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建材行业26年投资策略:“反内卷”下拐点渐显,关注出海及转型机遇
China Post Securities· 2025-11-26 12:51
Group 1 - The construction materials industry is experiencing a downward trend due to factors such as real estate decline and low infrastructure funding rates, with significant supply clearance leading to price stabilization expected in 2025 [2][21] - Domestic demand is anticipated to improve with the implementation of policies aimed at reducing overproduction and controlling energy consumption, particularly in the cement sector [2][26] - The overseas expansion of construction materials companies, exemplified by Huaxin Cement and Keda Manufacturing, is opening new growth opportunities, leveraging supply chain and management advantages [2][82] Group 2 - The construction materials index increased by 15.41% as of November 23, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 13.18%, ranking 11th among all industries [7][21] - The glass fiber and cement sectors showed superior performance, with significant year-on-year profit improvements in the first half of 2025, while the pipe and glass manufacturing sectors lagged due to declining completion demand [7][14] - The overall revenue of the construction materials sector continues to decline, but the rate of decline has narrowed significantly compared to previous years, with profits beginning to rebound [14][18] Group 3 - The cement industry is under pressure, with long-term demand declining by approximately 30% from peak levels, and 2025 is expected to see continued high single-digit production declines [25][26] - The core of the "anti-involution" policy in the cement sector focuses on limiting overproduction, with the potential for improved capacity utilization if policies are effectively executed [26][27] - Major players like Conch Cement are expected to benefit from cost advantages and a gradual recovery in profitability as the industry stabilizes [27] Group 4 - The glass industry is facing demand suppression due to declining construction activity, with expectations for demand to bottom out in 2026 [31][33] - Market-driven capacity reduction is crucial, as the glass sector is currently experiencing losses, and the industry is expected to see a significant reduction in new capacity in 2025 [34][38] - Companies like Qibin Group are positioned to benefit from a potential recovery in the glass market, particularly in the photovoltaic segment [42] Group 5 - The glass fiber sector is expected to maintain a tight supply-demand balance in 2026, with high demand for specialty fibers driven by AI applications [49][53] - The industry is experiencing structural differentiation, with high profitability in wind power and thermoplastic sectors, while traditional segments remain under pressure [49][50] - Companies like China Jushi are well-positioned due to their optimal product structure and significant cost advantages [54] Group 6 - The consumer building materials sector is transitioning into a stock market era, with a focus on channel transformation and renovation demand from existing homes [62][63] - Companies are experiencing strong pricing power, with expectations for profitability to recover as the industry stabilizes [63][65] - Leading companies like Rabbit Baby are effectively expanding channels and product lines, achieving stable revenue growth despite overall market weakness [67] Group 7 - The overseas expansion of construction materials companies is becoming increasingly important, with international markets offering higher profit margins compared to domestic markets [82] - Huaxin Cement has established a strong overseas presence, contributing significantly to its revenue and profitability [86] - Keda Manufacturing is recognized as a leading player in the African ceramics market, consistently delivering high profitability [88]
海螺水泥成立新公司 含电动汽车充电基础设施业务
人民财讯11月26日电,企查查APP显示,近日,上海海螺建业新材料有限公司成立,注册资本3000万 元,经营范围包含国内贸易代理;装卸搬运;电动汽车充电基础设施运营等。企查查股权穿透显示,该 公司由海螺水泥(600585)间接全资持股。 ...
