记者丨曾静娇 吴斌 编辑丨刘雪莹 3月6日早盘，国际油价一改此前涨势震荡走低，WTI原油一度跌超3.4%，截至北京时间10:20，跌幅收窄至 约2%，此前连续三日大涨，本周涨幅累计超过18%。ICE布油同步跌超1.5%。 公开资料显示，巴林国家石油公司在巴林仅拥有并运营一座大型炼油厂，该炼油厂日原油加工能力为26.7万 桶。 高盛提醒，未来几周的局势发展可能会决定接下来很长一段时间的国际油价走向。一旦霍尔木兹海峡的封 锁时间延长数周，可能会导致国际油价突破100美元/桶大关。 越声投研： 热门题材公司线索延伸阅读 （声明：文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。） 股市方面，A股油气板块领跌，洲际油气跌超7%，"三桶油"均跌超3%；港股"三桶油"同步走低，均跌超 1%，众诚能源跌近4%，部分油气设备股走强 ，百勤油服涨15%、惠生工程涨近7%。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 ▲ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 洲际油气 | 8.05 | -0.65 | -7.47% | | 和顺石油 | 40.10 | -2.71 | -6.33% | | 泰山石油 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the macroeconomic outlook and government policies impacting various sectors, particularly focusing on the construction, energy, and real estate industries. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **GDP Growth Target**: The GDP growth target for 2026 is set at 4.5%-5.0%, aligning with expectations. However, there is a notable gap in fiscal spending versus debt increase, necessitating reliance on tax revenue recovery and central government support for local tax sources [1][2][3]. 2. **Dual Carbon Policy**: The dual carbon policy has shifted from "energy consumption control" to "carbon emission control," enhancing quantitative constraints. This is expected to benefit sectors like carbon accounting software, carbon trading, smart grids, and hydrogen energy [1][4]. 3. **Coal Sector Outlook**: The coal sector is viewed as having a "second growth curve," driven by AI-related electricity demand growth, which offsets dual carbon pressures. Domestic and import supply reductions are anticipated, with coal prices expected to rise from a bottoming phase, suggesting over 50% upside potential for coal stocks [1][20][21]. 4. **Debt Market Expectations**: The bond market has already priced in the subdued fiscal expectations, with a short-term forecast for 10-year government bond yields to retreat to 1.85%-1.9%. There remains room for interest rate cuts throughout the year [1][12][14]. 5. **Construction and Building Materials**: The focus is on major projects under the "15th Five-Year Plan," with significant investment opportunities in western development, major canals, and high-standard farmland construction. The construction materials sector is nearing a profitability inflection point, with leading companies like Oriental Yuhong expected to benefit [1][22][26]. 6. **Consumer Sector Trends**: Consumer spending is expected to show a "high-low" rhythm, with potential weakness in Q2. Opportunities in high-end travel and service consumption are highlighted, particularly with the expansion of spring break trials [2][15]. 7. **Investment Directions**: The report emphasizes investment in new infrastructure, urbanization, and livelihood improvements, with a focus on projects like major railways and hydropower. The total investment in these areas is projected to exceed 8 trillion yuan [22][24]. 8. **Real Estate Policy Changes**: The real estate sector's focus has shifted from risk prevention to stabilizing the market, with a new emphasis on a "people-centered" approach. The reform of housing provident funds is highlighted as a key support mechanism [27][30][31]. Other Important but Potentially Overlooked Content 1. **Tax Revenue Recovery**: The anticipated recovery in tax revenue due to price increases and economic expansion is crucial for addressing the fiscal gap [2][3]. 2. **AI and Energy Demand**: The demand for coal is expected to increase due to AI-driven electricity needs, indicating a shift in energy consumption patterns [20]. 3. **Urban Renewal Initiatives**: The report outlines significant urban renewal projects, with a focus on old neighborhood renovations and infrastructure safety, potentially driving demand for construction materials [23][34]. 4. **Green Energy Initiatives**: The introduction of "green fuels" and a multi-energy approach is noted, with major state-owned enterprises involved in clean energy projects [24]. 5. **Market Sentiment**: The overall market sentiment reflects cautious optimism, with expectations for gradual recovery in various sectors, particularly in construction and real estate [1][10][12]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the macroeconomic environment and sector-specific developments that may influence investment strategies moving forward.

