Nomura (NYSE:NMR) Q3 2026 Earnings call January 30, 2026 04:30 AM ET Speaker1Good day, everyone, and welcome to today's Nomura Holdings third quarter operating results for fiscal year ending March 2026 conference call. Please be reminded that today's conference call is being recorded at the request of the hosting company. Should you have any objections, you may disconnect at this point in time. During the presentation, all the telephone lines are placed for listen-only mode. The question and answer session ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue from leasing decreased by 1% year-on-year, primarily due to the depreciation of the renminbi, while operating profit increased by 1% and underlying profit improved by 3% [9][10] - The net gearing ratio decreased to 32.7%, lower than the previous year, aided by a scrip dividend arrangement and reduced capital expenditures [30][66] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Mainland rental revenue remained flat year-on-year, with retail revenue up by 1% while office revenue faced headwinds, down by 8% overall [11][20] - In Hong Kong, rental revenue decreased by 2%, an improvement from a 4% decline in the first half of the year [10][24] - New letting increased by 15% and renewals by 5%, indicating effective tenant management [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The retail sector in Mainland China showed resilience, with a 3% increase in the second half of the year, while the office market continues to face challenges due to oversupply [11][20] - Hong Kong's retail market is stabilizing, with a notable improvement from a -9% to -2% decline in 2025 [23][24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on its V3 strategy, which aims to expand with minimal capital expenditure and faster project execution, leveraging existing resources and relationships [4][7][36] - The company plans to enhance its presence in key cities like Shanghai, Hangzhou, Wuxi, and Kunming, aiming for increased market share and community engagement [5][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a mix of structural and cyclical corrections in the Hong Kong and Mainland markets, with cautious optimism for recovery in retail sales, particularly in non-luxury segments [8][56] - The company anticipates continued challenges in the office market for the next 18-24 months due to high supply levels [21][22] Other Important Information - The company achieved record-high footfall and sales in Q4, driven by effective tenant management and promotional events [18][19] - The company is preparing for its 66th anniversary with a focus on consumer engagement and experiential marketing [55] Q&A Session Summary Question: CEO's succession and qualities sought in a new CEO - The current CEO expressed a personal goal to retire at 55, emphasizing the importance of family time and confirming that the board has been informed well in advance [45][47] - The company is actively searching for a successor, with no specific timeline announced yet [46][52] Question: Outlook for Mainland China retail and tenant sales - Management remains cautiously optimistic about tenant sales growth, noting strong performance in non-luxury segments and a record-breaking Q4 [53][56] - January sales figures are expected to be comparable to last year, with the Chinese New Year falling later this year, which may positively impact sales [59]

Hang Lung Group (SEHK:00010) H2 2025 Earnings call January 30, 2026 03:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsAdriel Chan - ChairmanJoyce Kwock - General Manager of Investor RelationsKenneth Chiu - CFOWeber Lo - CEOConference Call ParticipantsNone - AnalystNone - AnalystNone - AnalystNone - AnalystJoyce KwockGood afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. My name is Joyce Kwock, and I'm the General Manager of Investor Relations at Hang Lung. Welcome to the analyst presentation for FY 2025 results announcement that were made ea ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue from core leasing business decreased by 1% due to depreciation of the renminbi, while operating profit increased by 1% and underlying profit improved by 3% compared to 2024 [8][9] - Overall proceeds from properties reached HKD 1.6 billion, the highest in the last eight years, with HKD 264 million booked in revenue [24][25] - Net gearing ratio decreased to 32.7%, lower than the previous year, aided by a scrip dividend arrangement and reduced CapEx [31][67] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Mainland rental revenue remained flat year-on-year, with retail revenue up by 1% and office revenue facing headwinds, down by 8% [10][19] - In Hong Kong, overall revenue decreased by 2%, with retail impacted by a single tenant's lease expiration [22][23] - New letting increased by 15% and renewal increased by 5%, indicating effective tenant management [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The mainland office market is expected to face challenges for another 18-24 months due to high supply and tenant bargaining power [20][21] - Hong Kong retail is seen as more structural, with a slower recovery expected compared to the cyclical nature of mainland retail [64][66] - Footfall and occupancy rates reached record highs, particularly in Q4, indicating a positive trend despite overall cautious outlook [57][59] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on its V3 strategy, which aims to expand with minimal capital expenditure and faster project execution [4][6] - Emphasis on enhancing existing properties and leveraging established teams and relationships to increase market share in key cities like Shanghai, Hangzhou, Wuxi, and Kunming [5][6] - The company plans to continue