Summary of Jinxin Fertility (1951.HK) Earnings Review Company Overview - **Company**: Jinxin Fertility (1951.HK) - **Industry**: Healthcare Services, specifically in In Vitro Fertilization (IVF) Key Financial Performance - **2H24 Revenue**: Rmb1.37 billion, a decrease of 6.0% year-over-year, below the expected Rmb1.51 billion [1] - **Adjusted Net Profit**: Rmb111 million with an adjusted net margin of 8.1%, down from 18.0% in 1H24 and 14.9% in 2H23 [1] - **Domestic IVF Cycles**: Decline attributed to slower insurance coverage rollout in key cities like Shenzhen and Chengdu, leading to treatment delays [1] - **Overseas Market Growth**: Significant increase in overseas cycle volumes, up 18.2% year-over-year in 2024 [1] Operational Insights - **Cost Management**: The company aims to achieve 10% cost savings through operational efficiency improvements [1] - **Focus on Cash Flow**: Emphasis on cash flow management in the domestic market by reducing capital expenditures and M&A activities [1] - **New Doctor Onboarding**: Margin pressure due to the onboarding of five new doctors in 2024, still in the early ramp-up phase [1] Future Outlook - **2025 Guidance**: No specific guidance provided due to ongoing assessments of the domestic policy landscape [2] - **US Market Potential**: Positive outlook in the US driven by new legislation (California's SB729) mandating IVF insurance coverage starting mid-2025 [2] - **AI Applications**: Exploration of AI in IVF processes, particularly in embryo selection and treatment plan design, aimed at improving outcomes and reducing costs [2] Market and Policy Impact - **Insurance Coverage**: Monitoring the impact of medical insurance coverage on patient visits and treatment demand [3] - **Pricing Pressure**: A 5% decline in pricing observed, linked to hospital classifications; plans to apply for Class III hospital status to enhance pricing power [13] Valuation and Risks - **Price Target**: Maintained at HK$2.90, reflecting a target P/E multiple of 18x, up from 17x due to improving sentiment [14] - **Earnings Estimates**: 2025-26 EPS estimates reduced by 20.7% and 15.6% respectively due to domestic market slowdown and margin pressures [14] - **Risks**: Include reputational risks, integration challenges from M&A, policy changes related to fertility support, and uncertainties in US capacity expansion [14] Key Financial Metrics - **Enterprise Value**: HK$9.9 billion / $1.3 billion [4] - **Market Capitalization**: HK$8.1 billion / $1.0 billion [4] - **Revenue Forecasts**: Expected revenue growth from Rmb2,811.6 million in 2024 to Rmb3,547.3 million by 2027 [4][11] - **EBITDA Growth**: Projected to recover from a decline of 13.2% in 2025 to a modest growth of 2.3% by 2027 [8] Conclusion Jinxin Fertility is navigating a challenging domestic market with a focus on operational efficiency and cash flow management while exploring growth opportunities in the US market. The company faces significant risks related to policy changes and market dynamics, which could impact its future performance.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a favorable outlook for investment over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Insights - The company achieved total revenue of 2.812 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 17.9% to 283 million yuan [1]. - The decline in egg retrieval cycles in 2024 is attributed to the inclusion of certain assisted reproductive projects in medical insurance, leading to a postponement of patient visits [2]. - The company is expanding its domestic and international presence, with a strategic partnership in Southeast Asia to enhance growth opportunities [3]. - The introduction of local fertility subsidy policies is expected to stimulate growth in the coming years, alongside the rollout of medical insurance policies for assisted reproductive services [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 2.812 billion yuan, with a slight growth of 0.81% compared to 2023. The net profit is projected to decline to 382 million yuan in 2025, followed by a gradual recovery [5]. - The revenue breakdown shows that the core assisted reproductive services (ARS) generated 1.44 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.25%, while consumables and equipment sales increased by 5.77% to 121 million yuan [2]. Business Segments - The company’s domestic revenue from the Chengdu region was 1.473 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.13%, while overseas revenue reached 604 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 6.0% [3]. - The report highlights a significant increase in overseas ARS cycles, with a year-on-year growth of 18.2%, indicating resilience in international operations [3]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the combination of fertility subsidies and medical insurance policies will drive an increase in egg retrieval cycles, positively impacting future revenue [4]. - The company’s earnings forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted downward due to anticipated changes in cycle numbers and cost structures, with new projections of 382 million yuan and 416 million yuan respectively [4].