2月2日，中国铝业大宗交易成交130万股，成交额1653.6万元，占当日总成交额的0.16%，成交价12.72 元，较市场收盘价12.72元持平。 | 交易日期 证券简称 | | 壬券代码 三 | 成交价(元) 成交金额(万元) 成交量(*) 买入营业部 | | | 卖出营业部 | 是否为专场 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 026-02-02 | 中国铝补 | 601600 | 12.72 1653.6 器會是愛蘭與嘉豐 | 130 | 公開管家材料及 | | ка | ...

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of capital from various stocks, with notable declines in share prices across multiple sectors, suggesting a bearish sentiment in the market. Group 1: Major Stocks with Capital Outflows - Zhongji Xuchuang experienced the highest capital outflow of 3.861 billion, with a share price decline of 8.94% [1][2] - BlueFocus Media saw a capital outflow of 2.275 billion, with a decrease of 8.4% in its stock price [1][2] - Zijin Mining had an outflow of 1.891 billion, reflecting an 8.79% drop in its share price [1][2] - Industrial Fulian faced an outflow of 1.839 billion, with a 3.5% decline in stock value [1][2] - Zhaoyi Innovation reported a capital outflow of 1.673 billion, with a significant drop of 10% in its share price [1][2] Group 2: Additional Stocks with Notable Outflows - Shannon Microelectronics had an outflow of 1.520 billion, with a steep decline of 12.36% [1][2] - BYD experienced a capital outflow of 1.374 billion, with a 4.22% decrease in its stock price [1][2] - Baiwei Storage saw an outflow of 1.183 billion, with a decline of 10.35% [1][2] - Jiangbolong had an outflow of 1.150 billion, with a 10.77% drop in its share price [1][2] - Northern Rare Earth reported an outflow of 1.027 billion, with a 7.62% decline [1][2] Group 3: Other Stocks with Capital Outflows - China Aluminum faced an outflow of 1.016 billion, with a stock price decrease of 9.98% [1][2] - Tianfu Communication had an outflow of 0.977 billion, with a 4% decline in its share price [1][3] - SMIC reported an outflow of 0.953 billion, with a 4.81% drop [1][3] - iFlytek experienced an outflow of 0.797 billion, with a 4.36% decline [1][3] - Wanhua Chemical had an outflow of 0.741 billion, with an 8.68% decrease [1][3]

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing significant declines, with companies like Shandong Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and Jiangxi Copper seeing drops of 13.38%, 12.63%, and 10.16% respectively [1] - International precious metal markets continue to face severe sell-offs, with spot gold dropping below $4,450 per ounce, marking a new low since January 8, and spot silver erasing all gains for the year, falling to $71.31 per ounce [1] - Domestic commodity futures markets are also seeing widespread declines, with major contracts for silver, palladium, platinum, nickel, tin, copper, and aluminum hitting limit downs [1] Group 2 - Short-term market evaluations of the non-ferrous sector are reassessing the balance between "trend" and "volatility" following previous rapid increases [2] - The nomination process of Waller and the clarity of his policy positions are expected to be key factors influencing commodity prices and the non-ferrous industry [2] - A strengthened "hawkish" stance could potentially reverse "weak dollar" expectations, increasing price volatility for all non-ferrous metals, while the long-term industry logic remains unchanged due to ongoing interest rate cuts and new demand dynamics [2]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market's non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing significant declines, with several companies showing notable drops in their stock prices [1] - Shandong Gold (01787.HK) has decreased by 13.38%, trading at 38.36 HKD [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693.HK) has fallen by 12.63%, with a current price of 34.86 HKD [1] - Jiangxi Copper (00358.HK) has seen a decline of 10.16%, now priced at 42.64 HKD [1] - China Nonferrous Mining (01258.HK) has dropped by 9.62%, currently at 14.19 HKD [1] - Aluminum Corporation of China (02600.HK) has decreased by 7.22%, trading at 12.85 HKD [1]

