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Can NFE Stock Beat the Market?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-28 15:30
Core Viewpoint - New Fortress Energy has significantly underperformed the market, with a 98% decline over the past five years and a 93% drop this year, contrasting sharply with the S&P 500's gains of 17% and 86% over the same periods [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported Q2 revenue of $301.7 million, down nearly 30% year-over-year, and is heavily reliant on a new seven-year contract with the Puerto Rican government projected to be worth $3.2 billion, which could potentially double its total revenue [4][5]. - New Fortress Energy's balance sheet shows total current assets of $1.48 billion against total current liabilities of $2.20 billion, indicating a precarious financial position [8]. Group 2: Debt and Cash Flow - The company is currently spending over $200 million on interest each quarter, with almost two-thirds of its Q2 revenue allocated to interest payments, leading to substantial net losses [7][8]. - New Fortress Energy has entered into forbearance agreements after missing interest payments, highlighting its weak financial health and reliance on the Puerto Rico deal for survival [6][11]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Despite the potential of the Puerto Rico contract, the company requires perfect execution to remain solvent and compete effectively against the S&P 500 [6][10]. - The stock's drastic decline suggests that it may not be a viable investment compared to more fundamentally sound companies, with the possibility of a meme rally as developments progress [10][11].
Better Consumer Staples ETF: Vanguard's VDC vs. Invesco's RSPS
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-28 15:24
Core Insights - Investors in the consumer staples sector face a choice between broader coverage with the Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC) and a focused strategy with the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Staples ETF (RSPS) [1] Cost and Size Comparison - VDC has a significantly lower expense ratio of 0.09% compared to RSPS's 0.40%, making it more cost-effective for long-term investors [3][4] - VDC has a much larger asset under management (AUM) of $8.6 billion versus RSPS's $236.3 million, indicating greater investor confidence and liquidity [3] Performance and Risk Analysis - Over the past year, VDC has outperformed RSPS with a return of -0.4% compared to RSPS's -2.6% [3] - VDC has a lower maximum drawdown of -16.55% over five years compared to RSPS's -18.64%, indicating better risk management [5] Portfolio Composition - VDC holds 103 stocks and is heavily weighted towards major consumer defensive companies like Walmart (14.53%), Costco (12.00%), and Procter & Gamble (10.09%), providing broader diversification [6] - RSPS, with only 36 holdings, employs an equal-weighted strategy, giving each stock the same influence, which can lead to less diversification and a focus on smaller companies [7][9] Investment Implications - VDC is suitable for investors seeking low costs and willing to have larger companies influence returns, while RSPS appeals to those wanting a pure representation of the consumer staples sector [11]
WBI Investments Dumps 82,000 VFLO Shares Worth $2.6 Million. Should This Cash Flow Yield ETF Have a Place in Your Portfolio?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-28 15:08
Core Insights - WBI Investments, LLC has reduced its holdings in the VictoryShares Free Cash Flow ETF (VFLO) by selling 82,398 shares, bringing its total position to 160,664 shares valued at $6.02 million, which is a decrease from 1.77% to 1.54% of the fund's AUM [2][3] Fund Overview - The VictoryShares Free Cash Flow ETF (VFLO) focuses on U.S. large- and mid-cap equities with strong free cash flow generation, employing a replication strategy to track its custom index [5][9] - VFLO's investment strategy involves selecting 50 U.S. companies with robust free cash flow characteristics, ensuring a balance between high free cash flow yield and growth potential [9][10] Performance Metrics - As of November 19, 2025, VFLO's price is $37.32, with a dividend yield of 1.57% and a 1-year total return of 18.3%, outperforming the S&P 500 index [3][6] Portfolio Composition - VFLO is among the top five holdings of WBI Investments, LLC, with a current AUM representation of 1.54%, indicating its significance within the fund [3][8] - The ETF's portfolio is constructed by filtering the largest 400 profitable companies down to the 75 highest free cash flow yielding value stocks, ultimately selecting 50 stocks of growing companies [7][10]
Prediction: This AI Stock Could Be the First New $2 Trillion Company in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-28 15:00
Three companies are all neck-and-neck in the race to $2 trillion.Artificial intelligence (AI) is responsible for adding trillions of dollars in value to a handful of companies over the last few years. Nvidia, for example, briefly touched a $5 trillion market cap this year, thanks to its dominant position in the market for graphics processing units (GPUs). Four other companies sit firmly above the $2 trillion threshold as we approach the new year.But three AI stocks currently have similar market caps around ...