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Jinxin Fertility - **Industry**: Assisted Reproductive Technology (ART) Core Insights and Arguments 1. **2024 Performance**: Jinxin Fertility achieved significant results in 2024, with domestic business recovering to pre-pandemic levels and record revenue from the US HRC medical center. Southeast Asia markets are also showing growth in embryo screening and reproductive medicine, maintaining industry leadership [3] 2. **Impact of 2025 National Fertility Support Policies**: The introduction of high subsidies for families with three children and the inclusion of assisted reproductive technology in expanded health insurance coverage are expected to stimulate demand and support long-term industry growth [4][5] 3. **Strategic Focus**: The company aims to deepen its presence in high-potential markets like Sichuan and Guangdong, enhance growth in the US HRC, and build a fertility health ecosystem incorporating AI in embryo screening [6] 4. **Long-term Trends in ART**: There is a contrasting trend of declining birth rates and increasing penetration of assisted reproductive technology, indicating a long-term investment opportunity in the sector [7] 5. **US Fertility Benefits Policy**: In 2025, the US will implement mandatory IVF coverage for companies with over 100 employees, significantly impacting the commercial insurance market and promoting a fertility-friendly society [8][32] 6. **Financial Performance**: In 2025, Jinxin Fertility reported a profit of 540 million yuan in Greater China, with normalized EBITDA of 710 million yuan and normalized profit of 420 million yuan. Shareholder returns amounted to 180 million yuan, with a dividend yield of 1.89% [4][20] 7. **Operational Efficiency**: The company plans to reduce operational costs by approximately 10% over the next 12 to 18 months while also lowering leverage levels [25] Additional Important Insights 1. **Domestic and Overseas Highlights**: The success rate of third-generation IVF in China exceeded 62.8%, with significant growth in centers like Wuhan and Shenzhen. Overseas, the US market achieved a success rate of 59.7%, with historical highs in treatment cycles [22][23] 2. **Market Position**: Jinxin Fertility ranks second globally in treatment cycles, with approximately 57,000 cycles, indicating strong growth potential in key regions like China, Indonesia, and the US [19] 3. **Insurance and Policy Changes**: The inclusion of ART in health insurance is expected to increase patient volume, with initial diagnosis rates rising by 15% to 20% in regions like Shenzhen and Chengdu [30] 4. **Future Strategy**: The company will focus on cash flow enhancement, organizational transformation, and innovation in business, including the development of new technologies and services [24][26] 5. **Risks and Challenges**: Concerns regarding the scale of intangible assets and goodwill are acknowledged, but the company maintains a strong position in the market with a focus on sustainable growth [35] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the company's performance, strategic direction, and the broader industry context.

Core Viewpoint - The fertility industry, particularly assisted reproduction, is becoming increasingly important as global fertility policies evolve, with companies like Jinxin Reproductive demonstrating resilience and growth in response to these changes [1][5]. Group 1: Company Performance - Jinxin Reproductive reported a total revenue of 2.812 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.8% [1]. - The company achieved a normalized net profit of 416 million yuan and a normalized EBITDA of 710 million yuan, with free cash flow amounting to 280 million yuan [1]. - The number of overseas egg retrieval cycles reached a record high of 4,548, marking an 18.2% year-on-year increase [1][8]. Group 2: Market Opportunities - In China, the government is enhancing fertility policies, with the National Healthcare Security Administration planning to include assisted reproduction in medical insurance, potentially benefiting 1 million people [3]. - Local governments, such as Hohhot, are introducing substantial birth subsidies, which may lead to nationwide adoption of similar policies [3]. - In the U.S., new policies are expanding fertility benefits, with 21 states mandating insurance coverage for IVF treatments, thus increasing accessibility for families [4]. Group 3: Strategic Developments - Jinxin Reproductive is adapting to market changes by optimizing service structures, resulting in a 1% revenue growth in domestic medical institutions [6]. - The company is focusing on high-end VIP services, with penetration rates in Chengdu and Shenzhen reaching 18.1% and 7.1%, respectively, indicating a shift towards premium offerings [6][7]. - The introduction of innovative technologies and a comprehensive "assisted reproduction - full cycle - individualized" model is enhancing service delivery and patient outcomes [7][9]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook - Jinxin Reproductive is transitioning from one-time assisted reproduction services to providing comprehensive health services for women of childbearing age, leveraging AI and deep integration of auxiliary medical technologies [9]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the low penetration rate of assisted reproduction in China, with expected improvements in accessibility due to insurance coverage [11]. - The strategic expansion in regions like Chengdu, Shenzhen, Wuhan, and internationally in the U.S. and Southeast Asia is expected to bolster the company's operational capabilities and growth potential [11].

