FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 佛山市海天調味食品股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年12月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 03288 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 291,224,400 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 291,224,400 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 291,224,400 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 291,224,400 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類 ...

Core Viewpoint - Haitan Flavor Industry (03288) is experiencing a shareholder transfer of stocks from UBS Securities Hong Kong Limited to Citibank, with a transfer value of HKD 284 million, representing 3.03% of the total shares [1] Summary by Categories Shareholder Activity - On November 26, Haitan Flavor Industry's shares were transferred from UBS Securities Hong Kong Limited to Citibank, with a market value of HKD 284 million, accounting for 3.03% of the total shares [1] Analyst Ratings and Projections - CMB International has initiated a "Buy" rating for Haitan Flavor Industry, setting a target price of HKD 39 [1] - The company is expected to achieve approximately 8% compound annual growth in revenue from 2024 to 2027, driven by the recovery in the food service sector, product innovation, and overseas expansion [1] - There is potential for improvement in gross margin and operating profit margin due to declining raw material costs and efficiency enhancements, with net profit projected to maintain a growth rate of around 10% [1] - The forecasted price-to-earnings ratio for Haitan Flavor Industry in 2026 is set at 25 times, based on global industry valuations [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent transfer of shares in Haitian Flavor Industry Co., Ltd. indicates a strategic shift among investors, with a new buy rating and target price reflecting positive growth expectations in the coming years [1] Group 1: Shareholder Activity - On November 26, shares of Haitian Flavor Industry were transferred from UBS Securities Hong Kong Limited to Citibank, with a market value of HKD 284 million, representing 3.03% of the company [1] Group 2: Analyst Ratings and Projections - CMB International has initiated coverage on Haitian Flavor Industry with a "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 39, driven by recovery in the food service sector, product innovation, and overseas expansion [1] - Revenue is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8% from 2024 to 2027 [1] - The company is anticipated to see improvements in gross margin and operating profit margin due to declining raw material costs and enhanced efficiency [1] - Net profit is projected to maintain a growth rate of around 10%, with a forecasted price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25 times for 2026 based on global industry valuations [1]

Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 21,628 million (6.0% increase) and net profit attributable to shareholders of 5,322 million (10.5% increase) in the first three quarters of 2025, with profit growth outpacing revenue growth [1] - Gross margin improved to approximately 40%, indicating continuous enhancement in profitability [1] - Net cash flow from operating activities reached 3,148 million (14.4% increase), reflecting good cash quality; total assets at the end of the period were 47,348 million, with a debt-to-asset ratio reduced to about 15%, showcasing a robust capital structure that provides financial flexibility for future capacity investments and business expansion [1] Business Development - The core cash cow remains the basic product business, although growth has noticeably slowed compared to the previous year due to weaker performance in the catering sector and intensified competition [1] - Other categories and innovative businesses, while smaller in scale than the basic category, exhibit significant growth potential and are key to structural upgrades and offsetting the slowdown in the main business [1] - International business and overseas markets accounted for less than 5% of revenue in the first half of the year, indicating an early-stage development; approximately 20% of the 9,152 million raised in the Hong Kong stock market will be allocated to overseas capacity and channels in Southeast Asia and Europe, with ongoing planning for bases in Indonesia and Europe, which may temporarily increase costs and dilute profits but could open a second growth curve in the medium to long term [1] Profit Forecast - The company expects an 8.0% increase in operating revenue and a 7.81% increase in operating profit for 2025; the price-to-earnings ratios for 2025-2027 are projected to be 24.66, 22.36, and 21.45 times, respectively [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Hold" [1] Core Insights - The company is experiencing profit growth that outpaces revenue growth, driven by cost control and international expansion efforts [1] - Revenue for 2025 is projected to grow by 8.0%, while operating profit is expected to increase by 7.81% [5] - The company has a strong cash flow position, with a net operating cash flow of approximately 3,148 million RMB for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.4% [13] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 21,628 million RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.0% [10] - The gross margin improved to approximately 40%, up from 36.8% in the previous year, due to lower raw material costs and economies of scale [11] - The net profit for the same period reached 5,322 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 10.5% [10] Business Development - The core business remains focused on soy sauce, oyster sauce, and seasoning sauces, with soy sauce accounting for 51.6% of