公司2025H1 实现营收83.92 亿元，同比+6.6%；实现归母净利润8.91 亿元，同比+5.3%；毛利率和净利 率分别为19.4%和10.8%，同比分别-1.1pct 和-0.1pct；管理费同比下降9.2%，收入占比同比-0.9pct 至 5.3%。截至上半年末，公司现金及银行余额116.2 亿元，同比+9.6%；贸易应收款为39.3 亿元，同比 +9.7%；资产负债率同比-0.9pct 至42.9%。 物管收入稳健增长，加大高能级城市存量住宅拓展公司2025 上半年在管规模扩大，实现物管收入63.25 亿元，同比+13.1%，收入占比同比+4.4pct 至75.4%，毛利率同比-0.2pct 至16.6%。截至上半年末，公司 合同面积9.96 亿平，第三方占比63.8%；在管面积8.34 亿平，第三方占比65.9%，住宅业态占比38.5%。 公司上半年新拓第三方项目14.06 亿元，同比+17.2%，其中核心50 城占比同比+5.1pct 至84.6%，其中北 京、广州、天津期内拓展金额超亿元。公司在高能级城市加大存量住宅拓展，上半年新拓19 个存量住 宅项目，单年合同额达0.93 亿元，同比+4 ...

Group 1: Industry Insights - The controllable nuclear fusion technology is diversifying, with significant public and private capital involvement, indicating a potential investment boom in the sector, with annual investments possibly reaching thousands of billions if commercialized successfully [6][9][8] - The Tokamak device is expected to benefit from breakthroughs in high-temperature superconducting materials, potentially achieving grid-connected power generation by the 2030s [7] - The domestic Z-pinch hybrid reactor is likely to accelerate its development, with private capital showing increasing interest in FRC devices [8] Group 2: Company Updates - Kefu Medical (301087.SZ) - Kefu Medical reported H1 2025 revenue of 1.496 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.03% year-on-year, with a net profit of 167 million yuan, down 9.51% [11][13] - The company is focusing on overseas market expansion, having acquired established channels and customer resources through recent acquisitions [13][15] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, anticipating growth in core product categories and overseas business [11][13] Group 3: Company Updates - Shede Liquor (600702.SH) - Shede Liquor's H1 2025 revenue was 2.7 billion yuan, down 17.4% year-on-year, with a net profit of 440 million yuan, down 25% [17][18] - The company is expected to continue improving in the second half of 2025, with a focus on core markets and products [17][18] - The company maintains an "overweight" rating, with a projected net profit growth of 100.3% in 2025 [17][18] Group 4: Company Updates - Pinduoduo (PDD.NASDAQ) - Pinduoduo's Q2 2025 revenue was 104 billion yuan, a 7% year-on-year increase, with a non-GAAP net profit of 32.7 billion yuan, down 5% [23][24] - The company is adjusting its domestic commission policies and expanding overseas, with a focus on long-term sustainable development [23][25] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, with a projected non-GAAP net profit of 99 billion yuan for 2025 [23][24] Group 5: Company Updates - Poly Property (06049.HK) - Poly Property reported H1 2025 revenue of 8.392 billion yuan, a 6.6% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 891 million yuan, up 5.3% [27][28] - The company is expanding its property management scale and optimizing its value-added business structure [27][28] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, with projected net profits of 1.58 billion yuan in 2025 [27][28] Group 6: Company Updates - Longping High-Tech (000998.SZ) - Longping High-Tech reported H1 2025 revenue of 2.166 billion yuan, down 16.11% year-on-year, with a net loss of 164 million yuan [44][45] - The company is focusing on improving its rice seed business while addressing challenges in the corn seed market [44][45] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, with projected net profits of 348 million yuan in 2025 [44][45] Group 7: Company Updates - Hualu Hengsheng (600426.SH) - Hualu Hengsheng reported H1 2025 revenue of 15.764 billion yuan, down 7.14% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.569 billion yuan, down 29.47% [48][49] - The company is investing in technological upgrades to improve efficiency and maintain a "buy" rating [48][49] - The company anticipates a net profit of 3.47 billion yuan in 2025 [48][49]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Poly Property (06049.HK) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that Poly Property has achieved steady revenue and profit growth, with a continuous optimization of its value-added business layout. The company is expected to maintain its profit forecasts, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 being 1.58 billion, 1.72 billion, and 1.88 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to EPS of 2.86, 3.11, and 3.40 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 11.9, 11.0, and 10.0 times [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 8.392 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 891 million yuan, up 5.3% year-on-year. The gross margin and net margin were 19.4% and 10.8%, respectively, reflecting a decrease of 1.1 percentage points and 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company had cash and bank balances of 11.62 billion yuan, an increase of 9.6% year-on-year, and trade receivables of 3.93 billion yuan, up 9.7% year-on-year. The asset-liability ratio decreased by 0.9 percentage points to 42.9% [6] Property Management Revenue Growth - In the first half of 2025, the company expanded its managed scale, achieving property management revenue of 6.325 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.1%, with the revenue proportion rising by 4.4 