Financial Performance - The group's revenue for the year ended December 31, 2024, was approximately RMB 2,811.6 million, an increase of 0.8% compared to RMB 2,788.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2023[2]. - The group's net profit for the year ended December 31, 2024, was approximately RMB 273.5 million, a decrease of 21.2% from RMB 347.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2023[2]. - The adjusted net profit under non-IFRS was approximately RMB 416.3 million, down 11.7% from RMB 471.5 million for the previous year[2]. - The non-IFRS EBITDA for the year ended December 31, 2024, was approximately RMB 628.8 million, a decrease of 11.0% from RMB 706.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2023[2]. - The adjusted EBITDA under non-IFRS was approximately RMB 707.3 million, down 9.5% from RMB 781.2 million for the previous year[2]. - Basic earnings per share for the year ended December 31, 2024, were RMB 0.11, compared to RMB 0.13 for the year ended December 31, 2023[9]. - Total comprehensive income for the year ended December 31, 2024, was RMB 328.3 million, down from RMB 402.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2023[9]. - The total pre-tax profit for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, was RMB 391,887,000, compared to RMB 464,268,000 for the previous year[25][26]. - Net profit decreased by 21.2% to approximately RMB 273.5 million, impacted by a reduction in one-time government subsidies and foreign exchange losses[94]. Assets and Liabilities - Total non-current assets increased to RMB 13,891,865 thousand in 2024 from RMB 13,553,729 thousand in 2023, representing a growth of approximately 2.5%[10]. - Current liabilities rose to RMB 2,119,451 thousand in 2024, up from RMB 1,689,833 thousand in 2023, indicating an increase of about 25.5%[11]. - The company's net asset value reached RMB 10,354,187 thousand in 2024, compared to RMB 10,186,812 thousand in 2023, reflecting a growth of approximately 1.6%[11]. - The company's bank borrowings increased significantly to RMB 1,277,537 thousand in 2024 from RMB 747,804 thousand in 2023, marking an increase of approximately 70.8%[11]. - The company's total equity increased to RMB 10,354,187 thousand in 2024, up from RMB 10,186,812 thousand in 2023, indicating a growth of about 1.6%[11]. - The company reported a decrease in inventory to RMB 50,948 thousand in 2024 from RMB 62,428 thousand in 2023, representing a decline of approximately 18.4%[10]. - Accounts receivable surged to RMB 234,406,000 in 2024, a significant increase from RMB 73,086,000 in 2023, marking a rise of about 220%[40]. - Total liabilities for accounts payable and other payables decreased to RMB 737,772,000 in 2024 from RMB 884,520,000 in 2023, a reduction of approximately 16.6%[45]. Cash Flow and Financing - The company incurred finance costs of RMB 57.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, down from RMB 79.6 million for the previous year[8]. - The company repaid 62% of its US dollar syndicated loan principal during the year, enhancing its financial stability[12]. - The company added new loans amounting to RMB 3,294,476,000 in 2024, significantly higher than RMB 640,062,000 in 2023, indicating a substantial increase in borrowing[49]. - The repayment of loans in 2024 was approximately RMB 3,183,799,000, compared to RMB 642,902,000 in 2023, showing a significant rise in repayment activity[49]. - The interest rates on loans ranged from 2.15% to 7.3% in 2024, down from 3.5% to 7.3% in 2023, reflecting a decrease in borrowing costs[49]. - The company maintains sufficient reserves and continuously monitors cash flow forecasts to manage liquidity risk[116]. Research and Development - Research and development expenses for the year ended December 31, 2024, were RMB 24.7 million, compared to RMB 21.7 million for the previous year[8]. - Research and development expenses increased by 13.8% to approximately RMB 24.7 million, reflecting investment in innovation[88]. Market and Operational Insights - The company has diversified its global investment strategy, focusing on expansion in China and Southeast Asia[12]. - The company plans to expand its services in assisted reproductive technology as it becomes included in national health insurance coverage across various provinces starting in 2024[54]. - The number of births in China is projected to stabilize between 2025 and 2040, following a significant decline from approximately 1,500,000 annually to 900,000 between 2016 and 2023[50]. - The penetration rate of assisted reproductive technology in China was approximately 9% in 2023, significantly lower than the rates in Europe (36%) and the United States (33%)[50]. - The company anticipates long-term development opportunities due to stabilizing fertility rates, increasing penetration of assisted reproduction, and supportive government policies[66]. Corporate Governance and Compliance - The audit and risk management committee has reviewed the company's compliance with applicable laws and regulations, ensuring adequate disclosure of financial statements[126]. - The company is committed to adhering to international financial reporting standards, ensuring transparency in its financial disclosures[138]. - The company emphasizes corporate governance as per the listing rules, ensuring compliance and risk management[134]. Shareholder Returns and Incentives - The board recommended not to declare a final dividend for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to a dividend of HKD 0.0595 per share for the previous year[3]. - The company repurchased a total of 13,000,000 shares during the reporting period at a total cost of approximately HKD 31.4 million, indicating confidence in its business outlook[122]. - The company has a share incentive plan adopted on February 17, 2022, which will be revised on June 25, 2024[134].

