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Microsoft forms alarming pattern in almost 10 years; Is $350 crash next?
Finbold· 2025-02-26 11:14
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft's stock is experiencing significant downward pressure, with a recent loss of the $400 support level and a year-to-date decline of nearly 5% [1][4]. Technical Analysis - The stock has formed a death cross for the first time in almost a decade, indicating a bearish signal as the short-term moving average crosses below the long-term moving average [2]. - The downward-sloping 200-day moving average suggests a potential sustained erosion of upward momentum, raising concerns about a trend reversal [4]. - There is a possibility that MSFT may test the critical $350 support level if broader market weakness continues [5]. Market Projections - Despite the current losses, some analysts believe this may represent the final stages of a major corrective wave before a potential rally beyond $510 [5]. - Goldman Sachs has set a price target of $500 for MSFT, reaffirming a 'Buy' rating based on strong fundamentals [7]. Company Fundamentals - Microsoft maintains strong long-term growth potential, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing [9]. - The company has $300 billion in remaining performance obligations (RPO) and has seen a 75% year-over-year growth in commercial bookings, positioning it favorably against competitors like Oracle [8]. - CEO Satya Nadella acknowledges that AI currently lacks real value but sees significant economic potential in the future [9]. Innovations - Microsoft is investing in quantum computing, recently unveiling its Majorana 1 chip, which is claimed to be less error-prone than competitors [10].
Get it while it's cheap; World's most important company is still worth less than $1 trillion
Finbold· 2025-02-26 10:58
Core Insights - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) has experienced a 49.56% increase in stock price over the last 12 months, reaching $192.33, indicating strong performance amid the AI boom [1] - Despite this growth, TSMC's shares are considered relatively cheap due to the company's critical role in global chip manufacturing [2] Company Importance - TSMC is projected to control 66% of the global pure-play foundry market share by the end of 2025, highlighting its dominance in the semiconductor industry [3] - The company supplies major technology firms such as Apple, Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom, underscoring its significance in the tech supply chain [3] Market Outlook - The anticipated transformative impact of AI suggests that TSMC will continue to perform well, as microchips are essential for modern technology [4] - TSMC's semiconductors are integral to various sectors, including automotive, home appliances, medical devices, and security systems, positioning them as vital components in today's economy [5] Financial Performance - TSMC reported record revenue of nearly $90 billion for the entire year of 2024, with over $26 billion generated in Q4 alone, reflecting strong financial health [6] - The company's market capitalization stands at $982.17 billion, indicating significant growth potential compared to peers like Nvidia, which has a market cap of $3.1 trillion despite lower revenue [7] Geopolitical Considerations - TSMC faces geopolitical risks due to Taiwan's ambiguous status, which could impact its position in the global supply chain [10] - The geopolitical situation may also foster strong relations with Mainland China, while TSMC's strategic importance has led to the establishment of foundries in the U.S. [12]
Analyst doubles down on Microsoft stock price prediction — Buy time?
Finbold· 2025-02-25 15:57
Over the course of the last 30 days, the price of Microsoft stock (NASDAQ: MSFT) has dropped by 7.71%. At press time, MSFT shares were trading at $401.05, marking a 4.85% loss on a year-to-date (YTD) basis.MSFT stock price 30-day chart. Source: FinboldOn January 29, the company released its FY25 Q2 earnings report. Despite strong results on the whole, weaker-than-expected Azure revenue and high artificial intelligence (AI) capital expenditures fueled investor uncertainty, and the thus-prevailing pullback ki ...
Tesla stock price prediction as China's BYD gains more ground
Finbold· 2025-02-25 13:48
Tesla’s (NASDAQ: TSLA) dominance in the global electric vehicle (EV) market continues to face significant threats as sales decline in key regions amid mounting competition. Notably, Tesla’s stock price remains under pressure amid this shift, failing to sustain its late 2024 momentum. In 2025, the stock has plunged 12.85%, trading at $330.53 as of press time. TSLA ended the last session down 2.15% as the equity tussles to reclaim the $350 resistance level. TSLA YTD stock price chart. Source: FinboldTesla dec ...
Nvidia earnings to trigger a sell-off, warns Wall Street analysts
Finbold· 2025-02-24 15:22
The stock market remains on edge regarding the impact of Nvidia’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) highly anticipated Q4 earnings report on February 26, with opinions divided on whether the event will be bullish or bearish for the semiconductor giant.This uncertainty around the chipmaker’s outlook comes as NVDA attempts to build momentum above the $130 support level after a volatile start to 2025. At the close of the last session, Nvidia’s share price stood at $134.43, ending the day down 4%. Year-to-date, Nvidia has dropped ...
Elon Musk's brother raises insider trading alert with massive Tesla stock trade
Finbold· 2025-02-24 14:08
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) stock’s 2025 price decline hasn’t halted the insider trading activity, with various high-ranking executives and directors offloading more than $110 million worth of shares since January 2.The latest such trade might also be among the most alarming, as the seller has been a rather infrequent trade — Elon Musk’s brother, Kimbal Musk. Receive Signals on SEC-verified Insider Stock Trades Stocks This signal is triggered upon the reporting of the trade to the Securities and Exchange Co ...
