Workflow
Finbold
icon
Search documents
Is Nvidia stock set for another bloodbath as short volume soars?
Finbold· 2025-03-17 14:17
After weeks of decline, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) stock entered a modest recovery after March 10. Despite the rally – amounting to 14.32% by the time of the latest closing bell – being dwarfed by the preceding 23.65% drop, which started after February 20, short traders were quick to show their lack of confidence it would last.NVDA stock 30-day price chart. Source: GoogleSpecifically, for the first time in two weeks, NVDA shares short volume ratio exceeded 50 and stood at 52.18 on Thursday, March 13, and at 51.3 ...
iPhone shipments in China plunge 20%; Will AAPL take a hit?
Finbold· 2025-03-17 13:09
Core Viewpoint - Apple faces significant challenges in China, a crucial market, as iPhone shipments decline, impacting its stock performance and overall growth prospects [1][6]. Group 1: iPhone Shipments and Market Performance - iPhone shipments in China dropped 20.6% year-over-year to 4.4 million units in January, contributing to a broader decline in the smartphone market, which saw total shipments decrease by 14.3% to 27.2 million units [2][3]. - The decline in iPhone sales is attributed to increased competition from domestic brands like Huawei and Xiaomi, macroeconomic pressures, and a shift in consumer preferences towards more affordable options [3][4]. Group 2: Impact of U.S.-China Trade Relations - The ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions, including tariffs, are expected to further hinder iPhone shipments, as the demand for premium smartphones in China softens [4][6]. - Apple struggles in the premium segment due to a lack of AI features compared to local competitors, which have successfully introduced feature-rich devices and advanced operating systems [5][6]. Group 3: Strategic Responses and Market Outlook - In response to declining market share, Apple has partnered with Alibaba to introduce Apple Intelligence in China, aiming to enhance its presence in the competitive AI market [7][8]. - Analysts are divided on Apple's prospects; while some express skepticism about the effectiveness of the partnership, others maintain a bullish outlook, predicting significant iPhone sales and potential revenue growth from AI initiatives [9][10]. Group 4: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Morgan Stanley reduced its price target for Apple from $275 to $252, citing weak iPhone demand, while maintaining an 'Overweight' rating [10]. - Despite mixed sentiments, the average price target among analysts is $249.38, suggesting a potential upside of nearly 17% over the next 12 months, with the highest target set at $325 [10].
Buy alert: Huge Michael Burry stock set for massive rally this week
Finbold· 2025-03-17 10:40
After a years-long wait, Michael Burry’s massive bet on a selection of Chinese technology companies is paying off big in 2025. As Finbold previously reported, ‘The Big Short’ investor had already made more than $10 million on his three biggest stock positions by March 12.As of March 17, it appears that Burry – as well as any other investor who has chosen to follow him – can hope for another bonanza from the famous short trader’s biggest portfolio position, Alibaba (NYSE: BABA). Why BABA stock is set for an ...
Strategist says 2026 Tesla ‘will look nothing like the one being debated today'
Finbold· 2025-03-16 12:03
Core Viewpoint - Tesla is currently facing significant challenges, including declining sales and backlash against CEO Elon Musk, but an investment strategist believes this situation is temporary and the company has substantial growth potential expected to materialize by 2026 [1][6]. Group 1: Market Perception and Future Potential - The market is misjudging Tesla by viewing it only as an electric vehicle manufacturer, while it is evolving into an AI-driven technology powerhouse with autonomy, robotics, and software as future pillars [2][3]. - The company's valuation in five years will be driven by advancements in AI, autonomy, robotics, and software rather than car sales [3]. Group 2: Key Initiatives and Innovations - Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) system, set to launch unsupervised in Austin, is a cornerstone of its strategic shift, potentially leading to high-margin revenue through licensing to other industries [4]. - The upcoming Cybercab network, an AI-powered ride-hailing service debuting in 2025, is expected to further demonstrate Tesla's autonomous capabilities [4]. - The Optimus robotics initiative is seen as a game-changer with applications in manufacturing, logistics, and healthcare, potentially rivaling Tesla's EV business in revenue [5]. Group 3: Wall Street Sentiment - Wall Street is generally bearish on Tesla, with firms like JPMorgan and UBS lowering their price targets due to weaker deliveries and growing consumer backlash against Musk [6][7][8]. - Despite the bearish sentiment, some analysts, such as Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, maintain a bullish outlook, viewing Tesla as evolving into a diversified tech company with a price target of $430 [8]. - Wedbush's Dan Ives describes the current situation as a "gut check moment" for investors, maintaining an 'Outperform' rating with a high target of $550 [9]. Group 4: Stock Performance - Tesla's stock continues to trade below the $250 resistance level, closing at $249.98, with a year-to-date decline of over 34% [10]. - The company needs to prioritize investor confidence and deliver on its technology promises to navigate current challenges and justify its valuation [11].
