌倦
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-21 03:24
Core Insights - OpenAI is actively recruiting hardware, design, and supply chain talent from Apple to accelerate its hardware development efforts [1][4][12] - The collaboration between OpenAI and Apple's supply chain network aims to facilitate the production of various hardware products, including a smart speaker without a display, smart glasses, digital voice recorders, and wearable pins, with a target launch by late 2026 or early 2027 [4][12] - OpenAI has established partnerships with major Apple suppliers, including Luxshare Precision, to assemble at least one of its devices [4][17] Talent Acquisition - OpenAI has hired over 20 employees from Apple this year, focusing on consumer hardware expertise, including engineers and designers specializing in user interfaces, wearables, cameras, and audio engineering [4][12] - Notable hires include Cyrus Daniel Irani, Matt Theobald, and Erik de Jong, who have extensive experience in Apple's hardware design and manufacturing [5][12] Employee Sentiment - Many Apple employees are attracted to OpenAI due to the promise of a better work environment with less bureaucracy and more collaboration, alongside lucrative compensation packages potentially exceeding $1 million in stock options [12][15] - Discontent among Apple employees stems from dissatisfaction with incremental product improvements and the company's bureaucratic culture, exacerbated by poor stock performance over the past year [12][17] Strategic Implications - OpenAI's aggressive talent acquisition strategy may complicate its ongoing collaboration with Apple, particularly regarding the integration of OpenAI's models into Apple's Siri voice assistant [17] - Apple's management has expressed concern over employee turnover, leading to the cancellation of an annual meeting for its manufacturing and supply chain teams in China to prevent further departures [17] Competitive Landscape - OpenAI's ambitions in hardware face challenges, as many companies have historically failed to compete with Apple's dominance in this sector [17][18] - The potential for AI to become a core feature in future devices could provide OpenAI with a competitive edge over Apple, which derives over 70% of its revenue from device sales [18]
MoffettNathanson founder: Here's what's next for Apple
Youtube· 2025-09-19 19:25
Core Viewpoint - Analysts have upgraded Apple's stock to neutral and raised the price target by approximately $100, indicating that significant worst-case scenario risks have been mitigated [1] Risk Assessment - The two major risks that have been alleviated include tariffs and the Google antitrust case. Apple was particularly vulnerable to tariffs due to its role as a manufacturer and importer, but side deals have helped avoid the worst outcomes [2][3] - The Google antitrust case posed a risk to the payments Apple receives from Google, which account for 25% of its operating income. However, recent developments suggest that while these payments are deemed illegal, they will remain unaffected, thus removing a significant risk [3] Stock Valuation - Despite the upgrade from sell to neutral, analysts still consider Apple to be overvalued, trading at about 37 times earnings, which is a 24% premium to the S&P 500 and a 49% premium when excluding the MAG 7 [4][8] - The company is growing at a rate slower than the market, which raises concerns about sustaining its high valuation unless growth can be accelerated meaningfully [8][9] Innovation and Ecosystem - While Apple generates about half of its revenue from phones, the company has been recognized for its innovation, particularly in the app environment and the App Store, rather than in hardware alone [5][6] - The strength of the Apple ecosystem is highlighted as a key factor in customer loyalty, despite concerns about the company's slower growth compared to the market [7][10] Service Revenue Risks - A recent legal loss to Epic Games allows customers to process payments outside of the Apple ecosystem, which could impact the growth rate of Apple's services revenue, a crucial component of its business model [11][12]
乔布斯:从被逐到王者归来,创业投资的不朽启示
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 12:06
Core Insights - Steve Jobs' journey exemplifies resilience and vision in the face of adversity, transforming setbacks into opportunities for innovation and growth [2][3][5] Group 1: Early Career and Setbacks - In 1985, Steve Jobs was ousted from Apple, marking a significant setback in his career, which he later transformed into a chance for reinvention [2] - Jobs recruited John Sculley from PepsiCo with a compelling vision, but internal conflicts led to his removal from Apple [2][3] Group 2: Second Ventures - After leaving Apple, Jobs invested millions in Pixar and NeXT, despite initial failures, demonstrating a long-term investment strategy focused on future value [3][4] - Pixar's success with "Toy Story," which grossed $373 million, marked a turning point for both the company and the animation industry [3] Group 3: Return to Apple - Upon returning to Apple in 1997, Jobs implemented the Pareto principle, cutting 70% of the product line to focus on core offerings, leading to a profitable turnaround [4] - The launch of the iMac in 1998 sold 800,000 units in five months, contributing to Apple's profitability of $309 million that year [4] Group 4: Innovation and Growth - Under Jobs' leadership, Apple introduced groundbreaking products like the iPod, iPhone, and iPad, significantly increasing its market value to $350 billion by 2010 [4] - By the time of Jobs' passing in 2011, Apple's market capitalization reached $2.9 trillion, solidifying its status as the most valuable company in history [5] Group 5: Lessons for Entrepreneurs and Investors - Entrepreneurs should maintain unwavering belief in their vision and prioritize innovation to meet evolving consumer demands [5][6] - Investors are encouraged to adopt a long-term perspective, recognizing potential in emerging sectors and diversifying investments to mitigate risks [5]
Prediction: These 2 Trillion-Dollar Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks Could Strike a Megadeal That Wall Street Isn't Ready For
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-24 18:00
Core Insights - The article discusses the potential strategic partnership between Apple and Tesla, highlighting their respective weaknesses in building scaled AI platforms compared to other tech giants [1][2][4][18] - It emphasizes that both companies could benefit from collaboration, leveraging each other's strengths to enhance their positions in the AI and robotics markets [9][10][15][19] Group 1: Apple’s Position - Apple has historically excelled in consumer electronics but has struggled to innovate in advanced hardware and AI, recently scrapping its Project Titan car initiative [5][6] - The launch of the Vision Pro headset has been perceived as a disappointment, limiting its market adoption [7] - Apple faces a critical decision on whether to develop new hardware or partner with an existing player like Tesla to enhance its AI capabilities [8][9] Group 2: Tesla’s Position - Tesla has ambitious projects like the Optimus robot and robotaxi, but these require significant investments in AI infrastructure [12][15] - The company has made controversial capital allocation decisions, including scaling back its in-house Dojo AI supercomputer project [14][15] - A partnership with Apple could provide Tesla with the financial backing and distribution channels needed to commercialize its AI-driven products effectively [15][16] Group 3: Strategic Partnership Potential - A collaboration between Apple and Tesla could allow both companies to leverage their strengths, with Apple providing software and marketing expertise while Tesla offers advanced robotics and autonomous systems [9][19] - This partnership could accelerate the commercialization of next-generation AI applications, moving them from research to consumer markets [18][19] - The article suggests that strategic partnerships can often yield greater benefits than acquisitions, presenting a second chance for both companies to reshape the technology landscape [17][18]