多晶硅市场供需平衡

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硅业分会:本周多晶硅整体成交均价小幅上涨 成本对价格形成支撑
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 10:16
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the price of polysilicon is experiencing a slight upward trend, with the average price of n-type re-investment material at 47,400 RMB/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.42% [1][2] - The transaction volume of polysilicon has slightly decreased week-on-week, but the number of signing companies has increased to six, with some companies maintaining prices while others raised prices by 1 RMB/kg [1] - The main reason for the price increase is attributed to the significant signing volume from leading companies since July, leading to a noticeable reduction in inventory levels [1][2] Group 2 - The number of polysilicon producers remains at nine, with an expected domestic production of 125,000 tons in August and a potential increase to around 140,000 tons in September [1] - The market is facing a supply-demand imbalance, with polysilicon inventory expected to increase by over 50,000 tons, prompting some companies to consider coordinated production cuts to alleviate pressure [1] - The current market pricing is primarily supported by costs, with the prevailing signing model being dual distribution or high-cost performance procurement, indicating that prices are nearing a temporary peak [2]
【安泰科】多晶硅周评—在产企业数量减少 价格小幅下跌(2025年5月14日)
中国有色金属工业协会硅业分会· 2025-05-14 09:40
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the polysilicon market is experiencing a slight price decline due to high inventory levels and rapid price drops in downstream products [1][2] - The transaction price range for n-type re-investment materials is between 360,000 to 410,000 CNY per ton, with an average transaction price of 386,000 CNY per ton, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 1.53% [1] - The transaction price range for n-type granular silicon is between 350,000 to 370,000 CNY per ton, with an average price remaining stable at 360,000 CNY per ton [1] - The transaction price range for p-type polysilicon is between 300,000 to 350,000 CNY per ton, with an average price of 313,000 CNY per ton, showing a month-on-month decrease of 3.10% [1] - The current monthly supply and demand balance is precarious, and if downstream operations continue to decline, there may be a risk of inventory accumulation in the polysilicon sector [1] - Downstream companies are cautious in signing large orders due to previous price declines, opting for high-frequency, small-batch purchases which may stabilize polysilicon prices [1] Group 2 - As of this week, two companies have entered maintenance shutdowns, reducing the number of operating companies to 11 [2] - The production of polysilicon in China is reported to be 99,100 tons as of April 2025, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 6.08% [2] - The market is experiencing frequent shifts in expectations due to a surge in polysilicon news, with actual outcomes dependent on company announcements [2]