diversifying its retail offerings, focusing on non-luxury segments to capture growth opportunities [57][62] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges ongoing corrections in both Hong Kong and mainland markets, with a mix of structural and cyclical shifts [7] - There is cautious optimism for 2026, with expectations for tenant sales to improve, particularly in non-luxury segments [47][55] - The company is preparing for potential foreign investment returns to China, which could positively impact the market [22] Other Important Information - The company is committed to sustainability, achieving its 25/25 ESG goals and aiming for net-zero emissions by 2030 [35][36] - The company is planning significant expansions in key locations, with a projected RMB 1 billion investment for V3 projects [38][39] Q&A Session Summary Question: CEO succession plans and qualities sought in a new CEO - The current CEO plans to retire at 55, emphasizing personal goals and family time, with the board already informed a year in advance [48][50] - The board is actively seeking a successor, with no specific timeline announced yet [54] Question: Outlook for Mainland China retail in 2026 - Management remains cautiously optimistic, noting strong Q4 performance but still cautious about luxury brand recovery [55][56] - January sales are expected to be stable, with potential for good performance due to the timing of Chinese New Year [61] Question: Leasing strategy for 2026 and performance stabilization in Wuhan and Shenyang - The company plans to continue adding experiential, non-luxury spaces while monitoring luxury performance [76] - Stabilization in underperforming markets is anticipated by 2026 or 2027, with ongoing repositioning efforts [76] Question: Dividend considerations with lower gearing and CapEx - Future dividend increases will depend on earnings recovery, with no specific scenarios outlined yet [76]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The leasing revenue decreased by 1% year-on-year, primarily due to the depreciation of the renminbi, while operating profit increased by 1% and underlying profit improved by 3% compared to 2024 [8][9] - The net gearing ratio decreased to 32.7%, lower than the previous year, aided by a scrip dividend arrangement and reduced capital expenditures [32][66] - Overall finance costs declined by 8% due to lower borrowing costs, although net finance costs increased by 3% due to a lower capitalization ratio [33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Mainland rental revenue remained flat year-on-year, with retail revenue up by 1% and office revenue facing headwinds, expected to continue for 18-24 months [10][20] - In Hong Kong, retail revenue decreased by 2%, but the decline was mitigated from a previous 4% drop in the first half of the year [9][24] - The residential segment showed positive momentum with significant sales in the Blue Pool Road project, indicating a recovery in the Hong Kong residential market [29][73] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The mainland market is experiencing structural and cyclical corrections, with a cautious outlook for the office sector due to increased supply and tenant bargaining power [7][20] - Hong Kong's retail market is seen as more structural, with a slower recovery expected compared to the cyclical nature of the mainland market [63][64] - The company reported record-high foot traffic and sales in Q4, driven by non-luxury segments, while luxury brands showed mixed performance [54][56] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company introduced its V3 strategy, focusing on scaling with minimal capital expenditure and faster project execution, aiming to enhance market share in key cities like Shanghai and Hangzhou [4][6][37] - The strategy emphasizes leveraging existing resources and relationships to improve return on investment and return on equity [6][37] - The company plans to continue enhancing its non-luxury offerings while maintaining a balanced approach to luxury retail [61] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about the retail outlook in mainland China, with expectations for gradual recovery in tenant sales [54][56] - The company is preparing for potential foreign investment returns to China, which could positively impact the office market [23] - Management remains conservative about the luxury segment's recovery, noting that growth has primarily come from non-luxury categories [56][58] Other Important Information - The company is celebrating its 66th anniversary in 2026, planning to enhance consumer engagement through various marketing initiatives [18][55] - The company has achieved significant improvements in its ESG goals, including a 42% reduction in carbon emissions [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: CEO succession plans and qualities sought in a new CEO - The outgoing CEO clarified that retirement was a personal goal and not a surprise to the board, emphasizing the importance of family time [47][49] - The board is actively seeking a successor and will announce details when available, with an advisory role for the outgoing CEO confirmed [52][53] Question: Outlook for Mainland China retail and tenant sales - Management noted that Q4 performance exceeded expectations, with record-breaking sales and foot traffic, but remains cautious about future growth in luxury retail [54][56] Question: Leasing strategy for 2026 and performance stabilization in Wuhan and Shenyang - The company plans to continue adding experiential non-luxury spaces and is optimistic about stabilization in repositioned malls by 2026 or 2027 [77]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT) reported a net income of $42 million for Q4 2025, translating to a 13% annualized return on common equity, with diluted earnings per share at $0.48, exceeding the quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share [2][10] - Book value per share increased to $15.25 at year-end from $15.16 on September 30 [2] - The total debt-to-equity ratio rose to approximately 10-to-1 from 9-to-1 at the end of Q3 2025, reflecting growth in non-recourse debt associated with securitizations [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - PMT completed 19 securitizations in 2025, totaling $6.7 billion in UPB, a significant increase from 2 securitizations in 2024 [3] - Retained investments from these securitizations grew to $528 million, up nearly tenfold from $54 million in 2024 [3] - In Q4 2025, PMT completed 8 securitizations totaling $2.8 billion in UPB and retained $184 million of new investments [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately 60% of PMT's shareholders' equity is deployed to seasoned investments in mortgage servicing rights (MSRs) and GSE credit risk transfer investments [6] - The weighted average coupon of the loans underlying the MSR investment is 3.9%, providing stable cash flows [6] - The UPB of loans acquired from PFSI's correspondent production totaled $3.7 billion in Q4 2025, with PMT purchasing 17% of total conventional conforming correspondent production [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - PMT aims to optimize returns by recycling capital into higher-yielding assets, targeting returns on equity in the 13%-15% range [8] - The company leverages its relationship with PFSI to access a consistent and high-quality pipeline of loans for investment [4] - PMT expects to complete approximately 30 securitizations in 2026, with targeted returns on equity for retained investments in the low to mid-teens [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in PMT's ability to generate earnings that support dividends and drive long-term shareholder value [9] - The company noted that while prepayment speeds have increased, they expect to offset declines in profitability through additional recapture from PFSI [16][17] - Management highlighted a robust demand for securitizations in January 2026, indicating a supportive market environment [40] Other Important Information - PMT raised $150 million of new unsecured financing through opportunistic reopenings of its Exchangeable Senior Notes due in 2029 [13] - The company is considering the sale of MSRs for risk management purposes if higher returning assets become available [35] Q&A Session Summary Question: Return expectations for the interest rate strategy - Management indicated that prepayments are expected to remain elevated, but they anticipate growth in recapture through PFSI [16][17] Question: Competition in the non-agency space - Management noted healthy competition from companies like Rocket Mortgage and UWM, but stated that they have been outperforming these competitors [21] Question: Financing costs for securitization - Management described a competitive market for financing, benefiting from robust demand for securitizations [28][40] Question: Capacity of the correspondent channel - Management expressed confidence in the capacity to handle potential increases in demand from GSE programs, noting excess capacity in the sector [30][31] Question: Selling MSRs for risk management - Management stated they would consider selling MSRs if higher returning assets are available, highlighting their agility in managing the portfolio [35] Question: Spread behavior in the non-agency market - Management reported stable to tightening spreads in the non-agency space, supporting continued securitization activity [40][41]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT) reported a net income of $42 million for Q4 2025, translating to a 13% annualized return on common equity and diluted earnings per share of $0.48, exceeding the quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share [2][10] - Book value per share increased to $15.25 at year-end from $15.16 on September 30 [2] - The total debt-to-equity ratio rose to approximately 10-to-1 from 9-to-1 at the end of Q3 2025, reflecting growth in non-recourse debt associated with securitizations [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - PMT completed 19 securitizations in 2025, totaling $6.7 billion in UPB, a significant increase from 2 securitizations in 2024 [3] - Retained investments from these securitizations grew to $528 million, up nearly tenfold from $54 million in 2024 [3] - In Q4 2025, PMT completed 8 securitizations totaling $2.8 billion in UPB and retained $184 million of new investments [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately 60% of PMT's shareholders' equity is deployed to seasoned investments in mortgage servicing rights (MSRs) and GSE credit risk transfer investments [6] - The weighted average coupon of the loans underlying the MSR investment is 3.9%, providing stable cash flows [6] - The UPB of loans acquired from PFSI's correspondent production totaled $3.7 billion in Q4 2025, with $2.9 billion being conventional conforming volume [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - PMT aims to optimize returns by recycling capital into higher-yielding assets, targeting returns on equity in the 13%-15% range [8] - The company is focused on leveraging its relationship with PFSI to enhance its origination capabilities and maintain a consistent pipeline of high-quality loans [4][5] - PMT expects to complete approximately 30 securitizations in 2026, with targeted returns on equity for retained investments in the low to mid-teens [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in