Core Insights - The transaction prices for n-type polysilicon have shown slight fluctuations, with the range for n-type re-investment material at 51,000 to 53,000 CNY/ton and an average price of 51,700 CNY/ton, while n-type granular silicon is priced between 50,000 to 51,000 CNY/ton with an average of 50,500 CNY/ton [1][2] - Market activity has seen a slight rebound, breaking the previous stagnation, with four companies completing small orders, although overall transactions remain exploratory in nature [1] - The transaction structure is characterized by a significant volume of granular silicon sales compared to rod silicon, attributed to weak downstream demand and a cautious market sentiment ahead of the Spring Festival [1] Market Dynamics - Downstream demand has not improved significantly, and the upcoming holiday has led to a low willingness for large-scale procurement [1] - Many silicon material companies are either significantly reducing production or halting operations, resulting in a weak inclination to further lower prices [1] - Granular silicon is achieving more substantial transactions due to its relatively higher cost-performance ratio, making it easier to secure essential orders [1] Future Outlook - The polysilicon market is expected to remain in a stalemate in the short term, primarily influenced by the interplay between weak pre-holiday demand and supply contraction [1] - Post-holiday, as terminal installation projects gradually commence, downstream demand is anticipated to increase, potentially boosting procurement needs [1] - Continuous supply contraction is expected to support improvements in the supply-demand relationship, with recent transactions providing some price floor support [1] - The resolution of core supply-demand conflicts will depend heavily on the comprehensive recovery of terminal demand and the effective implementation of related energy consumption policies [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the polysilicon market is currently in a stalemate, with almost no significant transactions occurring this week due to prevailing market sentiment and low purchasing willingness from downstream buyers [1][2] - The demand side is constrained by high prices of key auxiliary materials like silver paste, which keeps battery production costs elevated, and insufficient overseas orders for modules, leading to a lack of purchasing intent [1][2] - On the supply side, major companies have significantly reduced or halted production, which has led to a continuous contraction in polysilicon supply, somewhat alleviating supply-demand conflicts and reducing the willingness of companies to lower prices [1][2] Group 2 - As of this week, one major company has completely halted production, and two others have implemented production cuts, resulting in an expected 15% month-on-month decrease in polysilicon output for January, aligning with the production schedules of silicon wafer companies [1] - The production plan for February indicates a further reduction in polysilicon output to 82,000 to 85,000 tons, continuing the trend of supply contraction [1] - The upcoming Chinese New Year and the traditional off-season in the first quarter are expected to weaken domestic terminal demand and overseas module orders, while high prices of auxiliary materials will maintain cost pressures on battery cells [2]

Core Viewpoint - The silicon market is experiencing a stalemate, with stable prices despite slight fluctuations in some companies' quotes, primarily due to preemptive demand and rising production costs from silver prices [1][2]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The overall trading atmosphere in the market is subdued, with new orders being scarce and transactions mainly consisting of tentative deals [1]. - The current market deadlock is attributed to two main factors: the preemptive demand for photovoltaic products and the reluctance of downstream silicon wafer companies to increase production rates [1][2]. - The average transaction price for n-type recycled silicon is reported at 59,200 yuan/ton, while n-type granular silicon is at 55,800 yuan/ton, both remaining stable week-on-week [1][3]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Several leading companies are expected to implement production cuts or halts in January, leading to an anticipated average monthly production of polysilicon around 80,000 tons in the first quarter [2]. - Despite the lack of substantial recovery in terminal demand, the significant reduction in supply is gradually leading to a weak balance in supply and demand [2]. - Key variables affecting price trends include changes in downstream operating rates and the sustainability of inventory reduction, with high inventory levels potentially suppressing prices if demand does not recover promptly [2]. Group 3: Price Statistics - The price statistics for domestic solar-grade polysilicon as of January 21, 2026, show the following: - n-type recycled silicon price range: 50,000 - 63,000 yuan/ton, average price: 59,200 yuan/ton [3]. - n-type granular silicon price range: 50,000 - 63,000 yuan/ton, average price: 55,800 yuan/ton [3]. - The prices are based on a weighted average from nine polysilicon production companies, which account for 89.3% of domestic production in Q4 2025 [3][4].

