每经AI快讯，9月24日，港股中远海能(01138.HK)高开逾3%，截至发稿，涨3.09%，报9.34港元，成交 额407.22万港元。 ...

Group 1 - Zhongyuan Shipping (01138) opened over 3% higher, currently up 3.09% at HKD 9.34, with a trading volume of HKD 4.0722 million [1] - On September 22, Zhongyuan Shipping indicated a significant increase in tanker freight rates, positively impacting the fleet earnings of global tanker owners [1] - The company's VLCC fleet is mostly in spot operation, benefiting from the current market conditions [1] Group 2 - JPMorgan considers Zhongyuan Shipping as China's largest tanker operator and a global leader in crude oil, refined oil, and LNG transportation [1] - The company operates a diversified fleet under China COSCO Group, providing downside protection in a volatile freight market due to its scale, newer vessel age structure, and increasing LNG business [1] - Huayuan Securities reported that VLCC TD3C TCE reached USD 96,000 per day on September 16, 2025, maintaining high levels thereafter, marking the best September VLCC freight rates since 1990 [1] Group 3 - The upcoming week is the last full working week before China's National Day holiday, with a concentration of Middle East cargoes expected for October shipments [1] - The available VLCC capacity in the next 30 days is projected to reach the lowest level in the past year, suggesting potential further increases in VLCC freight rates, possibly surpassing the September high since 1990 [1]