Market Expansion and Acquisitions - Jinxin Fertility Group has expanded its market share in Southwest China by acquiring Jiuzhou Hospital and Hewanjia Hospital, further strengthening its presence in the region[3] - Jinxin Fertility Group acquired a new property in February 2022, which is expected to be operational by the first half of 2025, enhancing VIP services and capacity in Shenzhen and the Greater Bay Area[3] - Jinxin Fertility Group established a strategic partnership with Warburg Pincus in November 2023 to enhance acquisition opportunities and support its M&A strategy[4] - In July 2024, the company entered the Southeast Asian IVF market through a partnership with PT Morula Indonesia, which operates 10 IVF clinics across Indonesia[4] - The company completed a 30% equity acquisition of Morula, Indonesia's largest assisted reproductive medical service group, to strengthen its presence in Southeast Asia[24] - In April 2024, the group entered into a share subscription and equity transfer agreement to acquire a total of 30% equity in Morula, with a total consideration of approximately RMB 189.5 million, completed in July 2024[67] - The group completed the acquisition of a 30% equity stake in PT Morula Indonesia for a total consideration of approximately RMB 189,491 thousand[194] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2024 increased by 8.2% to RMB 1,443.756 million compared to RMB 1,333.906 million in the same period of 2023[7] - Net profit for the first half of 2024 decreased by 15.0% to RMB 190.313 million from RMB 223.801 million in the same period of 2023[7] - Adjusted net profit for the first half of 2024 increased slightly by 1.8% to RMB 259.597 million compared to RMB 255.039 million in the same period of 2023[7] - Gross profit margin decreased to 40.4% in the first half of 2024 from 42.3% in the same period of 2023[7] - Total assets decreased slightly by 0.3% to RMB 14,848.571 million as of June 30, 2024, compared to RMB 14,896.177 million as of December 31, 2023[7] - Bank balances and cash decreased by 17.1% to RMB 517.321 million as of June 30, 2024, compared to RMB 624.280 million as of December 31, 2023[7] - Revenue for the six months ended June 30, 2024, increased to RMB 1,443,756 thousand, up 8.2% from RMB 1,333,906 thousand in the same period in 2023[117] - Gross profit for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was RMB 583,016 thousand, compared to RMB 564,324 thousand in the same period in 2023, reflecting a 3.3% increase[117] - Net profit for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was RMB 190,313 thousand, down 15% from RMB 223,801 thousand in the same period in 2023[117] - Total comprehensive income for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was RMB 209,269 thousand, compared to RMB 446,601 thousand in the same period in 2023, a decrease of 53.1%[117] - Basic earnings per share for the six months ended June 30, 2024, were RMB 0.07, down from RMB 0.08 in the same period in 2023[118] - Total non-current assets as of June 30, 2024, were RMB 13,594,493 thousand, slightly up from RMB 13,553,729 thousand as of December 31, 2023[119] - Total current assets as of June 30, 2024, were RMB 1,254,078 thousand, down from RMB 1,342,448 thousand as of December 31, 2023[119] - Bank balances and cash as of June 30, 2024, were RMB 517,321 thousand, down from RMB 624,280 thousand as of December 31, 2023[119] - Total assets decreased from RMB 13,206,344 thousand to RMB 12,605,370 thousand, a decline of 4.55%[120] - Current liabilities increased from RMB 1,689,833 thousand to RMB 2,243,201 thousand, a rise of 32.76%[120] - Bank borrowings under current liabilities surged from RMB 747,804 thousand to RMB 1,231,671 thousand, an increase of 64.71%[120] - Net current liabilities worsened from RMB (347,385) thousand to RMB (989,123) thousand, a significant deterioration[120] - Total equity slightly increased from RMB 10,186,812 thousand to RMB 10,268,237 thousand, a growth of 0.80%[120] - Share repurchases amounted to RMB 12,644 thousand[121] - Dividends declared totaled RMB 150,000 thousand[121] - Profit for the period was RMB 223,563 thousand[122] - Other comprehensive income for the period was RMB 221,728 thousand[122] - Total comprehensive income for the period was RMB 445,291 thousand[122] - Operating cash flow from operating activities increased to RMB 383,827 thousand, up 14% from RMB 336,824 thousand in the same period last year[123] - Net cash used in investing activities was RMB 41 thousand, a significant improvement from RMB -1,958,086 thousand in the previous year, driven by higher proceeds from the sale of financial assets at fair value (RMB 619,229 thousand)[123] - Net cash used in financing activities was RMB -380,126 thousand, compared to net cash generated of RMB 1,057,508 thousand in the prior year, primarily due to higher repayments of bank borrowings (RMB 1,526,097 thousand)[124] - Cash and cash equivalents increased by RMB 3,742 thousand, compared to a decrease of RMB -563,754 thousand in the same period last year[124] - The company repaid 62% of its USD syndicated loan principal, reflecting a strategic shift in its global investment strategy[125] - As of June 30, 2024, the company had unused bank financing of approximately RMB 419,659 thousand