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Software is Eating Labor
a16z· 2025-10-03 13:01
The worldwide SAS market is about $300 billion uh per year. The labor market in the US alone is 13 trillion. What software is now going after, the prize that it's going after is the labor market. Almost every software company has basically taken a filing cabinet and turned it into a database. But what's happening now is the whole thing is effectively done endto end. I'm going to talk about how software eats labor. Um and uh you know first Mark wrote an essay for the Wall Street Journal a long time ago about ...
China Has Mass. Can America Catch Up?
a16z· 2025-09-29 13:00
Manufacturing & Industrial Base - US technological superiority is not sufficient for winning conflicts; industrial production has a deterrence factor and mass matters [1] - The US systematically outsourced key-scaled manufacturing, eroding skill sets, and now lags in mass manufacturing at scale [1] - The US needs to address the skilled labor replacement problem in manufacturing, as many skilled workers are nearing retirement [2] - China has strategically controlled rare earths and magnet-making technology, creating supply chain bottlenecks [3] - China's manufacturing autonomy is estimated to be 20 years ahead of the US due to a lack of pressure to put software engineering automation in manufacturing [3] Defense & National Security - US war games show that the US would run out of key high-end munitions in about 8 days, which is not a deterrence factor [1] - Russia is currently outproducing NATO on 155 munitions, highlighting the need for increased production capacity [4] - The US lacks a strategic plan for preserving supply in a catastrophic situation [4] - China has invested in technologies that push back the US and cripple the US war apparatus, such as space-based sensing and carrier killer missiles [20][21] - The US military is better at infusing technology into war fighting, but faces challenges in producing enough at scale and affording it [4] Policy & Economic Strategies - The US government should create large offtake agreements to support domestic manufacturing and create a commercial market [5] - The US needs to identify key supply chain constraints and implement strategies such as stockpiling and regulatory relaxation [5] - The US should leverage its capital market system to create incentives for industries to grow, such as low-cost loans and risk-sharing with banks [5][9] - China's success is due to subsidizing capex, energy, and export subsidies, creating an uneven playing field [7] - The US should counteract unfair practices from other countries and incentivize growth through targeted policies and protectionism [13]
The Common Thread of All Technology: Monitoring the Situation, Ep.1
a16z· 2025-09-27 15:02
Investment Philosophy & Strategy - A16Z views technology as a unifying force across various sectors, including gaming, crypto, and American Dynamism, emphasizing their interconnectedness and shared foundations in technological progress [2] - The firm emphasizes the importance of the "Techno Optimist Manifesto" as a coherent thesis underlying all building and innovation, highlighting the universal journey of founders across different sectors [1] - A16Z sees crypto as a freedom-promoting technology that complements American values by providing mechanisms for capital movement, property rights, and free payments, especially in scenarios where America may not be freedom-promoting [2] - The company recognizes the philosophical alignment between founders in crypto and American Dynamism, noting their shared understanding of America's problems and the need for building solutions [2] Industry Trends & Observations - The discussion highlights a shift in how the current generation understands medicine, with the internet becoming a primary source of information and individuals actively engaging with medical data and seeking second opinions [3][4] - The report notes a potential over-diagnosis of ADHD in young boys, with 23% of 17-year-old boys in America receiving such a diagnosis, raising questions about the incentives driving these diagnoses [6] - The analysis points out the fragmentation of internet culture, with isolated pockets forming around specific interests like gaming, making it difficult for outsiders to understand their nuances [56][58] - X (formerly Twitter) is identified as a unifying platform and a valuable source of ground truth due to its open graph, dialogical nature, and the presence of a generation adept at translating across different platforms [61][64][71] Societal & Cultural Commentary - The discussion touches on the increasing opportunity cost of having children due to career aspirations and international travel, as well as the decline of the multigenerational family unit, which traditionally provided support for childcare [41][42] - The report reflects on the reactions to the Charlie Kirk assassination, highlighting a gap between Zoomer culture and mainstream understanding, emphasizing the need to recognize the diversity and unintelligibility of online cultures [49][55] - The company acknowledges the potential benefits of boredom and exposure to diverse perspectives in traditional schooling, suggesting that these experiences can be valuable for children's development [32][33]
Why Hyperlinks are Blue
a16z· 2025-09-26 15:27
Why are hyperlinks blue. Cuz I like blue. Is that why.Yes. Nice firm color. It's easy to see.A lot of graphics computers at that time only had 256 total colors. You can kind of see all 256 colors. It's kind of like take your pick your pick.So, I mean, they they had to be something that like actually stood out on the page. And so, it was basically going to be blue, red, purple, green. I don't like those other colors.That's crazy. ...
From Vibe Coding to Vibe Researching: OpenAI’s Mark Chen and Jakub Pachocki
a16z· 2025-09-25 13:00
The big thing that we are targeting is producing an automated researcher. So automating the discovery of new ideas. The next set of evals and milestone that we're looking at will involve actual movement on things that are economically relevant. And I was talking to some some high schoolers and they're saying, "Oh, you know, actually the default way to code is vibe coding. I I do think you know the future hopefully will be vibe researching. " Thanks for coming Jacob and Mark. Jacob, you're the chief scientis ...
Ben Horowitz on Passion: "Don't follow your passion, follow your contribution.
a16z· 2025-09-24 22:03
Don't follow your passion. What you take out of the world over time is much less important than what you put into the world. And so my recommendation would be follow your contribution.Find the thing that you're great at. Put that into the world. Contribute to others.Help the world be better. Think for yourself. And that is the thing to. ...
Mark Cuban on AI
a16z· 2025-09-22 16:49
AI Talent & Business Acumen - AI native individuals are in high demand [1] - A business background combined with AI skills is highly valuable for small companies [1] - Individuals with both business knowledge and AI expertise can offer significant assistance to companies [1]
Write Things Down
a16z· 2025-09-18 18:29
The person who writes down the thing has tremendous power independent of their actual formal role in an organization or in the world. There are so few people who will write down the thing. We see this at companies all the time which is one of the ways you find like the upandcomers at a tech company.It's like, okay, who wrote down the. ...
The Little Tech Agenda for AI
a16z· 2025-09-08 13:01
There have been these big institutional players in DC in the state capitals for a very long time. There wasn't anyone who was actually advocating on behalf of the startups and entrepreneurs, the smaller builders in the space. They're trying to build models that might compete with Microsoft or OpenAI or Meta or Google for those companies.What are the regulatory frameworks that would actually work for them as opposed to making that competition even more difficult than it already is. Regulate use, do not regul ...
The Top 100 Most Used AI Apps in 2025
a16z· 2025-08-27 13:00
Hi, I'm Justine. And I'm Olivia. And welcome back to the A16Z podcast. Today we're going to be discussing the consumer AI top 100 list. So Olivia, let's start because you are compiling the list and you've been doing this for a while. What is this list and kind of what's the purpose of it? So this is our fifth time doing this list. We do it every six months. We started at basically the dawn of the consumer genai era. And the purpose is just to get a sense of what real consumers are actually using in AI. Uh s ...