Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant rise in Hong Kong's building materials and cement stocks, with China National Building Material (CNBM) reaching a new high since April 2023, increasing by 7% [1] - CNBM is expected to report a net profit of 2.95 billion yuan for the first three quarters, marking a turnaround from losses, primarily due to a decrease in sales costs for cement and ready-mixed concrete [1] - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan indicates that the third quarter is traditionally a slow season for the cement industry, with cement prices expected to peak in 2025 before declining [1] Group 2 - The cement industry is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with only about 100 capacity replacement projects announced, adding a total of 34.969 million tons while exiting 55.82 million tons, resulting in a net reduction of 20.851 million tons [1] - The ongoing expansion of production capacity by Huaxin Cement and Western Cement is noted, with profitability in African cement operations expected to improve [1] - The article mentions that the policy effects on the cement supply-demand situation have been poor, exacerbating the existing contradictions in the market [1]

中国银河（601881）证券表示，后续来看，"金九银十"需求有望继续增长，但在终端市场疲软情况下， 预计增幅有限；因考虑到冬季将迎来较长时间错峰停窑，且叠加当下需求边际改善，预计水泥企业将继 续积极推涨水泥价格，此外，煤价存上涨预期，将进一步对水泥价格形成支撑。此外，该行认为，"反 内卷"加速推进行业供给优化，供需矛盾有望缓和，水泥价格存推涨预期，区域龙头企业盈利有望修 复。 水泥股全线回落，截至发稿，金隅集团（601992）(02009)跌5.49%，报0.86港元；西部水泥(02233)跌 4.12%，报3.26港元；海螺水泥（600585）(00914)跌3.92%，报24港元；中国建材(03323)跌3.85%，报 5.5港元；华新水泥（600801）(06655)跌1.59%，报16.73港元。 申万宏源研报指出，三季度是水泥行业传统淡季，2025年水泥价格前高后低。根据数字水泥网，25Q3 水泥均价353.1元/吨，环比下降27.6元/吨，同比下降33.5元/吨，7-8月水泥产量分别同比下降5.5%、 7.0%。水泥行业三季度盈利预计整体承压。9月24日，六部委联合发布《建材行业稳增长工作方案(2 ...

Group 1 - Cement stocks have experienced a significant decline, with major companies like Jinyu Group down 5.49%, Western Cement down 4.12%, and Conch Cement down 3.92% as of the report [1] - The third quarter is traditionally a slow season for the cement industry, with expectations of fluctuating prices in 2025, where the average cement price in Q3 2025 is projected to be 353.1 yuan/ton, a decrease of 27.6 yuan/ton quarter-on-quarter and 33.5% year-on-year [1] - Cement production in July and August saw year-on-year declines of 5.5% and 7.0%, respectively, indicating pressure on overall profitability for the cement industry in Q3 [1] Group 2 - Demand is expected to continue growing during the "Golden September and Silver October" period, but the increase is anticipated to be limited due to weak terminal market conditions [2] - The upcoming winter is expected to bring extended periods of staggered kiln shutdowns, which, combined with marginal improvements in demand, may lead cement companies to actively raise prices [2] - Rising coal prices are expected to further support cement prices, and the acceleration of "anti-involution" measures is likely to optimize industry supply, easing supply-demand conflicts and potentially restoring profitability for regional leading enterprises [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the building materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development has emphasized deepening reforms in the construction industry, focusing on industrialization, digitalization, and greening as development paths. This aims to transition the construction industry from a traditional extensive model to a refined and intelligent one, with key measures including the promotion of prefabricated buildings and the application of construction robots. The ultimate goal is to achieve high-quality development and enhance the quality, efficiency, and sustainability of "Chinese construction" [1] - The report highlights the long-term investment value of the building materials sector, particularly in green building materials and intelligent construction, which are expected to open new growth spaces due to the profound changes driven by the "three transformations" [1] - Recommended stocks in the consumer building materials sector include: Sankeshu (channel penetration, retail expansion), Dongfang Yuhong (waterproof leader, optimized operational structure), Weixing New Materials (high-quality operations, high retail business proportion), and Jianlang Hardware. Beneficiary stocks include: Beixin Building Materials (gypsum board leader, diversified expansion in coatings and waterproof sectors) [1] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The building materials index increased by 2.66% from October 6 to October 10, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.18 percentage points. Over the past three months, the CSI 300 index rose by 14.91%, while the building materials index increased by 14.73%, indicating a slight underperformance of 0.18 percentage points. In the past year, the CSI 300 index rose by 16.55%, and the building materials index increased by 21.26%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.71 percentage points [2][11] Cement Sector - As of October 10, 2025, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement nationwide was 287.21 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.26% month-on-month. The price trends varied by region, with increases in Northeast (+0.60%) and Central China (+1.32%), while declines were noted in North China (-1.09%) and East China (-1.57%) [22][25] - The clinker inventory ratio was stable at 67.40% [23] - The report tracks the valuation of listed companies in the cement sector, indicating a need for monitoring [72] Glass Sector - The average spot price of float glass as of October 10, 2025, was 1301.65 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.72%. However, the futures price decreased by 2.86% [76][77] - National float glass inventory increased by 696 million weight boxes, a rise of 13.71% [78][79] Fiberglass Sector - The market price for non-alkali 2400tex direct yarn ranged from 3400 to 4000 yuan/ton, with variations depending on the manufacturer [4] Consumer Building Materials - As of October 10, 2025, the price of crude oil was 65.05 USD/barrel, down 3.59% week-on-week. The price of asphalt remained stable at 4570 yuan/ton, while acrylic acid and titanium dioxide prices showed slight declines [4]

