Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the logistics and transportation sector, including SF Holding and Jitu Express [6]. Core Insights - The strategic alliance between Jitu Express and SF Holding aims to enhance cross-border logistics and network expansion, leveraging each company's strengths for better collaboration and market reach [1][3]. - The oil shipping market is experiencing a rise in freight rates due to geopolitical risks and optimistic sentiment among shipowners, with a focus on companies like China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping Energy [2][12]. - The express delivery sector is expected to see significant growth, with a projected 8% increase in business volume in 2026, driven by overseas e-commerce growth and the strategic partnership between Jitu and SF [3][17]. Summary by Sections Weekly Insights and Market Review - The transportation sector index fell by 0.94% in the week of January 12-16, 2026, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.49 percentage points [1][18]. - The top-performing segments included shipping, public transport, and express delivery, with respective gains of 1.51%, 1.42%, and 0.93% [18]. Aviation - The aviation sector is expected to benefit from low supply growth and recovering demand, with a focus on business travel and international flight recovery [11][26]. Shipping and Ports - VLCC freight rates have significantly increased due to concentrated shipments from the Middle East and West Africa, with rates reaching $99,627 per day [2][12]. - The dry bulk shipping market is facing a decline in rates, particularly for Cape-sized vessels, due to slow recovery in demand [13][14]. Logistics - The express delivery sector is highlighted with two main investment themes: international expansion through the Jitu and SF partnership and the internal competition dynamics among leading express companies [3][17]. - The express delivery business volume is projected to grow by approximately 8% in 2026, despite a slowdown in growth rates due to market saturation and price increases [17].

Core Viewpoint - The strategic shareholding agreement between Jitu Express and SF Express, totaling HKD 8.3 billion, marks a significant shift in the logistics industry, indicating a move from individual competition to collaborative strategies aimed at capturing growth opportunities in cross-border e-commerce and international supply chains [1][4]. Group 1: Strategic Partnership Details - SF Express will acquire 10% of Jitu Express through the issuance of approximately 226 million H-shares at HKD 36.74 per share, while Jitu Express will issue about 822 million B-shares to SF Express at HKD 10.10 per share, establishing a long-term partnership with a five-year lock-up period [2][3]. - This partnership allows SF Express to nominate a board member at Jitu Express, enhancing governance and strategic decision-making collaboration [2]. Group 2: Market Position and Competitive Advantage - SF Express, as Asia's largest and the world's fourth-largest logistics service provider, leverages its strong international air freight capabilities, while Jitu Express has captured over 32% market share in Southeast Asia and established competitive local delivery networks in 13 countries [3]. - The collaboration enables SF Express to access Jitu's established end-delivery network without heavy investments in overseas infrastructure, while Jitu can enhance its cross-border logistics solutions using SF's resources [3]. Group 3: Industry Implications and Market Reactions - The partnership is seen as a signal of the logistics industry's shift from price wars to value-based competition, potentially improving profit margins and market valuations for both companies [4][5]. - Following the announcement, both companies' stock prices rose, reflecting positive market sentiment regarding the potential for improved profitability and market share expansion [5]. - Analysts view this collaboration as a crucial step for both companies in enhancing their international logistics capabilities and positioning them favorably in the global market [5]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The "SF Express trunk + Jitu Express end" model is expected to become a preferred logistics solution for Chinese brands going global, potentially ending price wars and prompting other players to reassess their competitive strategies [6]. - The ongoing collaboration is anticipated to create a more efficient and resilient global logistics network, generating long-term value for shareholders and setting a new benchmark for the logistics industry [6].

