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Buy Or Sell Rivian Automotive Stock?
Forbes· 2025-11-06 13:40
Core Insights - Rivian Automotive (RIVN) shares surged by 23% to $15.42 following better-than-expected Q3 2025 results, with revenue increasing by 78% year-over-year to $1.56 billion and gross profit turning positive at $24 million, ending two quarters of losses [1][6] - The company plans to launch a more affordable R2 SUV in the first half of 2026, which is expected to further enhance revenue growth [1] Financial Performance - Rivian's revenue has grown at an average rate of 103% over the last three years, with a 28% increase from $4.6 billion to $5.8 billion in the past 12 months [6] - Quarterly revenues rose by 78.3% to $1.6 billion from $874 million a year prior [6] - The operating income for the last 12 months was reported at -$3.4 billion, with a net income of nearly -$3.6 billion, indicating significant losses [9] Market Position - Rivian has a market capitalization of $19 billion and specializes in electric pickup trucks, SUVs, and commercial delivery vans [5] - The stock has experienced a significant decline of 93% from its peak of $172.01 in November 2021 to $12.00 in April 2023, compared to a 25.4% drop in the S&P 500 during the same period [10] Debt and Cash Flow - Rivian's debt stood at $6.5 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 34.9% [9] - The company has a cash-to-assets ratio of 46.6%, with cash and cash equivalents amounting to $7.1 billion out of total assets of $15 billion [9]
SMCI Stock To $60?
Forbes· 2025-11-06 13:20
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) stock has experienced a significant decline of 28.4% in less than a month, dropping from $58.68 on October 8, 2025, to $42.03 currently, primarily due to disappointing first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings results released in early November 2025 [1][3] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of $5 billion for the quarter, which was significantly below expectations and represented a 15% decrease year-over-year [3] - Adjusted earnings per share were also lower than anticipated, attributed to "design win upgrades" that delayed some expected first-quarter revenue to the second quarter [3] Stock Recovery Potential - There is a strong possibility of stock recovery based on historical trends of rebounds following dips, with an Attractive rating currently assigned to the stock [4] - Historically, SMCI has averaged a median return of 39% over one year and a peak return of 67% after experiencing sharp dips of over 30% within 30 days [5][7] Market Position and Product Offering - SMCI specializes in high-performance modular server and storage solutions, targeting enterprise data centers, cloud computing, AI, 5G, and edge computing sectors [5] - The company has encountered 10 instances since January 1, 2010, where a dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was met, with a median peak return of 67% within one year of such events [7]
What Does And Doesn't Drive Oil Prices
Forbes· 2025-11-06 12:55
NEW YORK - APRIL 15: Traders call out during activity in the crude oil options area on the floor of the New York Mercantile Exchange April 15, 2008 in New York City. Oil prices set a new record high today, rising to nearly $114 a barrel. (Photo by Chris Hondros/Getty Images)Getty ImagesThe internet is abuzz with arguments for why oil prices should rise or fall in the coming months, with a range of explanations including the weakness of the dollar, the projected oil surplus, high gold prices, the near-disapp ...
Obamacare Insurer Oscar Health Sees 2026 ‘Return To Profitability'
Forbes· 2025-11-06 11:35
Oscar Health Thursday reported a $137 million third quarter loss but predicts “a return to profitability” as the health insurance industry works its way through a period of rising costs and an uncertain policy environment in Washington.Oscar Health Oscar Health Thursday reported a $137 million third quarter loss but predicts “a return to profitability” as the health insurance industry works its way through a period of rising costs and Washington gridlock. Oscar has more than 2 million health plan members as ...