政策发力预期增强,重视Q4建材板块配置机会
Huafu Securities· 2025-11-23 13:12
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [8] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the expectation of enhanced policy support for the construction materials sector, particularly in Q4, highlighting potential investment opportunities [2][3] - The construction materials sector is anticipated to benefit from supply-side reforms and a recovery in housing demand due to declining interest rates and supportive government policies [4][6] - The report notes that the real estate market is gradually stabilizing, with a higher sensitivity to policy easing, which may lead to a recovery in the demand for construction materials [4][6] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development has initiated a national urban renewal meeting, focusing on improving housing and community quality [4] - In Beijing, from January to October, the sales area of new commercial housing was 8.159 million square meters, down 3.7% year-on-year, with residential sales down 7.3% [4] - National cement production from January to November reached 1.54 billion tons, a year-on-year decrease of 7.7% [4] Market Data - As of November 21, 2025, the average price of bulk P.O 42.5 cement was 341.6 yuan/ton, down 0.1% from the previous week and down 18.6% year-on-year [5][13] - The average price of glass (5.00mm) was 1102.9 yuan/ton, down 3.4% from the previous week and down 20.7% year-on-year [5][21] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main lines for investment: 1. High-quality companies benefiting from stock renovation, such as Weixing New Materials and Beixin Building Materials [6] 2. Undervalued companies with long-term alpha attributes, such as Sankeshu and Dongfang Yuhong [6] 3. Leading cyclical construction material companies showing signs of bottoming out, such as Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement [6]
金隅集团跌2.31%,成交额1.37亿元,主力资金净流出644.76万元
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-11-21 05:56
金隅集团今年以来股价跌2.31%,近5个交易日跌8.15%,近20日跌3.43%,近60日涨2.42%。 11月21日,金隅集团盘中下跌2.31%,截至13:47,报1.69元/股,成交1.37亿元,换手率0.96%,总市值 180.45亿元。 资金流向方面,主力资金净流出644.76万元,特大单买入790.70万元,占比5.78%,卖出1281.02万元, 占比9.36%;大单买入3214.84万元,占比23.49%,卖出3369.27万元,占比24.62%。 金隅集团所属申万行业为:建筑材料-水泥-水泥制造。所属概念板块包括:水泥、固废处理、北京国 资、土壤修复、债转股等。 截至9月30日,金隅集团股东户数11.29万,较上期增加4.04%;人均流通股0股,较上期增加0.00%。 2025年1月-9月,金隅集团实现营业收入694.89亿元,同比减少9.80%;归母净利润-14.25亿元,同比减 少226.44%。 分红方面,金隅集团A股上市后累计派现78.25亿元。近三年,累计派现15.16亿元。 机构持仓方面,截止2025年9月30日,金隅集团十大流通股东中,香港中央结算有限公司位居第四大流 通股东,持 ...
万年青跌2.10%,成交额1026.34万元,主力资金净流出22.30万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 02:34
截至9月30日,万年青股东户数4.68万,较上期增加12.80%;人均流通股17053股,较上期减少11.35%。 2025年1月-9月,万年青实现营业收入33.28亿元,同比减少17.18%;归母净利润748.55万元,同比增长 7.27%。 分红方面,万年青A股上市后累计派现35.84亿元。近三年,累计派现3.93亿元。 11月21日,万年青盘中下跌2.10%,截至10:08,报5.59元/股,成交1026.34万元,换手率0.23%,总市值 44.58亿元。 资金流向方面,主力资金净流出22.30万元,大单买入20.32万元,占比1.98%,卖出42.62万元,占比 4.15%。 万年青今年以来股价涨14.86%,近5个交易日跌4.77%,近20日跌6.83%,近60日跌8.96%。 资料显示,江西万年青水泥股份有限公司位于江西省南昌市高新技术开发区京东大道399号万年青科技 园,成立日期1997年9月5日,上市日期1997年9月23日,公司主营业务涉及水泥、熟料、商砼、骨料及 新型墙材的生产及销售。主营业务收入构成为:水泥68.35%,混凝土22.71%,骨料5.43%,其他 2.25%,贸易1.17 ...
四川双马:多名股东拟减持股份
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 11:41
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Sichuan Shuangma announced that shareholders LCOHC and Tianjin Saikehuan will reduce their holdings by a total of 12,119,400 shares, accounting for 1.5875% of the total share capital, between October 31, 2025, and November 20, 2025 [1] Group 1 - The reduction will occur through centralized bidding and block trading [1] - After the reduction, LCOHC and Tianjin Saikehuan, along with their concerted action partner Hexie Hengyuan, will hold a total of 392 million shares, representing 51.3811% of the total share capital [1] - Excluding repurchased shares, their combined ownership will be 51.8032% [1] Group 2 - LCOHC and Tianjin Saikehuan still have the capacity to reduce an additional 1,512,500 shares each, which remains unfinished [1]
【港股收盘快报】港股恒指涨0.02% 科指跌0.58% 锂电池股走弱 内房股强势 宁德时代跌幅...