Summary of SF Holding and J&T Express Strategic Cooperation Conference Call Company and Industry Involved - **Company**: SF Holding (顺丰控股) - **Partner**: J&T Express (极兔速递) - **Industry**: Logistics and Express Delivery Core Points and Arguments - **Strategic Shareholding**: SF Holding and J&T Express have established a strategic partnership through mutual shareholding, with SF holding 10% of J&T and J&T holding 4.29% of SF, both with a five-year lock-up period. This aims to enhance resource sharing and explore global logistics network collaboration [2][3] - **Global Coverage Strategy**: SF's decision to partner with J&T instead of building its own overseas network is aimed at optimizing resource allocation and accelerating global coverage, thereby deepening its globalization strategy [2][6] - **Operational Efficiency**: The partnership is expected to improve operational efficiency and customer satisfaction, with both companies leveraging each other's networks for enhanced service delivery [2][4] - **International Business Cooperation**: The collaboration will focus on international business, utilizing SF's cross-border resources and J&T's overseas delivery network to provide integrated logistics services [2][8] - **End-to-End Fulfillment Network**: The partnership aims to build a stable end-to-end fulfillment network to optimize inventory efficiency and enhance delivery timeliness [2][9] Additional Important Content - **Board Representation**: J&T has committed to nominating a candidate to SF's board, contingent on SF maintaining at least 8% ownership in J&T, to ensure effective implementation of the partnership [3][4] - **Investment in Infrastructure**: Both companies plan to invest jointly in key infrastructure to create a more efficient and resilient fulfillment system, benefiting Chinese enterprises going global [5] - **Domestic and International Synergies**: SF will open its domestic delivery network to J&T, while J&T will help SF expand its model internationally, enhancing operational efficiency and customer experience [10][11] - **Future Growth Expectations**: While specific figures for future cooperation scale are not provided, the collaboration is expected to extend beyond Southeast Asia to Europe and South America, enhancing customer experience and operational efficiency [13] - **Positive EPS Impact**: The transaction is anticipated to have a positive effect on SF's earnings per share (EPS) based on market expectations for J&T's performance and the synergy effects of their collaboration [14] - **Timing of Cooperation**: The timing for this strategic cooperation is deemed optimal due to previous successful collaborations and the established rapport between the two companies [15]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongyou Securities expresses optimism about the business collaboration between SF Express and Jitu Express following their cross-shareholding, which is expected to enhance the logistics capabilities of Chinese companies in the global market [1] Group 1: Cross-Shareholding Details - SF Express plans to issue 226 million H-shares to Jitu Express at HKD 36.74 per share, representing approximately 4.29% of SF Express's total share capital post-issuance [2] - Jitu Express intends to issue 822 million Class B shares to SF Express at HKD 10.10 per share, accounting for about 8.45% of Jitu Express's total share capital post-issuance; combined with SF Express's existing holdings, it is expected that SF Express will hold around 10.00% of Jitu Express's total share capital after the issuance [2] Group 2: Strengths and Market Position - SF Express is the largest logistics service provider in Asia and the fourth largest globally, with significant international and supply chain business revenue of CNY 65.79 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.5% for the first 11 months of 2025 [3] - Jitu Express has rapidly expanded in overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, achieving a volume of 7.66 billion parcels in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 67.8%; its market share in Southeast Asia exceeded 30% in the first half of 2025 [3] Group 3: Future Collaboration Potential - The successful implementation of cross-shareholding is expected to facilitate deep cooperation in the cross-border logistics market, leveraging SF Express's trunk resource advantages and Jitu's end-network strengths to enhance service quality and stability [4] - This collaboration aligns with China's "14th Five-Year Plan" goal of improving international delivery service capabilities, particularly in enhancing the "trunk-transfer-warehouse-distribution" capacity [4]

Group 1 - Core viewpoint: Zhongyou Securities is optimistic about the business collaboration between SF Express and Jitu Express following their cross-shareholding, which is expected to enhance the logistics capabilities of Chinese enterprises in the global market [1][2] - SF Express plans to issue 226 million H-shares at HKD 36.74 per share to Jitu Express, representing approximately 4.29% of its total share capital post-issuance; Jitu Express will issue 822 million B-shares at HKD 10.10 per share to SF Express, accounting for about 8.45% of its total share capital post-issuance [2] Group 2 - SF Express is the largest logistics service provider in Asia and the fourth largest globally, with significant international and supply chain business revenue of CNY 65.79 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.5% for the first 11 months of 2025 [3] - Jitu Express has rapidly expanded in Southeast Asia, achieving a volume of 7.66 billion parcels in the region, a year-on-year growth of 67.8%, and over 30% market share in Southeast Asia as of the first half of 2025 [3] - The collaboration between SF Express and Jitu Express is expected to leverage their respective strengths in cross-border logistics, enhancing service quality and operational efficiency, aligning with China's "14th Five-Year Plan" goals to improve international delivery capabilities [4]