PMT's ability to generate earnings that support dividends and drive long-term shareholder value [9] - The company noted that while prepayment speeds are expected to remain elevated, they anticipate a dilution effect on profitability as the portfolio grows at a slower pace [17][18] - Management highlighted the competitive landscape in the non-Agency space, noting healthy activity from competitors but also PMT's strong performance in originations [21] Other Important Information - PMT raised $150 million of new unsecured financing during the quarter [13] - The company plans to retire $345 million in Exchangeable Senior Notes due in 2026 using existing financing capacity [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Return expectations for the interest rate strategy - Management discussed the limited responsiveness of MSRs to interest rate changes and the expectation of increased recapture through PFSI [16] Question: Competition in the non-Agency space - Management noted healthy competition from companies like Rocket Mortgage and UWM but emphasized PMT's strong origination performance [21] Question: Financing costs for securitizations - Management indicated a competitive market for financing and discussed the implementation of a facility without a mark-to-market feature for risk management [28] Question: Origination capacity under affordability-driven initiatives - Management expressed confidence in the system's capacity to handle increased demand from potential GSE programs [30] Question: Selling MSRs for risk management - Management stated they would consider selling MSRs if higher returning assets become available, highlighting their agility in managing the portfolio [35] Question: Spread behavior in the non-Agency market - Management reported stable to tightening spreads in the non-Agency space, supporting continued securitization activity [40]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a net income of $42 million for Q4 2025, translating to a 13% annualized return on common equity, with diluted earnings per share at $0.48, exceeding the quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share [2][10] - Book value per share increased to $15.25 at year-end from $15.16 on September 30 [2] - The total debt-to-equity ratio rose to approximately 10-to-1 from 9-to-1 at the end of Q3 2025, reflecting growth in non-recourse debt associated with securitizations [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company completed 19 securitizations in 2025, totaling $6.7 billion in UPB, a significant increase from 2 securitizations in 2024 [3] - Retained investments from securitizations grew to $528 million, up nearly tenfold from $54 million in 2024 [3] - The correspondent production segment reported a pre-tax loss of $1 million due to spread widening on jumbo loans and lower overall channel margins [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately 60% of shareholders' equity is deployed to seasoned investments in MSRs and GSE credit risk transfer investments, with MSRs accounting for 46% of shareholders' equity [5] - The weighted average coupon of the loans underlying the MSR investment is 3.9%, providing stable cash flows [5] - The UPB of loans acquired from PFSI's correspondent production totaled $3.7 billion, with $2.9 billion being conventional conforming volume [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to optimize returns by recycling capital into higher-yielding assets, targeting ROEs in the 13%-15% range [8] - The relationship with PFSI is highlighted as a competitive advantage, providing a consistent pipeline of loans for investment [4] - The company expects to complete approximately 30 securitizations in 2026, with targeted returns on equity for retained investments in the low to mid-teens [6] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to generate earnings that support dividends and drive long-term shareholder value [9] - The company anticipates that prepayment speeds will remain elevated but expects to offset declines in profitability through additional recapture [17][18] - Management noted that the market for securitizations remains robust, with stable to tightening spreads in the non-agency space [43] Other Important Information - The company raised $150 million of new unsecured financing during the quarter [14] - The MSR asset at year-end was valued at $3.6 billion, slightly down from the prior quarter due to higher levels of runoff [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Return expectations for the interest rate strategy - Management indicated that prepayments are expected to remain elevated, but they plan to offset profitability declines through additional recapture from PFSI [17][18] Question: Competition in the non-agency space - Management noted healthy competition from companies like Rocket Mortgage and UWM, but stated that they have been outperforming in terms of originations [23][24] Question: Financing costs for securitization - Management described the financing market as competitive, with a focus on risk management through facilities that minimize mark-to-market risk [30][31] Question: MSR sales for risk management - Management is open to considering MSR sales if higher returning assets are available, highlighting their agility in managing the portfolio [37][38] Question: Spread behavior in the non-agency market - Management reported stable to tightening spreads in the non-agency space, supporting continued securitization activity [43]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported over 30% revenue growth in Q4 2025, with organic growth of 5% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 30%, marking the 23rd consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [3][11] - For the full year 2025, combined revenue growth was 21%, with 6% organic growth and adjusted EBITDA growth of 26% [11][28] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - The brokerage segment experienced a revenue growth of 38% in Q4, with organic growth also at 5% [3][12] - The risk management segment, Gallagher Bassett, saw a revenue growth of 13% in Q4, including organic growth of 7% [8][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The global property and casualty insurance pricing environment showed a low single-digit increase in renewal premiums, with property lines down 5% and casualty lines up 5% overall [4][5] - The reinsurance market saw rate decreases in the teens for property, while casualty lines remained stable [6][7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a two-pronged revenue growth strategy involving organic growth and mergers & acquisitions (M&A) [3][10] - The integration of AssuredPartners is progressing well, with over 300 tuck-ins and agency management system conversions planned for 2026 [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's positioning to grow despite economic conditions, with expectations of 5.5% organic growth in the brokerage segment for 2026 [8][11] - The company anticipates strong demand for employee benefits services due to rising health insurance costs and talent retention strategies [7][8] Other Important Information - The company completed 7 new mergers in Q4 2025, contributing approximately $145 million in estimated annualized revenue, bringing the total for the year to over $3.5 billion [10][11] - The company has a pipeline of over 40 term sheets signed or being prepared, representing around $350 million of annualized revenue [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Digital Infrastructure and Construction Practices - The company emphasized its strong vertical capabilities in construction, particularly in data center projects, and highlighted the need for extensive coverage in this area [32][34] Question: Casualty Pricing Outlook - Management noted that casualty pricing remains stable, with no significant softening expected, despite property lines experiencing declines [38][41] Question: Talent Retention - The company reported stable producer retention rates and highlighted its successful recruitment through acquisitions and internships [46][49] Question: AI and Small Business Production - Management expressed confidence that AI will enhance service delivery but emphasized the continued importance of human advisors in the insurance process [55][62]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported over 30% revenue growth in Q4 2025, with organic growth of 5% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 30%, marking the 23rd consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [3][13] - For the full year 2025, combined revenue growth for Brokerage and Risk Management was 21%, with 6% organic growth and adjusted EBITDA growth of 26% [13][29] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Brokerage segment experienced a revenue growth of 38% in Q4, with organic growth of 5% and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 32.2% [3][4] - The Risk Management segment, Gallagher Bassett, saw a revenue growth of 13% in Q4, including organic growth of 7% and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 21.6% [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The global P&C insurance pricing environment showed low single-digit increases in renewal premiums, with property lines down 5% and casualty lines up 5% [5][6] - The reinsurance market saw rate decreases in the teens for property, while casualty lines remained stable, indicating a buyer's market expected to persist through 2026 [7][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a two-pronged revenue growth strategy involving organic growth and mergers & acquisitions (M&A), with a strong pipeline of over 40 term sheets signed, representing around $350 million of annualized revenue [10][12] - The integration of AssuredPartners is progressing well, with successful rebranding and operational integration ahead of schedule [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's positioning to grow despite economic conditions, with expectations of 5.5% organic growth in the Brokerage segment for 2026 [9][10] - The company anticipates strong demand in Employee Benefits due to rising health insurance costs and is engaging clients with innovative solutions [8][9] Other Important Information - The company has $713 million of tax credit carryforwards and an additional $1 billion of future tax benefits related to the acquisition of AssuredPartners, which will support future M&A funding [27][28] - The company expects to have close to $10 billion available for M&A funding over the next two years [28][29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Digital infrastructure and construction practices - Management highlighted strong vertical capabilities in construction, emphasizing the company's readiness to support data center construction and related needs [33][34] Question: Casualty pricing outlook - Management noted that casualty pricing remains stable, with expectations of increases in the 7%-8% range for the upcoming year [37][39] Question: Talent retention and producer stability - Management reported stable producer retention rates, emphasizing the company's strong culture and support for sales personnel [43][46] Question: AI and its impact on small business production - Management expressed confidence that AI will enhance service delivery but emphasized the continued importance of human advisors in the insurance process [52][56]