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中国巨石:销量增势向好,Q2盈利能力有所修复
Great Wall Securities· 2024-08-28 11:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Jushi (600176.SH) [1][3] Core Views - The company has shown a positive sales trend, with Q2 profitability recovering. In Q2 2024, the company achieved revenue of 4.357 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.77%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 611 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 46.50% [2][3] - The company has implemented multiple measures to improve profitability, including product price recovery and structural adjustments, resulting in a significant increase in sales volume. The sales volume of roving and products increased by 22.57% year-on-year [2][3] - The company continues to expand its production capacity, with the successful ignition of the second production line at the Huai'an zero-carbon intelligent manufacturing base, which is expected to enhance economies of scale [2] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.31 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 24%. The projected net profits for 2025 and 2026 are 3.099 billion yuan and 3.402 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 34.2% and 9.8% [1][3] - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 16.334 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.8% [1][3] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline to 7.6% in 2024, with a gradual recovery to 10.1% by 2026 [1][3]
华利集团:24H1业绩实现快速增长,盈利能力进一步提升
Great Wall Securities· 2024-08-28 11:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of 5% to 15% relative to the industry index over the next six months [1]. Core Insights - The company achieved rapid growth in H1 2024, with revenue reaching 11.472 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.54%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.878 billion yuan, up 29.04% year-on-year [1][2]. - The gross margin improved to 28.23%, an increase of 3.63 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin rose to 16.37%, up 0.57 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company continues to optimize processes and enhance operational capabilities, leading to improved profitability metrics [2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (in million yuan): - 2022A: 20,569 - 2023A: 20,114 - 2024E: 23,683 - 2025E: 27,483 - 2026E: 31,205 - Year-on-year growth rates: - 2022: 17.7% - 2023: -2.2% - 2024E: 17.7% - 2025E: 16.0% - 2026E: 13.5% [1][6]. - Net profit (in million yuan): - 2022A: 3,228 - 2023A: 3,200 - 2024E: 3,873 - 2025E: 4,495 - 2026E: 5,138 [1][6]. - EPS (latest diluted): - 2022A: 2.77 - 2023A: 2.74 - 2024E: 3.32 - 2025E: 3.85 - 2026E: 4.40 [1][6]. Product and Market Performance - The company reported significant growth across various product lines, with revenue from sports casual shoes, outdoor boots, and sandals increasing by 24.00%, 27.16%, and 31.21% respectively [2]. - The U.S. market showed remarkable growth, achieving revenue of 9.930 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.79% [2]. - The company anticipates continued revenue growth across all product categories due to a stable consumer market for sports shoes and improved inventory levels among sports brands [2]. Future Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading global manufacturer of sports shoes, with expectations for further expansion and cost reduction through increased production capacity and growing customer orders [2]. - EPS forecasts for 2024-2026 are 3.32 yuan, 3.85 yuan, and 4.40 yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 19.4X, 16.8X, and 14.7X [2].
福斯特:24H1业绩稳健,海外布局彰显龙头信心
Great Wall Securities· 2024-08-28 10:19
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index within the next six months [10]. Core Views - The company demonstrated stable performance in H1 2024, with revenue reaching 10.764 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.39%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 928 million yuan, up 4.95% year-on-year [1]. - The company continues to expand its overseas production capacity, with expectations for total capacity in Thailand and Vietnam to reach approximately 600 million square meters by 2025, which is anticipated to enhance profitability [1]. - The photovoltaic film shipments increased significantly, with H1 2024 shipments of approximately 1.389 billion square meters, a year-on-year growth of 43.61% [1]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue**: The company reported revenues of 18,877 million yuan in 2022, projected to grow to 34,186 million yuan by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.0% [1][6]. - **Net Profit**: The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 1,579 million yuan in 2022 to 3,362 million yuan in 2026, reflecting a CAGR of 21.4% [1][6]. - **EPS**: The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.61 yuan in 2022 to 1.29 yuan in 2026 [1][6]. - **P/E Ratio**: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 23.1 in 2022 to 10.8 by 2026, indicating improved valuation attractiveness [1][6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company holds a market share exceeding 50% in the photovoltaic film sector, solidifying its position as an industry leader [1]. - The report highlights the company's strong R&D capabilities and customer channel advantages, with notable clients in the electronics materials sector [1]. - The expansion into new materials and the increasing demand in the PCB industry due to AI advancements are expected to further drive growth [1].