Group 1 - The stock of COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. (中远海能) opened over 3% higher, currently up 3.09% at HKD 9.34, with a trading volume of HKD 4.0722 million [1] - On September 22, during the 2025 semi-annual performance briefing, COSCO Shipping Energy announced a significant increase in tanker freight rates, positively impacting the fleet earnings of global tanker owners [1] - Morgan Stanley highlighted that COSCO Shipping Energy is the largest tanker operator in China and a leading global transporter of crude oil, refined oil, and liquefied natural gas (LNG), benefiting from a diversified fleet and a relatively new fleet age structure [1] Group 2 - The VLCC TD3C TCE reached USD 96,000 per day on September 16, 2025, maintaining a high level in the following days, marking the best September VLCC freight rate since 1990 [1] - The upcoming week is the last full working week before China's National Day holiday, with a concentration of Middle Eastern cargoes expected for October, potentially leading to further increases in VLCC freight rates [1] - The available VLCC capacity in the next 30 days is projected to reach the lowest level in the past year, suggesting that VLCC freight rates may rise further, potentially surpassing the September freight rate peak since 1990 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the AH premium rates of various companies, indicating significant discrepancies between their A-shares and H-shares, with Northeast Electric (00042) leading with a premium rate of 864.29% [1] AH Premium Rate Rankings - The top three companies with the highest AH premium rates are: - Northeast Electric (00042): 864.29% - Andeli Juice (02218): 227.40% - Hongye Futures (03678): 225.67% [1] - The bottom three companies with the lowest AH premium rates are: - Ningde Times (03750): -12.07% - Heng Rui Medicine (01276): -3.97% - Zijin Mining (02899): 4.14% [1] Deviation Value Rankings - The top three companies with the highest deviation values are: - Northeast Electric (00042): 74.37% - Changfei Optical Fiber (06869): 24.77% - Zhaoyan New Drug (06127): 22.94% [1] - The bottom three companies with the lowest deviation values are: - Longpan Technology (02465): -25.07% - Qin Port Shares (03369): -19.33% - COSCO Shipping Energy (01138): -15.04% [1] Detailed AH Stock Premium and Deviation Data - The report provides detailed tables showing the premium rates and deviation values for the top and bottom AH stocks, indicating significant variations in market perception and valuation between A-shares and H-shares [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley initiates coverage on China Merchants Energy Shipping Company (01138) with an "Overweight" rating and a target price of HKD 12, while giving a "Neutral" rating for its A-share (600026.SH) with a target price of RMB 13 [1] Group 1: Company Overview - China Merchants Energy is the largest oil tanker operator in China and a leading global player in crude oil, refined oil, and LNG transportation [1] - The company operates a diversified fleet under China Merchants Group's energy transportation division, providing it with a competitive edge in a volatile freight market [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16% in net profit from 2025 to 2027, driven by freight recovery, structural supply-demand catalysts, and cautious fleet expansion [1] - Revenue CAGR is projected at approximately 8% from 2025 to 2027, supporting an improvement in profit margins, with net profit margin increasing from 19% in 2025 to 21% in 2027 [2] Group 3: Fleet and Debt Management - The fleet is anticipated to grow from 246 vessels in 2024 to 290 vessels by 2027, positioning the company to capitalize on the next upward cycle [2] - Net debt ratio is expected to rise from about 52% in 2025 to approximately 67% in 2027, but strong operating cash flow and asset backing will keep leverage manageable [2] - LNG revenue is projected to increase its share to around 13% by 2027, enhancing revenue visibility [2]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley initiates coverage on China Merchants Energy Shipping Company (600026) with an "Overweight" rating for Hong Kong stocks and a target price of HKD 12, while assigning a "Neutral" rating for A-shares with a target price of RMB 13 [1] Company Overview - China Merchants Energy Shipping is the largest oil tanker operator in China and a leading global player in crude oil, refined oil, and LNG transportation [1] - The company operates a diversified fleet under China Merchants Group's energy transportation division, providing it with a competitive edge in a volatile freight market [1] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16% in net profit from 2025 to 2027, driven by freight recovery, structural supply-demand catalysts, and cautious fleet expansion [1] - Revenue CAGR is projected at approximately 8% from 2025 to 2027, supporting an improvement in profit margins, with net profit margin increasing from 19% in 2025 to 21% in 2027 [1] Fleet Expansion - The fleet is anticipated to grow from 246 vessels in 2024 to 290 vessels by 2027, positioning the company to capitalize on the next upward cycle in the market [1] Debt and Cash Flow - The net debt ratio is expected to rise from about 52% in 2025 to approximately 67% in 2027; however, strong operating cash flow and asset backing will keep leverage manageable [1] - LNG revenue is projected to increase its share to around 13% by 2027, enhancing revenue visibility [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley initiates coverage on COSCO Shipping Energy, assigning an "Overweight" rating for H-shares with a target price of HKD 12 and a "Neutral" rating for A-shares with a target price of CNY 13 [1] Group 1: Company Overview - COSCO Shipping Energy is the largest oil tanker operator in China and one of the leading companies globally in crude oil, refined oil, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) transportation [1] - The company operates a diversified fleet under the energy transportation segment of China COSCO Shipping Group [1] Group 2: Market Position and Growth Potential - The scale, relatively new fleet age structure, and increasing LNG business provide the company with downside protection in a volatile freight market [1] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from a prolonged upcycle over the years [1] Group 3: Financial Projections - Morgan Stanley forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16% for the company's net profit from 2025 to 2027, supported by freight recovery, structural supply-demand catalysts, and cautious fleet expansion [1]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of China Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. (中远海能) has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.04% and a current price of 11.98 CNY per share, reflecting a total market capitalization of 57.154 billion CNY [1]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, China Cosco achieved a revenue of 11.642 billion CNY, a slight decrease of 0.08% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders dropped by 28.28% to 1.869 billion CNY [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 14.462 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 4.437 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Shareholder and Market Activity - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 7.95% to 116,500, with an average of 0 circulating shares per shareholder [2]. - The stock has seen a year-to-date increase of 5.18%, with a recent 5-day decline of 2.60%, a 20-day increase of 11.13%, and a 60-day increase of 18.61% [1]. Ownership Structure - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 91.6484 million shares, an increase of 18.3201 million shares from the previous period [3]. - Other significant shareholders include Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and E Fund CSI 300 ETF, with holdings of 24.9615 million and 17.6686 million shares, respectively, both showing increases [3].

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley has resumed coverage of China Merchants Energy Shipping Company (中远海能) with a neutral rating [1]

摩根大通证券股份有限公司恢复跟踪中远海能A股，评级中性。 ...