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 11:34
盘面上,科网股涨跌不一,百度、快手涨幅超过2%,小米、哔哩哔哩跌幅超过2%,网易、阿里巴巴跌 幅超过1%;内房股强势,融创中国涨幅超过6%;建材水泥股涨幅居前,山水水泥涨幅超过4%;锂电池 股走弱,宁德时代跌幅超过5%;新消费概念股走弱,零跑汽车跌幅超过5%。 11月20日,港股三大指数涨跌不一。截至收盘,恒生指数涨0.02%,报25835.57点,恒生科技指数跌 0.58%,国企指数跌0.08%。 来源:青岛财经日报 ...
收评:港股恒指涨0.02%科指跌0.58%锂电池股走弱内房股强势宁德时代跌超5%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 09:12
11月20日消息,港股三大指数涨跌不一。截至收盘,恒生指数涨0.02%,报25835.57点,恒生科技指数跌0.58%,国企指数跌0.08%。盘面上,科网股涨跌不一,百度、快手涨超2%,小米、 内房股强势,融创中国涨超6%。华源证券近日研报指出,房地产作为中国家庭重要的资产配置和投资方向,稳住房价对畅通经济内循环有着重要意义,二十届四中全会提到推动房地产高质量发展 建材水泥股涨幅居前,山水水泥涨超4%。中泰证券发布研报称,前三季度水泥板块全年实现营业收入1811亿元,同比下滑8.5%,实现归母净利95亿元,同比增长159.1%,得益于去年同期的低 锂电池股走弱,宁德时代跌超5%。中金发布研报称,据储能与电力市场统计,2025年第三季度,28个省备储项目4204个,规模同比+343%。储能项目景气或拉动上游设备资本开支增长,且大储 新消费概念股走弱,零跑汽车跌超5%。瑞银指出,中国消费板块估值已处全球低位,可选与必选消费分别较全球折价40%与10%,在行业复苏不均中孕育"Alpha"机会。报告看好餐饮加盟扩张、 责任编辑:郝欣煜 ...
建筑材料:开竣工数据进一步走弱,期待更强政策发力
Huafu Securities· 2025-11-20 06:58
行 华福证券 建筑材料 2025 年 11 月 20 日 业 研 究 建筑材料 开竣工数据进一步走弱,期待更强政策发力 投资要点: 行 业 定 期 报 告 根据国家统计局数据,1-10 月全国房地产开发投资 7.4 万亿元,同比 -14.7%,较前值-0.8pct;房屋新开工 4.9 亿方,同比-19.8%,较前值-0.9pct; 房屋竣工 3.5 亿方,同比-16.9%,较前值-1.6pct;1-10 月新建商品房销售面 积 7.2 亿方,同比-6.8%,较前值-1.3pct;销售金额 6.9 万亿元,同比-9.6%, 较前值-1.7pct;10 月末全国商品房待售面积 75606 万平方米,连续八个月 减少;住建部部署全国老城区老街区专项调查,2026 年 2 月前各地须完成 地市级成果审核,6 月形成全国总结报告;山东省要求 2025-2026 年度水泥 行业实施采暖季错峰生产,非采暖季鼓励企业自主开展错峰生产;深圳市 10 月二手房录得量达 5,547 套,环比下跌 4.5%,同比下跌 32.9%;重庆市 印发《进一步加强消费领域限制性举措持续扩大消费若干措施》,明确放 宽全款购房的公积金提取条件;1 ...
华新建材涨2.04%,成交额1.28亿元,主力资金净流出93.54万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 05:44
Core Viewpoint - Huanxin Building Materials has shown significant stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 93.38%, despite a recent slight decline in the last five trading days [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Huanxin Building Materials achieved a revenue of 25.033 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.27%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.004 billion yuan, reflecting a substantial increase of 76.01% [2] - Cumulative cash dividends since the A-share listing amount to 13.594 billion yuan, with 3.127 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3] Stock Market Activity - As of November 20, the stock price reached 22.51 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 1.28 billion yuan and a market capitalization of 46.798 billion yuan [1] - The stock has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" three times this year, with the most recent instance on July 25, where it recorded a net buy of -1.68 billion yuan [1] Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 6.81% to 42,600, with an average of 0 circulating shares per person [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which increased its holdings by 5.1895 million shares, and Southern CSI 500 ETF, which reduced its holdings by 213,700 shares [3]