智通财经APP获悉，有色股逆市走高，截至发稿，中国宏桥(01378)涨4.96%，报25.4港元；江西铜业股 份(00358)涨4.43%，报25.46港元；中国铝业(02600)涨3.49%，报7.11港元；洛阳钼业(03993)涨3.14%， 报12.49港元。 中信建投则表示，美联储议息会议前最关键的数据美国非农就业数据表现显著低于预期，9月16-17日议 息会议宣布降息几无悬念，同时年内降息3次的概率接近80%。该行指出，工业金属价格由"金融属 性"及"商品属性"共同决定，从金融属性来看，美联储已开启降息周期；从商品属性来看，全球铜铝库 存均处于相对低位，中国经济复苏可期，叠加新能源行业的拉动，铜铝需求增长将有所好转。 长江证券发布研报称，2025上半年基本金属板块净利润同比增长27%，2025年二季度基本金属板块实现 净利润376.44亿元，同比增长14%，环比增长15%。2025上半年同比增长得益于中美制造业阶段性共振 向上及联储降息预期致使2025上半年基本金属商品价格中枢抬升。2025二季度环比增长主要系关税交易 逐步缓和，叠加风光抢装、以旧换新政策刺激、出口抢装等强产业现实表现，商品价格回升 ...

资料显示，中国铝业股份有限公司位于北京市海淀区西直门北大街62号，成立日期2001年9月10日，上 市日期2007年4月30日，公司主营业务涉及铝土矿、煤炭等资源的勘探开采,氧化铝、原铝和铝合金产品 生产、销售、技术研发,国际贸易,物流产业,火力及新能源发电等。主营业务收入构成为：销售商品 97.41%，其他业务收入1.56%，提供服务1.03%。 中国铝业所属申万行业为：有色金属-工业金属-铝。所属概念板块包括：债转股、中字头、央企改革、 中特估、证金汇金等。 截至6月30日，中国铝业股东户数36.69万，较上期增加5.08%；人均流通股0股，较上期增加0.00%。 2025年1月-6月，中国铝业实现营业收入1163.92亿元，同比增长5.13%；归母净利润70.71亿元，同比增 长0.77%。 9月9日，中国铝业盘中上涨2.10%，截至10:26，报7.78元/股，成交7.16亿元，换手率0.71%，总市值 1334.71亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流入8220.20万元，特大单买入1.85亿元，占比25.79%，卖出8216.12万元， 占比11.48%；大单买入1.57亿元，占比21.93%，卖出 ...

Group 1 - BlackRock's long position in China Aluminum's H-shares decreased from 6.26% to 5.16% as of September 2 [1]

Group 1 - Non-ferrous metal stocks have seen significant gains, with Tianqi Lithium up 8.34% to HKD 42.6, Ganfeng Lithium up 7.34% to HKD 33.36, Zijin Mining up 5.62% to HKD 28.18, China Aluminum up 5.05% to HKD 6.87, and China Hongqiao up 4.13% to HKD 24.72 [1] - The expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut is anticipated to significantly boost commodity demand, while the expectation of a weaker dollar highlights the anti-inflation properties of bulk commodities [1] - As of mid-2025, the A-share precious and industrial metals sectors are in a "high profitability, low valuation" phase, with the potential for increased valuation driven by active domestic capital markets and the "high-cut low" rotation effect [1] Group 2 - The ongoing energy revolution in China and the global computing power revolution are expected to continuously drive high growth in metal raw material demand [1] - There is a noticeable trend of countries increasingly protecting and pursuing critical mineral resources, leading to a clear head-of-core resource characteristic [1] - A revaluation of critical mineral resources is expected to gradually offset the negative valuation pressure from commodity cycle attributes, with the resource valuation system anticipated to be enriched and optimized in the future [1]