total revenue [14] - The company is expanding its product matrix to include vinegar, cooking wine, and compound seasonings, which saw a revenue increase of 16.73% in the first half of 2025 [15] - International business is still in the early stages, with overseas revenue accounting for less than 5% of total revenue [16] Market Analysis - The domestic condiment industry is undergoing a deep adjustment, with many companies experiencing declines in revenue and profit [17] - Despite the challenging environment, the company achieved record high revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 [17] - The global soy sauce market is expected to grow from approximately 59.13 billion USD in 2025 to 74.45 billion USD by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of about 4.79% [18] R&D Investment - The company invested approximately 635 million RMB in R&D during the first three quarters of 2025, maintaining a stable R&D expense ratio of about 2.9% [19] - R&D efforts are focused on health-oriented products and upgrading existing product formulations to meet consumer trends [20]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the IPO market for consumer companies in Hong Kong is expected to become active again in 2025, following a period of slowdown due to various regulatory and economic factors [2][3] - Since 2021, the capital market for consumer companies has faced challenges due to US-China trade tensions and a regulatory focus on "hard technology," leading to a significant slowdown in the capitalisation process for consumer enterprises [2][3] - In June 2024, a joint announcement by six government departments in China aimed to support quality consumer enterprises in financing through IPOs, which has led to a resurgence in consumer market confidence and activity [2][3] Group 2 - According to PwC data, 34% of new companies listed on the Hong Kong stock exchange in the first half of 2025 were in the retail, consumer goods, and services sectors [4] - From January to October 2025, at least 15 consumer companies successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, covering various sub-sectors such as beverages, food, and personal care [4][6] - The listing pace of consumer companies on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange has accelerated significantly in 2025, with multiple companies going public in concentrated periods throughout the year [6] Group 3 - The food and beverage sector remains the hottest area for IPOs, with companies like Mixue Ice City and Gu Ming representing successful capitalisation in the ready-to-drink beverage market [7] - Despite the overall enthusiasm for consumer stocks, the beauty sector has seen a lack of successful IPOs, with only one company, Yingtong Holdings, managing to list in 2025 [8][9] - As of October 30, 2025, 20 domestic beauty-related companies have initiated the IPO process, with many choosing the Hong Kong Stock Exchange as their primary listing venue [12] Group 4 - The beauty industry faces challenges in successfully listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with only a few companies completing the process despite a high number of applications [13][14] - Factors contributing to the difficulties include high competition for IPO slots and the need for companies to meet stringent financial and operational criteria set by the exchange [14][15] - Many beauty companies exhibit low R&D investment relative to industry averages, which may hinder their long-term growth potential and ability to sustain cash flow [16][17]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International initiates a "Buy" rating for Haitian Flavor Industry (03288) with a target price of HKD 39, driven by the recovery in the catering channel, product innovation, and overseas expansion, projecting approximately 8% compound annual growth in revenue from 2024 to 2027 [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Haitian Flavor Industry is expected to have over 6,700 distributors by the end of 2024, ensuring comprehensive coverage of major regions in the country [1] - The company's strong distribution network guarantees stable sales nationwide [1] Group 2: Product and Market Trends - The ongoing trend towards health-conscious products is driving an upgrade in the product structure [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International initiates a "Buy" rating for Haitian Flavor Industry (03288) with a target price of HKD 39, driven by the recovery in the catering channel, product innovation, and overseas expansion, projecting an approximate 8% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in revenue from 2024 to 2027 [1] Revenue and Growth Projections - Revenue is expected to achieve about 8% CAGR from 2024 to 2027 due to multiple drivers including catering channel recovery, product innovation, and overseas expansion [1] - The company is projected to maintain a net profit growth rate of around 10% [1] Profitability and Efficiency - There is potential for improvement in gross margin and operating profit margin, driven by declining raw material costs and efficiency enhancements [1] Market Position and Distribution - As of the end of 2024, the company will have over 6,700 distributors, ensuring comprehensive coverage of major regions in the country, which supports stable national sales [1] Product Innovation and Health Trends - The ongoing health trend is driving product structure upgrades, with the company leveraging its leading R&D capabilities to continuously innovate products, thereby consolidating its competitive advantage [1] Overseas Expansion Strategy - The company primarily serves overseas markets through a trade model, and short-term overseas expansion is expected to benefit from the trend of domestic catering