2 boycott stocks from 2024 to buy now
Finbold· 2025-03-15 19:02
Core Viewpoint - Several Wall Street companies have faced consumer backlash over their positions on controversial global issues, leading to boycotts that affected sales and stock prices. However, in 2025, some of these firms are showing signs of recovery, presenting potential investment opportunities [1]. Group 1: Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) - Starbucks experienced a backlash due to its workers' union supporting Palestine amid the Israel-Hamas conflict, resulting in a boycott from pro-Palestinian activists [3][4]. - In 2024, Starbucks' sales declined by 2% in North America and 7% internationally, leading to the closure of Middle Eastern outlets and the loss of over 2,000 jobs [4]. - In 2025, Starbucks' shares have increased by over 7% year-to-date, supported by new product launches and a $3 million pledge for Gaza relief, with the stock trading at $98.11 [4]. - The company's P/E ratio is 36.51, indicating it is fairly overvalued, but expected earnings growth of 47% could justify this valuation [5][6]. - For the last quarter, Starbucks reported $9.4 billion in revenue, slightly exceeding expectations, but net income fell to $780.8 million from $1.02 billion a year ago, with same-store sales down 4% [6]. Group 2: McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) - McDonald's faced controversy when its Israeli franchisee provided free meals to Israeli soldiers, leading to a boycott from pro-Palestinian advocates, particularly in Muslim-majority regions [8]. - The company missed its first quarterly sales target in four years in 2024, with growth in the Middle East, China, and India at just 0.7%, significantly below the expected 5.5% [9]. - As of the last trading session, McDonald's stock was valued at $299.83, with a year-to-date increase of 3.4% [10]. - The company is addressing challenges by expanding value menus, launching new products, and rebuilding consumer confidence [11]. - McDonald's has 150 million loyalty members and ongoing automation efforts that support long-term growth, alongside a 2.4% dividend yield and a forward P/E ratio of 25.74, indicating strong fundamentals [13].
2 stocks to buy amid the tech market downturn
Finbold· 2025-03-14 16:58
Market Overview - Tech stocks have faced challenges, impacting the broader market after leading the rally in 2023 and 2024 [1] - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have bounced off six-month lows, indicating volatility and hopes for market stability [1] Investment Opportunities - Market pullbacks can present opportunities for long-term growth potential [2] - Two stocks identified as attractive at current levels are Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) [2] Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) - AMD has seen a year-to-date decline of over 17%, but is considered attractive at current levels [3] - The company is gaining market share in the desktop CPU segment, with a 27% increase in 2024, and a 24% share in the laptop segment [5] - A key catalyst for growth is the upcoming PC upgrade cycle driven by Microsoft's phase-out of Windows 10 in October 2025 [6] - AMD's data center business experienced a 94% revenue increase in 2024, reaching a record $12.6 billion [6] - AMD's MI300X GPUs are gaining traction with major clients like Meta and Microsoft, with plans to sample next-generation MI350 GPUs this quarter [7] Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) - TSMC holds 64% of the global semiconductor foundry market share, serving major clients like Nvidia, Apple, and AMD [8] - The company is positioned as a critical player in the AI revolution, benefiting from tech giants' investments in AI infrastructure [9] - TSMC's stock has faced a 12% decline year-to-date, currently trading at $173.42 [9] - The company is operating at full capacity with its advanced 3nm and 5nm process nodes and is preparing for 2nm chip production later this year [10] - Analysts project revenue from TSMC's advanced process nodes to grow fourfold between 2025 and 2026, reinforcing its market leadership [10] - Price targets from Bernstein and Bank of America for TSMC are set at $251 and $265, indicating over 50% upside potential from current levels [11]
Is Nvidia stock a buy, sell, or hold?