3 Stock-Split Stocks to Buy and Hold for at Least a Decade
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-28 14:15
Core Insights - Companies often execute stock splits as a sign of strong performance and optimism for continued growth, which can attract investor interest [1] Group 1: Amazon - Amazon has executed four stock splits, with the latest being a 20-for-1 split in June 2022, resulting in a 170% increase in share price since then [4] - Amazon Web Services (AWS) is a leading global cloud provider, benefiting from the AI boom, with significant investments in custom AI chips to maintain market leadership [5] - The advertising segment is growing faster than e-commerce, with high margins and effective advertising opportunities leveraging first-party customer data [6] - In Q3, Amazon reported net sales of $180.2 billion (up 13% year over year) and operating income of $17.4 billion, with AWS growth at 20% [9] Group 2: Netflix - Netflix has performed multiple stock splits, with the most recent being a 10-for-1 split in November 2025 [10] - The company is expanding into high-growth areas like ad-supported tiers, gaming, and live sports, aiming for profitable expansion rather than just subscriber growth [11] - In Q3 2025, Netflix's revenue reached $11.5 billion (up 17% year over year) with an operating margin of 28% and free cash flow of $2.7 billion [12] Group 3: Nvidia - Nvidia has executed six stock splits, with the latest being a 10-for-1 split in June 2024, leading to a 55% increase in share price since then [17] - The company reported record revenue of $57 billion (up 62% year over year) in Q3 2026, driven by data center and GPU sales [18] - Nvidia holds an estimated 80% to 90% market share in the data center AI chip market, with a strong competitive advantage through its CUDA software platform [20][21] - Demand for Nvidia's next-generation chips remains high, with a backlog of $500 billion in orders, and the company is expanding into new markets like robotics and autonomous vehicles [23]
2 Growth Stocks to Buy and Hold Through 2035
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-28 13:45
Core Insights - Growth stocks are essential for long-term investors, emphasizing the importance of a long-term mindset to mitigate short-term market fluctuations [1][2] Group 1: Shopify - Shopify is the largest e-commerce software platform in the U.S., offering a comprehensive platform for businesses to sell online and in physical stores [4] - The company has shown consistent revenue growth, with a 32% year-over-year increase in revenue to $2.84 billion and GMV to $92 billion in Q3 2025 [6] - Shopify's operating income grew by 53%, and it achieved an 18% free cash flow margin for nine consecutive quarters [6] - The company is expanding internationally, with a 41% year-over-year increase in international GMV in Q3 2025 [7] - Shopify's stock has increased nearly 60% since the beginning of the year, reflecting positive investor sentiment towards its financial performance [8] Group 2: SoFi Technologies - SoFi Technologies operates a digital-first ecosystem that promotes high product cross-selling, aiming for significant growth in the next decade [9] - The company reported a 35% year-over-year growth in total members to over 12.6 million and a 36% increase in total products to nearly 18.6 million in Q3 2025 [10] - SoFi's fee-based revenue grew by 50% to $409 million, making up over 40% of overall revenue in Q3 2025 [10] - The company achieved a 38% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $950 million, with net income up 129% year-over-year to $139 million in Q3 [13] - SoFi's stock has risen over 90% since the start of 2025, driven by growth in its member base and product offerings [13]
Should You Forget AGNC Investment and Buy Realty Income Instead?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-28 13:22
Core Viewpoint - AGNC Investment offers a significantly higher dividend yield of 13.5% compared to Realty Income's 5.7%, but Realty Income is considered the better choice for investors seeking reliable and sustainable income streams [2][12]. Group 1: Investment Goals - Investors should define their goals before purchasing stocks, particularly focusing on generating substantial and sustainable income to cover living expenses [3]. - The challenge lies in finding companies that can maintain or grow their dividends over the long term, rather than just seeking high yields [5]. Group 2: Dividend Stability - AGNC Investment's dividend has been highly volatile, while Realty Income has demonstrated stability with a consistently rising dividend for three decades [8]. - Realty Income is designed to provide a reliable and growing dividend stream, making it more suitable for those needing dividends to supplement retirement income [12]. Group 3: Company Profiles - AGNC Investment operates by managing a portfolio of mortgages pooled into bond-like securities, focusing on maximizing total returns [9]. - Realty Income is a traditional property-owning REIT, primarily focused on single-tenant properties under net lease agreements, with a diverse portfolio across the U.S. and Europe [11]. Group 4: Yield Comparison - Realty Income's 5.7% yield is attractive compared to the S&P 500's 1.1% and the average REIT yield of 3.9%, despite being lower than AGNC's yield [12]. - AGNC's high yield may indicate potential risks, including the likelihood of dividend cuts, which are common in the mREIT sector [13].
