| | | 2、百度（9888):全日收82.65元，投資者問是否有支持位？從日線圖看，在保利加通道中線跌至底部，甚至已經跌穿底部的支持。而周線圖看股價也跌回中 線下方，走勢不是很理想。技術信號的總結為"強力賣出"，賣出信號多過買入。進一步再跌的話，參考市場數據，比如我們數據系統分析的78.8元。再跌則 下試試周線圖的底部76.4元。 1、恆指：指數全日收23544點。投資者認為指數低於23500以下可以小注搏反彈。而看空投資者認為恒指會繼續下行考驗23000的支持位。走勢上，恆指維持橫盤格 局，整體變化不大。技術信號轉弱一些，信號總結為"買入"，未能到"強力買入"的信號。支持和阻力位可參考22815點和24000點。 3、周大福（1929）：全日收11.46元。投資者問是否會挑戰12元位置？走勢上，維持向上的趨勢，從2月初開始，股價從7元一路上行，走勢理想。目前技術 信號為"強力買入"，走勢也維持上行趨勢。第一阻力先參考保利加通道頂部11.64元。突破則參考我們數據分析的阻力位11.9元。這兩組數據暫時都低於12 元。窩輪市場上，暫時沒有追高的投資者，早前在9元有人部署認購證。 | 信號總結 | 賣出信號 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Views - The company's revenue for FY2025 reached 30.6 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 13%, primarily driven by the rapid growth of its pharmaceutical platform business [10][11] - The adjusted net profit for FY2025 was 1.95 billion yuan, an increase of 36% year-on-year, with an adjusted net profit margin of 6.37% [11] - The company is actively exploring AI in healthcare to enhance operational efficiency across various scenarios, including AI-driven product search engines and knowledge platforms for medical professionals [11] Revenue Summary - The company's pharmaceutical self-operated revenue was 26.1 billion yuan, up 10% year-on-year, supported by a 33.6% increase in the number of self-operated B2C retail SKUs to 1.23 million [10] - E-commerce platform service revenue was 3.6 billion yuan, a significant increase of 54%, driven by the health category advertising business, with the number of platform merchants growing by 35% to 48,300 [10] - Revenue from healthcare and digital services declined by 8% to 890 million yuan [10] Profit Summary - The adjusted net profit margin improved by 1 percentage point year-on-year, while the gross margin increased by 2.5 percentage points to 24.3% [11] - The fulfillment expense ratio decreased by 0.5 percentage points to 8.4%, indicating improved operational efficiency in warehousing, logistics, and customer service [11] - The company has potential for further optimization in sales and fulfillment expense ratios, suggesting continued improvement in profitability [11] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for FY2026 and FY2027 are estimated at 33.5 billion yuan and 36.4 billion yuan, respectively, with adjusted net profits of 2.3 billion yuan and 2.8 billion yuan [3][18] - The forecast for FY2028 includes revenue of 39.4 billion yuan and an adjusted net profit of 3.2 billion yuan [3][18]

恒生科技指数跌超2%，阿里健康跌超6%，联想跌超5%。 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.55%, down 131 points, closing at 23,695 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 0.66% [1] - The early trading volume in Hong Kong stocks reached HKD 1,076 million [1] - Robot-related stocks were active, with DCH Holdings (00179) rising nearly 6% and SUTENG (02498) increasing over 2% due to the upcoming CMG World Robot Competition [1] Group 2 - Eucan Vision Bio-B (01477) surged over 18% after OT-703 was approved for real-world research in Boao, Hainan [2] Group 3 - Smoore International (06969) rose over 5% as Glo Hilo is set to launch in Japan, with positive feedback from the trial market for heated non-combustible products [3] - Youjia Innovation (02431) increased over 5% after its L4 autonomous driving minibus received project designation, following a series of product showcases at the Shanghai Auto Show [3] Group 4 - Maanshan Iron & Steel (00323) saw a rise of over 7% as the steel industry showed improving performance in Q1, with institutions noting a marginal improvement in the sector's fundamentals [4] - InnoCare Pharma (02577) surged over 15% due to a partnership with NVIDIA for the next-generation 800V power architecture, drawing attention to third-generation semiconductors [4] Group 5 - Gu Ming (01364) increased by 4.5%, reaching a new high, with expectations of being included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect next month and a projected net increase of over 2,000 stores for the year [5] Group 6 - Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry (02419) rose over 7%, with stock prices hitting a new high as institutions are optimistic about the company's valuation recovery potential [6] Group 7 - Gome Retail (06808) saw an early rise of nearly 7%, reporting a turnaround with a profit of RMB 410 million for the year, while Dehong Capital will promote the development of various store formats [7] - New Town Development (01030) fell over 3% amid reports of plans to issue guaranteed bonds domestically, aiming to raise RMB 1.5 to 2 billion [7] - Alibaba Health (00241) dropped over 4%, despite a year-on-year profit increase of over 62%, with analysts stating that profits did not meet expectations [7]