percentage points to 75.4%. The gross margin for property management was 16.6%, down 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The company added 14.06 billion yuan in new third-party projects, a year-on-year increase of 17.2%, with a focus on high-tier cities. The average property management fee per residential unit increased by 0.14 yuan to 2.47 yuan per square meter per month [7] Value-Added Business Adjustments - The company reported a decline in non-owner value-added service revenue to 863 million yuan, down 16.1% year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in the number of case collaboration service projects and office leasing income. The gross margin for this segment fell by 6.8 percentage points to 11.2% [8] - Owner value-added service revenue was 1.204 billion yuan, down 3.7% year-on-year, but the gross margin improved by 1.1 percentage points to 39.9% [8] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The financial summary indicates projected revenues of 17.731 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 8.5%. The net profit for 2025 is projected at 1.582 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.4% [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market by 10% to 20% over the next six months [8][13]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated resilient revenue and profit growth despite challenges in the upstream real estate sector and tightening public finance expenditures. For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 8.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.6%, and a net profit of 0.89 billion yuan, up 5.3% year-on-year [4][7]. - The company continues to strengthen its market position with a total managed area of 1 billion square meters and a third-party project ratio of 65.9% as of the first half of 2025, indicating an optimized business structure and accelerated marketization [7]. - The company has achieved significant growth in third-party property management services, with a revenue increase of 19.9% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, reflecting a successful expansion strategy [7]. Financial Summary - The company’s projected financial performance shows steady growth, with expected revenues of 17.68 billion yuan in 2025, representing an 8.2% year-on-year increase. Net profit is projected to reach 1.57 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.5% growth [6][10]. - Key financial metrics include a projected EPS of 2.84 yuan for 2025, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 12.0 times, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical performance [6][11]. - The company maintains a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-asset ratio of 42.93%, suggesting a manageable level of financial leverage [4].

Group 1 - Poly Property achieved a revenue of 8.392 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.6%, with a net profit of 890 million, up 5.3% [3][5] - China Overseas Property reported total revenue of 7.089 billion, a growth of 3.67%, and a net profit of 769 million, increasing by 4.29% [4][7] - Sunac Services recorded a revenue of 3.547 billion, with a net profit of 142 million, marking a return to profitability [4][8] - Jinke Services reported a net profit of 65.02 million, recovering from a loss of 194 million in the previous year [4][9] - Jinmao Services achieved total revenue of approximately 1.783 billion, a growth of 19.6%, with a profit of about 184 million, up 1.9% [4][10] - New Dazheng reported a revenue of 1.503 billion, a decrease of 12.88%, with a net profit of 71.17 million, down 12.96% [4][11] - Yexing Group expects a profit of approximately 12.8 million, a growth of 94% [4][12] Group 2 - Yuexiu Services signed 37 new projects, adding a contract area of 5.96 million square meters [4][16] - China Overseas Property renewed its service contract for the North District Welfare Service Complex in Hong Kong [4][17] - China Energy Conservation Property won the bid for the property management service project at Hangzhou West Station [4][19] - Hongrongyuan Property signed a contract to provide comprehensive property management services for the Shiyue City project in Shenzhen [4][20] - New Dazheng won a procurement project from Beijing Guoyao Asset Management with a bid amount of 25.72 million [4][21] -卓越商企服务 announced a transfer of properties valued at 363 million to offset receivables from its parent company [4][23] Group 3 - The Shenzhen Property Management Association called for active participation in the "Patriotic Health Movement and Civilized City Construction" [4][25] - Guomao Property participated in the compilation of the national standard for carbon emission evaluation in civil buildings, effective from September 1, 2025 [4][26][27] - Jindi Smart Services contributed to the "Liaoning Province Good House Technical Guidelines," marking a new phase in residential quality improvement [4][28] Group 4 - The report highlighted the performance metrics of various listed property companies for the first half of 2025, showcasing revenue growth and profitability trends [4][29]

