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Could Nvidia stock crash 50% in 2025?
Finbold· 2025-03-13 13:24
The semiconductor giant Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) soared more than 170% in 2024 and rightly became a stock market superstar once its performance since late 2022 is considered.Despite the momentum and the bullish outlook, NVDA shares hit a rough patch in 2025, threatening on multiple occasions to drop below $100 for the first time since the brief dip in August of the previous year.Since the year started, Nvidia stock has declined 13.55% to its press time price of $116.10. Furthermore, despite the latest session ...
Short squeeze alert for Tesla stock
Finbold· 2025-03-13 10:17
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock has shown signs of recovery following a significant downturn, with shares trading at $248.09 after a 7.59% increase, although there are concerns about short selling and market confidence [1][3]. Stock Performance - TSLA shares experienced a notable rise, closing at $248.09 on March 11, following a 7.59% increase in one session [1]. - Pre-market trading on March 12 showed a slight pullback, with shares retracing 1.33% to $244.78 [1]. Short Selling Activity - The short volume ratio for TSLA increased from 29.74 on March 11 to 40.13 on March 12, indicating a growing lack of confidence among traders regarding the stock's rally [3]. - A two-week high short volume of 54.90 was recorded on March 7, suggesting that many investors anticipated a downturn for Tesla [5]. Market Sentiment and Challenges - Despite the recent stock rally, Tesla faces significant challenges, including economic policies and tariffs that have negatively impacted its market share, particularly in Europe [9][10]. - The narrative of Tesla transitioning into a tech stock through AI and robotics development is becoming less compelling as Chinese competitors introduce advanced products [11].
More trouble for Tesla as banking giant predicts 50% TSLA crash
Finbold· 2025-03-12 17:58
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock has rebounded to $250, despite bearish sentiment from Wall Street and concerns over CEO Elon Musk's political involvement and declining sales [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - TSLA was trading at $250, reflecting an over 8% increase for the day, countering a bearish trend that risked pushing the stock below $220 [2]. - The stock still faces challenges, with projected losses for 2025 estimated at nearly 35% [2]. Group 2: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - JPMorgan has lowered its price target for Tesla from $135 to $120, indicating a potential 51% decline from the current valuation, citing a reduced delivery outlook due to waning demand [3]. - Redburn-Atlantic reaffirmed a 'Sell' rating with a $160 price target, attributing it to stagnant growth and high inventories [6]. - UBS reduced its price target from $259 to $225, cutting Q1 2025 delivery estimates to 367,000 vehicles, reflecting softer demand [6]. - Goldman Sachs trimmed its target from $345 to $320 while maintaining a 'Neutral' rating, highlighting sluggish deliveries across key markets [7]. Group 3: Delivery Projections - JPMorgan expects Tesla's Q1 2025 deliveries to reach 355,000 units, marking an 8% year-over-year decline and a 28% drop from the previous quarter, which is 15% below Bloomberg's consensus estimate [5]. - UBS's Q1 2025 delivery estimate reflects a 5% year-over-year decline and a 26% quarter-over-quarter drop [6]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Growing discontent over Musk's political affiliations has led to customer protests and sales boycotts, which could further harm Tesla's brand and sales [4]. - Some analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's long-term prospects, with Morgan Stanley maintaining an 'Overweight' rating and a $430 price target, viewing Tesla as a diversified tech company [8]. - Wedbush's Dan Ives defended Tesla, calling the current situation a "gut check moment" for investors, reiterating an 'Outperform' rating with a $550 target [9].
Why you should avoid airline stocks in 2025
Finbold· 2025-03-12 13:05
The apparent uptick in air traffic accidents and incidents in 2024, spearheaded by aeroplanes made by Boeing (NYSE: BA), has done much to reduce the industry’s reputation.In 2025, the number of reasons not to bet on the sector has increased due to a new series of dramatic events and wider macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.Delta Airlines (NYSE: DAL), one of the biggest such companies in the world, saw its stock price suffer a dramatic drop as it cautioned that demand for air travel is likely to be impac ...
2 high-flying Chinese EV stocks to buy now
Finbold· 2025-03-12 11:03
Several Chinese electric vehicle (EV) stocks are surging, defying the broader downturn in U.S. equities, which are experiencing historic losses. The rally in China’s EV sector is partly fueled by strong government support and rising sales, steadily chipping away at Tesla’s (NASDAQ: TSLA) market dominance.Meanwhile, Tesla is struggling with its fundamentals, particularly sales, which are declining in key markets such as Europe. In this line, Finbold has identified two Chinese EV stocks that present compellin ...
Analysts revise price targets for the world's most important company
Finbold· 2025-03-12 09:37
Core Viewpoint - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is positioned as a critical player in the semiconductor industry, potentially undervalued despite its significant market share and revenue growth [1][3]. Market Position and Financials - TSM is projected to capture 66% of the pure-play foundry market by 2025, serving major tech companies like Apple, Nvidia, and AMD [1]. - TSM's revenue for 2024 is estimated at nearly $90 billion, with a current market capitalization of $741.12 billion, contrasting sharply with Nvidia's $60.9 billion revenue and $2.66 trillion market cap [3]. Stock Performance - TSM stock is trading at $172.17, reflecting a 12.82% decline year-to-date [4]. - Analysts are increasingly optimistic about TSM shares, with several Wall Street firms revisiting their outlooks [4]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Bernstein analyst Mark Li maintains an 'Overweight' rating with a price target of $251, indicating a potential 45.78% upside [5]. - Bank of America analyst Brad Lin reiterates a 'Buy' rating with a price target of $265, suggesting a 53.91% upside from current prices [6]. Revenue Growth and Investment - TSM's revenue in February 2025 showed a year-over-year growth of 43.1%, despite an 11.3% sequential decline [6]. - The company announced a $100 billion investment in the United States, which has raised some concerns about IP leakage and profit margins, yet the overall outlook remains bullish [7]. Valuation Metrics - TSM stock is currently trading at 21.3 times forward earnings, which is considered an attractive ratio for a leading semiconductor producer [8].