Snap Shares Surge 16% In Premarket After Perplexity AI Deal And Stock Buyback Announcements
Forbes· 2025-11-06 10:35
Core Insights - Snap shares increased significantly in premarket trading following the announcement of a $400 million deal with AI firm Perplexity and a $500 million stock buyback program, alongside a strong Q3 earnings report that exceeded analyst expectations [1][4] Group 1: Partnership with Perplexity - Snap has entered into a $400 million deal with AI startup Perplexity, which will integrate its AI-powered search engine into the Snapchat app starting early next year [2][3] - The integration will allow users to ask questions and receive conversational answers from verifiable sources within Snapchat's chat interface [2] - Perplexity will pay Snap through a combination of cash and equity, and will control the responses from their chatbot, with no advertising sold against these responses [3] Group 2: Earnings Report Highlights - For Q3 2025, Snap reported revenue of nearly $1.51 billion, representing a 10% increase year-over-year, surpassing analyst estimates of approximately $1.49 billion [4] - The daily active user base grew to 477 million, an 8% increase year-over-year, while monthly users rose by 7% to 943 million [4] - The company noted an increase in user engagement metrics, including time spent watching content and the number of content viewers, although specific figures were not disclosed [4]
Diageo's Share Price Slips 2% As Weak Q1 Prompts Guidance Cut
Forbes· 2025-11-06 09:35
Core Viewpoint - Diageo has cut its guidance due to disappointing sales performance, particularly in North America and Asia Pacific, leading to a decline in net sales and a reassessment of growth expectations for the fiscal year [2][7]. Sales Performance - Diageo's net sales for the three months ending September were $4.9 billion, reflecting a decline of 2.2% primarily due to asset disposals [2]. - Organic net sales remained flat, with group volumes increasing by 2.9% year on year, but negatively impacted by a price/mix decline of 2.8% [3]. - The company attributed weak sales in Asia Pacific to poor performance in Chinese white spirits, which reduced quarterly net sales by approximately 2.5% [3]. Regional Performance - North America, Diageo's largest market, saw reported net sales drop by 3.5%, with an organic decline of 2.7% attributed to a challenging consumer goods environment and increased competition, particularly in tequila [4][5]. - In contrast, Europe reported a 5.1% increase in net sales on a reported basis and a 3.5% increase organically, driven by strong performance in Guinness [5][6]. Guidance and Future Outlook - Following the weak quarter, Diageo now expects full-year organic net sales to be flat to slightly down, revising previous expectations of zero growth [7]. - Organic operating profit growth is now anticipated to be in the low to mid-single digits, down from mid-single-digit projections [7]. - The company maintains its free cash flow guidance of $3 billion for the full year and aims for cost savings of $625 million over three years through its Accelerate restructuring program [8]. Leadership and Strategy - Interim CEO Nik Jhangiani emphasized the need for improved performance and swift action to drive efficiencies and adapt to changing consumer environments [9]. - The company is focused on refining its strategy and implementing plans to foster growth across its portfolio [9]. - Analysts express concerns regarding leadership stability following the abrupt departure of former CEO Debra Crew, highlighting the importance of securing a credible leader to restore investor confidence [10].
Amazon Vs. Perplexity: Welcome To The Battle For The Future Of Commerce
Forbes· 2025-11-05 22:30
Core Perspective - Amazon has issued a cease and desist letter to Perplexity, demanding that it stop allowing users to create AI agents for purchasing items on Amazon's platform, indicating a struggle for control over the e-commerce experience [2][3][4]. Group 1: Amazon's Position - Amazon's legal action reflects its concern over losing control of the purchasing process, emphasizing that it wants customers to buy products in a manner that aligns with its business model [4][6]. - The company argues that the use of AI agents without proper identification violates federal and state computer fraud and abuse laws, as it constitutes an "intrusion" into its e-commerce operations [4][11]. - Amazon has invested billions to create a curated shopping experience that relies on various factors, including customer history and product reviews, which it believes is essential for maintaining customer trust [11]. Group 2: Perplexity's Perspective - Perplexity views the use of AI agents as a natural evolution in technology, arguing that it enhances the shopping experience by making transactions easier and more efficient [6][9]. - The company contends that its AI agents act as user agents, operating under the same permissions as the user and not needing to identify themselves as agents, which is a key point of contention with Amazon [9][10]. - Perplexity's concern is that if its agents are required to identify themselves, Amazon could impose restrictions or alter pricing strategies, undermining the user experience [10]. Group 3: Broader Implications - This legal dispute represents a significant test case for the role of autonomous AI agents in commerce, raising questions about ownership, rights, and responsibilities associated with AI-driven transactions [12]. - The outcome of this case could have far-reaching implications for the future of AI in e-commerce and the foundational principles of an AI-driven web [13].