昆药集团:收入端短期承压,品牌+渠道赋能初见成效
Great Wall Securities· 2024-08-28 10:19
证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2024 年 08 月 25 日 昆药集团(600422.SH) 收入端短期承压,品牌+渠道赋能初见成效 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------------------|-----------------|-----------------|-----------------|-----------------|----------------|------------------------------------|-----------| | 财务指标 \n营业收入(百万元) | 2022A \n8,282 | 2023A \n7,703 | 2024E \n8,311 | 2025E \n9,219 | 2026E \n10,044 | 买入(维持评级) \n股票信息 | | | 增长率 yoy ( % ) | 0.3 | -7.0 | 7.9 | 10.9 | 8.9 | | | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 383 | 445 | 528 | 760 | 972 ...
珀莱雅:大单品战略+多品牌矩阵,奠定国货美妆龙头地位
Great Wall Securities· 2024-08-28 10:19
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Proya (603605 SH) [1] Core Views - Proya is a leading domestic cosmetics company with over 20 years of industry experience, focusing on building a new domestic cosmetics industry platform [1] - The company has formed a multi-brand matrix covering skincare, makeup, haircare, and high-efficacy skincare, with brands like Proya, Yuefuti, Caitang, Off&Relax, CORRECTORS, INSBAHA, Youzilai, and Hanya [1] - Proya's revenue in 2023 reached 8 89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39 74%, and Q1 2024 revenue was 2 181 billion yuan, up 34 55% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - Revenue is expected to grow from 6 385 billion yuan in 2022 to 17 015 billion yuan in 2026, with a CAGR of 26 3% from 2024 to 2026 [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to increase from 817 million yuan in 2022 to 2 32 billion yuan in 2026, with a CAGR of 27 9% from 2024 to 2026 [1] - ROE is expected to remain above 25% from 2024 to 2026, indicating strong profitability [1] Industry Analysis - Domestic cosmetics consumption per capita increased from 181 yuan in 2017 to 407 yuan in 2022, and is expected to reach 600 yuan by 2025 [2] - Live streaming e-commerce shows significant growth potential, with Douyin's cosmetics sales during 618 in 2024 increasing by 107% year-on-year [2] - Male skincare market is growing rapidly, with sales on Douyin increasing by 147% during 618 in 2024 [25] Company Strategy - Proya's core strategy focuses on developing star products, with the "Double Anti" and "Ruby" series being the most successful [2] - The company has formed a multi-brand matrix, with Caitang, OR, and Yuefuti contributing significantly to revenue growth [5] - Proya has strengthened its online channels, with online revenue accounting for 93 07% of total revenue in 2023 [13] Product Development - Proya has developed four major product series: Double Anti, Ruby, Source Power, and Energy [2] - The company launched the Energy series in 2023, targeting the anti-aging market with products priced between 450-550 yuan [27] - Caitang focuses on Chinese-style makeup, with products like the Master Multi-Effect Primer and Porcelain Foundation [29] R&D Capabilities - Proya invested 174 million yuan in R&D in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 35 59% [31] - The company has 322 R&D personnel, with 88 82% holding bachelor's degrees or higher [32] - Proya holds 348 patents, including key patents for its core products [33] Marketing Strategy - Proya pioneered the "Early C, Late A" skincare concept in China, which has become deeply associated with the brand [37] - The company uses short dramas on Douyin to engage with female consumers, with some series reaching over 700 million views [36] - Caitang emphasizes Chinese aesthetics in its marketing, with products inspired by traditional Chinese culture [37] Valuation and Forecast - Proya's 2024-2026 EPS is forecasted at 3 85 yuan, 4 81 yuan, and 5 85 yuan, respectively [47] - The company's 2024-2026 PE ratios are 21 7X, 17 4X, and 14 3X, respectively [47] - Proya's revenue growth is expected to outpace industry peers, with a projected CAGR of 24 10% from 2024 to 2026 [40]
中煤能源:煤炭高长协经营持稳,煤化工盈利改善
Great Wall Securities· 2024-08-28 10:19
中煤能源(601898.SH) | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------| | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | 营业收入(百万元) | 220,577 | 192,969 | 186,529 | 190,577 | 194,700 | | 增长率 yoy(%) | -8.0 | -12.5 | -3.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 18,259 | 19,534 | 19,637 | 20,425 | 21,220 | | 增长率 yoy(%) | 32.9 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 3.9 | | ROE(%) | 15.4 | 14.1 | 13.2 | 12.3 | 11.5 | | EPS 最新摊薄(元) | 1.38 | 1.47 | 1.48 | 1.54 | 1.60 | | P/E(倍) | 9.4 | 8 ...