Core Viewpoint - The rise in non-ferrous metal stocks is attributed to increasing expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which is expected to boost commodity demand and enhance the anti-inflation characteristics of bulk commodities [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Tianqi Lithium (09696) increased by 8.34%, trading at 42.6 HKD - Ganfeng Lithium (01772) rose by 7.34%, trading at 33.36 HKD - Zijin Mining (02899) saw a 5.62% increase, trading at 28.18 HKD - China Aluminum (02600) grew by 5.05%, trading at 6.87 HKD - China Hongqiao (01378) increased by 4.13%, trading at 24.72 HKD [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - According to Industrial Securities, the expectation of interest rate cuts will significantly boost commodity demand - The anticipated depreciation of the US dollar highlights the anti-inflation properties of bulk commodities - By mid-2025, the A-share precious and industrial metal sectors are expected to be in a "high profitability, low valuation" phase [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The transition in China's power sector and the global computing power revolution will continue to drive high demand for metal raw materials - There is an increasing trend among countries to protect and pursue critical mineral resources, leading to a clear head-of-core resource characteristic - A gradual revaluation of critical mineral resources is expected to offset the negative valuation pressure from commodity cycle attributes - The valuation system for resource products is anticipated to be continuously enriched and optimized in the future [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the performance of non-ferrous metal companies in the first half of the year remains robust, with Luoyang Molybdenum and Zijin Mining leading with profit growth exceeding 50% [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Luoyang Molybdenum and Zijin Mining show strong profit growth of over 50% [1] - China Hongqiao and Jiangxi Copper follow, while China Aluminum and Tianshan Aluminum's profits remain relatively flat [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The copper industry focuses on mergers and acquisitions, production growth, and niche metal business expansion [1] - The aluminum sector emphasizes dividend distribution and share buybacks [1] Group 3: Earnings Forecast Adjustments - UBS raises full-year profit forecasts for Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Jiangxi Copper by 6%, 11%, and 26% respectively [1] - The target prices for Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum are increased to HKD 32.5 and HKD 16.5 respectively [1] - Jiangxi Copper's rating is upgraded to "Buy" with a target price raised to HKD 27.1 [1] Group 4: Preferred Stocks - China Hongqiao remains UBS's top pick in the aluminum sector due to its potential for deleveraging and commitment to shareholder returns, maintaining a target price of HKD 26.8 and a "Buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of the Nonferrous ETF Fund (159880) and its major holdings, highlighting the fund's recent returns and the performance of its key stocks [1] Group 1: Fund Performance - The Nonferrous ETF Fund (159880) opened with a slight increase of 0.07%, priced at 1.509 yuan [1] - Since its establishment on March 8, 2021, the fund has achieved a return of 51.22%, with a recent one-month return of 23.01% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings - Key stocks in the Nonferrous ETF Fund include: - Zijin Mining: down 0.56% - Luoyang Molybdenum: down 0.37% - Northern Rare Earth: down 1.30% - China Aluminum: down 0.51% - Shandong Gold: down 0.16% - Huayou Cobalt: down 0.36% - Zhongjin Gold: down 0.06% - Ganfeng Lithium: down 0.05% - Chifeng Jilong Gold: up 0.39% - Yun Aluminum: down 0.31% [1] Group 3: Management Information - The fund is managed by Penghua Fund Management Co., Ltd., with Yan Dong as the fund manager [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company has demonstrated a full industry chain advantage, achieving a historical high in performance [2] - In H1 2025, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.071 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.81% [5][13] - The company's revenue for H1 2025 reached 116.392 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.12% [13] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the alumina segment generated revenue of 33.243 billion yuan, an increase of 1.789 billion yuan year-on-year, with a profit of 4.707 billion yuan, up 9.92% year-on-year [5][15] - The primary aluminum segment achieved revenue of 75.946 billion yuan, an increase of 7.740 billion yuan year-on-year, with a profit of 8.105 billion yuan, up 5.10% year-on-year [5][15] - The company’s electrolytic aluminum production increased by 9.4% year-on-year to 3.97 million tons in H1 2025 [14] Resource Assurance and Cost Control - The company has enhanced its resource assurance capabilities, with the self-sufficiency rate of alumina ore increasing by 6 percentage points compared to the beginning of the year, reaching a five-year high [16] - The company maintains cost control capabilities, with both alumina and electrolytic aluminum costs below the industry average [14] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to benefit from rising aluminum prices, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 being 14.021 billion, 15.382 billion, and 16.144 billion yuan respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 13.07%, 9.70%, and 4.96% [17] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 9.6 for 2025, 8.7 for 2026, and 8.3 for 2027 [17]

Group 1 - The report details the changes in the registered capital of China Aluminum Corporation as of August 31, 2025, indicating no increase or decrease in the registered capital, which remains at RMB 13,211,666,110 for both securities 601600 and 02600 [1][2] - The total registered capital at the end of the month is RMB 17,155,632,078, with no changes reported in the issued shares or treasury shares for both securities [1][2] - The number of issued shares for security 601600 remains at 13,211,666,110, and for security 02600, it remains at 3,943,965,968, with no changes in the total issued shares [1][2] Group 2 - The report confirms that there are no changes in the share options, warrants, or convertible bonds related to the issuer's share option plan, indicating stability in the company's equity structure [2] - There are no additional changes reported regarding the issued shares or treasury shares, reinforcing the consistency in the company's capital management [2]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國鋁業股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年9月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601600 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 13,211,666,110 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 13,211,666,110 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 13,211,666,110 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 13,211,666, ...