Group 1: Macro Overview - The report indicates that in 2025, credit expansion showed marginal improvement, with a notable reliance on fiscal expansion, as the proportion of government bonds in social financing reached a historical high [3] - Monthly data reveals that new credit has decreased year-on-year for six consecutive months, with corporate credit performing better than household credit, driven mainly by the implementation of policy financial tools [3] - Looking ahead, the report suggests that the economy remains in a "weak reality," with significant downward pressure, and anticipates proactive policy measures in 2026 to stimulate economic growth [3] Group 2: Fixed Income Analysis - The report discusses the recent volatility in 30-year government bonds, which rose from approximately 1.85% in early July to around 2.3%, an increase of 45 basis points, while local government bonds remained stable [4] - The fitted model indicates that the current 10-year and 30-year local government bond to government bond spreads are at 16 basis points, with upper limits of approximately 23 and 21 basis points, respectively, suggesting limited room for further increases in spreads [4] Group 3: Industry Performance - The report highlights the top-performing industries in January, with Media leading at 25.5%, followed by Non-ferrous Metals at 23.2%, and Defense Industry at 20.5%, while the bottom performers included Banks at -2.5% and Food & Beverage at -1.8% [1] - Over the past year, Non-ferrous Metals showed a remarkable increase of 112.4%, indicating strong sector performance [1] Group 4: Company Insights - The report emphasizes that SenDa Group is a leading player in China's overseas expansion into Africa, leveraging its capabilities to empower the brand LeShuShi through channel, product, and market structure enhancements [5] - Key success factors for SenDa Group include early identification of the direction for industrial and trade integration, local factory establishment, product localization, and deep channel development [5] - The report draws parallels with the operations of Charoen Pokphand Group in China, suggesting that there are valuable lessons to be learned from their century-long operational history [5] Group 5: Strategic Partnerships - The report details a strategic cross-holding agreement between SF Express and J&T Express, where SF will acquire 10% of J&T's shares, while J&T will hold approximately 4.29% of SF's shares, enhancing long-term cooperation [7] - This partnership aims to leverage both companies' strengths in logistics networks and operational capabilities, facilitating better resource allocation and market coverage in key regions [8]

同日，顺丰发布投资者关系活动记录表。顺丰管理层在接待229位投资者调研时表示，通过本次合作，双方将更好地利用顺丰跨境干线与极兔海外末端能力 的优势进行互补，这不仅有助于提升顺丰全球网络的覆盖深度与运营效率，还为双方未来探索关键基础设施的共同投资机会创造有利条件。 每经记者｜赵雯琪 每经编辑｜余婷婷 中国物流行业迎来一场标志性的深度合作。 1月15日，顺丰控股（002352.SZ，06936.HK）与极兔速递（01519.HK）联合发布公告，宣布达成一项战略性的相互持股协议，将互为对方增发新股，投资 交易金额达83亿港元。 此次合作远非偶然。从2023年极兔收购顺丰旗下丰网，到顺丰现身极兔IPO（首次公开募股）基石投资者名单，双方关系在过去三年里持续深化，最终从业 务合作升级为资本与战略的双重协同。 双方合作并非偶然 在多位业内人士看来，极兔和顺丰的深度合作并不是偶然事件。 图片来源：据港交所公告制图 快递专家赵小敏在接受《每日经济新闻》记者采访时表示，中国快递行业规模最大（顺丰）与发展速度最快（极兔）的企业联手，将加剧快递企业的竞争压 力，可能使价格战加速走向终结，倒逼其他企业调整策略。 顺丰董事候选人将加入 ...