brands going abroad [1] - The overseas business is still in its early stages, with expectations of double-digit CAGR in overseas revenue over the next three years, which will increase the proportion of overseas revenue [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant inflow of southbound capital into the Hong Kong stock market, driven by the increasing presence of high-quality Chinese companies and the attractiveness of valuations, which is expected to support a long-term "slow bull" market trend in Hong Kong stocks [3][10][16]. Group 1: Southbound Capital Inflow - As of November 10, southbound capital's cumulative net purchase of Hong Kong stocks exceeded 5 trillion HKD, continuing to grow [3]. - By November 19, southbound capital net inflow through the Stock Connect reached 65.91 million HKD, bringing the total net purchase for the year to over 1.34 trillion HKD, a 66% increase compared to the total inflow of 807.8 billion HKD in 2024 [5][6]. - The proportion of southbound capital in the total trading volume of the Hong Kong market has steadily increased from 15.6% at the beginning of 2024 to 23.6% in the third quarter of 2025 [6]. Group 2: Investment Trends and Sector Focus - The composition of southbound capital has shifted significantly, with technology and dividend-paying stocks becoming the primary focus, moving away from the banking sector, which previously dominated [7][8]. - The top ten holdings of southbound capital are now split between technology and high-dividend stocks, with Tencent Holdings and Alibaba being major players [8]. - Insurance funds and public funds are the main contributors to southbound capital, with insurance holdings surpassing 1 trillion RMB by the end of the third quarter [9]. Group 3: Future Growth Potential - Analysts predict that the southbound capital inflow could increase by 1.4 trillion RMB (approximately 1.54 trillion HKD) by the end of next year, with a potential growth of 10 trillion RMB (about 11 trillion HKD) over the next five years [11][13]. - The continuous inflow of long-term capital is expected to enhance market liquidity and optimize the capital market structure, supporting a sustainable "slow bull" market [13][14]. Group 4: Quality of Listed Companies - The article notes that more high-quality Chinese companies are choosing to list in Hong Kong, which enhances the market's attractiveness to both domestic and foreign investors [15][17]. - As of November 19, 2025, 88 companies have gone public in Hong Kong, raising a total of 250.5 billion HKD, a 172.44% increase from the previous year [17]. - The increasing number of globally competitive companies listed in Hong Kong is expected to attract more capital inflow, creating a positive feedback loop [18].

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market is becoming a crucial platform for global investors to share in the growth dividends of China's core assets, with significant inflows of southbound capital [1][12] - As of November 10, southbound capital's cumulative net purchases of Hong Kong stocks exceeded 5 trillion HKD, continuing to grow [1] - The influx of long-term mainland funds, primarily from insurance and public offerings, is expected to support a "slow bull" market in Hong Kong [1][8] Southbound Capital Inflows - As of November 19, southbound capital net inflows through the Stock Connect reached 65.91 million HKD, bringing the total for the year to over 1.34 trillion HKD, a 66% increase compared to the total inflow of 807.8 billion HKD in 2024 [2] - Cumulative net inflows since the launch of the Stock Connect have surpassed 5 trillion HKD [2][3] Market Dynamics - Southbound capital has become a core driver of liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market, with its share of total market turnover rising from 15.6% at the beginning of 2024 to 23.6% by the third quarter of 2025 [3] - The total market value of southbound capital holdings exceeded 6.3 trillion HKD by the end of the third quarter, representing a year-on-year increase of over 90% [3] Sector and Stock Preferences - The allocation of southbound capital has shifted significantly, with the banking sector previously dominating but now more evenly distributed across industries, including media, pharmaceuticals, and technology [3][4] - The top ten holdings of southbound capital are now characterized by a "technology + dividend" strategy, with Tencent Holdings and Alibaba being major beneficiaries [4] Fund Composition - Insurance funds and public funds constitute the majority of southbound capital, with insurance holdings surpassing 1 trillion RMB (approximately 1.4 trillion HKD) by the end of the third quarter [7] - Public fund holdings reached 1.01 trillion RMB, accounting for about 18% of total southbound capital [7] Future Projections - Predictions indicate that southbound capital could see an additional inflow of 1.4 trillion RMB (approximately 1.54 trillion HKD) by the end of next year, with a potential total increase of 10 trillion RMB (approximately 11 trillion HKD) over the next five years [8] - The continuous inflow of long-term capital is expected to enhance market fundamentals and support a "slow bull" market [8][9] Market Valuation and Asset Supply - The Hong Kong stock market is viewed as having significant allocation value, with lower valuation levels compared to other major global markets [11] - The influx of quality companies listing in Hong Kong is creating a virtuous cycle, enhancing market liquidity and attracting more capital [12][13] Historical Context - Historical analysis indicates that periods of outperformance in the Hong Kong stock market have been driven by the scarcity of assets, with current trends reflecting similar dynamics as seen in previous advantageous periods [14]