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年2月28日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國石油天然氣股份有限公司（於中華人⺠共和國註册成立之股份有限公司） I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00857 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | 21,098,900,000 | | RMB | 1 | RMB | | 21,098,900,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 21,098,900,000 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 21,098,900,000 | | 2. 股份分 ...

2026 年 3 月 5 日 行业研究 聚焦能源及粮食安全与"双碳"，新兴产业与 AI 赋能化工新格局 ——2026 年"两会"政府工作报告石化化工行业学习体会 基础化工 增持（维持） 作者 分析师：赵乃迪 执业证书编号：S0930517050005 010-57378026 zhaond@ebscn.com 分析师：周家诺 执业证书编号：S0930523070007 021-52523675 zhoujianuo@ebscn.com 行业与沪深 300 指数对比图 -10% 6% 23% 39% 56% 03/25 06/25 08/25 12/25 基础化工 沪深300 资料来源：Wind 要点 事件： 3 月 5 日，第十四届全国人民代表大会第四次会议在人民大会堂开幕，国务院 总理李强作政府工作报告。报告回顾了 2025 年工作，提出了"十五五"时期主要 目标和重大任务以及 2026 年经济社会发展总体要求和政策取向，并部署了 2026 年 政府工作任务。本文将主要围绕能源安全、粮食安全、碳达峰碳中和、反"内卷"、 新兴产业、人工智能+等方面，以石化化工行业视角对政府工作报告要点进行介绍和 阐述学习体会 ...

China’s government has told the country’s top oil refiners to suspend exports of diesel and gasoline as an escalating conflict in the Persian Gulf disrupts the arrival of crude from one of the world’s largest producing regions. While the country is only the third-largest supplier of oil products into the region — its vast refining sector primarily serves domestic demand — China’s curbs just six days into a war reflect a scramble across Asia to prioritize domestic needs as the crisis in the Middle East dee ...

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 能源ETF广发（159945）业绩比较基准为中证全指能源指数，管理人为广发基金管理有限公司，基金经 理为姚曦，成立（2015-06-25）以来回报为54.06%，近一个月回报为17.14%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 3月5日，能源ETF广发（159945）开盘跌1.76%，报1.506元。能源ETF广发（159945）重仓股方面，中 国神华开盘跌1.00%，中国石油跌4.46%，中国石化跌2.03%，陕西煤业跌1.03%，中国海油跌1.98%，杰 瑞股份涨2.07%，兖矿能源跌3.59%，中煤能源跌0.99%，广汇能源跌3.20%，山西焦煤跌1.08%。 ...

Key Points - The National People's Congress highlighted investments by State Grid in Portugal and a joint venture between China National Petroleum Corporation and Shell in Australia, emphasizing technology sharing and economic development [2] - The newly introduced Ecological Environment Code is China's second law named as a "code," representing a systematic integration and enhancement of existing environmental laws [2] - A member of the National Committee expressed intentions to promote Chinese products and technologies globally, contributing to the renewable energy sector [3] - The National Energy Administration is advancing rural wind and solar energy development, aiming to enhance electricity supply and promote renewable energy heating solutions [4] - In January, 5,690 new renewable energy projects were registered in China, with 66 wind and 5,618 solar projects, indicating robust growth in the sector [5] - The credit index for Chinese enterprises remained stable at 161.79 in January, reflecting a good credit level across various industries [6] - The Three Gorges South Line lock has commenced its scheduled maintenance for 2026, marking the ninth planned maintenance since its operation began [6] - European economists are concerned that disruptions in Middle Eastern oil and gas supplies could lead to significant inflation and economic downturns [7] - A major oil field in southern Iraq has suspended production due to shipping disruptions caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz [7] - The Tarim Oilfield has produced over 500 billion cubic meters of natural gas, playing a crucial role in ensuring national energy security and promoting a low-carbon energy structure [8]

