XIAO NOODLES(02408)
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透视遇见小面(02408)战略布局:高成长力强劲释放,长期价值可期
智通财经网· 2025-12-10 02:56
Core Viewpoint - The stock price fluctuations of "Yujian Xiaomian" reflect a temporary misalignment between market sentiment and intrinsic value, indicating a potential investment opportunity as the company's true value is recognized over time [1][13]. Company Overview - "Yujian Xiaomian" debuted on the Hong Kong stock market on December 5, with an initial closing price of 5.08 HKD per share, slightly below its issue price of 7.04 HKD. However, by December 9, the stock price rose by over 6% during trading, closing with a 2.04% increase, and continued to rise to 5.03 HKD by December 10 [1]. - The company is recognized as a leading brand in the Sichuan-Chongqing flavor noodle restaurant sector, having established a significant market presence and brand recognition [2]. Competitive Advantages - "Yujian Xiaomian" has a first-mover advantage and brand recognition in the market, supported by a strategic expansion from Southern China to national and international markets, including Hong Kong and Singapore [2]. - The company has developed a strong operational moat through systematic expansion capabilities, which are crucial for its competitive positioning [2]. Market Position - According to Frost & Sullivan, "Yujian Xiaomian" is the fourth largest operator in the Chinese noodle restaurant sector, holding a market share of 0.5% in terms of total merchandise transaction value for 2024 [3]. - The company has successfully captured consumer mindshare by focusing on the "Chongqing Noodle" niche, which has the highest compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.8% from 2020 to 2024 in the Chinese noodle restaurant market [4]. Operational Strategy - The company employs a diversified and systematic management approach to achieve scale effects, combining direct and franchise operations to cater to a wide range of consumer needs [6]. - As of the latest reporting date, "Yujian Xiaomian" operates 451 restaurants across 22 cities in mainland China and 14 in Hong Kong, with an additional 115 restaurants in preparation [6]. Financial Performance - From 2022 to 2024, the company's revenue is projected to grow from 418 million CNY to 1.154 billion CNY, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 66.2%. The net profit is expected to turn positive in 2023, reaching 45.914 million CNY, and further increasing to 60.7 million CNY in 2024 [7]. - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a 33.8% year-on-year revenue growth to 703 million CNY, with adjusted net profit increasing by 131.56% to 52.175 million CNY [7]. International Expansion - The successful entry into the Hong Kong and Singapore markets indicates the potential for new growth avenues for "Yujian Xiaomian" [8]. - The company plans to open its first direct restaurant in Singapore by December 31, 2025, leveraging the favorable demographics and competitive landscape of the region [10]. Conclusion - With its systematic operational capabilities, gradual scale effects, and successful international expansion, "Yujian Xiaomian" is on track to convert its operational strengths into profitability, which is crucial for its long-term value [12].
东吴证券:首予遇见小面“买入”评级 精准定位成就中式面食黑马
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 01:57
Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities initiates coverage on "Yujian Xiaomian" (02408) with a "Buy" rating, highlighting its rapid expansion and clear growth strategy in the Chinese noodle restaurant sector [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Yujian Xiaomian is positioned as a leading brand in the Chinese noodle restaurant market, focusing on Sichuan-Chongqing flavors and standardized operations [1] - The company plans to increase its store count to 465 by November 2025, with over 100 new stores in the pipeline, indicating a strong growth trajectory [1] Group 2: Market Position and Financials - In 2024, Yujian Xiaomian is expected to hold a market share of 0.5% in the Chinese noodle restaurant sector, with revenue projected to grow from 418 million yuan in 2022 to 1.154 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 66% [1][2] - The company's adjusted net profit is anticipated to reach 63 million yuan in 2024, with a net profit margin of 5%, marking a significant operational turning point [1] Group 3: Expansion Strategy - The company is expected to have around 500 stores by the end of 2025, with plans to surpass 680 stores by 2026 and potentially exceed 900 by 2027, leveraging both price reductions and franchise opportunities [3] - Yujian Xiaomian's store expansion strategy includes penetrating major cities and expanding into second and third-tier cities, as well as increasing its presence in Hong Kong and overseas markets [3] Group 4: Industry Insights - The chain restaurant market is projected to reach 12.6 trillion yuan by 2025, with a CAGR of 11% from 2019 to 2024, indicating a robust growth environment for the industry [2] - The Chinese noodle restaurant segment is expected to grow to 286.6 billion yuan in 2024, with Yujian Xiaomian's transaction volume forecasted at 1.348 billion yuan, showcasing a CAGR of 58.6% from 2022 to 2024 [2]
东吴证券:首予遇见小面(02408)“买入”评级 精准定位成就中式面食黑马
智通财经网· 2025-12-10 01:57
Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities initiates coverage on "Yujian Xiaomian" (02408) with a "Buy" rating, highlighting its rapid expansion and clear growth strategy in the Chinese noodle restaurant sector [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Yujian Xiaomian is positioned as a leading brand in the Chinese noodle restaurant market, focusing on Sichuan-Chongqing flavors and standardized operations [1] - The company plans to increase its store count to 465 by November 2025, with over 100 new stores in preparation, indicating a strong expansion momentum [1] - Revenue is projected to grow from 418 million yuan in 2022 to 1.154 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 66% [1] Group 2: Market Position and Performance - In 2024, Yujian Xiaomian is expected to hold a market share of 0.5% in the Chinese noodle restaurant sector and 0.14% in the broader Chinese fast food market [1] - The company’s adjusted net profit is forecasted to reach 63 million yuan in 2024, with a net profit margin of 5%, indicating a turning point in profitability [1] - The proportion of directly operated restaurants is expected to increase from 65% in 2022 to 78% in 2024, showcasing a shift towards a more controlled operational model [1] Group 3: Industry Insights - The chain fast food market is projected to reach 12.6 trillion yuan by 2025, with a CAGR of 11% from 2019 to 2024, while the global Chinese cuisine market is expected to reach 8.1 trillion yuan [2] - The Chinese noodle restaurant segment is anticipated to grow to 286.6 billion yuan in 2024, with Yujian Xiaomian's transaction volume expected to reach 1.348 billion yuan, reflecting a CAGR of 58.6% from 2022 to 2024 [2] - Key success factors for Yujian Xiaomian include a focus on differentiated high-potential markets, early adoption of standardization and digitalization, and a successful shopping mall store model [2] Group 4: Expansion Strategy - The company aims to expand its store count to approximately 500 by the end of 2025, with plans to surpass 680 stores by 2026 and 900 by 2027 [3] - Expansion strategies include entering new cities, densifying existing locations in major cities, and increasing presence in Hong Kong and overseas markets [3]
视频|一边是425倍超额认购,一边是预制菜质疑!遇见小面南京开店实测
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 15:26
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the economic developments in Jiangsu province, highlighting growth trends and investment opportunities in various sectors [1] Group 1: Economic Growth - Jiangsu province has shown a significant economic recovery, with GDP growth reaching 6.5% year-on-year in the latest quarter [1] - The industrial output value increased by 8.2%, indicating robust performance in manufacturing and related sectors [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The government is promoting investment in high-tech industries, with a focus on green technology and digital transformation [1] - There is a notable increase in foreign direct investment (FDI), which rose by 15% compared to the previous year, reflecting growing confidence in the local economy [1] Group 3: Sector Performance - The service sector has expanded, contributing to 60% of the province's GDP, showcasing a shift towards a more service-oriented economy [1] - Key industries such as electronics and pharmaceuticals have experienced double-digit growth, further attracting investment [1]
遇见小面(02408):烟火小面,遇见乾坤
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-09 14:31
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Views - The company is positioned in the first tier of Chinese noodle restaurants, with significant growth potential through accelerated store openings and a focus on standardized operations and digital management [9][24]. - The company has achieved a turning point in profitability, with revenue growth driven by an increase in the number of direct-operated stores [24][25]. - The report highlights the company's strategic focus on the high-potential Sichuan-Chongqing flavor segment, which is expected to grow significantly in the coming years [56]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - As of November 2025, the company operates 451 restaurants in 22 cities in mainland China and 14 in Hong Kong, with plans for 115 new openings [9][15]. - The company has seen revenue growth from 418 million to 1.154 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, with a CAGR of 66% [24]. 2. Market Positioning - The company holds a 0.5% market share in the Chinese noodle restaurant sector, ranking fourth among competitors [53]. - The global Chinese cuisine market is projected to reach 8.1 trillion yuan by 2024, with significant contributions from overseas markets [46]. 3. Store Expansion Strategy - The company plans to increase its store count to approximately 500 by the end of 2025 and aims to surpass 900 by 2027 through both vertical and horizontal expansion strategies [9][71]. - The majority of new stores will be direct-operated, with a focus on high-traffic shopping centers, which accounted for 64% of the store count in 2024 [67][69]. 4. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 16.55 billion, 24.42 billion, and 33.81 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 43%, 48%, and 38% respectively [1]. - The net profit for the same period is projected to be 1.33 billion, 2.43 billion, and 3.88 billion yuan, with growth rates of 119%, 83%, and 60% respectively [1].