Major Events - Giant Bio (02367) received the Medical Device Registration Certificate from the National Medical Products Administration for its recombinant type I α1 collagen and sodium hyaluronate composite solution [1] - Jitu Express-W (01519) plans to subscribe for 226 million H shares of SF Holding and issue 822 million Class B shares to SF Holding [1] - Zijin Mining (02899) signed a cooperation and equity transfer agreement for the Shapingou Molybdenum Mine project [1] - Jiangxi Copper (00358) subsidiary signed an Investment Option Agreement with First Quantum for exploration cooperation in Kazakhstan's mining projects [1] - Derin Holdings (01709) received conditional approval from the CSRC for Derin Securities to provide virtual asset consulting services [1] - GAC Group (02238) subsidiary GAC Trumpchi received 100 million yuan in funding for industrial transformation and development [1] - Juteng International (03336) suspected of a cyber attack and has initiated a comprehensive investigation [1] Operating Performance - China Southern Airlines (01055) increased passenger capacity input by 11.89% year-on-year in December [1] - Air China (00753) reported a 10% year-on-year increase in passenger turnover in December [1] - China Eastern Airlines (00670) saw a 7.61% year-on-year increase in passenger turnover in December [1] - China Metallurgical Group (01618) new contract amount for 2025 is 1,113.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.8% year-on-year [1] - ZhongAn Online (06060) projected total original insurance premium income of approximately 35.643 billion yuan for 2025, an increase of 6.66% year-on-year [1] - China General Nuclear Power Corporation (01164) produced a total of 702.5 tons of natural uranium in the fourth quarter [1] - Jiuxing Holdings (01836) reported a 0.8% year-on-year increase in comprehensive income to 388.6 million USD in the fourth quarter [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) issued a profit warning, expecting annual net profit attributable to shareholders to be between 20 billion and 20.8 billion yuan, an increase of 47.80% to 53.71% year-on-year [1] - Chongqing Iron and Steel (01053) issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss of 2.5 billion to 2.8 billion yuan for 2025 [1] - Huiju Technology (01729) issued a profit warning, expecting annual net profit to increase by approximately 60% to 70% year-on-year [1]

Core Insights - SF Holding and Jitu Express have reached a strategic mutual shareholding agreement, with a total transaction amount of HKD 8.3 billion [1] - SF Holding will issue 226 million H shares at HKD 36.74 per share to Jitu Express, while Jitu Express will issue 822 million Class B shares at HKD 10.10 per share to SF Holding [1] - Post-transaction, SF Holding will hold 10% of Jitu Express, and Jitu Express will hold 4.29% of SF Holding [1] Strategic Considerations - SF Holding views this shareholding increase as a key move to deepen its globalization strategy, leveraging its strong cross-border logistics capabilities [2] - The partnership aims to optimize resource allocation and accelerate global coverage, with a focus on enhancing operational efficiency and customer satisfaction [2] - The collaboration is expected to create a more efficient and resilient global smart logistics network [2] Operational Synergies - The strategic collaboration will focus on providing a one-stop comprehensive logistics service by combining SF Holding's core resources in cross-border logistics with Jitu Express's efficient last-mile delivery network [3] - SF Holding's global warehouse resources will be integrated with Jitu Express's delivery advantages to optimize inventory efficiency and improve delivery timeliness [3] - The partnership aims to create a complete global logistics service ecosystem by focusing on international express, supply chain, cross-border e-commerce, and freight forwarding [3] Market Valuation - According to estimates, Jitu Express's valuation corresponds to a projected P/E ratio of 29 times and 20 times for 2025 and 2026, respectively, while SF Holding's valuation corresponds to a projected P/E ratio of 16 times and 14 times for the same years [3]

证券日报网讯 1月15日，顺丰控股发布公告称，公司第七届董事会第二次会议审议通过《关于认购极兔 速递新发行股份以及根据一般性授权向极兔速递发行新H股的议案》。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...