and secured additional bank financing of RMB 356,340 thousand post-June 30, 2024[127] - The company received a commitment letter for USD 150 million in financing from a bank acting as the lead arranger and bookrunner[127] - The company's functional currency was changed from USD to RMB effective January 1, 2024, to better reflect its economic environment and financing sources[125] - Revenue from external customers in Greater China reached RMB 1,137,636 thousand, while overseas revenue was RMB 306,120 thousand, totaling RMB 1,443,756 thousand for the six months ended June 30, 2024[132] - Segment profit for Greater China was RMB 345,660 thousand, and overseas segment profit was RMB 8,717 thousand, resulting in a total segment profit of RMB 354,377 thousand[133] - Pre-tax profit for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was RMB 265,756 thousand[134] - Revenue from assisted reproductive and related services was RMB 778,072 thousand, management services contributed RMB 287,371 thousand, and other medical services (including gynecology and pediatrics) generated RMB 201,655 thousand[136] - Non-current assets in Greater China were RMB 9,153,241 thousand, while overseas non-current assets were RMB 4,113,106 thousand as of June 30, 2024[137] - Revenue from Huntington Reproductive Center Medical Group (HRC Medical) accounted for RMB 237,925 thousand, representing over 10% of the company's total sales[138] - Other income, including interest from time deposits and banks, government subsidies, and other sources, totaled RMB 26,529 thousand for the six months ended June 30, 2024[139] - Net other gains and losses amounted to a loss of RMB 3,808 thousand, primarily due to foreign exchange losses of RMB 5,883 thousand[140] - Total interest expenses, including bank loans, convertible bonds, and lease liabilities, were RMB 28,526 thousand for the six months ended June 30, 2024[141] - Pre-tax profit for the six months ended June 30, 2024, reached RMB 385,601 thousand, compared to RMB 348,259 thousand in the same period in 2023, reflecting a 10.7% increase[142] - Income tax expense for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was RMB 75,443 thousand, up from RMB 54,734 thousand in the same period in 2023, a 37.8% increase[143] - The company recommended a final cash dividend of 5.95 HK cents per ordinary share for the year ended December 31, 2023, totaling RMB 150,000,000[145] - Basic earnings per share for the six months ended June 30, 2024, were RMB 189,682 thousand, down from RMB 223,563 thousand in the same period in 2023, a 15.2% decrease[146] - The weighted average number of shares for basic earnings per share was 2,685,475,449 for the six months ended June 30, 2024, compared to 2,668,504,206 in the same period in 2023[147] - The company invested approximately RMB 67,056,000 in property, plant, and equipment during the six months ended June 30, 2024, compared to RMB 95,859,000 in the same period in 2023[149] - Accounts receivable as of June 30, 2024, stood at RMB 169,997 thousand, a significant increase from RMB 73,086 thousand as of December 31, 2023[150] - Other receivables and prepayments totaled RMB 509,700 thousand as of June 30, 2024, up from RMB 382,396 thousand as of December 31, 2023[150] - Accounts receivable from related parties decreased to RMB 94.234 million as of June 30, 2024, compared to RMB 212.159 million as of December 31, 2023[155] - The aging analysis of trade-related receivables from related parties shows RMB 56.293 million within 90 days, RMB 20.983 million between 91-180 days, and RMB 16.958 million over 180 days as of June 30, 2024[162] - Total accounts receivable increased to RMB 169.997 million as of June 30, 2024, from RMB 73.086 million as of December 31, 2023, with RMB 122.623 million within 90 days[153] - Non-trade receivables from related parties remained stable at RMB 30.148 million as of June 30, 2024, compared to RMB 29.896 million as of December 31, 2023[156] - The company's liquidity analysis of receivables from related parties shows RMB 96.014 million as current and RMB 28.368 million as non-current as of June 30, 2024[159] - Payables to related parties increased to RMB 23.483 million as of June 30, 2024, from RMB 12.264 million as of December 31, 2023[163] - The company has a receivable of RMB 132.188 million from Jinxin Aijie International Hospital Management Co., Ltd., which is considered as a prepayment for future equity investment[151] - The company's directors at Shenzhen Zhongshan Hospital are entitled to a total salary of HKD 43.3 million (approximately RMB 39.52 million) for the period from December 1, 2022, to November 30, 2025[151] - The company has an interest-free loan receivable of USD 3.07 million (approximately RMB 21.876 million) from a shareholder of an associate company, expected to be recovered by 2026[151] - The company's IVF centers in Chengdu, Shenzhen, Wuhan, and Hong Kong primarily receive payments from individual clients through cash, credit cards, debit cards, or government social security plans, with government payments typically settled within 30-90 days after the transaction date[151] - Accounts payable increased to RMB 257.09 million as of June 30, 2024, up from RMB 231.29 million as of December 31, 2023[166] - Other payables decreased