市场对铜、金价格的乐观情绪将支撑其盈利增长，该行预期至2027年盈利复合年增长率达44%。受惠于 央行增加黄金储备及交易所买卖基金相关的投机需求，对黄金的乐观情绪得到强化。另一方面，由于矿 山干扰、品位下降以及能源转型和人工智能热潮带来的需求不减，预计铜市场供应短缺加剧。因此，该 行预期2026年平均金价及伦敦金属交易所铜价将分别上涨39.3%及12.1%，至每盎司4,700美元及每吨 11,000美元。 智通财经APP获悉，星展发布研报称，活跃的并购及营运能力推动紫金矿业(02899)成长。该行维持其紫 金矿业"买入"评级，并上调H股目标价至55港元。 公司于2024年分别位列全球铜储量及矿产铜产量第五及第四位，以及全球黄金储量及矿产黄金产量第六 位。其强劲的市场地位是透过积极的并购，以及凭其在行业的专业知识和经验营运矿山的强大营运能力 而实现。业绩方面，公司2024年铜C1成本同比下降14%至每磅0.93美元，位列全球前20%水平，并在黄 金矿商中维持具可持续成本的竞争力。 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market has rebounded, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 27,081.91 points, up 2.53% or 668.56 points, and a total trading volume of 172.96 billion HKD [1] - The technology sector is experiencing increased scrutiny and differentiation, with domestic technology valuations remaining relatively low compared to the U.S. [1] Blue-Chip Performance - Zijin Mining (02899) saw a significant increase of 5.35%, closing at 44.95 HKD, contributing 22.03 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable blue-chip stocks include Meituan-W (03690) up 5.26%, SMIC (00981) up 5.02%, while New Oriental Energy (02688) and Chow Tai Fook (01929) experienced slight declines [2] Sector Highlights - Large technology stocks showed a strong recovery, with Meituan-W rising over 5% and other major players like JD, Alibaba, Xiaomi, and Baidu increasing by over 3% [3] - The precious metals sector, particularly gold and copper, performed well, with Zijin Gold International (02099) rising 6.82% [5] - The AI sector is expected to see significant advancements, with Alibaba Cloud launching a new model at competitive pricing, indicating a potential shift in the global AI landscape by 2026 [4] Lithium and Battery Sector - The lithium and battery sectors are experiencing strong growth, with companies like Ruipu Lanjun (00666) increasing by 15.42% and CATL (03750) up 3.14% [7] - UBS has raised its price forecasts for lithium products, indicating a third super cycle for lithium prices and predicting a significant increase in China's market share in the global electric vehicle sector by 2030 [8] Optical Communication Sector - The optical communication sector is seeing notable gains, with companies like Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (06869) rising 14.43% due to strong production and demand for high-speed optical modules [6]

(本文来自第一财经) 恒指强势震荡收涨2.53%，恒生科技指数涨3.34%。科技龙头、半导体、有色、新能源汽车股表现亮 眼，紫金矿业、美团、中芯国际涨超5%。大模型概念股回落，智谱跌23%，MINIMAX跌超13%。 来源：第一财经 ...

Group 1 - Zijin Mining increased by 5.347% [1] - NIO-SW rose by 5.290% [1] - Meituan-W saw a rise of 5.263% [1] - SMIC increased by 5.022% [1] - Shenzhou International rose by 4.921% [1] - BYD Company increased by 4.872% [1] - Xinyi Solar rose by 4.816% [1]

Core Insights - The current spot and futures prices of gold and silver have risen, with gold prices surpassing $5,100 [1][2][3] Group 1: Gold Industry Chain - Shandong Gold engages in geological exploration, mining, smelting, refining, and sales of gold, covering the entire process of gold resource development and product [1] - Zijin Mining focuses on exploration and development of gold and other mineral resources, participating in the full industry chain operation of gold [2] - Chifeng Gold specializes in gold mining and processing, producing quality gold for external sales [2] Group 2: Silver Industry Chain - Shengda Resources is involved in the mining, selection, and sales of silver, with a complete business chain for silver resource development [3] - Xingye Mining operates in the underground mining and sales of silver and copper, covering the entire process from ore extraction to silver concentrate production [3] - Yintai Gold engages in the mining, processing, and sales of precious metals, relying on its own mineral resources for silver extraction [3] Group 3: Non-ferrous Metal Futures Service Industry Chain - Nanhua Futures provides brokerage services for commodity and financial futures, including gold and silver [4] - Yong'an Futures offers futures brokerage and asset management services, involving trading services for gold and silver [4]

Group 1 - The gold stocks opened higher collectively in the morning session [1] - China Gold International (02099) rose by 6.77%, reaching HKD 203.40 [1] - Zijin Mining (02899) increased by 5.25%, trading at HKD 44.88 [1] - Zhaojin Mining (01818) saw a rise of 4.30%, priced at HKD 32.54 [1] - WanGuo Gold Group (03939) climbed by 4.10%, with a price of HKD 17.25 [1]