Finbold· 2025-03-14 13:47
Despite spending much of early 2025 on a stock market downtrend, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) continues to command investor confidence and optimism.The psychological momentum it boasts appears only logical, as the year-to-date (YTD) 11.44% drop to $118.94, despite its severity, remains dwarfed by the 900% rally between November 2022 and the end of 2024.NVDA stock YTD price chart. Source: FinboldHowever, the question of whether NVDA shares are a buy, sell, or hold in March 2025 is becoming increasingly pointed as t ...
ChatGPT picks two AI stocks to buy now
Finbold· 2025-03-13 19:52
Group 1: AI Market Overview - Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a prominent investment theme, but recent market turmoil has affected even leading AI stocks [1] - The market experienced a downturn following President Trump's comments on the U.S. economy, raising concerns about a potential economic downturn [1] Group 2: Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) - Nvidia is currently trading at $115, with a year-to-date loss of 14%, yet it remains a leading AI stock in the semiconductor industry [3] - The company's Data Center segment reported a remarkable 93% year-over-year revenue increase, reaching $35.6 billion, driven by the adoption of Blackwell AI chips [4] - Nvidia is diversifying into robotics and healthcare AI, with the upcoming GTC conference on March 17 expected to be a significant catalyst for investor interest [5] Group 3: Palantir (NYSE: PLTR) - Palantir is trading at $79.05, having experienced a one-month loss of over 29%, with significant insider selling reported [6] - Concerns have arisen regarding potential cuts to government contracts due to an anticipated 8% annual reduction in the U.S. defense budget over the next five years [7] - Despite challenges, Palantir is gaining momentum through key defense contracts, including a $178.4 million U.S. Army contract, and is expanding its commercial partnerships [8] - The upcoming AIPCon on March 13 has generated interest, showcasing Palantir's efforts to broaden its client base beyond government contracts [9] - Palantir's stock has increased by 217% over the past year, indicating a strong long-term growth narrative, although valuation concerns and macroeconomic risks may lead to near-term volatility [10]
We asked DeepSeek AI what will be AMD stock price at the end of 2025
Finbold· 2025-03-13 16:46
Core Viewpoint - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock has experienced significant volatility in 2024, initially rallying 40% but subsequently declining despite strong earnings and product performance [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - AMD stock started 2024 strong, increasing approximately 40% from January to March, but has since entered a downtrend [1]. - The stock dropped another 18.64% in 2025, reaching $98.28, one of its lowest prices since 2023 [2]. Group 2: Product and Market Position - AMD's new product lineup, particularly the RX 9000 series, is reportedly selling rapidly, contrasting with Nvidia's weaker GPU launch due to supply shortages [5]. - Growing partnerships with cloud providers like Microsoft and Alphabet are expected to enhance AMD's market share alongside the MI350/MI300X accelerators [6]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - DeepSeek's AI model assessed AMD's financials as having substantial momentum, with improving margins [7]. - Despite potential risks from supply chain disruptions and trade wars, these issues are viewed as temporary and manageable due to AMD's strong partnerships [8]. Group 4: Price Target and Future Projections - DeepSeek predicts AMD shares could rise to $135 by December 31, 2025, indicating a potential total rally of 37.36% for the year [9].
Here's how much Tesla stock is down since boycott started
Finbold· 2025-03-13 16:20
Core Viewpoint - Tesla stock has faced significant losses in early 2025 due to various bearish factors, including political uncertainty and declining vehicle deliveries [1][3]. Group 1: Market Conditions - President Trump's tariff policies have introduced uncertainty into financial markets, potentially affecting corporate profits [2]. - Disrupted supply chains, higher import costs, and retaliatory tariffs could further diminish earnings, while resurgent inflation may lead the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates [2]. Group 2: Company Performance - Tesla experienced its first year-over-year decline in vehicle deliveries in January, with earnings and revenues falling below analyst expectations during the last earnings call [3]. - Major Wall Street firms, including JPMorgan and Bank of America, have reduced their price targets for Tesla stock, and short-selling activity has increased [3]. Group 3: Political Influence - CEO Elon Musk's political involvement has negatively impacted Tesla's public perception, contributing to the formation of the Tesla Takedown movement, which is boycotting the company's products [4][8]. - The boycott began on February 3, with Tesla stock trading at $383.68, and by March 13, the price had dropped to $237.80, marking a 38.02% decline since the boycott started [7]. Group 4: Stock Performance - Year-to-date, Tesla stock has decreased by 41.12% in value, despite recent price target cuts [9]. - The average 12-month price forecast for TSLA shares is $347.59, indicating potential upside despite current challenges [9].