遇见小面上市即破发 仍处加速扩张期
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-12-09 13:41
中经记者 刘旺 北京报道 近日,遇见小面(02408.HK)在港交所主板正式挂牌,成为"中式面馆第一股"。不过,公司股价开盘 即低开近29%,最终收盘报5.08港元/股,较发行价7.04港元下跌27.84%,对应总市值约36.1亿港元。 实际上,在此前,遇见小面引入了包括高瓴资本旗下HHLR Advisors、海底捞新加坡公司等基石投资 者,这些机构合计认购2200万美元股份,约占募集资金总额的25%。 首日破发 12月5日,遇见小面在香港交易所上市。上市首日破发,股价跌27.84%,收盘报5.08港元/股,总市值为 36.1亿港元。 据披露,公司全球共发行9736.45万股H股,占发行后总股本的13.7%,发行价定为每股7.04港元,总发 行规模约6.85亿港元。其中香港公开发售973.65万股,实现425.97倍的超额认购;国际发售8762.8万股。 在本次发行中,遇见小面基石投资者分别为高瓴旗下HHLRA、国泰君安证券、君宜香港基金、 Shengying Investmen、Zeta Fund及海底捞新加坡,一共认购2200万美元。 对于遇见小面的上市破发,业内人士的关注点更多在其业务上。凌雁管理咨询首 ...
遇见小面上市“遇冷”,深圳已有百家门店
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 11:33
Core Viewpoint - The company "Yujian Xiaomian," known as the "first stock of Chinese noodle restaurants," recently listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange but faced a significant drop in stock price, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment towards mere scale expansion narratives [1][11]. Financial Performance - Revenue increased from 418 million yuan in 2022 to 1.154 billion yuan in 2024, with a projected revenue of 703 million yuan for the first half of 2025 [8][11]. - Net profit rose from 45.91 million yuan in 2023 to 60.70 million yuan in 2024, and for the first half of 2025, it increased by 95.8% to 41.83 million yuan [8][11]. Market Presence - The number of stores surged from 170 to 451 over three years, with plans to open 150 to 230 new stores annually in the next three years [1][11]. - Shenzhen became the second city to host 100 stores for the brand, following Guangzhou [10]. Competitive Strategy - The company has adopted a pricing strategy to attract customers, reducing the average spending from approximately 36.1 yuan in 2022 to about 31.3 yuan in the first half of 2025 [11]. - The turnover rate decreased from 3.8 times per day in 2023 to 3.3 times in the first half of 2025, indicating declining store efficiency [11]. Investor Sentiment - Despite strong initial financial data, investor confidence appears to be waning, as evidenced by the stock's performance post-IPO, which saw a drop of 27.84% on the first day [1][11]. - Analysts express concerns regarding the balance between scale and profitability, suggesting that the core competitiveness of restaurant businesses lies more in product and operations than in rapid expansion [12].
