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Short sellers target Lucid stock
Finbold· 2025-01-15 14:20
Core Viewpoint - Lucid Motors has faced significant volatility in its stock price since its IPO in 2021, struggling to maintain upward momentum despite backing from Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund (PIF) [1] Company Performance - Lucid Motors failed to meet its H1 2024 delivery targets by 90%, raising concerns about share dilution due to PIF's investment, which were acknowledged by the CEO [2] - In Q3, the company also did not meet production estimates, contributing to negative sentiment around the stock [2] - Throughout 2024, Lucid's stock price declined by 28%, although it experienced a brief recovery in December with a 41.78% increase from $2.13 to $3.02 following the announcement of production for the Gravity SUV [3] - However, this recovery was short-lived, with the stock price dropping below $3 again by January 13, currently trading at $2.96 [4] Market Sentiment - The stock has attracted significant interest from short sellers, with the short volume ratio rising from 49.42 on January 10 to 59.79 on January 13, indicating strong bearish sentiment [6] - As of January 15, 18.51% of the stock's float has been sold short, and it would take short sellers approximately 3.14 days to cover their positions [6] Macroeconomic Factors - The recent decline in Lucid's stock price and increased short interest cannot be attributed to a single company-specific issue; rather, it is influenced by broader macroeconomic factors such as inflation concerns and reduced expectations for interest rate cuts [9] Future Outlook - Despite the recent challenges, Lucid's fundamental outlook remains stable, with Q4 production and delivery figures exceeding analyst estimates and achieving a production target of 9,000 vehicles for the year [10] - However, Wall Street's average price target for Lucid stock is currently $2.91, reflecting a slight downside and a lack of confidence in the stock's recovery [11]
Here's why Eli Lilly stock is crashing
Finbold· 2025-01-15 12:39
Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) saw its stock decline sharply by 6.5% on January 14, following the release of its fourth-quarter 2024 revenue guidance, which fell short of Wall Street expectations.The pharmaceutical giant now projects $13.5 billion in revenue for the quarter, sparking concerns over the performance of its blockbuster weight-loss and diabetes drugs, Mounjaro and Zepbound.As of the market close on January 14, Eli Lilly’s stock was trading at $744.91, reflecting a one-day loss of over 6.5%. On the five-d ...
Why Tesla will ‘outperform every stock' in 2025
Finbold· 2025-01-14 17:46
Stock Performance and Technical Analysis - TSLA stock traded at $405 63, up 0 5% since the last market close [2] - Tesla experienced a prolonged consolidation period in late 2024, followed by a strong breakout in December, with the equity eyeing the $500 level [3][5] - Tesla is approaching a breakout zone, forming a bullish reversal pattern, with a projected trajectory toward the $800 level [6][7] - Institutional investors are positioning for the expected rally, supported by heavy call option activity targeting $800 [7] Analyst Projections and Fundamentals - Morgan Stanley identified Tesla as its "Top Pick" for 2025, with a bull case target of $800 [8] - Morgan Stanley revised Tesla's short-term price target to $430 from $400, maintaining an 'Overweight' rating based on autonomous vehicle technology and AI potential [9] - Tesla's growth prospects in 2025 could gain momentum under potential regulatory changes tied to Donald Trump's administration [10] - Simplified regulations for autonomous vehicles under Trump could accelerate Tesla's robotaxi ambitions [10] Market and Competitive Challenges - Tesla faces regulatory hurdles, including an NHTSA investigation into its "Smart Summon" feature [12] - UBS analyst Joseph Spak cautioned that Tesla's current valuation heavily depends on speculation due to the lack of tangible products in AI and autonomous driving [13] - Competition from the Chinese market remains a critical factor, especially after Q4 deliveries fell short of consensus estimates [13] Policy and Market Dynamics - Trump's potential end to EV subsidies might initially seem detrimental but could strengthen Tesla's market position as it outshines competitors [11] - Tesla's adaptability to a potentially less supportive regulatory environment will be crucial for its performance [11]
Wall Street sets Lucid stock price target for the next 12 months
Finbold· 2025-01-14 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Lucid Motors' stock performance has been disappointing despite significant backing from the Saudi Public Investment Fund and various partnerships aimed at revitalizing the business, with the stock ending 2024 down 27.23% at $3.02 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The start of 2025 has shown minimal improvement, with shares rising only 0.17% to $3.03 as of January 2 [2] - The average 12-month price target for Lucid Motors is $2.91, which is 4.28% below the current price [4] - The highest forecast predicts a 32% increase to $4 over the next 52 weeks, but overall sentiment remains neutral [5][3] Group 2: Analyst Ratings - Current ratings include one 'buy', two 'sell', and six 'hold' ratings, indicating a cautious outlook from analysts [4] - CFRA's Garrett Nelson has downgraded the stock from 'sell' to 'strong sell', with a price forecast of $1, citing high cash burn and low demand [8] - Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas and Cantor Fitzgerald's Andreas Sheppard both maintain a price target of $3, with Jonas reiterating a 'sell' rating [9][11] Group 3: Market Concerns - Analysts express concerns over the high cash burn rate and low demand for Lucid vehicles, even after price cuts [8] - The removal of some EV incentives and the high price of Lucid vehicles are also factors affecting market sentiment [10]
Will Biden's new restrictions kill Nvidia stock?
