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招银国际:关注已授权药物的研发推进 推荐买入三生制药(01530)等
智通财经网· 2025-10-27 06:14
Group 1: Market Performance and Opportunities - The MSCI China Healthcare Index has increased by 58.6% year-to-date, outperforming the MSCI China Index which rose by 24.2% [1] - The recent slight pullback in the healthcare sector (10% decline in MSCI China Healthcare Index since October) presents a buying opportunity [1] - The recovery in capital market financing and the increase in overseas transactions for innovative drugs indicate a rebound in domestic innovative drug R&D demand [1] Group 2: Clinical Data and Drug Development - SKB264 is the only drug showing statistically significant overall survival (OS) in a Phase III trial for EGFR-TKI resistant NSCLC, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.56 compared to chemotherapy [2] - Ivonescimab demonstrated a median progression-free survival (mPFS) of 11.1 months in first-line sqNSCLC, outperforming the comparator at 6.9 months (HR=0.60) [2] - The uORR for drug 707 in first-line colorectal cancer reached 82.6%, with a cORR of 65.2%, indicating strong efficacy [2] Group 3: Strategic Collaborations and Future Outlook - The company suggests focusing on the clinical advancement of authorized pipelines overseas, as this has a higher certainty of success and can act as a catalyst for stock price increases [3] - The strategic collaboration between Innovent Biologics and Takeda for IBI363 involves shared global R&D costs and commercial rights, reflecting confidence in the drug and commitment to global strategy [3] - Pfizer is expected to announce overseas clinical plans for drug 707 within the year, with a focus on its combination with multiple ADC products [3]
招银国际:关注已授权药物的研发推进 推荐买入三生制药等
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-27 06:12
Group 1 - The MSCI China Healthcare Index has increased by 58.6% since the beginning of 2025, outperforming the MSCI China Index by 24.2% [1] - The recent slight pullback in the healthcare sector (10% since October) presents a buying opportunity, driven by a recovery in capital market financing and an increase in the scale of innovative drug exports [1] - The CXO industry is expected to see performance recovery in the second half of 2025 due to the anticipated interest rate cuts in the U.S. [1] Group 2 - Significant clinical data was released at the ESMO conference, highlighting key drugs such as SKB264, which shows statistical significance in overall survival for NSCLC patients resistant to EGFR-TKI [2] - The mPFS for lvonescimab in first-line sqNSCLC was reported at 11.1 months, compared to 6.9 months for the control group [2] - The uORR for drug 707 from 三生制药 in first-line colorectal cancer reached 82.6%, indicating strong efficacy [2] Group 3 - The impact of business development (BD) on stock prices is diminishing, prompting a focus on the clinical advancement of authorized pipelines overseas [3] - 信达生物 has entered a global strategic partnership with Takeda for IBI363, sharing 40% of global R&D costs and U.S. commercial rights, reflecting confidence in the drug and commitment to globalization [3] - The company anticipates that clinical progress will serve as a catalyst for stock price increases, with most value realization dependent on successful commercialization rather than upfront payments from licensing deals [3]
中国医药:关注已授权药物的研发推进
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-10-27 01:38
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies in the pharmaceutical sector, indicating a potential upside of over 15% in their stock prices over the next 12 months [2][33]. Core Insights - The MSCI China Healthcare Index has increased by 58.6% from early 2025, outperforming the MSCI China Index by 24.2%. However, there has been a recent pullback of 10% in the healthcare sector, presenting a buying opportunity [1]. - The report highlights a recovery in the demand for domestic innovative drug research and development, driven by a resurgence in capital market financing and an increase in overseas clinical trials for authorized innovative drugs [1]. - The CXO industry is expected to see performance recovery in the second half of 2025, aided by the recent interest rate cuts in the U.S. [1]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the clinical progress of authorized innovative drug pipelines overseas, as this could serve as a catalyst for stock price increases [4]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report discusses the recent clinical data released at the ESMO conference, focusing on several key drugs and their performance in clinical trials, such as SKB264 and ivonescimab, which show promising results in treating specific types of cancer [4]. - It notes that while business development (BD) activities for innovative drugs are ongoing, stock prices have not reflected this positively, primarily due to valuation concerns [4]. Company Ratings and Valuations - The report provides a detailed valuation table for several companies, including: - **Sangamo Therapeutics (1530 HK)**: Market cap of $8.76 billion, target price of $37.58, with a 34% upside potential [2]. - **Gusongtang (2273 HK)**: Market cap of $932.7 million, target price of $48.28, with a 62% upside potential [2]. - **Giant Biologics (2367 HK)**: Market cap of $5.74 billion, target price of $58.35, with a 40% upside potential [2]. - **WuXi AppTec (2268 HK)**: Market cap of $10.87 billion, target price of $74.00, with a 5% upside potential [2]. - **China National Pharmaceutical Group (1177 HK)**: Market cap of $16.80 billion, target price of $9.40, with a 35% upside potential [2]. - **Innovent Biologics (1801 HK)**: Market cap of $18.94 billion, target price of $110.62, with a 29% upside potential [2].