This Michael Burry AI stock just got a price target upgrade; This is what changed

Finbold· 2025-02-24 12:19
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese stock market is experiencing a turnaround, with Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) benefiting significantly from this shift, highlighted by a major price target upgrade from Morgan Stanley. Group 1: Market Conditions - The Chinese stock market has faced significant losses for years, but conditions began to improve in September 2024, with a notable reversal by early 2025 [1] - The CSI 300 index rose 19.91% and Hong Kong's HSI rallied 15.60% in September and October, indicating a positive shift in market sentiment [7] Group 2: Alibaba's Performance - Alibaba's stock received a price target upgrade from Morgan Stanley, increasing from $100 to $180, predicting a 27.79% rally from its price of $140.85 [2] - The upgrade was supported by Alibaba's improved outlook and its exposure to artificial intelligence (AI), alongside a favorable outlook for the internet industry [3] Group 3: Technological Developments - The recent rally in Alibaba's stock is partly attributed to the unveiling of its AI model, Qwen 2.5, which contributed to the positive market sentiment [5] - The introduction of the DeepSeek AI model has disrupted the tech sector, indicating a shift from consumption to technological advancements in the Chinese internet industry [4][6] Group 4: Investment Initiatives - Alibaba announced a $53 billion investment in AI infrastructure over the next three years, reflecting its commitment to technological innovation [9] - Michael Burry's significant investment in Alibaba has turned into a lucrative position, benefiting from the combined effects of government stimulus and the AI rally [10]
Will Nvidia earnings doom NVDA stock amid relentless selling and heavy resistance?
Finbold· 2025-02-23 19:11
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia is facing a critical week ahead of its fourth-quarter earnings report, with stock performance heavily influenced by market sentiment and resistance levels [1][3][8]. Stock Performance - Nvidia's stock has struggled to maintain a price above $150, currently trading at $134.40, down over 4% for the day and nearly 3% year-to-date [2][3]. - The stock has formed multiple upper wicks, indicating aggressive selling at attempts to reach new highs, particularly in the $135 to $145 range [4][5]. Earnings Expectations - Analysts anticipate a significant earnings report on February 26, with Q4 revenue expected to increase by 73% year-over-year and EPS projected to rise to $0.82 [9][12]. - The earnings report is viewed as a "major risk event," with potential outcomes ranging from a new uptrend to further downside [8][10]. Market Sentiment and Analyst Opinions - Market experts express mixed sentiments; while some analysts remain optimistic about Nvidia's future, others caution about potential sell-offs and weak buying pressure [7][12][13]. - Bank of America maintains a $190 price target, while Jefferies holds a $185 target, dismissing supply chain concerns as exaggerated [12][13]. Industry Context - Nvidia's dominance in the AI sector is underscored by substantial cloud investments from tech giants, totaling $320 billion, although supply constraints may limit growth [9][10][11]. - The ongoing question is whether Nvidia will continue to capture a significant share of the growing AI compute demand [11].
Top Michael Burry stock hits most overbought level ever; Time to exit?

Finbold· 2025-02-22 20:28
Core Viewpoint - Alibaba Group (NYSE: BABA) is experiencing a significant stock rally in 2025, raising concerns about the sustainability of this momentum due to its overbought status as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - BABA's stock price reached $143.75, marking a 5.7% increase in the last trading session and a year-to-date rally of nearly 70% [3]. - The RSI for BABA closed at 86.52, indicating it has entered the most overbought zone ever, with values above 70 typically signaling a potential correction [2]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment - Michael Burry, a notable investor, has reduced his stake in BABA by 25% as of Q4 2024, although it remains his top holding at 16.43% [6]. - Reports of GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen's $1 billion stake in Alibaba reflect strong confidence in the company, contributing to the stock's rally [10]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Alibaba reported a net income of 48.945 billion yuan ($6.75 billion) for the December quarter, surpassing analyst expectations and significantly improving from 14.433 billion yuan ($1.99 billion) in the same period last year [7]. - Revenue for the same quarter reached 280.154 billion yuan ($38.64 billion), exceeding forecasts of 279.34 billion yuan ($38.53 billion) [8]. Group 4: Regulatory Environment and Strategic Initiatives - There are signs of a more favorable regulatory environment for Chinese tech firms, bolstered by Alibaba founder Jack Ma's meeting with President Xi Jinping, where Xi expressed "unwavering support" for entrepreneurs [9]. - Alibaba's aggressive investment in artificial intelligence (AI) has resulted in six consecutive quarters of triple-digit growth in its cloud segment, aligning with market trends favoring tech investments [9]. Group 5: Analyst Ratings - Wall Street analysts remain bullish on BABA, with Citi's Alicia Yap maintaining a 'Strong Buy' rating and raising her price target from $133 to $138 [11]. - Barclays' Jiong Shao also maintained a 'Strong Buy' rating but adjusted his target from $137 to $130, citing margin concerns amid ongoing investments [11].
Technical analyst maps out the next big buying opportunity for Amazon stock
Finbold· 2025-02-21 18:21
Amazon Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) is under pressure following its Q4 and FY 2024 earnings report, released on February 6, despite delivering a double beat on earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. While the results initially appeared strong, investor sentiment soured after the company issued weaker-than-expected Q1 2025 guidance.The company’s Q1 revenue forecast of $151 billion to $155.5 billion fell short of Wall Street’s consensus estimate of $158.5 billion. Meanwhile, Amazon Web Services (AWS) posted 19% revenu ...