Core Viewpoint - Conch Cement's stock price has shown a positive trend, with a year-to-date increase of 5.69% and a recent uptick in trading activity, indicating strong market interest and potential investor confidence [2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On October 10, Conch Cement's stock rose by 2.03%, reaching a price of 24.13 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 4.87 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 0.51% [1]. - The stock has increased by 5.69% year-to-date, 5.05% over the last five trading days, 3.03% over the last 20 days, and 7.68% over the last 60 days [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Conch Cement reported a revenue of 41.292 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 9.38%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 31.34% to 4.368 billion CNY [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Conch Cement was 224,100, an increase of 7.12% from the previous period [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 83.985 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 17.922 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 4: Institutional Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 193 million shares, and several ETFs such as Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and E Fund CSI 300 ETF, which have increased their holdings [3].

FF301 | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 600585 | 說明 | A股 | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,999,702,579 RMB | | 1 RMB | | 3,999,702,579 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | RMB | | | 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00914 | 說明 | H股 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the non-metallic building materials sector and an "Overweight" rating for the construction and engineering sector [5]. Core Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and five other departments issued the "Building Materials Industry Steady Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)", focusing on quality and efficiency while prohibiting new capacity [2][3]. - The new plan emphasizes the need for coordinated efforts on both supply and demand sides, aiming to enhance profitability levels effectively [3]. - The plan sets a specific target for 2026, aiming for green building material revenue to exceed 300 billion yuan [2]. Summary by Sections Policy Background - The new plan is introduced against a backdrop of weak market demand and prominent structural issues in the building materials industry, contrasting with the previous plan which was released during the early recovery phase post-pandemic [2]. Overall Requirements - The current plan focuses on quality and efficiency, integrating technological and industrial innovation, and emphasizes strict control over new capacity while promoting traditional material upgrades and advanced inorganic non-metallic materials [2][3]. Main Goals - Unlike the previous plan, which set specific growth targets for industrial added value, the current plan does not set total industry targets but emphasizes improving profitability and achieving specific revenue goals for green materials [2]. Key Measures - The new plan prioritizes strengthening industry management and promoting the survival of the fittest, with a focus on strict capacity control in cement and glass production [2][3]. - It outlines specific development directions for advanced materials, including advanced glass, artificial crystals, and high-performance fibers, while promoting pilot platform construction and application verification [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the new materials sector such as China Jushi, Guoen Co., Puyang Huicheng, Keda Manufacturing, Hongrun Construction, and Jiemai Technology, as well as companies in the infrastructure and real estate chain like China State Construction, Oriental Yuhong, and Anhui Conch Cement [4].

每经AI快讯，9月29日，港股水泥股集体拉升，截至发稿，华新水泥(06655.HK)涨5.1%，报15.26港元； 西部水泥(02233.HK)涨5.1%，报3.3港元；中国建材(03323.HK)涨3.23%，报5.44港元；海螺水泥 (00914.HK)涨1.56%，报23.48港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Cement stocks experienced a collective surge following the announcement of the "Building Materials Industry Stabilization and Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and five other departments, indicating potential for industry recovery and consolidation [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Huaxin Cement (06655) rose by 5.1% to HKD 15.26 - Western Cement (02233) increased by 5.1% to HKD 3.3 - China National Building Material (03323) climbed by 3.23% to HKD 5.44 - Conch Cement (00914) gained 1.56% to HKD 23.48 [1] Group 2: Policy Impact - The new policy aims to implement a capacity replacement scheme for excess project filings by the end of 2025, which is expected to reduce clinker capacity by 10% [1] - The industry is anticipated to see accelerated price recovery as a result of these measures, alongside increased market consolidation among larger companies [1] Group 3: Industry Outlook - Guosheng Securities reported that the cement industry is still in a demand bottoming process, with companies enhancing production cut measures [1] - Cement prices are fluctuating around the industry's breakeven point, while the China Cement Association has issued guidelines to promote high-quality development and stabilize growth [1] - Large infrastructure projects are expected to boost regional demand in areas like Tibet and Xinjiang, with a focus on cost-advantaged leaders such as Conch Cement and overseas-focused Huaxin Cement [1]

国盛证券发布研报称，水泥行业需求仍在寻底过程中，企业错峰停产力度加强，水泥价格围绕行业盈亏 平衡线附近波动，中国水泥协会发布《关于进一步推动水泥行业"反内卷""稳增长"高质量发展工作的意 见》，供给端有望积极改善，同时大型基建项目有望拉动西藏，新疆等区域性需求提升，关注成本优势 定价的龙头海螺水泥、出海标的华新水泥。 水泥股集体拉升，截至发稿，华新水泥（600801）(06655)涨5.1%，报15.26港元；西部水泥(02233)涨 5.1%，报3.3港元；中国建材(03323)涨3.23%，报5.44港元；海螺水泥（600585）(00914)涨1.56%，报 23.48港元。 消息面上，9月24日工信部等六部门发布《建材行业稳增长工作方案(2025—2026年)》。据智通财经报 道称，有上市公司人士对记者表示，已在落实布局产能置换事项。业内人士预计，上述方案中"2025年 底前对超出项目备案的产能制定产能置换方案"的要求，预计能减少10%的熟料产能，行业复价有望加 速到来；同时，大企业整合国内市场步伐也将加快，行业集中度将得到有效提升。 ...