DeepSeek AI sets date when Tesla stock will bottom
Finbold· 2025-03-11 17:20
Core Insights - Tesla is currently in a bearish trend, with an AI tool predicting further losses before the stock finds a bottom [1][4] - As of the latest update, Tesla's stock is trading at $227, having dropped over 43% year-to-date [1] - The stock experienced its worst trading day since 2020, with a 15% decline on March 10 [1] Recovery Attempts - A potential driver for Tesla's recent recovery is former President Donald Trump's supportive comments about CEO Elon Musk [2][4] - Trump encouraged his supporters to back Musk and hinted at purchasing a Tesla [2] Stock Bottom Projections - The AI model suggests Tesla may bottom out between June and September 2025, assuming no further negative catalysts arise [4] - Stocks typically reach their lowest levels when negative sentiment peaks, and if Tesla's core fundamentals remain intact, a recovery could begin within three to six months after the decline [5] Influencing Factors - Upcoming earnings reports in April and July 2025 will be crucial for assessing Tesla's financial health and growth outlook [6] - Macroeconomic conditions, particularly Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, will significantly shape investor sentiment [7] - Competition in the electric vehicle sector and potential regulatory changes may also impact Tesla's performance [7] Challenges Faced - Tesla's struggles are compounded by broader market uncertainty and heightened tariffs from Trump, which could disrupt its supply chain in key markets [8] - The company's brand reputation has been affected by Musk's political involvement, leading to a 70% drop in Tesla registrations in Germany in early 2025 [8] Market Sentiment - Wall Street remains divided on Tesla's near-term trajectory, but most analysts expect a long-term recovery based on the company's dominance in the electric vehicle market [9]
Why Nio stock is skyrocketing today
Finbold· 2025-03-11 17:14
Core Viewpoint - Nio's stock has shown resilience and bullish momentum despite broader market challenges, with recent gains attributed to government support for its battery-swapping technology [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Nio's share price has been on a bullish run, trading at $4.90, up nearly 10% for the day and over 13% for the week [1]. - The stock is approaching a key resistance level at $5, which analysts believe it could reclaim within the next 12 months [8]. Group 2: Government Support - Shanghai will provide a 40% subsidy on equipment investment for battery swap stations, marking a significant boost for Nio's market position as it is the only major automaker offering battery swap-enabled models [3][4]. - This government backing is expected to reduce costs and enhance demand for Nio's battery-swapping technology [4]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - Nio is projected to report a net loss of $0.36 per share on $2.7 billion in revenue for the fourth quarter, with an anticipated 10% post-earnings stock price swing [4]. - The company aims to achieve break-even by 2026, with projected revenues of $9.39 billion for 2024 and $13.4 billion for 2025 [6]. Group 4: Challenges and Growth Catalysts - Nio has faced challenges in scaling deliveries profitably, leading to cash burn and shareholder dilution [7]. - Recent government investment of $386 million could provide essential capital for operations, while the expansion into the European market with the low-cost Firefly brand aims to capture a broader customer base [7][8].
Analyst updates Oracle (ORCL) stock price targets after earnings
Finbold· 2025-03-11 17:05
Core Insights - Oracle Corporation's stock declined over 3% following Q3 earnings for FY 2025 that missed analyst expectations despite strong cloud growth and record contract signings [1] - Weaker-than-expected guidance for the upcoming quarter raised concerns about margin pressures and capital expenditures [1][5] Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS was reported at $1.47, missing the forecast of $1.49, while revenue was $14.13 billion, below the expected $14.39 billion [2] - Total revenue grew 8% year-over-year, with cloud services and license support revenue increasing 12% to $11 billion [2] Growth Drivers - The IaaS segment surged 51% year-over-year to $2.7 billion, and cloud database services grew 28% annually [3] - AI-related GPU consumption revenue more than tripled, indicating expansion in AI-driven computing [3] Contract and Obligations - Oracle secured $48 billion in new contracts in Q3, raising Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) to over $130 billion, a 63% year-over-year increase [4] - The multi-cloud business with Amazon, Google, and Microsoft expanded 200% in three months, and a multi-billion-dollar deal with AMD was secured for a 30,000-GPU AI cluster [4] Outlook and Guidance - Q4 guidance expects revenue growth of 8% to 10%, missing the analyst forecast of 11%, and adjusted EPS guidance of $1.61 to $1.65 fell short of the consensus estimate of $1.79 [5] - Planned capital expenditures of $16 billion this year are more than double last year's total [5] Analyst Reactions - Analysts have lowered price targets for Oracle, citing concerns over slower revenue acceleration and margin pressures [7] - Bank of America reduced its price target to $175 from $195, while BMO Capital cut its target to $175 from $205, maintaining a 'Market Perform' rating [8][10] - Piper Sandler trimmed its price target to $190 from $210 but maintained an 'Overweight' rating, noting the strong RPO backlog [11]
Tesla stock RSI hits most oversold level in a year
Finbold· 2025-03-11 15:29
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) is experiencing a sharp correction. Although both retail investors and analysts were bullish in the closing months of 2024, owing to Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Elon Musk’s close relationship with Donald Trump and a promising quarterly report in Q3 2024, those hopes have failed to materialize.The carmaker’s latest earnings report, covering Q4 2024, was a dud — both earnings per share (EPS) and revenues missed estimates. With some $0.6 billion in unrealized gains from Bitcoin (BT ...