智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，中国铝业(02600)与力拓新成立的合资公司收购巴西铝业 68.59%的股权，中国铝业持有该合资公司67%的股权，交易总对价约为63.9亿元人民币(下同)，其中中 国铝业需支付约42亿元。该行予中国铝业目标价15.1港元，评级"增持"。 报告指出，巴西铝业在巴西运营200万吨铝土矿、80万吨氧化铝、43万吨原铝及21.5万吨加工产能。本 次交易价格对应约每吨14,860元（约每吨2,140美元），而当前铝价为每吨3,181美元。假设收购完成， 根据巴西法律，合资公司将对巴西铝业所有剩余股份发起强制性要约收购，并已提议后续将其私有化退 市。该交易尚待境内外监管机构批准。 摩根士丹利对中国铝业开拓海外增长持正面看法，认为若交易完成，考虑到中国市场严格的产能控制， 此次收购将为中国铝业开启海外绿色铝产能的增长空间。同时，该行预计在行业基本面紧张及宏观环境 支持的背景下，铝价将维持高位，加上产能增长，有望为中国铝业带来盈利上行空间。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that China Aluminum and Rio Tinto's newly established joint venture is acquiring a 68.59% stake in Brazilian aluminum, with China Aluminum holding a 67% stake in the joint venture [1] - The total transaction value is approximately 6.39 billion yuan, with China Aluminum required to pay about 4.2 billion yuan [1] - Morgan Stanley has a positive outlook on China Aluminum's overseas growth, suggesting that if the transaction is completed, it will open up growth opportunities for overseas green aluminum production due to strict capacity controls in the Chinese market [1] Group 2 - The firm expects that under the backdrop of a tight industry fundamentals and supportive macro environment, aluminum prices will remain high, which, along with capacity growth, is likely to provide profit upside for China Aluminum [1] - Morgan Stanley has set a target price of 15.1 HKD for China Aluminum and maintains an "Overweight" rating [1]

该行指，根据目标公司2025年前九个月净利润年化计算，是次收购价格隐含的2025年预测市盈率约为13 倍。考虑到2026年铝价预期将较去年同期走强，收购价格具有吸引力。同时，该行预期是次潜在收购将 为中国铝业带来每年43万吨的铝产能，意味产能增长约6%；维持中国铝业为行业首选，现予目标价 15.94港元及"买入"评级。 花旗发表研报指，中国铝业拟成立合资公司，以现金收购沃特兰亭持有的巴西铝业4.46亿股普通股，代 价约62.86亿元。另外，合资公司将根据法规，对巴西铝业剩余全部流通股发起强制要约收购，并拟在 发起强制要约收购的同时发起退市要约，但也可能会在前述控股权收购完成后重新评估有关发起退市要 约的计划。 ...

中国铝业（601600）(601600.SH、02600.HK)拟收购海外铝资源。 1月30日，中国铝业发布公告称，拟与国际矿业巨头力拓斥资62.86亿元，联合收购巴西铝业68.596%股 权。其中，中国铝业拟出资42.11亿元。 2025年以来，下游需求旺盛，中国铝业业绩延续增长，前三季度盈利108.72亿元。与此同时，公司股价 大幅上涨。K线图显示，中国铝业的A股股价2025年1月底报7.5元/股，2026年1月底最高触及15.85元/ 股，一年涨幅达111%。 资产规模增长的同时资产质量进一步优化。截至2025年三季度末，中国铝业总资产达2304亿元，资产负 债率为46.38%，创出十年新低。 此外，该公司还控股或参股21座水电站和4个风电站，年权益发电量约70亿度，全部为可再生能源，吨 铝碳排放处于全球领先水平。财务数据显示，2024年巴西铝业实现营业收入81.74亿雷亚尔；2025年前9 月营业收入65.95亿雷亚尔，净利润3.93亿雷亚尔。 中国铝业表示，本次交易契合公司优化全球产业布局的发展方向，将结合公司在铝行业的技术、管理及 全产业链运营优势与力拓的可持续发展、国际化经营经验，在巴西打造新的 ...