Investors Beware: 2 Nuclear Energy Stocks That May Be Radioactive to Your Portfolio
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-28 13:08
Core Viewpoint - The performance of nuclear power stocks, particularly small modular reactors (SMRs), has been significantly influenced by recent government support, but financial sustainability remains a concern for companies like Oklo and Nano Nuclear Energy [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - The Global X Uranium ETF has seen a remarkable increase of 72% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500 [1]. - President Trump's executive orders in May have promoted American nuclear power, particularly SMRs, which has contributed to strong market performance [2]. Group 2: Company Overview - Oklo - Oklo is developing a microreactor called Aurora, which will utilize High-Assay Low-Enriched Uranium (HALEU) fuel to generate between 1.5 to 75 megawatts of electrical power [5]. - The company has received significant regulatory approvals, including a site use permit from the U.S. Department of Energy and a combined license application for an advanced reactor [6]. - Oklo has secured multiple contracts from the Department of Energy to develop its technology and build fuel fabrication plants [7]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - Oklo - Oklo anticipates its first reactor will be operational by 2027, with GAAP profit expected in 2030 and positive free cash flow by 2033 [8]. - The company currently has over $920 million in cash but is burning less than $40 million annually, with projected expenses exceeding $580 million over the next three years and close to $1 billion each year for the following four years [9]. - Analysts suggest that Oklo may run out of cash before achieving positive free cash flow, necessitating debt or stock sales, which could dilute shareholder value [10]. Group 4: Company Overview - Nano Nuclear Energy - Nano Nuclear Energy is diversifying its operations by not only focusing on microreactors for data centers but also exploring reactors for spacecraft and providing consulting services [11]. - The company is expected to start generating revenue in 2027 and profit by 2033, similar to Oklo, but has only about $200 million in cash, raising concerns about its financial viability [13]. Group 5: Financial Outlook - Nano Nuclear Energy - Analysts are hesitant to project future cash flows for Nano Nuclear Energy due to uncertainty about its financial stability [13]. - The company is perceived to be in a weaker financial position compared to Oklo, with a higher risk of failing to sustain operations [13].
What Does Ford's $19.5 Billion Bombshell Mean for Investors?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-28 12:53
Core Viewpoint - Ford Motor Company is pivoting away from full-electric vehicles (EVs) and reallocating investments towards higher-return opportunities, which includes a significant $19.5 billion restructuring plan aimed at driving profitable growth [3][4][6]. Group 1: Company Actions - Ford announced a $19.5 billion restructuring plan, which includes a pullback in full-electric vehicle investments and a focus on hybrid vehicles and other profitable segments [3][4][6]. - The company expects to incur approximately $19.5 billion in special charges, primarily in the fourth quarter, with an additional $5.5 billion through 2027 [6]. - Ford plans to repurpose its EV battery factory in Kentucky to produce batteries for data centers and energy infrastructure, investing around $2 billion over the next two years [10]. Group 2: Market Strategy - The automaker is shifting its focus from full-electric vehicles to hybrids and smaller, more affordable EVs, aiming for about 50% of its global volume to consist of hybrids and extended-range EVs by the end of the decade, up from 17% in 2025 [8]. - Ford's new strategy is a response to changing market conditions and aims to create a more resilient and profitable business model [8][12]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - Ford's Model e business is expected to show annual improvements starting in 2026, with a path to profitability by 2029, following losses exceeding $5 billion in 2024 [9]. - The company's current market capitalization stands at $53 billion, with a gross margin of 7.58% and a dividend yield of 4.51% [9].
These 4 Billionaires All Have 1 Genius AI Stock in Common, and It's Set to Skyrocket in 2026 (Hint: It's Not Nvidia)
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-28 12:30
Core Viewpoint - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is gaining attention among billionaire investors, indicating strong confidence in its future growth, particularly in the context of rising demand for artificial intelligence technologies [3][10]. Company Overview - TSMC is a significant player in the semiconductor industry, supplying chips to major competitors like Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom, which positions it favorably amidst increasing competition in the AI sector [7]. - The company has a market capitalization of $1.6 trillion and a gross margin of 57.75%, with a current stock price of $302.84 [9]. Investment Insights - Four prominent billionaires hold shares in TSMC, reflecting their bullish outlook on the company's prospects: Chase Coleman (4% of portfolio), Steve Mandel (6.2%), David Tepper (4%), and Daniel Loeb (3.7%) [8]. - TSMC's stock has shown stability, with a slight increase of around 3% since the last reported holdings, suggesting continued investor confidence [11]. Market Context - Nvidia projects global data center capital expenditures to reach $3 trillion to $4 trillion by 2030, a significant increase from $600 billion in 2025, which bodes well for TSMC as a key chip supplier [9]. - The anticipated growth in the computing market is estimated to be around $1 trillion by 2030, further enhancing TSMC's market position [9]. Future Outlook - TSMC is expected to experience substantial growth as demand for AI technologies ramps up, with projections indicating it could "skyrocket" in 2026 [3][12]. - The company's valuation at 23 times 2026 earnings is considered reasonable compared to peers, making it an attractive investment opportunity [13].