Elon Musk's $1 Trillion Pay Plan: The Case For Magical Thinking
Forbes· 2025-11-05 21:50
Core Viewpoint - Tesla CEO Elon Musk is seeking a $1 trillion compensation package, which is facing significant opposition from shareholders and analysts, despite the company's high stock valuation and potential future growth in AI and robotics [2][3][10]. Company Performance - Tesla's stock is trading at over 300 times projected earnings, with shares rising 4% to $462.26 recently [3]. - The company reported a 7.4% increase in third-quarter EV sales, attributed to the expiration of a federal tax credit, but overall sales are down about 6% for the year and expected to decline further in 2025 [6][10]. Market Challenges - Tesla is experiencing declining sales in key markets such as the U.S. and China, facing competition from local manufacturers like BYD and Xiaomi [6]. - Musk's political affiliations and public statements have negatively impacted Tesla's brand appeal, particularly in California, the largest EV market in the U.S. [6]. Compensation Proposal - The proposed compensation plan would grant Musk an additional 12% stake in Tesla, contingent on achieving ambitious goals, including selling 20 million EVs by 2035 and having a market cap of $8.5 trillion [10]. - The plan has faced pushback from various stakeholders, including Norway's sovereign wealth fund and proxy advisory firms, with concerns about Musk's focus and accountability [9][10]. Investor Sentiment - Some investors express dissatisfaction with Musk's leadership direction, feeling that the company's focus has shifted away from sustainable transportation towards less impactful ventures like robotaxis [7][9]. - Despite the opposition, some analysts believe Musk will receive overwhelming shareholder approval for the compensation package, citing historical trends of support for his proposals [13][14].
Spotify Hit With Class Action Lawsuit Alleging Discovery Mode Is A ‘Pay-For-Play Scheme'
Forbes· 2025-11-05 21:25
ToplineSpotify was hit with a class action lawsuit in federal court accusing the streaming giant of disguising its controversial Discovery Mode, which recommends songs to users in certain algorithmic mixes based on their tastes, as part of a scheme to boost songs by artists who pay the streaming service, though the company called the suit “nonsense.”Spotify said the allegations in the lawsuit are "nonsense." (Photo by AaronP/Bauer-Griffin/GC Images)GC ImagesKey FactsPlaintiff Genevieve Capolongo filed a sui ...
The Multi-Billion-Dollar Battle For Metsera's Obesity Drugs
Forbes· 2025-11-05 18:20
Core Insights - The competition between Novo Nordisk and Pfizer for Metsera has intensified, with Novo making a $9 billion unsolicited bid, surpassing Pfizer's previous offer of $7.3 billion [2][4] - Legal actions have commenced, with Pfizer suing to block the deal and alleging anticompetitive behavior from Novo, which has since increased its bid to $10 billion [3][4] - Metsera's stock has surged by 40% since the announcement of the bidding war, reflecting the high stakes in the weight loss drug market [4][5] Company Developments - Metsera, a company focused on obesity and diabetes treatments, has no drugs on the market yet but has a promising pipeline, with potential peak sales exceeding $5 billion [5] - Investors Arch Venture Partners and Population Health Partners, who founded Metsera, stand to gain significantly from the ongoing bidding war [6] - Kimberly-Clark has agreed to acquire Kenvue for over $40 billion, creating a consumer health giant with a diverse portfolio [12][14] Market Context - The weight loss drug market is becoming increasingly competitive, with Pfizer lacking any weight loss drugs in its portfolio after abandoning a candidate due to safety concerns [4] - Kenvue faces litigation risks related to its products, including claims about acetaminophen and talc, which may impact its valuation and market performance [13][14] - The acquisition of Kenvue by Kimberly-Clark comes despite a 35% decline in Kenvue's shares since its spin-off from Johnson & Johnson [14]