to RMB 609.63 million as of June 30, 2024, compared to RMB 653.23 million as of December 31, 2023[166] - Total bank borrowings decreased to RMB 2.03 billion as of June 30, 2024, down from RMB 2.13 billion as of December 31, 2023[169] - New loans added during the period amounted to RMB 1.42 billion, while repayments totaled RMB 1.53 billion, including RMB 1.35 billion in early repayments of syndicated loans[170] - Deferred tax liabilities increased to RMB 1.22 billion as of June 30, 2024, compared to RMB 1.21 billion as of December 31, 2023[172] - Deferred tax assets increased to RMB 125.28 million as of June 30, 2024, up from RMB 121.07 million as of December 31, 2023[172] - Accounts payable aged over 365 days increased to RMB 18.57 million as of June 30, 2024, compared to RMB 12.36 million as of December 31, 2023[169] - The company's syndicated loan of USD 300 million (approximately RMB 2.07 billion) has an outstanding amount to be repaid in installments starting 36 months after the utilization date[170] - The interest rates on the company's borrowings ranged from 2.5% to 7.3% as of June 30, 2024, with repayment periods extending to 2030[170] - The company issued 175,000,000 ordinary shares at a price of HKD 6.725 per share through a private placement arrangement during the year ended December 31, 2023, with proceeds of USD 1,750 (approximately RMB 12,000) allocated to share capital and the remaining RMB 998,972,000 (after deducting transaction costs) allocated to the share premium account[173] - The company issued 29,060,994 ordinary shares to Jinxin 2nd ESOP Limited (the nominee of the second restricted share unit plan) during the period[174] - The company issued 36,792,247 ordinary shares to the nominee of the second restricted share unit plan during the interim period[174] - The company terminated the share option plan during the interim period, with no further options to be granted under the plan[175] - The company terminated the 2019 restricted share unit plan during the interim period, but previously granted awards under the plan remain fully effective[176] - The company approved a new restricted share unit plan (2022 plan) on February 17, 2022, with a maximum of 75,227,514 shares (approximately 3% of the issued share capital as of the adoption date) allowed to be granted under the plan[177] - The company issued 32,981,388 shares to the nominee of the first restricted share unit plan on February 15, 2019, with 4,688,338 shares held by the nominee as of June 30, 2024[178] - The company issued 29,060,994 shares and 36,792,247 shares to the nominee of the second restricted share unit plan on February 15, 2023, and March 22, 2024, respectively, with 68,853,241 shares held by the nominee as of June 30, 2024[179] - The company recognized total expenses of RMB 37,115,000 for restricted share units granted during the six months ended June 30, 2024 (2023: RMB 6,370,000)[179] - The company has not made any significant provisions for pending legal claims and disputes, as the potential outflow amount cannot be reliably determined before judicial assessment[180] - Capital commitments for property, plant, and equipment increased to RMB 232,294 thousand as of June 30, 2024, up from RMB 97,908 thousand as of December 31, 2023[181] - The fair value of financial assets measured at fair value through profit or loss was RMB 51,938 thousand as of June 30, 2024, compared to RMB 141,569 thousand as of December 31, 2023[185] - The fair value of other financial assets measured at fair value through profit or loss remained unchanged at RMB 80,000 thousand as of June 30, 2024 and December 31, 2023[185] - The fair value of preferred shares measured at fair value through profit or loss was RMB 7,052 thousand as of June 30, 2024, unchanged from December 31, 2023[185] - The company purchased additional preferred shares worth RMB 80,000 thousand during the period, leading to a total fair value of RMB 87,052 thousand as of June 30, 2024[186] - The company provided management services to related parties, with no transactions recorded in 2024 compared to RMB 38,442 thousand in 2023[188] - Sales of pharmaceuticals, consumables, and equipment to related parties were nil in 2024, down from RMB 26,321 thousand in 2023[188] - Marketing expenses with an associate company decreased to RMB 14,378 thousand in 2024 from RMB 19,458 thousand in 2023[188] - Revenue from pathology services provided by the group to Chengdu Jinxin Investment and its affiliates decreased to RMB 2,082 thousand in 2024 from RMB 2,233 thousand in 2023[190] - Revenue from sales of drugs, consumables, and equipment to Chengdu Jinxin Investment and its affiliates increased to RMB 8,964 thousand in 2024 from RMB 6,503 thousand in 2023[190] - Management service revenue from HRC Medical and its affiliates increased to RMB 218,562 thousand in 2024 from RMB 207,776 thousand in 2023[190] - Pre-implantation genetic screening revenue from HRC Medical and its affiliates increased to RMB 16,965 thousand

