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金属与材料24、25Q1总结:资源端金、铜领涨,材料端盈利大幅提升
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-13 15:28
证券研究报告 2025年05月13日 行业报告: 行业深度研究 24&25Q1总结:资源端金&铜领涨,材料端盈利大幅提升 作者: 分析师 刘奕町 SAC执业证书编号:S1110523050001 分析师 曾先毅 SAC执业证书编号:S1110524060002 分析师 胡十尹 SAC执业证书编号:S1110525010002 联系人 吴亚宁 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和免责申明 1 行业评级: 上次评级: 强于大市 强于大市 维持 ( 评级) • 24-25Q1有色金属板块整体情况:资源端金&铜领涨,材料端盈利大幅提升。指数表现方面,24年全年有色板块涨幅为3.2%,低于沪深300指数,板块Q1大幅上 涨,之后主要由于宏观预期扰动大幅回落。25Q1有色板块涨幅为12%,位列申万一级行业之首,主要系有色板块主要品种价格表现强势,一方面特朗普关税政策 推升通胀预期,金价中枢持续抬升,另一方面3月是有色金属需求旺季,铜铝持续去库价格强势,高价格中枢下相关企业业绩释放预期增强。 • 贵金属:金价上涨带动企业盈利同比大增。 2024年黄金行业实现营业总收入2915.88亿元,同比+2.83%。 25Q1实现营收838 ...
贵金属及工业金属表现亮眼,能源金属承压
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-05-13 13:25
执业证书编号:S0740525050001 Ema:chenk@zscomcn 贵金属及工业金属表现亮眼,能源金属承压 评级: 增持(维持) 分析师:谢鸿鹤 执业证书编号:S0740517080003 Ema:xehh@zscomcn 分析师:安永超 执业证书编号:S0740522090002 Ema:anyc@zscomcn | 上市公司数 | 142 | | --- | --- | | 行业总市值亿元 | 2976948 | | 行业流通市值亿元 | 2794166 | 偏弱运行》20250512 2、《海外中重稀土价格大幅上行》 20250512 3、《【中泰金属观察全球制造业 PM 跟踪】全球制造业 PM 跟踪:4 月, 下 行 趋 势 或 已 确 立 20250506 》 20250507 有色金属 证券研究报告/行业深度报告 2025 年 05 月 12 日 报告摘要 附录25 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 分析师:陈凯丽 2024 年板块内部盈利分化,黄金、铜、铝板块表现较好。1)行情回顾:24 年全年 有色板块上涨 32%,跑输沪深 300 指数 115pc,细分板块来看,工业金属、贵金属 ...
黄金:对耐心的奖赏
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-05-12 05:17
[Table_Info1] 有色金属 [Table_Date] 发布时间:2025-05-12 $$i k\neq\pm i k$$ 上次评级:优于大势 [Table_PicQuote] 历史收益率曲线 [Table_Trend] 涨跌幅(%) 1M 3M 12M 绝对收益 8% 1% -2% 相对收益 4% 2% -7% [Table_Market] 行业数据 成分股数量(只) 136 总市值(亿) 24568 流通市值(亿) 13349 市盈率(倍) 14.56 市净率(倍) 2.13 成分股总营收(亿) 31776 成分股总净利润(亿) 1882 成分股资产负债率(%) 50.80 [Table_Report] 相关报告 《黄金:情绪缓和,现实恶化,继续看多金价》 --20250506 《黄金:牛市未尽》 --20250428 《黄金:新世界秩序下的宠儿》 --20250421 《东北有色周报:关税反复+财政担忧+联储观 望,金价继续冲高》 --20250414 [Table_Author] 证券分析师:曾智勤 执业证书编号:S0550520110002 021-20363251 zengzq@nesc ...
