Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the non-ferrous metals ETF, which opened at 2.337 yuan with a slight increase of 0.34% [1] - The major holdings of the non-ferrous metals ETF include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, Huayou Cobalt, China Aluminum, Ganfeng Lithium, Shandong Gold, Yun Aluminum, Zhongjin Gold, and Zhongmin Resources, with varying performance among these stocks [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the CSI Non-ferrous Metals Mining Theme Index, managed by China Merchants Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 132.85% since its establishment on June 21, 2023, and a return of -1.38% over the past month [1]

Group 1 - The top three companies by Hong Kong Stock Connect holding ratios are Haotian International Investment (01341) at 71.99%, China Telecom (00728) at 71.35%, and Southern Hengsheng Technology (03033) at 69.01% [1][2] - The largest increases in holding amounts over the last five trading days were seen in the following companies: Yingfu Fund (02800) with an increase of 3.67 billion, Tencent Holdings (00700) with an increase of 3.60 billion, and Alibaba-W (09988) with an increase of 2.18 billion [1][2] - The companies with the largest decreases in holding amounts over the last five trading days include Zijin Mining (02899) with a decrease of 578 million, Pop Mart (09992) with a decrease of 382 million, and China Pacific Insurance (02601) with a decrease of 338 million [1][3] Group 2 - The latest holding ratio rankings for Hong Kong Stock Connect show that Haotian International Investment has 7.99 billion shares, China Telecom has 9.90 billion shares, and Southern Hengsheng Technology has 10.41 billion shares [2] - The top ten companies with the largest increases in holdings over the last five trading days include Xiaomi Group-W (01810) with an increase of 2.17 billion and Meituan-W (03690) with an increase of 1.18 billion [2] - The top ten companies with the largest decreases in holdings also include WuXi Biologics (02269) with a decrease of 290 million and Jiangxi Copper (00358) with a decrease of 239 million [3]

Group 1 - Gold stocks opened higher collectively, with China Gold International rising by 3.94% to HKD 198, Zijin Mining increasing by 2.95% to HKD 43.9, Zhaojin Mining up by 2.56% to HKD 32, and WanGuo Gold Group rising by 2.47% to HKD 16.98 [2] - The ongoing tensions in the Middle East are influencing market movements, with reports indicating that Trump is inclined to launch an initial strike against Iran in the coming days, potentially escalating to larger attacks if initial efforts are unsuccessful [2] - Spot gold prices surged, breaking through USD 5,150, with a daily increase of 1.20%, while spot silver saw a rise of 2.86% [2] Group 2 - Major banks have raised their gold price targets, with ANZ predicting gold prices will reach USD 5,800 per ounce in Q2, Jefferies increasing its 2026 gold price forecast from USD 4,200 to USD 5,000, and UBS suggesting that gold prices could peak at USD 6,200 mid-year [2] - The support for rising gold prices is attributed to central bank and investment demand, expanding fiscal deficits, declining real interest rates in the U.S., and geopolitical risks [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the current premium rates of AH shares, indicating significant disparities among various companies, with some showing extremely high premiums while others exhibit negative premiums, suggesting potential investment opportunities and market inefficiencies [1][2][3][4]. Group 1: Top AH Premium Rates - Northeast Electric (00042) leads with a premium rate of 757.14%, followed by Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric (00187) at 285.62% and Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033) at 282.18% [1]. - The top ten AH stocks by premium rates show a wide range, with the lowest being Goldstone Investment (02009) at 185.88% [1]. Group 2: Bottom AH Premium Rates - The bottom three AH stocks by premium rates include Contemporary Amperex Technology (03750) at -15.66%, Zhaoyi Innovation (03986) at -10.47%, and China Merchants Bank (03968) at -4.17% [2]. - This indicates a potential undervaluation in these stocks compared to their A-share counterparts [2]. Group 3: Top AH Deviation Values - Leading in deviation values, Xian Dao Intelligent (00470) has a deviation of 42.09%, followed by China Duty Free Group (01880) at 21.67% and Zhaoyan New Drug (06127) at 20.63% [3]. - These high deviation values suggest that these stocks may be trading significantly above their historical averages, indicating potential overvaluation [3]. Group 4: Bottom AH Deviation Values - Northeast Electric (00042) has the lowest deviation value at -50.71%, indicating a significant drop from its historical premium rates [4]. - Other companies with low deviation values include Shandong Molong (00568) at -29.48% and Zhaoyi Innovation (03986) at -29.19%, suggesting they may be undervalued compared to their historical performance [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Nonferrous Metals ETF Fund (516650), which opened with a gain of 3.12% at 2.212 yuan [1] - Major holdings in the Nonferrous Metals ETF Fund include Zijin Mining, which rose by 4.53%, and other companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and Ganfeng Lithium, all showing significant increases in their stock prices [1] - The fund's performance benchmark is the CSI Sub-Industry Nonferrous Metals Theme Index, managed by Huaxia Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 114.05% since its inception on June 9, 2021, and a 1.50% return over the past month [1]