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for Jinxin Fertility (01951 HK) with a target price of HKD 3 3 [1][3] Core Views - Jinxin Fertility achieved a revenue of RMB 1 444 million (+8 2%) and an adjusted net profit of RMB 260 million (+1 8%) in H1 2024 [1] - The company's overseas business recovered well with a revenue increase of 11 5% while domestic business was affected by policy delays [1] - The gross margin declined to 40 4% (-1 9pct) due to increased human resource costs from US business expansion [1] - The report forecasts revenue growth of 13 0% 13 1% and 11 9% for 2024 2025 and 2026 respectively with adjusted net profit growth of 7 0% 13 2% and 12 0% [1] Regional Performance - Chengdu region contributed RMB 883 million (+8 6%) with VIP business increasing to 19 5% of ARS revenue [1] - Greater Bay Area revenue grew 10 5% to RMB 242 million driven by increased market share and reputation of Shenzhen Zhongshan Hospital [1] - Kunming and Wuhan revenue declined 6 6% to RMB 130 million due to business adjustments in Kunming [1] - Overseas revenue reached RMB 391 million (+11 5%) supported by HRC Medical's promotion of egg freezing services [1] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to reach RMB 3 180 million 3 595 million and 4 023 million in 2024 2025 and 2026 respectively [2] - Net profit is expected to grow to RMB 413 million 483 million and 563 million in 2024 2025 and 2026 respectively [2] - The company's PE ratio is forecasted at 14 0x 12 0x and 10 3x for 2024 2025 and 2026 respectively [2] Valuation - The target PE ratio for 2024 is 20x corresponding to a target market cap of HKD 9 1 billion [1] - The current share price is HKD 2 3 with a 12-month high/low of HKD 4 33/2 05 [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Jinxin Fertility (1951 HK) with a target price of HKD 3.69, down 31% from previous estimates [3][10]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 24H1 was CNY 1.44 billion, reflecting an 8.2% increase, while net profit decreased by 15.0% to CNY 190 million, primarily due to increased equity incentive amortization [6][9]. - The overseas business is experiencing rapid growth, particularly in the U.S., where the company plans to recruit at least five new doctors in 2024 [6][10]. - The inclusion of assisted reproductive services in medical insurance is expected to significantly reduce the financial burden on residents, potentially boosting the company's performance [9][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 24H1 was CNY 1.44 billion (+8.2%), with a net profit of CNY 190 million (-15.0%). Non-GAAP adjusted net profit was CNY 260 million (+1.8%) [6][7]. - Revenue by business segment includes: - Assisted reproductive services: CNY 780 million (+9.6%) - Management services: CNY 290 million (+1.2%) - Gynecology and pediatric services: CNY 200 million (+6.8%) - Obstetric services: CNY 120 million (+14.1%) - Sales of consumables and equipment: CNY 60.274 million (+22.4%) [7][8]. Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for 24H1 was 40.4% (-1.9 percentage points), with a sales expense ratio of 6.0% (-0.6 percentage points) and a management expense ratio of 14.9% (+0.8 percentage points) [8][9]. - The decline in gross margin is attributed to increased labor costs from recruiting new doctors in the U.S. [8]. Market Outlook - The Chinese assisted reproductive market is expected to grow due to an increase in older pregnant women and supportive government policies [10]. - Revenue forecasts for 2024 and 2025 are CNY 3.07 billion and CNY 3.48 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 10.0% and 13.5% respectively [10].

Investment Rating - Buy rating maintained for Jinxin Fertility (01951 HK) [2] Core Views - Jinxin Fertility achieved steady growth in H1 2024 with rapid increase in overseas egg retrieval cycles [1] - Revenue reached RMB 1 444 million (+8 2% YoY) adjusted net profit was RMB 260 million (+1 8% YoY) [3] - Gross margin was 40 38% (-1 93pct YoY) net margin was 13 18% (-3 6pct YoY) [3] - Forecasted net profit for 2024-2026 is RMB 387/463/538 million with PE ratios of 14 5/12 1/10 4x [3] - Long-term growth potential supported by strong profitability high industry barriers and upcoming Shenzhen facility [3] Business Performance Revenue Breakdown - ARS business revenue: RMB 778 million (+9 58% YoY) [3] - Management services revenue: RMB 287 million (+1 06% YoY) [3] - Obstetrics medical services revenue: RMB 116 million (+13 73% YoY) [3] - Other medical services revenue: RMB 202 million (+6 88% YoY) [3] Regional Performance - Chengdu region revenue: RMB 883 million (+8 6% YoY) driven by ARS growth (+4%) and VIP business increase (16 3% to 19 5%) [3] - Greater Bay Area revenue: RMB 242 million (+10 5% YoY) [3] - Kunming and Wuhan revenue: RMB 130 million (-6 6% YoY) [3] - Overseas revenue: RMB 391 million (+11 5% YoY) [3] Egg Retrieval Cycles - Total egg retrieval cycles: 15 100 (+2 72% YoY) [3] - Chengdu: 7 571 cycles (-4 67% YoY) [3] - Greater Bay Area: 3 022 cycles (+6 67% YoY) with VIP business increase (7 2% to 7 7%) [3] - Overseas: 2 325 cycles (+25 27% YoY) driven by HRCMedical's frozen egg business and international recovery [3] - Kunming and Wuhan: 2 133 cycles (+1 57% YoY) [3] Strategic Developments - Completed 30% stake acquisition in Morula Indonesia's largest IVF service group with 10 clinics [3] Financial Projections - Revenue forecast: RMB 3 145/3 636/4 213 million for 2024-2026 [4] - Net profit forecast: RMB 387/463/538 million for 2024-2026 [4] - Gross margin forecast: 42 2%/42 3%/42 1% for 2024-2026 [4] - Net margin forecast: 12 16%/12 93%/12 96% for 2024-2026 [4] - ROE forecast: 3 65%/4 3%/4 75% for 2024-2026 [4] - EPS forecast: RMB 0 14/0 17/0 20 for 2024-2026 [4]

