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全球资金观察系列108:宽基ETF回流19亿元
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-06-02 03:22
Northbound Capital Flow - The largest net inflow sectors this week were cyclical (2.46 billion CNY), technology (1.32 billion CNY), and public services (0.93 billion CNY) [1] - The sectors with the largest net outflows were consumer (-6.10 billion CNY), large financials (-1.84 billion CNY), and pharmaceuticals and cosmetics (-1.81 billion CNY) [1] - The top five stocks with net inflows were Zijin Mining (0.90 billion CNY), Changjiang Power (0.88 billion CNY), and Lianqi Technology (0.69 billion CNY) [1] - The largest net outflows were from Kweichow Moutai (-2.39 billion CNY) and China Merchants Bank (-0.79 billion CNY) [1] Global Capital Flow - Global capital inflows into bonds and equities were 5.1 billion USD and 1.8 billion USD, respectively, while outflows from the money market were 6.7 billion USD [16] - The 10-year to 2-year U.S. Treasury yield spread has narrowed, indicating a shift in capital towards U.S. bonds [4] - The current 10-year U.S.-China Treasury yield spread is -2.22%, reflecting a widening inversion [9] - In the U.S. equity market, the largest inflows were into utilities (0.35 billion USD) and consumer goods (0.14 billion USD), while the largest outflows were from technology (-1.19 billion USD) and financials (-0.81 billion USD) [45] Southbound Capital Flow - Southbound capital saw net inflows of 62.9 billion HKD into financials, 43.7 billion HKD into energy, and 27.9 billion HKD into consumer discretionary [10] - The sectors with the largest net outflows were real estate (-5 billion HKD) and utilities (-1.2 billion HKD) [10]
实体经济图谱2024年第20期:价格普遍回升
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-06-02 02:22
强化逆周期和跨周期调节,综合运用多种货币政策工具,保持流动性合理充裕。3)坚持稳中求进工作总基调,坚定不移走中国特色金融发展之路,加快建设金融强国,建 设现代中央银行制度,着力推动高质量发展。4)深入推进利率市场化改革,发挥央行政策利率引导作用,持续释放LPR改革效能和存款利率市场化调整机制重要作用。 图11 机械子行业营业收入同比增速(%) -20 -10 0 10 20 30 22/4 22/10 23/4 23/10 24/4 通用设备 专用设备 铁路船舶 电气机械 仪器仪表 化工:本周PTA产业链产品价格上行,负荷率均回升 生产 本周PTA产业链产品价格上行,主因原油价格震荡上涨, PTA装置负荷仍处低位,反映供应端偏紧,推动PTA产业 链产品价格均有上行。由于需求方面纺织市场整体表现良 好,聚酯工厂去库明显,新产品受到市场欢迎,终端需求 有所增强,带动本周PTA产业链负荷率上行,其中PTA工 厂、聚酯工厂、江浙织机均上行。本周纯碱开工率下行, 石油沥青装置开工率上行。由于生产偏弱,叠加下游订单 需求旺盛,本周涤纶POY库存有所去化。 11 钢铁:本周钢价上行、毛利改善,钢材产量增速回升,厂库补、社库 ...
石头科技:新品延续爆款表现,618大促首周市占登顶
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-06-02 02:02
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4][29]. Core Viewpoints - The company achieved a leading market share of 33.86% in the online sales of robotic vacuum cleaners during the first week of the 618 shopping festival, marking an increase of 11.39 percentage points year-on-year [4][9]. - The average selling price of the company's products increased by 15.2% to 4163 yuan during the same period, driven by the launch of upgraded models [4][12]. - The company is expected to maintain strong sales momentum with its new products, particularly the P10S Pro and G20S, which ranked among the top 10 best-selling models [4][16]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - The company topped the domestic market share during the 618 shopping festival, achieving a 33.86% online sales market share [4][9]. - The average price of the company's products rose to 4163 yuan, reflecting a 15.2% increase due to the introduction of higher-priced models [4][12]. 2. Product Performance - The P10S Pro and G20S models were among the top 10 best-selling robotic vacuum cleaners, with market shares of 10.01% and 3.94% respectively [4][16][17]. - The G20S model, priced at an average of 5706 yuan, is noted for its strong performance in the high-end market segment [4][26]. 3. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 112.73 billion yuan, 145.59 billion yuan, and 186.86 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [5][29]. - Corresponding net profits are expected to be 25.86 billion yuan, 33.16 billion yuan, and 42.24 billion yuan for the same years [5][29].