港股概念追踪 | 国家开展打击战略矿产走私出口专项行动 关税战背景下 稀土板块攻守兼备(附概念股)
智通财经网· 2025-05-11 23:35
智通财经APP获悉,5月9日,国家出口管制工作协调机制办公室部署开展打击战略矿产走私出口专项行 动,加强战略矿产资源出口管制事关国家安全和发展利益。国家对镓、锗、锑、钨、中重稀土等战略矿 产实施出口管制以来,部分境外实体与境内不法人员相互勾结,不断翻新走私出口手法,试图逃避打 击。为避免战略矿产非法外流、遏制走私势头、切实维护国家安全,同时促进合规贸易、保障产供链稳 定,打击战略矿产走私出口成为当前迫切且重要的工作任务。相关概念股:金力永磁(06680)、中国稀 土(00769)、中国铝业(02600)。 4月4日,中国商务部会同海关总署发布关于对钐、钆、铽、镝、镥、钪、钇等7类中重稀土相关物项实 施出口管制措施的公告,并于发布之日起正式实施。此举被视为对特朗普政府对中国加征所谓"对等关 税"的反击。 值得一提的是,国内管制措施实施后仅短短几周时间,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克就在4月22日表示, 其"擎天柱"人形机器人的生产受到了中国对稀土磁体出口限制的影响。 此外,早前海外稀土企业Lynas、MP Materials分别受到了一季度减产和停止出口影响,也或加剧了海外 稀土市场的短缺格局。 相关概念股: 另一方 ...
有色金属大宗金属周报:供给端存收紧预期,氧化铝价格底部反弹-20250511
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-05-11 10:49
有色金属 证券研究报告 供给端存收紧预期,氧化铝价格底部反弹 证券分析师 田源 SAC:S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC:S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 郑嘉伟 SAC:S1350523120001 zhengjiawei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC:S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 05 月 11 日 陈轩 chenxuan01@huayuanstock.com 板块表现: 投资评级: 看好(维持) ——有色金属 大宗金属周报(2025/5/5-2025/5/9) 投资要点: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 铜:铜价窄幅震荡,等待后续宏观催化。本周伦铜/沪铜/美铜涨跌幅分别为 +0.80%/+0.30%/-0.93%,沪铜在 7.7-7.8 万之间窄幅震荡,正如我们前期所判断的 美国关税造成的流动性冲击缓解后铜价迎来反弹修复,铜价波动率逐步下降 ...
中国铝业(601600):Q1业绩符合预期 持续一体化布局
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-09 00:32
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in Q1 2025, with significant increases in revenue and net profit, driven by higher production and sales of aluminum products [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 55.784 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.95% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.538 billion yuan, up 58.78% year-on-year [1] - Net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 3.444 billion yuan, reflecting a 57.94% increase year-on-year [1] Production and Sales - The company achieved a metallurgical-grade alumina production of 4.48 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 5.41% [2] - Fine alumina production reached 950,000 tons, up 6.74% year-on-year [2] - The company sold 1.68 million tons of self-produced metallurgical alumina, a 12.0% increase year-on-year [2] - Raw aluminum (including aluminum alloys) production was 1.94 million tons, an 8.99% increase year-on-year [2] - The company sold 1.90 million tons of self-produced raw aluminum (including alloys), a 7.95% increase year-on-year [2] - Coal production reached 3.22 million tons, up 11.81% year-on-year [2] Pricing Trends - The average price of A00 aluminum in the Chinese market was 20,429 yuan/ton, a year-on-year increase of 7.39% [2] - The average price of alumina was 4,116 yuan/ton, up 21.83% year-on-year [2] - The average price of bauxite in Guangxi was 510 yuan/ton, reflecting a 30.77% year-on-year increase [2] Cash Flow and Financial Health - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 6.260 billion yuan, a 75.06% increase year-on-year [2] - The asset-liability ratio reached 48.10%, the lowest level in nearly a decade [2] Strategic Developments - The company optimized its industrial chain layout with the commissioning of the Guangxi Huasheng and Inner Mongolia Huayun Phase III projects [3] - In 2024, the company added 73.55 million tons of new resource capacity [3] - The Guangxi Huasheng Phase II alumina project and Inner Mongolia Huayun Phase III electrolytic aluminum project were fully operational [3] Profit Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 227.666 billion, 234.656 billion, and 239.746 billion yuan, respectively [4] - Expected net profits for the same years are 11.347 billion, 11.627 billion, and 12.093 billion yuan, respectively [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 9.8, 9.6, and 9.2 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [4] Investment Outlook - The company, as a leading player in the domestic aluminum industry, is expected to benefit from high electrolytic aluminum prices, maintaining a "buy" investment rating [5]
中国铝业股份有限公司关于召开2024年年度股东会、2025年第一次A股类别股东会及2025年第一次H股类别股东会的通知