Group 1: Consumer Electronics Sector - The CSI Consumer Electronics Theme Index (931494) decreased by 0.13% as of May 22, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1] - Leading gainers included Xunwei Communication (300136) up 3.30%, Wenta Technology (600745) up 2.63%, and Silan Microelectronics (600460) up 2.33% [1] - The Consumer Electronics ETF (561600) also fell by 0.13%, with a latest price of 0.78 yuan, but showed a 1.42% increase over the past month [1] - The ETF's trading volume was 287.16 million yuan with a turnover rate of 1.49% [1] - Over the past two weeks, the ETF's scale increased by 16.72 million yuan, ranking it in the top 1/5 among comparable funds [1] - The ETF's share count rose by 26 million shares in the same period, also placing it in the top 1/5 among comparable funds [1] - Recent capital inflow was balanced, with a total of 22.05 million yuan attracted over the last 10 trading days [1] Group 2: Artificial Intelligence Sector - The CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme Index (930713) declined by 0.06% as of May 22, 2025, with varied performance among its constituent stocks [2] - Top performers included Kunlun Wanwei (300418) up 7.89%, New Yisheng (300502) up 1.87%, and Shitou Technology (688169) up 1.82% [2] - The AI ETF (512930) decreased by 0.15%, with a latest price of 1.31 yuan, but recorded a 2.26% increase over the past month [2] - The ETF's trading volume was 28.19 million yuan with a turnover rate of 1.44% [3] - The latest scale of the AI ETF reached 1.95 billion yuan [3] - Recent net capital inflow was 1.31 million yuan, with a total of 32.98 million yuan attracted over the last five trading days [3] - Leveraged funds are actively participating, with the latest margin buying amounting to 4.44 million yuan and a margin balance of 90.18 million yuan [3] Group 3: Online Consumption Sector - The CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai Online Consumption Theme Index (931481) fell by 0.79% as of May 22, 2025, with mixed results among its constituent stocks [4] - Leading gainers included High Xin Retail (06808) up 10.24%, Kunlun Wanwei (300418) up 6.48%, and Youzu Network (002174) up 4.86% [4] - The Online Consumption ETF (159793) decreased by 0.78%, with a latest price of 0.89 yuan, but showed a 3.46% increase over the past month [4] - The index comprises 50 companies involved in online shopping, digital entertainment, online education, and telemedicine [13] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 56.94% of the total weight, with Alibaba-W (09988) having the highest weight at 14.37% [13]

恒生科技指数跌幅扩大至1%。阿里健康、哔哩哔哩跌超4%，百度跌超3%。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 5.43 [9][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of RMB 16.3 billion for 2HFY25, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.0%, which exceeded the consensus expectation of 12.6%. Adjusted net profit was RMB 970 million, a year-on-year increase of 22.2%, but below the consensus expectation of 11.0% [1]. - Future profit growth is expected to rely primarily on organic business growth as the impact of advertising business integration diminishes. Key areas to monitor include the recovery of demand across various pharmaceutical e-commerce categories, the progress of Taobao's instant retail strategy, and advancements in medical AI technology [1][2][4]. Revenue and Profitability - The company's self-operated business revenue for 2HFY25 was RMB 14 billion, up 13.9% year-on-year, surpassing the consensus expectation of 9.1%. The pharmaceutical e-commerce platform business generated RMB 1.9 billion, a growth of 43.6%, although it fell short of the expected 57.7% [2]. - The management indicated that the integration of the advertising business has enhanced service capabilities for platform merchants, leading to improved operational returns and increased competitiveness in the pharmaceutical health e-commerce sector [2][3]. Business Strategy and Guidance - The management has set a revenue growth target of 5-10% for FY26, with adjusted net profit growth projected at 10-20%. The focus will be on enhancing merchant empowerment and user experience in traditional core businesses while seeking new growth points in innovative businesses such as medical AI [4][5]. - The company aims to improve profitability in mature businesses while exploring new growth avenues through innovative initiatives like "Code Assurance" and "Little Deer Traditional Chinese Medicine" [3][4]. Financial Forecasts and Valuation - Adjustments to the FY26-27 adjusted net profit forecasts have been made, with a decrease of 8.8% and 8.4% to RMB 2.3 billion and RMB 2.6 billion, respectively. A new forecast for FY28 has been introduced at RMB 2.9 billion [5][14]. - The company is assigned a target non-IFRS PE of 35x for FY26, reflecting a premium over comparable companies' average of 16.2x, driven by its market share acquisition and potential in medical AI [5][16].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 5.43 [9][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of RMB 16.3 billion for 2HFY25, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.0%, which exceeded the consensus expectation of 12.6%. However, the adjusted net profit of RMB 970 million was below the expected RMB 1.1 billion, indicating that future profit growth will rely on organic business growth as the impact of advertising business integration diminishes [1][2]. - The management has set a revenue growth target of 5-10% for FY26, with an adjusted net profit growth target of 10-20%. The focus will be on enhancing merchant empowerment and user experience in core businesses while exploring new growth avenues in innovative sectors like medical AI [4][5]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company’s revenue is projected to reach RMB 33.6 billion in FY26, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.9%. The adjusted net profit is expected to be RMB 2.2 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 17.6% [14][16]. - The adjusted net profit margin is forecasted to improve to 6.8% in FY26, up from previous estimates, indicating better operational efficiency [14][15]. Business Segments Performance - The self-operated business generated RMB 14 billion in revenue for 2HFY25, a year-on-year increase of 13.9%, outperforming the consensus estimate of 9.1%. The e-commerce platform business saw revenue of RMB 1.9 billion, growing 43.6% year-on-year, although it fell short of the expected 57.7% growth [2][3]. - The management highlighted that the integration of advertising business has enhanced service capabilities for platform merchants, leading to improved operational returns and competitiveness in the pharmaceutical e-commerce sector [2][3]. Valuation and Market Position - The company is assigned a target non-IFRS PE of 35x for FY26, which is a premium compared to the average of 16.2x for comparable companies, reflecting the company's ongoing market share acquisition and potential in medical AI [5][16]. - The target price has been revised to HKD 5.43 from a previous value of HKD 4.4, indicating a positive outlook based on the company's growth trajectory and market positioning [5][16].