本文字数：1088，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 第一财经 陆如意 继中国石化、中国石油、中国海油（下称 "三桶油"）创下历史罕见两连板后，3月4日开盘，"三桶 油"集体大幅回调：中国石化一度触及跌停，中国石油跌9.5%，中国海油跌超8%。截至早盘收盘， 中国石化收跌4.48%，中国石油跌1.22%，中国海油跌2.28%，高位获利回吐迹象明显。 消息面上，3月3日晚间，"三桶油"集中发布股票交易异常波动公告，同步向投资者提示风险。 三家公司均明确表示，此前股价大幅上涨主要受地缘局势驱动。公告提及：近期国际原油市场受地缘 局势、供需格局等多重因素影响，价格呈现宽幅震荡走势，短期油价波动存在较大不确定性，敬请广 大投资者注意投资风险。 国际方面，第一财经记者注意到，为对冲伊朗关闭霍尔木兹海峡引发的油市恐慌与油价非理性上涨， 美国方面释放稳价信号。 当地时间3月4日，美国总统特朗普在社交媒体发文称，已指示美国国际开发金融公司（DFC）以合 理价格提供担保，保障海湾地区能源贸易等海上航运金融安全，并表态，"如有必要，美国海军将尽 快为油轮提供护航"。 此前一日，特朗普已对外媒表示，短期内油价将维持高位，但一旦美伊敌对 ...

记者丨曾静娇 易妍君 编辑丨江佩霞 3月4日早盘，"三桶油"集体大跌，盘中中国石化、中国海油一度触及跌停，截至10:00左右，中国石油跌近 3%，中国海油跌超4％，中国石化跌超6%。3日 三桶油连续两个交易日涨停， 晚间 "三桶油"集体发布异动公 告提示风险。 港股油气板块也全线退潮。百勤油服（HK02178）一度跌超40%，截至发稿回落至22%，中港石油跌超 39%，MI能源跌超17%，山东墨龙跌超16%。此外，中石化油服跌超15%，中石油、中海油、中石化"三桶 油"全线回落。 对于油气板块接下来的表现，当前机构预期较为一致。 排排网财富研究员张鹏远亦认为，短期内，本轮行情强依赖地缘局势。若美伊冲突持续甚至霍尔木兹海峡真 正被封锁，板块强势或可延续；一旦局势缓和，由冲突催生的"地缘溢价"将快速消退。 张鹏远指出，油气、海运板块的核心风险包括：地缘反转风险（若冲突降级，油价将快速回落）、运价波动 风险（运价短期暴涨后易回调）、估值高位风险（板块短期涨幅大，情绪过热，追高易亏损）以及资金退潮 风险。 "投资时需注意：严格控制仓位，避免追高；聚焦龙头公司，例如在油气领域关注高股息标的；同时务必设置 严格止损，以防 ...

早 报 精 选 1、全国政协十四届四次会议今日下午开幕，会期7天。 2、王毅同以色列外长萨尔通电话。 3、欧美股市、黄金、白银普跌，国际油价大幅收涨。 4、佰维存储：1-2月预盈15亿元-18亿元 存储行业供不应求。 5、中国石油、中国石化、中国海油齐发股价异动公告。 宏 观 新 闻 1、全国政协十四届四次会议新闻发布会3月3日下午举行，大会新闻发言人刘结一介绍，全国政协十四届四次会议将于3月4日下午3 时在人民大会堂开幕，3月11日上午闭幕，会期7天。 2、中共中央政治局委员、外交部长王毅3日应约同以色列外长萨尔通电话。在听取萨尔介绍以方对当前局势的立场后，王毅表示， 中方一贯主张通过对话协商解决国际和地区热点问题，各方都应遵守联合国宪章宗旨和原则，不在国际关系中使用或威胁使用武力， 这也符合包括以色列在内各方的根本利益。王毅要求以方采取切实措施确保中国人员和机构安全，萨尔表示以方高度重视并将保护好 中国人员和机构安全。 3、外交部发言人毛宁昨日主持例行记者会。记者提问称，有分析表示，美国在委内瑞拉和伊朗的行动可能会阻碍中国石油供应。对 此，毛宁指出，中方坚决反对在国际关系中使用武力侵犯别国的主权安全。能源 ...