Group 1 - The domestic polysilicon market is experiencing a lack of trading activity, with only a few companies achieving small exploratory orders, as both upstream and downstream enterprises adopt a wait-and-see attitude [1] - The recent export tax rebate policy for photovoltaic products has provided short-term support for battery and module exports, but some demand has been preemptively pulled forward to 2025, limiting its actual impact on current demand [1] - Rising silver prices have significantly increased production costs for battery cells and modules, creating uncertainty regarding the downstream acceptance of these cost increases, which affects operational rates [1] Group 2 - According to Antaike, the transaction price range for n-type polysilicon this week is between 50,000 to 63,000 yuan per ton, with an average transaction price of 59,200 yuan per ton, remaining stable compared to the previous week [1] - In January, some leading companies are gradually halting production, with plans to continue for six months, while two other companies are implementing significant production cuts, leading to an expected monthly polysilicon output of 70,000 to 90,000 tons in Q1 2026 [2] - The current polysilicon market is at a critical stage of supply-demand rebalancing, with price stability primarily driven by significant supply-side reductions [2] Group 3 - The average transaction prices for various types of polysilicon as of January 14, 2026, are as follows: n-type re-investment material at 59,200 yuan per ton, n-type dense material at 55,300 yuan per ton, and n-type granular silicon at 55,800 yuan per ton, all showing no fluctuation [3] - The price data is based on weighted averages from nine polysilicon production companies, which accounted for 89.3% of domestic production in Q4 2025, with n-type materials comprising 91.6% of the total [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic polysilicon market in China has experienced a slight price increase, indicating a recovery in market confidence after three months of stability [3][7]. Price Summary - The transaction price range for n-type re-investment material is between 50,000 to 56,000 yuan/ton, with an average transaction price of 53,900 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.32% [1][5]. - The transaction price range for n-type granular silicon is between 50,000 to 51,000 yuan/ton, with an average price of 50,500 yuan/ton, remaining stable compared to the previous week [1][5]. - The transaction price for n-type dense material is between 48,000 to 53,000 yuan/ton, with an average price of 50,300 yuan/ton, showing a week-on-week increase of 1.21% [2][6]. Market Dynamics - The number of mainstream signing enterprises has slightly increased week-on-week, with most orders being for December, and transaction prices have risen by 1-2 yuan/kg [3][7]. - The polysilicon market has ended its previous three-month stability, with prices rising slightly and transaction volumes recovering, driven by three main factors: 1. To match the traditional off-season demand in Q1 2026, polysilicon companies are continuing to implement production cuts and sales control strategies, with expected production and shipment scale in January 2026 to be significantly reduced to 60,000-80,000 tons, effectively alleviating supply pressure [3][7]. 2. Production cuts have led to an increase in the comprehensive cost of polysilicon products, prompting price adjustments based on a pricing mechanism that covers costs [3][7]. 3. Both upstream and downstream companies recognize the importance of maintaining price stability to avoid negative chain reactions, with the recent price increase providing support for price stabilization across downstream sectors [3][7]. Future Outlook - The slight increase in polysilicon prices and moderate transaction volume suggest that market confidence is gradually recovering. In the short term, the polysilicon market is expected to achieve dual stabilization in both volume and price due to proactive supply tightening and smoother price transmission downstream [3][7].

Core Viewpoint - The domestic polysilicon market has experienced a slight price increase this week, ending a three-month period of stability, driven by supply-side adjustments and demand recovery [1][2]. Price Trends - The transaction price range for n-type polysilicon re-investment materials is between 50,000 to 56,000 CNY/ton, with an average price of 53,900 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.32% [1][3]. - The average transaction price for n-type granular silicon remains stable at 50,500 CNY/ton, with no change from the previous week [1][3]. Market Dynamics - The number of mainstream signing enterprises has slightly increased week-on-week, with most orders being for December, and prices adjusted upward by 1-2 CNY/kg [1]. - Companies are currently in intensive negotiations for January orders, with expectations of bulk orders materializing soon [1]. - The market's slight price increase and moderate transaction volume indicate a gradual recovery in market confidence [2]. Supply and Demand Factors - Supply-side adjustments include a continued reduction in production by leading enterprises, with expected January polysilicon output significantly lowered to 60,000 to 80,000 tons, alleviating supply pressure [1][2]. - The increase in polysilicon prices is also attributed to rising production costs due to reduced output, as companies adjust prices to cover costs [1][2]. - Downstream sectors are experiencing a slight recovery in silicon wafer prices, supported by rigid procurement needs in battery and module segments, although a full recovery in terminal demand is still pending [2]. Inventory Situation - Currently, production and demand are generally balanced, with no significant inventory accumulation, although absolute inventory levels remain high, indicating ongoing de-inventory pressure [2].