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba Health reported strong financial results for the fiscal year 2025, marking the third consecutive year of revenue and net profit growth, driven by increased user engagement and innovation in its business model [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2025, Alibaba Health achieved a revenue of 30.598 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.2% [2]. - The net profit for the same period was 1.432 billion yuan, showing a significant increase of 62.2% year-on-year [2]. - Adjusted net profit reached 1.95 billion yuan, up 35.6% compared to the previous year [1][2]. Historical Performance - Alibaba Health's revenue has shown a consistent upward trend, increasing from 9.596 billion yuan in fiscal year 2020 to 30.598 billion yuan in fiscal year 2025 [3]. - The net profit has fluctuated but generally trended upwards, from a loss of 6.586 million yuan in fiscal year 2020 to a profit of 1.432 billion yuan in fiscal year 2025 [3]. Business Development - The company has enhanced its one-stop healthcare service capabilities, focusing on improving user experience through better product offerings and services [4]. - The Tmall Health platform has seen steady growth, with a significant increase in annual GMV and active users, and the number of online products grew by over 91% to 133 million [4]. Investment in Innovation - Alibaba Health invested 720 million yuan in product development during fiscal year 2025, focusing on AI technology, business optimization, and digital traceability [5]. - The company’s self-operated pharmaceutical business generated over 26.124 billion yuan in revenue, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10% [5]. Market Position and Stock Performance - Alibaba Health's stock price saw a cumulative increase of over 60% in February and March due to the recovery of the Hong Kong tech sector and interest in AI healthcare concepts, but has since declined [7]. - As of May 20, the stock price was 4.89 HKD per share, with a total market capitalization of 78.7 billion HKD [7].

Core Viewpoint - The pharmaceutical e-commerce giants, such as Alibaba Health and JD Health, are experiencing significant growth in their performance, contrasting sharply with the struggles faced by offline pharmacies amid a wave of store closures [1][4]. Group 1: Company Performance - Alibaba Health reported a revenue of 30.598 billion yuan for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.2%, with a net profit of 1.432 billion yuan, up 62.2% [1]. - JD Health achieved a revenue of 16.645 billion yuan in the first quarter of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 25.5%, with an operating profit of 1.071 billion yuan, up 119.8% [2]. - Both companies have achieved profitability for three consecutive years, with JD Health also reporting a net profit of 934 million yuan in the first quarter of 2025, a 4.6% increase year-on-year [3][2]. Group 2: Industry Trends - Offline pharmacies are facing challenges, with five out of eight A-share pharmacy companies reporting a decline in net profit for 2024, and half of the companies continuing to see profit declines in the first quarter of 2025 [4]. - The total number of pharmacies in China decreased by 0.5% at the end of 2024 compared to the third quarter, marking the first quarterly decline in recent years, with a net reduction of 3,395 stores in the fourth quarter [4]. - The shift towards online pharmaceutical retail is accelerating, with the drug sales scale in China's retail market reaching 501.9 billion yuan in 2024, a slight increase of 0.8%, while e-commerce drug sales grew by 4.6% [5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Pharmaceutical companies are increasingly focusing on e-commerce channels due to changing patient purchasing habits and the rise of online consultations [6]. - JD Health has solidified its position as a leading platform for the online launch of new specialty drugs, introducing several innovative medications in the first quarter of 2025 [7]. - Alibaba Health continues to leverage its platform for the launch of new drugs, collaborating with well-known pharmaceutical companies to enhance its market presence [7].