建霖家居:业绩符合预期,员工持股提振信心
Great Wall Securities· 2024-08-28 10:19
2024-04-02 证券研究报告|公司动态点评 2024 年 08 月 26 日 建霖家居(603408.SH) 业绩符合预期,员工持股提振信心 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------|------------------------------------------|----------| | | | | | | | | | | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 增持(维持评级) | | | 营业收入(百万元) | 4,186 | 4,334 | 5,034 | 5,805 | 6,667 | 股票信息 | | | 增长率 yoy ( % ) | -11.2 | 3.5 | 16.2 | 15.3 | 14.9 | | | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 458 | 425 | 511 | 583 | 667 | 行业 ...
联瑞新材:24Q2归母净利润环比高增27%,乘HBM封装材料之风迎未来成长
Great Wall Securities· 2024-08-28 10:19
Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [1] Core Views - The company has experienced significant growth in revenue and net profit due to the recovery in semiconductor demand, with a 41.15% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2024 [1][6] - The company is positioned to benefit from the high-bandwidth memory (HBM) packaging materials market, which is expected to grow significantly in the coming years [1][6] - The focus on high-end chip packaging and advanced materials for applications in AI, 5G, and HPC is expected to drive future growth [1][6] Financial Summary - For Q2 2024, the company reported revenue of 241 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19.18%, and a net profit of 66 million yuan, up 27.36% quarter-on-quarter [4][5] - The gross margin improved to 42.79%, benefiting from an increased proportion of high-end products [4][5] - The company’s revenue for the first half of 2024 reached 443.36 million yuan, with a net profit of 117.49 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 60.86% [7][9] Market Position and Growth Potential - The global HBM market is projected to grow from approximately 2.005 billion USD in 2023 to 4.976 billion USD by 2025, indicating a strong market opportunity for the company [1][6] - The company is recognized as a leading domestic supplier of functional powder materials, poised to benefit from the anticipated explosion in advanced packaging demand [1][6] - The forecasted net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 248 million yuan, 314 million yuan, and 385 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 30.9, 24.5, and 19.9 [1][11]
马应龙:治痔产品及大健康表现较好,医药商业修复增长
Great Wall Securities· 2024-08-28 10:19
证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2024 年 08 月 28 日 马应龙(600993.SH) 治痔产品及大健康表现较好,医药商业修复增长 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------|------------------------------------------|-----------| | | | | | | | | | | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 增持(维持评级) | | | 营业收入(百万元) | 3,532 | 3,137 | 3,532 | 3,925 | 4,264 | 股票信息 | | | 增长率 yoy ( % ) | 4.4 | -11.2 | 12.6 | 11.1 | 8.6 | | | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 479 | 443 | 585 | 676 | 774 | 行业 | 医 ...
扬杰科技:海外业务回暖&半导体景气回升,24年H1业绩同比稳健增长
Great Wall Securities· 2024-08-28 10:18
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index within the next six months [12]. Core Views - The company is experiencing a short-term performance pressure, but several new products are set to enter mass production, indicating potential for growth [1]. - The overseas business is recovering, and the semiconductor industry is expected to see a rebound, leading to stable growth in H1 2024 [2]. - The company is actively promoting its products in various markets, including industrial, photovoltaic energy storage, new energy vehicles, and artificial intelligence, resulting in increased orders and shipments [4]. - The company is accelerating the construction of its Vietnam factory and expanding its overseas presence, which is expected to enhance its market share and brand recognition [4]. - The semiconductor demand is showing a mild recovery, particularly in automotive electronics and consumer electronics, which is anticipated to drive the company's growth [4]. Financial Summary - In H1 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.865 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.16%, and a net profit of 425 million yuan, up 3.43% year-on-year [3]. - The company's gross margin for H1 2024 was 29.63%, with a net margin of 14.75% [4]. - The company expects its net profit for 2024 to be 975 million yuan, with EPS projected at 1.79 yuan per share [6][8].