Core Insights - The domestic polysilicon market is experiencing a "sluggish transaction and rising quotes" situation, with the average transaction price for n-type re-investment material remaining stable at 53,200 yuan/ton [1] - The industry anticipates a recovery in terminal demand by the end of Q1 2026, prompting polysilicon companies to raise new order quotes to above 65,000 yuan/ton to stabilize the price system and inventory [1][2] - The overall supply of polysilicon remains stable, with production expected to stay within 120,000 tons in December, while demand continues to be weak due to high inventory levels and slow project initiation [2] Price Trends - The transaction price range for n-type re-investment material is between 49,000 and 55,000 yuan/ton, with an average price of 53,200 yuan/ton, showing no fluctuation [3] - The transaction price for n-type granular silicon is between 50,000 and 51,000 yuan/ton, with an average price of 50,500 yuan/ton, also stable [3] - The price statistics are based on nine polysilicon production companies, which account for 89.3% of the domestic total production in Q3 2025 [3][4] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The number of operating polysilicon companies remains at 11, with production limited by maintenance and low operating rates, while the southwest region faces reductions due to dry conditions [2] - The expected annual production of polysilicon in 2025 is around 1.33 million tons, with the top five companies accounting for approximately 78% of this output [2] - The current supply-demand imbalance is expected to lead to continued inventory accumulation, with an estimated increase of 70,000 tons for the year [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article provides an overview of the domestic solar-grade polysilicon prices in China as of December 10, 2025, highlighting the stability in pricing across various product categories [2]. Price Summary - The highest price for n-type re-investment material is 5.50 million CNY per ton, while the lowest is 4.90 million CNY, with an average price of 5.32 million CNY, showing no fluctuation [2]. - The n-type dense material has a highest price of 5.20 million CNY, a lowest price of 4.70 million CNY, and an average price of 4.97 million CNY, also with no fluctuation [2]. - The n-type granular silicon has a highest price of 5.10 million CNY, a lowest price of 5.00 million CNY, and an average price of 5.05 million CNY, maintaining stability [2]. Price Calculation Methodology - The prices are derived from a weighted average based on the production output of nine polysilicon manufacturers, which account for 89.3% of the total domestic output in Q3 2025, with n-type materials comprising 91.5% of the total [2][3]. - The prices are inclusive of tax, and the fluctuation percentage is calculated based on comparisons with previous prices [2]. Participating Companies - The article lists nine companies involved in the price statistics, including Sichuan Yongxiang Co., Ltd., Xinte Energy Co., Ltd., and GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Limited, among others [3]. Product Definitions - N-type re-investment material is used for producing n-type monocrystalline silicon and must meet electronic grade II standards [3]. - N-type dense material is also for n-type monocrystalline silicon production, requiring electronic grade III standards [3]. - P-type polysilicon includes various forms used for p-type monocrystalline silicon production [3]. - N-type granular silicon is specifically for n-type monocrystalline silicon production [3].

Core Viewpoint - The polysilicon market continues to exhibit a weak supply and demand dynamic, with expectations of maintaining a stable but weak operational trend in the short term [1][2]. Supply and Demand Analysis - The transaction price range for n-type recycled polysilicon is between 49,000 to 55,000 CNY/ton, with an average price of 53,200 CNY/ton, remaining flat compared to the previous period [1]. - The transaction price range for n-type granular silicon is between 50,000 to 51,000 CNY/ton, with an average price of 50,500 CNY/ton, also unchanged from the previous period [1]. - The number of mainstream signing enterprises remains at 4-5, with a decrease in signing volume for rod silicon, while granular silicon shows resilience due to its improved quality recognition and cost-effectiveness [1]. Market Stability Factors - The stability in market prices is supported by both supply and demand sides. On the supply side, polysilicon companies are determined to maintain price stability, with two leading companies implementing significant production cuts this month [1]. - There is a clear consensus across the industry chain that price instability could harm the entire chain, contributing to price stability [2]. - Despite production cuts in the silicon wafer segment, downstream companies maintain their procurement plans, particularly for granular silicon, providing a bottom support for prices [1][2]. Price Statistics - The highest and lowest prices for n-type recycled polysilicon are 55,000 CNY/ton and 49,000 CNY/ton, respectively, with no price fluctuation [3]. - The average price for n-type dense material is 49,700 CNY/ton, with no fluctuation reported [3]. - The average price for p-type polysilicon is not specified, indicating no transactions occurred this week [3]. Participating Companies - The price statistics are based on data from nine polysilicon production companies, which account for 89.3% of the domestic total production in Q3 2025 [4].

Core Insights - The domestic polysilicon market is currently exhibiting a weak and stable trend, with prices remaining unchanged despite a decline in downstream prices and production cuts by some silicon wafer companies due to weak demand [1][2]. Price Trends - The transaction price range for n-type polysilicon is between 49,000 to 55,000 CNY/ton, with an average price of 53,200 CNY/ton, showing no change week-on-week [1]. - The transaction price for n-type granular silicon is between 50,000 to 51,000 CNY/ton, with an average price of 50,500 CNY/ton, also stable compared to the previous week [1][3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply side has contracted significantly, with expectations that domestic polysilicon production will drop to below 120,000 tons in November, representing a month-on-month decrease of approximately 14% [1][2]. - Despite the recent production cuts in downstream sectors, the overall tolerance for supply-demand changes among upstream and downstream companies remains high, indicating a strong willingness to maintain price stability [2]. Market Outlook - The consensus among industry players is to maintain price stability to avoid disrupting the fragile market equilibrium established since July, as further price declines could jeopardize the entire pricing structure of the industry [1][2]. - The forecast for December indicates that polysilicon production will remain around 120,000 tons, with an annual total production of approximately 1.33 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 27.8% [2].