星展发表研报指，对铜、金价格的乐观情绪将支撑紫金矿业的盈利增长，预期至2027年盈利复合年增长 率达44%。受惠于央行增加黄金储备及交易所买卖基金相关的投机需求，对黄金的乐观情绪得到强化。 另一方面，由于矿山干扰、品位下降以及能源转型和人工智能热潮带来的需求不减，预计铜市场供应短 缺加剧。该行预期2026年平均金价及伦敦金属交易所铜价将分别上涨39.3%及12.1%，至每盎司4700美 元及每吨11000美元。该行维持其紫金矿业"买入"评级，并上调H股目标价至55港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the performance of the Penghua Nonferrous ETF (159880), which opened with a gain of 3.44% on February 24, 2023, indicating a positive trend in the nonferrous metals sector [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Penghua Nonferrous ETF (159880) opened at 2.314 yuan, reflecting a 3.44% increase [1] - The fund's performance benchmark is the National Index of Nonferrous Metals Industry, managed by Penghua Fund Management Co., Ltd. [1] - Since its inception on March 8, 2021, the fund has achieved a return of 123.33%, with a monthly return of 2.73% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings - Key stocks in the Penghua Nonferrous ETF include: - Zijin Mining, which rose by 4.53% [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum, which increased by 4.41% [1] - Northern Rare Earth, up by 2.30% [1] - Huayou Cobalt, gaining 1.79% [1] - China Aluminum, which rose by 2.52% [1] - Ganfeng Lithium, increasing by 4.36% [1] - Yun Aluminum, up by 1.92% [1] - Shandong Gold, which rose by 4.07% [1] - Zhongjin Gold, gaining 4.98% [1] - Tianqi Lithium, which increased by 2.65% [1]

星展发布研报称，活跃的并购及营运能力推动紫金矿业（601899）(02899)成长。该行维持其紫金矿 业"买入"评级，并上调H股目标价至55港元。 市场对铜、金价格的乐观情绪将支撑其盈利增长，该行预期至2027年盈利复合年增长率达44%。受惠于 央行增加黄金储备及交易所买卖基金相关的投机需求，对黄金的乐观情绪得到强化。另一方面，由于矿 山干扰、品位下降以及能源转型和人工智能热潮带来的需求不减，预计铜市场供应短缺加剧。因此，该 行预期2026年平均金价及伦敦金属交易所铜价将分别上涨39.3%及12.1%，至每盎司4,700美元及每吨 11,000美元。 公司于2024年分别位列全球铜储量及矿产铜产量第五及第四位，以及全球黄金储量及矿产黄金产量第六 位。其强劲的市场地位是透过积极的并购，以及凭其在行业的专业知识和经验营运矿山的强大营运能力 而实现。业绩方面，公司2024年铜C1成本同比下降14%至每磅0.93美元，位列全球前20%水平，并在黄 金矿商中维持具可持续成本的竞争力。 ...

Group 1 - The top three companies by Hong Kong Stock Connect holding ratios are Haotian International Investment (71.99%), China Telecom (71.35%), and Southern Hengsheng Technology (69.35%) [1][2] - The largest increases in holding amounts over the last five trading days were seen in the following companies: Yingfu Fund (+3.739 billion), Tencent Holdings (+3.728 billion), and Alibaba-W (+2.238 billion) [1][2] - The companies with the largest decreases in holding amounts over the last five trading days include Zijin Mining (-589 million), Pop Mart (-406 million), and China Pacific Insurance (-354 million) [1][3] Group 2 - The latest holding ratios for the top 20 companies in Hong Kong Stock Connect show significant ownership, with Haotian International Investment leading at 71.99% and China Telecom at 71.35% [2] - The top 10 companies with the largest increases in holdings over the last five trading days include Xiaomi Group-W (+2.224 billion) and Meituan-W (+1.227 billion) [2] - The top 10 companies with the largest decreases in holdings include WuXi Biologics (-297 million) and Jiangxi Copper (-243 million) [3]

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining has set an ambitious target for lithium carbonate equivalent production, aiming for 270,000 to 320,000 tons by 2028, a nearly 11-fold increase from the less than 30,000 tons expected in 2025, indicating a significant shift towards the new energy sector [2][11]. Group 1: Company Strategy and Performance - The company is diversifying its operations beyond gold and copper, with a focus on lithium production as part of its strategy to become a top global mining group [3][12]. - In 2025, Zijin Mining achieved a net profit of approximately 51 to 52 billion yuan, a nearly 60% year-on-year increase, largely driven by its gold business, which benefited from a surge in international gold prices [3][12]. - The company’s gold production reached 90 tons in 2025, a 23.3% increase from the previous year, with a gross profit margin of 72.8% [3][12]. Group 2: Expansion and Acquisitions - Zijin Mining has accelerated its international expansion, completing eight major gold mine acquisitions since 2020, including recent purchases in Ghana and Kazakhstan, and plans to list its overseas gold assets [4][13]. - The acquisition of African United Gold Company for 28 billion yuan is expected to add approximately 12 tons of gold production in 2025, raising the company's 2026 gold production target to 105 tons, with aspirations to reach 130 to 140 tons by 2028 [4][13]. Group 3: Lithium Production and Cost Management - The company has established a low-cost lithium production base through its "Two Lakes and Two Mines" resource system, including projects in Argentina, Tibet, Hunan, and the Democratic Republic of Congo [5][14]. - The first phase of the 3Q salt lake project has commenced production with a cash operating cost of only 2,914 USD/ton, among the lowest globally [5][14]. - Zijin Mining's comprehensive cost for lithium carbonate remains between 40,000 to 70,000 yuan/ton, providing a buffer against price fluctuations [6][15]. Group 4: Risks and Challenges - As of September 2025, Zijin Mining's long-term debt and bonds exceeded 112.3 billion yuan, with significant capital expenditure pressures from ongoing projects [6][15]. - The company faces geopolitical risks in its overseas projects, particularly in Africa and South America, which could impact resource control [6][15]. - Despite favorable market forecasts for gold, copper, and lithium, the company must navigate potential macroeconomic disruptions that could affect demand and pricing [6][15]. Group 5: Future Outlook - By early 2026, Zijin Mining is positioned as a diversified global resource platform, spanning precious metals, industrial metals, and new energy materials [7][15]. - If the company can effectively manage its production capacity and debt risks over the next three years, it may achieve its long-term vision of becoming a leading international mining group by 2035 [7][15].