广州小店港股上市,遇见小面,如何用一碗面敲开国际资本大门?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 09:58
Core Viewpoint - Guangzhou Yujian Xiaomian Restaurant Co., Ltd. has officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, becoming the first noodle restaurant to go public, marking a significant milestone for the Chinese dining industry [2][15]. Company Overview - The company issued 97.36 million H-shares at an offering price of HKD 7.04, raising a total of HKD 685 million [4]. - The public offering was oversubscribed by 426 times, with over 60,000 valid applications, indicating strong interest from both local and international investors [4][6]. - Notable cornerstone investors include Hillhouse Capital and Haidilao, which collectively invested USD 22 million, accounting for 25% of the total fundraising [4][6]. Business Performance - Yujian Xiaomian has expanded rapidly from 133 stores in 2022 to 465 stores across 22 cities [8]. - The company’s revenue increased from HKD 418 million to HKD 1.154 billion over three years, nearly doubling [10]. - Adjusted net profit for the first half of the year reached HKD 52.175 million, a 131% increase year-on-year, showcasing strong growth in the restaurant sector [10]. Expansion Strategy - The company plans to open 520 to 610 new stores between 2026 and 2028, focusing on lower-tier cities and international markets [12]. - Investment in the upstream supply chain is crucial, as food costs represent a significant portion of expenses, allowing the company to control quality and costs [12][14]. Industry Context - The listing of Yujian Xiaomian is part of a broader trend in the Hong Kong market, where several Chinese food brands have gone public, indicating a growing interest in the sector [6][15]. - The company’s approach of combining regional flavors with standardized operations serves as a model for other local dining brands aiming for expansion [14][15]. - The successful listing is seen as a milestone for the standardization and capitalization of Chinese fast food, potentially paving the way for more regional brands to enter the market [18][20].
12月5日港股挂牌!遇见小面冲刺上市,争当中式面馆第一股
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 09:22
Core Viewpoint - The successful listing of "Yujian Xiaomian" on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange marks a significant milestone for the company and reflects the rise of the Chinese fast-food sector, particularly in the noodle restaurant segment [1][13]. Group 1: IPO and Market Reception - On its first day of trading, "Yujian Xiaomian" achieved a remarkable oversubscription rate of 426 times, with approximately 97.36 million shares issued at an offering price of HKD 7.04, raising a total of HKD 685 million [3]. - The public offering received over 60,000 valid applications, and the international placement was oversubscribed by five times, indicating strong market enthusiasm for the stock [3]. - Notable investors, including Hillhouse Capital and Haidilao, participated in the cornerstone subscription, contributing a total of USD 22 million, which accounted for 25% of the total fundraising [3][5]. Group 2: Business Performance and Expansion - "Yujian Xiaomian" has demonstrated impressive growth, with revenue increasing from RMB 418 million in 2022 to RMB 1.154 billion in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 66.2% [9][11]. - The company plans to expand its store count from 465 to over 500 by the end of the year, with 115 new stores in preparation, showcasing a strategic and rapid expansion approach [7][11]. - The brand's successful entry into the Hong Kong market, achieving a 1050.57% year-on-year increase in transaction volume, highlights its ability to adapt and thrive in competitive environments [7]. Group 3: Operational Model and Future Strategy - The company's standardized operational model has been key to its success, ensuring consistent taste and quality across different locations, which is crucial for customer retention [11]. - Future plans include opening 520 to 610 new stores between 2026 and 2028, focusing on lower-tier cities and international markets, indicating a clear growth strategy [11][13]. - Funds raised from the IPO will be allocated to store expansion, digital system upgrades, brand building, and upstream investments, all aimed at supporting sustainable growth [13].
遇见小面盘中逆市涨超6% 本月底将于新加坡开设海外首家门店
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 03:08
"中式面馆第一股"遇见小面(02408)盘中逆市涨超6%,截至发稿,股价上涨4.08%,报5.10港元,成 交额1266.91万港元。 12月5日, 遇见小面董事长宋奇于上市仪式上表示,本月底将于新加坡开设首家门店,反映公司向国际 化迈出一步。目前公司已于中国及香港等22个城市开设近500间门市。据了解,遇见小面在三年内快速 扩张,从2022年的133家迅速扩展至465家。目前,公司尚有115家新店处于筹备阶段,预计2025年内餐 厅总数将突破500家。据公司最新规划,2026年至2028年,公司预计新增520至610家门店,重点拓展低 线城市及海外市场。 招股书显示,2022年至2024年,遇见小面营业收入从4.18亿元增长至11.54亿元,复合年增长率达 66.2%。2025年上半年,公司经调整净利润为5217.5万元,较去年同期增长131.56%。在餐饮行业竞争加 剧的背景下,其盈利能力与运营效率同步增强。 责任编辑:卢昱君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 "中式面馆第一股"遇见小面(02408)盘中逆市 ...