Finbold· 2025-01-14 14:48
Despite reaching new highs by January 6 – and experiencing an exceptionally well-timed insider sale for the effort – there has been something of a storm brewing for Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) stock in early 2025.On Monday, January 13, NVDA shares threatened to plunge below $130 as uncertainty mounted surrounding the Biden administration’s latest plans to impose new restrictions on the export of advanced artificial intelligence (AI) chips.Though the unveiling of the details about the new rules did not prevent an ...
Analyst revises Apple stock price target
Finbold· 2025-01-14 13:13
Having annulled the entirety of its price action in the last 6 months and collapsed 9.5% since its December highs, Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) stock has strayed dangerously close to technical correction territory that might see it plunge as low as $207.AAPL stock 6-month price chart. Source: GoogleGiven the rapid decline, it might come as no surprise that the latest revision of AAPL share price target has been bearish, with KeyBanc rating the technology giant as ‘underweight’ – ‘sell’ – on January 14. Though it ac ...
Monster Nvidia (NVDA) insider trading alert
Finbold· 2025-01-14 12:32
Though insider trades executed by high-ranking personnel in major corporations are no strange occurrence, the 2025 sales are, however, somewhat specific by just how early in the year they arrived.The most recent Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) stock sale – executed on January 6 and reported on January 8 – is, nonetheless, a standout as it was made at the highest average price of any NVDA shares insider trade on record. Receive Signals on SEC-verified Insider Stock Trades Stocks This signal is triggered upon the ...
Analyst lowers Nvidia stock price target
Finbold· 2025-01-13 11:17
Over the last two years, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) has been on a notable bull run. The leading GPU manufacturer carved out a very profitable niche as the leading provider of computing solutions for the artificial intelligence revolution.However, continued outperformance eventually leads to outsized expectations. While the chipmaker delivered a series of standout quarters, it has become increasingly difficult to impress investors. After the last earnings call on November 20, aggressive profit-taking ensued.In th ...
Insiders dump $44 million of Tesla shares in first 10 days of 2025
Finbold· 2025-01-13 10:59
Tesla Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - Tesla shares declined 4 10% since New Year's Day in 2025 [2] - Tesla ended 2024 on a strong note with shares rising well above $400 in the final quarter but entered 2025 with concerning developments [3] - At press time on January 13 Tesla shares stood at $387 30 erasing all gains since December 6 [4] - Tesla's equity declined 16 35% in the last 30 days but retains a strong 12-month performance with a 76 12% gain [9] Delivery and Product Concerns - Tesla posted its first-ever year-over-year deliveries decrease shipping 495 570 EVs in Q4 2024 underperforming compared to forecasts [6] - In 2024 Tesla delivered nearly 1 8 million vehicles but the low estimates for Cybertrucks and the pivot to Cybercab and Optimus humanoid robot raised concerns [8] - Tesla filed for a recall of more than 200 000 vehicles in January 2025 starting the year with quality control concerns [8] Insider Trading Activity - Director Kathleen Wilson-Thompson and CFO Vaibhav Taneja sold approximately $44 million worth of Tesla stock early in 2025 [11] - Wilson-Thompson raised $41 million by selling 100 000 shares at an average price of $411 63 while Taneja raised just under $3 million by selling 7 000 shares at $413 56 [7] Market Sentiment and Analyst Views - The latest reports and the rally in the final trimester of 2024 caused some to view the upcoming earnings report with dread with Gordon Johnson forecasting a significant downturn [1]
AMD stock ‘falling off a cliff'; Should you buy?
Finbold· 2025-01-11 14:01
Stock Performance - AMD's share price has experienced a challenging start to 2025, declining 4.76% in the last trading session to close at $116.04, and has plunged over 5% year-to-date [1] - The stock has hit a 14-month low, with financial market analysis platform Barchart likening the plunge to "falling off a cliff" [4] - Despite the strong momentum in the AI chips market, AMD has declined more than 20% over the past year [4] Competitive Landscape - AMD is struggling to compete with Nvidia, particularly in the AI market, where Nvidia's dominance and established ecosystem give it a significant advantage [3] - AMD's AI chip, the Instinct MI325X, has seen weak demand, and the company may not release a leading AI server until 2025-2026, while Nvidia's next-generation Blackwell chips are already sold out [3] Analyst Sentiment - Goldman Sachs downgraded AMD from "Buy" to "Neutral" and slashed its price target from $175 to $129, citing concerns about AMD's competitive position against Nvidia [5] - HSBC analyst Frank Lee downgraded AMD from "Buy" to "Reduce," lowering the price target from $200 to $110, citing AMD's less competitive roadmap in the AI GPU market [5] Technical Analysis - AMD's failed breakout attempt has resulted in a breakdown, with the stock trapped in a bearish descending channel, and the appearance of three consecutive bearish candlesticks suggests further downside in the near term [8] - Key support levels are at $100 and $90, while resistance levels lie at $122 and $132 [10] Investment Outlook - The current low price of AMD could represent a strategic buying opportunity for long-term investors, with potential growth opportunities in AI and key technical support levels [7][11] - However, caution is warranted due to mixed signals from analysts and the risks associated with stocks experiencing significant declines [12]