立高食品:重视产品开发,利润率改善可期
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-06-02 02:02
以报告发布日后 6 个月内,证券相对于市场基准指数的涨跌幅为标准: 买入:相对同期相关证券市场代表性指数涨幅大于 10%; 增持:相对同期相关证券市场代表性指数涨幅在 5%~10%之间; 中性:相对同期相关证券市场代表性指数涨幅在-5%~5%之间; 减持:相对同期相关证券市场代表性指数涨幅小于-5%; 无评级:由于我们无法获取必要的资料,或者公司面临无法预见结果的重大不确定性事件,或者其他原因,致使我们无法 给出明确的投资评级。 A 股市场代表性指数以沪深 300 指数为基准;香港市场代表性指数以恒生指数为基准;美国市场代表性指数以标普 500 指 数为基准。 本报告仅供财通证券股份有限公司的客户使用。本公司不会因接收人收到本报告而视其为本公司的当然客户。 本报告的信息来源于已公开的资料,本公司不保证该等信息的准确性、完整性。本报告所载的资料、工具、意见及推测只 提供给客户作参考之用,并非作为或被视为出售或购买证券或其他投资标的邀请或向他人作出邀请。 本报告所载的资料、意见及推测仅反映本公司于发布本报告当日的判断,本报告所指的证券或投资标的价格、价值及投资 收入可能会波动。在不同时期,本公司可发出与本报告所载 ...
常青科技:以技术奠定龙头地位,用创新打造基业常青
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-06-02 01:22
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [76]. Core Viewpoints - The company leverages its alkylation reaction technology to produce high-end and customized products, positioning itself as a leader in the fine chemical sector [77]. - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth from 2024 to 2026, with projected revenues of 1.25 billion, 1.87 billion, and 2.32 billion yuan respectively, alongside net profits of 264 million, 382 million, and 494 million yuan [78]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of specialty polymer monomers and additives, contributing to the manufacturing and performance enhancement of downstream polymer materials [35][36]. - Established in June 2010, the company has continuously improved its product quality and expanded its production capacity, with a focus on high-performance polymer materials [8]. Product Analysis - The company produces high-value specialty chemical products, including divinylbenzene and α-methylstyrene, which are used in ion exchange resins and modified acrylic resins [3][43]. - The company has a robust production capacity, with existing and planned capacities of 85,000 tons/year for specialty polymer monomers and 28,000 tons/year for specialty additives [36][84]. Market Trends - The demand for ion exchange resins in water treatment is expected to grow, with the market for ion exchange resins in China projected to exceed 300,000 tons by 2026 [16]. - The domestic market for acrylic resins is experiencing a significant supply gap, with α-methylstyrene expected to reduce reliance on imported products [43][134]. Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 1.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.75%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20% from 2018 to 2023 [37][75]. - The company's net profit for 2023 was 213 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.50% [37][75]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from its ongoing capacity expansion projects, with new production lines anticipated to come online by October 2025, which will enhance its market position and profitability [90][116]. - The report forecasts a stable gross margin for the company's products, driven by their high-end positioning and customization capabilities [151][162].
智能驾驶软件及数据壁垒解析24
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-05-31 15:37
大家好欢迎参加台通计算机智能驾驶软件及数据壁垒解析电话会议目前所有参会者均处于静音状态现在开始播放你的声明声明播放完毕后主持人可直接开始发言 本次会议请面向财通证券的受邀嘉宾在任何情况下财通证券研究人员及演讲嘉宾所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议投资者应充分了解各类投资风险自主做出决策并自行承担投资风险未经财通证券及演讲嘉宾书面授权许可任何机构和个人不得以任何形式转发复制引用会议的内容与观点包括不得制作镜像及指向链接 不得传播音频视频图片文字等内容如有上述行为财通证券保留追究相关方法律责任的权利会议助理我们现在可以开始了吗可以了主持人可以开始发言了各位投资者晚上好 欢迎各位来参加我们今天的以智能驾驶的软件和数据壁垒为主题的电话会然后我们也是邀请到了国内在智能驾驶软件端非常有经验的一位专家首先我们在这次会议里面会探讨三个大类的问题第一个大类是关于咱们的智能驾驶目前的 一个整体方案的壁垒到底是哪个到底是在哪里第二点是关于咱们现在海内外的一个智能驾驶的进展以及对比第三块也是大家比较关心的就是关于特斯拉的情况 然后首先我先来问一下关于咱们软件这块的一个情况请问专家关于软件端我们知道智能驾驶现在整体链条会分为感知融 ...