Meeting Overview - The annual shareholder meeting for 2024 and the first A-share and H-share shareholder meetings for 2025 will be held on June 26, 2025, at 2 PM [2][19] - The meetings will be conducted using a combination of on-site and online voting methods [2][9] Voting Details - The online voting system will be the Shanghai Stock Exchange's shareholder meeting online voting system, available on the same day from 9:15 AM to 3:00 PM [3][9] - Shareholders can vote through the trading system or the internet voting platform, with specific instructions provided for first-time users [9][10] Agenda and Proposals - The agenda for the annual meeting includes several proposals, with specific resolutions requiring special voting and separate counting for minority investors [8][14] - The proposals have been previously disclosed and approved in board meetings held on March 26 and April 24, 2025 [7][8] Attendance and Registration - Shareholders registered by the close of trading on the registration date are eligible to attend the meetings, with provisions for proxy representation [14][16] - Specific registration procedures are outlined for both individual and corporate shareholders [16][17] Additional Information - The company will provide reminders to shareholders about the meeting and voting through SMS and other means to ensure participation [9][18] - Contact information for the company’s finance department is provided for any inquiries related to the meetings [18]
中国铝业(601600):公司事件点评报告:Q1业绩符合预期,持续一体化布局
Huaxin Securities· 2025-05-08 15:01
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 results that met expectations, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 13.95% to 55.784 billion yuan and a net profit increase of 58.78% to 3.538 billion yuan [4][9] - The company is benefiting from rising prices of electrolytic aluminum and alumina, with production and sales volumes increasing across various products [5][9] - The company has achieved a significant improvement in cash flow, with net cash flow from operating activities increasing by 75.06% year-on-year [6] - The company is optimizing its industrial layout with new projects coming online, including the Guangxi Huasheng and Inner Mongolia Huayun projects [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 557.84 billion yuan, up 13.95% year-on-year - Q1 2025 net profit was 35.38 billion yuan, up 58.78% year-on-year - Q1 2025 operating cash flow was 62.60 billion yuan, up 75.06% year-on-year [4][6] Production and Sales - Q1 2025 alumina production was 4.48 million tons, up 5.41% year-on-year - Q1 2025 electrolytic aluminum production was 1.94 million tons, up 8.99% year-on-year - Q1 2025 average price of A00 aluminum was 20,429 yuan/ton, up 7.39% year-on-year [5] Future Outlook - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 227.67 billion, 234.66 billion, and 239.75 billion yuan respectively - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 11.35 billion, 11.63 billion, and 12.09 billion yuan respectively - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 9.8, 9.6, and 9.2 for the respective years [9][11]
中国铝业(601600) - 中国铝业截至二零二五年四月三十日止股份发行人的证券变动月报表
2025-05-08 09:45
股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年4月30日 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 中國鋁業股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年5月8日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601600 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 13,211,666,110 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 13,211,666,110 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 13,211,666,110 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 13,211,666,110 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | ...
中国铝业(601600) - 中国铝业关于召开2024年年度股东会、2025年第一次A股类别股东会及2025年第一次H股类别股东会的通知
2025-05-08 09:30
股票代码:601600 股票简称:中国铝业 公告编号:临2025-028 中国铝业股份有限公司 关于召开2024年年度股东会、2025 年第一次 A 股类别股东会及 2025 年第一次 H 股类别股东会的通知 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 一、召开会议的基本情况 召开的日期时间:2025 年 6 月 26 日 下午 2 点 召开地点:中国北京市海淀区西直门北大街 62 号中国铝业股份有限公司总部 办公楼会议室 (五)网络投票的系统、起止日期和投票时间。 网络投票系统:上海证券交易所股东大会网络投票系统 网络投票起止时间:自2025 年 6 月 26 日 至2025 年 6 月 26 日 股东会召开日期:2025年6月26日 本次股东会采用的网络投票系统:上海证券交易所股东大会网络投票系统 (一)股东会类型和届次:2024年年度股东会(以下简称"年度股东会")、2025 年 第一次 A 股类别股东会(以下简称"A 股类别股东会")及 2025 年第一次 H 股 类别股东会(以下简称"H 股类别股 ...