Group 1 - The top ten stocks with net financing purchases on January 30 include: Lanke Technology (342 million), China Aluminum (336 million), Shijia Photon (210 million), Zhaoyi Innovation (207 million), Dongcai Technology (167 million), Jianghuai Automobile (165 million), Longi Green Energy (109 million), Sikan Technology (94.385 million), Hongda Shares (88.6549 million), and Fuling Power (87.6586 million) [1]

Major Events - Lanke Technology (06809) will conduct an IPO from January 30 to February 4, with an expected listing on February 9 [1] - Aixin Yuanzhi (00600) will conduct an IPO from January 30 to February 5, with an expected listing on February 10 [1] - Lexin Outdoor (02720) will conduct an IPO from January 31 to February 5, raising HKD 130 million from Horizon Capital and Huangshan Dejun [1] - Dongpeng Beverage (09980) sets the offer price at HKD 248 per share [1] - Zhonghui Biotech-B (02627) received approval from the National Medical Products Administration for a trivalent influenza virus subunit vaccine [1] - Kangzheng Pharmaceutical (00867) received approval for the first and only targeted drug for vitiligo treatment in China [1] - Shishi Pharmaceutical Group (02005) received production registration for Propafenone Hydrochloride Injection from the National Medical Products Administration [1] - China Aluminum (02600) plans to jointly acquire 68.6% of Brazilian Aluminum from Rio Tinto and will initiate a mandatory offer [1] - Yanzhou Coal Mining (01171) plans to transfer 100% equity of Inner Mongolia Xintai Coal [1] - Botai Car Union (02889) plans to collaborate with Ping An Property & Casualty to reconstruct the smart travel insurance ecosystem [1] - Jin Jing New Energy (01783) signed a strategic framework agreement with Tianqi Grand for lithium battery recycling and precious metal extraction [1] - Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Holdings (01396) subsidiary Hongce Data introduces Fudian Capital as a strategic investor for 40% equity [1] - China Mobile (00941), China Unicom (00762), and China Telecom (00728) will adjust the applicable scope of value-added tax for telecom services [1] Operating Performance - BYD Company (01211) sold approximately 210,000 new energy vehicles in January [2] - Geely Automobile (00175) reported total vehicle sales of 270,200 units in January, a year-on-year increase of about 1% [2] - Chery Automobile (09973) saw total sales of 191,500 vehicles in January, a year-on-year decrease of about 10.7% [2] - Seres (09927) reported total vehicle sales of 45,900 units in January, a year-on-year increase of 104.85% [2] - Great Wall Motors (02333) sold approximately 90,300 vehicles in January, a year-on-year increase of 11.59% [2] - Li Auto-W (02015) delivered 27,668 new vehicles in January, a year-on-year decrease of 7.5% [2] - NIO-SW (09866) delivered 27,182 vehicles in January, a year-on-year increase of 96.1% [2] - GAC Group (02238) reported vehicle sales of 116,600 units in January, a year-on-year increase of 18.47% [2] - Great Wall Motors (02333) released a preliminary report indicating a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.912 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 21.71% [2] - Shandong Gold (01787) expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 4.6 billion to 4.9 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 56% to 66% [2] Earnings Forecast - SF Express (09699) expects a year-on-year profit increase of no less than 80% for 2025 [3] - China International Capital Corporation (03908) anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.542 billion to 10.535 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 50% to 85% [3] - China Shenhua (01088) expects a year-on-year decline in net profit for 2025 [3] - Datang Power (00991) anticipates a net profit of approximately 6.8 billion to 7.8 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 51% to 73% [3] - China Southern Airlines (01055) expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 800 million to 1 billion yuan for 2025, turning a profit [3] - Air China (00753) warns of a net loss attributable to shareholders of approximately 1.3 billion to 1.9 billion yuan for 2025 [3] - China Eastern Airlines (00670) warns of a net loss attributable to shareholders of approximately 1.3 billion to 1.8 billion yuan for 2025 [3] - GAC Group (02238) expects a net loss attributable to shareholders of 8 billion to 9 billion yuan for 2025 [3] - Ansteel (00347) warns of a net loss attributable to shareholders of approximately 4.077 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year narrowing of 42.75% [3] - Junshi Biosciences (01877) warns of a net loss attributable to shareholders of approximately 873 million yuan for 2025, a year-on-year decrease of about 31.85% [3]