江淮汽车:肥西超级工厂开启招聘,与华为合作持续深化
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-05-31 14:22
江淮汽车(600418) / 商用车 / 公司点评 / 2024.05.31 与华为合作持续》 肥西超级工厂开启招聘, 因 投资评级:增持(维持) | --- | --- | |-------------------|------------| | 基本數据 | 2024-05-31 | | 收盘价(元) | 16.11 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 21.84 | | 每股净资产(元) | 6.13 | | 总股本(亿股) | 21.84 | | 最近 12月市场表现 | | 邢重阳 分析师 SAC 证书编号: S0160522110003 xingcy01@ctsec.com 李渤 分析师 SAC 证书编号: S0160521050001 libo(@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《发力高端智能纯电动乘用车,华为 赋能未来可期》 2024-03-06 2. 《1月销量同比大增, 海外市场需求 持续旺盛》 2024-02-20 3. 《12 月销量同比稳健增长,持续推 核心观点 � & � � � 事件:根据中国证券报的内容,5月30日江淮肥西"超级工厂"已经开启招 聘,该工厂负责生产江淮和华为的合作 ...
汽车行业点评报告:极氪IPO点评报告-募资投向技术研发,产品组合有望持续扩大
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-05-31 08:22
汽车 /行业点评报告 /2024.05.31 极氪 IPO 点评报告 证券研究报告 投资评级:看好(维持) 募资投向技术研发,产品组合有望持续扩大 最近12月市场表现 核心观点 ❖ 事件:2024 年 5 月 10 日,吉利控股集团旗下的高端新能源汽车品牌极氪在 汽车 沪深300 上证指数 美国纽约证券交易所挂牌上市。极氪本次IPO以每股21美元的价格累计发行 16% 2100万股ADS,每只ADS代表10股普通股,募集资金总额预计约为4.41亿 10% 美元,占极氪总股本9.1%。 3% -3% ❖ 募资投向技术研发,产品组合有望持续扩大:极氪本次 IPO 在扣除相关 -10% 费用后,预计将收到约 4.203 亿美元。其中极氪公司预计用 45%的资金,即 -16% 1.891亿美元用于开发更先进的纯电动汽车技术,以及扩大产品组合;另外45% 资金用于销售和营销以及扩展公司的服务和收费网络;剩余的 10%的资金约 4210万美元用于一般的企业用途,包括营运资金管理等。 分析师 邢重阳 SAC证书编号:S0160522110003 xingcy01@ctsec.com ❖ 四款在售车型,覆盖主流电动车市场:极 ...
智能驾驶软件及数据壁垒解析
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-05-31 01:16
大家好欢迎参加台通计算机智能驾驶软件及数据壁垒解析电话会议目前所有参会者均处于静音状态现在开始播放你的声明声明播放完毕后主持人可直接开始发言 本次会议请面向财通证券的受邀嘉宾在任何情况下财通证券研究人员及演讲嘉宾所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议投资者应充分了解各类投资风险自主做出决策并自行承担投资风险未经财通证券及演讲嘉宾书面授权许可任何机构和个人不得以任何形式转发复制引用会议的内容与观点包括不得制作镜像及指向链接 不得传播音频视频图片文字等内容如有上述行为财通证券保留追究相关方法律责任的权利会议助理我们现在可以开始了吗可以了主持人可以开始发言了好的好的各位投资者晚上好 欢迎各位来参加我们今天的这个以智能驾驶的软件和数据壁垒为主题的电话会然后我们也是邀请到了国内在智能驾驶软件端非常有经验的一位专家首先我们在这次会议里面会探讨三个大类的问题第一个大类是关于咱们的智能驾驶目前的 一个整体方案的壁垒到底是在哪里第二点是关于咱们现在海内外的一个智能驾驶的进展以及对比第三块也是大家比较关心的就是关于特斯拉的情况 然后首先我先来问一下关于咱们软件这块的一个情况请问专家关于软件端我们知道智能驾驶现在整体链条会分为感知 ...
贵州茅台:坚守本质,行稳致远
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-05-31 00:22
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7][13]. Core Views - The company aims for stable, healthy, and sustainable development while maintaining its core competitiveness, which includes quality, brand, craftsmanship, environment, and culture [6][15]. - The new chairman, Zhang Deqin, has a strong background in the company and is expected to lead future development more steadily [6]. - The financial targets for 2024 include a total revenue growth of approximately 15%, with a focus on direct sales and price increases to support performance [16]. Financial Performance and Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 87.5 billion, 101.6 billion, and 117.4 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.1%, 16.0%, and 15.6% [7][17]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 150.56 billion yuan in 2023 to 175.73 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 16.71% [17]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 59.49 yuan in 2023 to 69.69 yuan in 2024 [17]. Management and Strategy - The company emphasizes the importance of quality over quantity in production, with a commitment to maintaining high standards in craftsmanship and environmental protection [6][15]. - The management plans to invest 6.179 billion yuan in key projects, including technological upgrades for production [16].