Financial Performance - The group's revenue for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was approximately RMB 1,443.8 million, an increase of 8.2% compared to RMB 1,333.9 million for the same period in 2023[2] - The net profit for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was approximately RMB 190.3 million, a decrease of 15.0% from RMB 223.8 million for the same period in 2023, primarily due to an increase in employee stock option plan expenses by RMB 30.7 million[2] - The adjusted net profit under non-IFRS was approximately RMB 259.6 million, up 1.8% from RMB 255.0 million for the same period in 2023[2] - The non-IFRS EBITDA for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was approximately RMB 380.9 million, a decrease of 1.8% from RMB 387.7 million for the same period in 2023[2] - The adjusted non-IFRS EBITDA was approximately RMB 418.1 million, an increase of 6.1% compared to RMB 394.1 million for the same period in 2023[2] - The total comprehensive income for the period was RMB 209.3 million, down from RMB 446.6 million in the same period last year[6] - Basic and diluted earnings per share for the period were RMB 0.07, compared to RMB 0.08 for the same period in 2023[6] Assets and Liabilities - Non-current assets as of June 30, 2024, amounted to RMB 13,594.5 million, compared to RMB 13,553.7 million as of December 31, 2023[7] - Cash and cash equivalents as of June 30, 2024, were RMB 517.3 million, down from RMB 624.3 million as of December 31, 2023[7] - As of June 30, 2024, the company's total liabilities increased to RMB 2,337,133 thousand from RMB 3,019,532 thousand as of December 31, 2023, indicating a decrease of approximately 22.6%[8] - The company's net assets rose to RMB 10,268,237 thousand as of June 30, 2024, compared to RMB 10,186,812 thousand as of December 31, 2023, reflecting an increase of about 0.8%[8] - The company's equity attributable to owners increased to RMB 10,174,290 thousand as of June 30, 2024, from RMB 10,091,423 thousand as of December 31, 2023, reflecting a growth of about 0.8%[8] - The company's total assets less current liabilities decreased to RMB 12,605,370 thousand as of June 30, 2024, from RMB 13,206,344 thousand as of December 31, 2023, representing a decline of approximately 4.6%[8] Cash Flow and Financing - Operating cash flow before changes in working capital for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was RMB 468,444,000, compared to RMB 457,213,000 for the same period in 2023, reflecting a growth of 2.7%[15] - Net cash generated from operating activities for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was RMB 383,827,000, an increase from RMB 336,824,000 in 2023, representing a growth of 13.9%[15] - The company reported a net cash outflow from financing activities of RMB 380,126,000 for the six months ended June 30, 2024, compared to a net inflow of RMB 1,057,508,000 in the same period of 2023[16] - As of June 30, 2024, the company had unused bank financing of approximately RMB 419,659,000 available for operational use[19] - The company has secured additional bank financing of approximately RMB 356,340,000 post June 30, 2024, which is immediately available for use[19] Operational Highlights - The segment profit for Greater China was RMB 345,660,000, while the overseas segment profit was RMB 8,717,000, leading to a total segment profit of RMB 354,377,000[24] - The revenue from assisted reproductive and related services was RMB 778,072,000 for the six months ended June 30, 2024, compared to RMB 710,052,000 in 2023, indicating a growth of about 9.6%[25] - The total population in China decreased by 2.1 million to 1,409.7 million by the end of 2023, highlighting demographic challenges that may impact market dynamics[46] - The company plans to enhance its clinical, management, and research capabilities to remain competitive in the evolving healthcare landscape[47] Strategic Initiatives - The company aims to expand its market presence by promoting its integrated reproductive services strategy in other regions[56] - The company has launched the "Jinbao Plan 2.0," allowing patients to undergo IVF with zero upfront payment and full reimbursement if unsuccessful, addressing financial barriers for patients[60] - The company acquired a 30% stake in PT Morula Indonesia, the largest assisted reproductive service group in Indonesia, enhancing its strategic investment position in the region[62] - HRC Medical plans to recruit at least 5 new doctors in 2024 and is expanding its clinic network, with a new satellite center in Beverly Hills already operational and a core clinic set to open in Q1 2025[62] Governance and Compliance - The company has adopted corporate governance codes to ensure compliance and enhance shareholder value[91] - The company has established an Audit and Risk Management Committee, chaired by independent non-executive director Mr. Ye Changqing, to monitor compliance with applicable laws and regulations[103] - The company is focused on maintaining transparency and providing adequate disclosures regarding its financial performance[104]