Group 1 - Hong Kong gold stocks opened higher collectively in the morning session [2] - China Gold International (02099.HK) rose by 3.94%, reaching HKD 198 [2] - Zijin Mining (02899.HK) increased by 2.95%, trading at HKD 43.9 [2] - Zhaojin Mining (01818.HK) saw a rise of 2.56%, priced at HKD 32 [2] - WanGuo Gold Group (03939.HK) gained 2.47%, with a price of HKD 16.98 [2]

Core Viewpoint - Gold stocks opened higher collectively, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East and rising gold prices [1] Group 1: Gold Stocks Performance - China Gold International (02099) rose by 3.94%, trading at 198 HKD [1] - Zijin Mining (02899) increased by 2.95%, trading at 43.9 HKD [1] - Zhaojin Mining (01818) gained 2.56%, trading at 32 HKD [1] - WanGuo Gold Group (03939) saw a rise of 2.47%, trading at 16.98 HKD [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The Middle East situation remains tense, with reports of potential military action against Iran by the Trump administration [1] - Satellite imagery indicates a significant increase in the number of U.S. fighter jets in the region [1] Group 3: Gold and Silver Price Movements - Spot gold prices briefly surpassed 5,150 USD, with a daily increase of 1.20% [1] - Spot silver prices saw a daily increase of 2.86% [1] Group 4: Future Price Predictions - ANZ Bank forecasts gold prices to reach 5,800 USD/ounce in Q2 of this year [1] - Jefferies raised its 2026 gold price forecast from 4,200 USD to 5,000 USD [1] - UBS predicts that gold prices could peak at 6,200 USD/ounce by mid-year, supported by central bank and investment demand, expanding fiscal deficits, declining U.S. real interest rates, and geopolitical risks [1]

Group 1 - The top three companies by Hong Kong Stock Connect holding ratio are Haotian International Investment (71.36%), China Telecom (71.32%), and Green Power Environmental (68.88%) [1][2] - Tencent Holdings, Xiaomi Group-W, and Meituan-W have seen the largest increases in holding amounts over the last five trading days, with increases of +1.391 billion, +983 million, and +931 million respectively [1][2] - The companies with the largest decreases in holding amounts over the last five trading days include WuXi Biologics (-481 million), Zijin Mining (-447 million), and Southern Hengsheng Technology (-344 million) [1][4] Group 2 - The latest holding ratios for the top 20 companies in Hong Kong Stock Connect show Haotian International Investment with 7.919 billion shares, China Telecom with 9.900 billion shares, and Green Power Environmental with 0.279 billion shares [2] - The top 10 companies with the largest increases in holding amounts over the last five trading days include China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (+315 million) and Zhaoyi Innovation (+309 million) [2][4] - The top 10 companies with the largest decreases in holding amounts include Pop Mart (-294 million) and SenseTime-W (-277 million) [4]

Core Insights - Tencent Holdings (00700), Xiaomi Group-W (01810), and Meituan-W (03690) ranked as the top three in net inflow of southbound funds, with net inflows of 1.457 billion, 1.029 billion, and 1.022 billion respectively [1] - WuXi Biologics (02269), Zijin Mining (02899), and Southern Hengtong Technology (03033) experienced the highest net outflows, with net outflows of -493 million, -457 million, and -363 million respectively [1] - In terms of net inflow ratio, Southern East Selection (03441), Yuan Da Pharmaceutical (00512), and Anhui Wanshan Expressway (00995) led the market with ratios of 1937.29%, 149.39%, and 144.79% respectively [1] Net Inflow Rankings - Tencent Holdings (00700) had a net inflow of 1.457 billion, representing an increase of 11.22% with a closing price of 548.000 [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) saw a net inflow of 1.029 billion, with a net inflow ratio of 12.46% and a closing price of 37.100 [2] - Meituan-W (03690) recorded a net inflow of 1.022 billion, with a significant net inflow ratio of 30.48% and a closing price of 88.850 [2] Net Outflow Rankings - WuXi Biologics (02269) faced a net outflow of -493 million, with a net outflow ratio of -34.59% and a closing price of 41.400 [2] - Zijin Mining (02899) had a net outflow of -457 million, reflecting a -13.09% change with a closing price of 43.520 [2] - Southern Hengtong Technology (03033) experienced a net outflow of -363 million, with a net outflow ratio of -8.41% and a closing price of 5.380 [2] Net Inflow Ratio Rankings - Southern East Selection (03441) led with a net inflow ratio of 1937.29%, achieving a net inflow of 188 million and a closing price of 11.650 [3] - Yuan Da Pharmaceutical (00512) followed with a net inflow ratio of 149.39%, with a net inflow of 30.408 million and a closing price of 7.780 [3] - Anhui Wanshan Expressway (00995) had a net inflow ratio of 144.79%, with a net inflow of 12.383 million and a closing price of 13.580 [3]