Core Viewpoint - The report maintains the profit forecast for Poly Property (06049), expecting a 5% year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-26, reaching 1.55 billion and 1.62 billion yuan respectively. The target price is raised by 11% to HKD 42.7, corresponding to a target P/E ratio of 14 times for 2025 and a 14% upside potential. The stock is currently trading at 12 times the 2025 P/E ratio [1] Group 1: Revenue and Profit Growth - The basic property management business drives overall growth, with this segment accounting for 70-80% of total revenue, growing by 13% year-on-year, establishing the main growth trend. The segment's gross profit margin remains relatively stable [2] - The company reported a revenue of 8.4 billion yuan for 1H25, a 7% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 890 million yuan, also a 5% year-on-year increase, in line with expectations [1] Group 2: Contract Expansion and Project Structure - The new third-party project contract amount increased by 17% year-on-year to 1.4 billion yuan, with growth in residential, public service, and commercial office sectors. The contract amount in core 50 cities increased its proportion by 5 percentage points to 85% [3] - The proportion of non-residential projects in the new contracts has risen to nearly 80%, with the share of contracts worth over 10 million and 20 million yuan in the public service sector further increasing [3] Group 3: Accounts Management and Cash Flow - As of the end of 1H25, trade receivables grew by 10% year-on-year, with over 90% of the amounts due within one year, maintaining a healthy aging structure. The overall collection rate remained stable [4] - The public service business's collection rate has shown an upward trend, while the residential and commercial office sectors have seen a decline [4] Group 4: High-Quality Development and Shareholder Returns - The company is expected to maintain its competitive advantage in core sectors, driving overall revenue growth through high-quality project expansion and conversion, while also focusing on internal efficiency and maintaining stable profit margins [5] - The management has set a target of 3 billion yuan for annual saturated contract expansion and aims to keep the annual revenue and net profit targets unchanged. The dividend payout ratio has increased from 20% in 2021 to 50% in 2024, with expectations for continued shareholder return policies [5]

Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains the profit forecast for Poly Property (06049) unchanged, expecting a 5% year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-26, reaching 1.55 billion and 1.62 billion yuan respectively, while maintaining an outperform rating for the industry [1] Group 1: Revenue and Profit Growth - The basic property management business drives overall growth, with the revenue share of this segment accounting for 70-80%, showing a year-on-year growth of 13%, establishing the main tone for overall revenue growth [2] - The company reported a 7% year-on-year increase in revenue for 1H25, amounting to 8.4 billion yuan, and a net profit of 890 million yuan, reflecting a 5% year-on-year growth, in line with expectations [1][2] Group 2: Contract Expansion and Project Structure - The new third-party project contract amount increased by 17% year-on-year to 1.4 billion yuan, with growth achieved across residential, public service, and commercial office sectors [3] - The proportion of new contracts in core 50 cities increased by 5 percentage points year-on-year to 85%, with the share of core non-residential sectors rising to nearly 80% [3] Group 3: Accounts Management - As of the end of 1H25, trade receivables grew by 10% year-on-year, with over 90% of the amounts due within one year, indicating a healthy aging structure [4] - The overall collection rate remained stable, with public service business collection rates increasing, while residential and commercial office sectors saw a decline [4] Group 4: High-Quality Development and Shareholder Returns - The company is expected to maintain its competitive advantage in core sectors, driving overall revenue growth through high-quality project expansion and conversion, while also focusing on internal efficiency and maintaining stable profit margins [5] - The management aims to achieve a target of 3 billion yuan in annual saturated contract amounts and maintains its revenue and net profit targets for the year [5] - The company has consistently increased its dividend payout ratio over the past three years, from 20% in 2021 to 50% in 2024, and is expected to continue its proactive shareholder return policy [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Poly Property [4][8] Core Views - The company demonstrates stable growth in performance, with accelerated third-party expansion [8] - The company is backed by Poly Real Estate, ensuring strong growth momentum and strategic positioning in non-residential property management [8] - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 1.56 billion, 1.65 billion, and 1.76 billion respectively, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 12 times for 2025 [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue (in million) for 2023 is projected at 15,062, with a growth rate of 10.0%, and expected to reach 19,784 by 2027 with a growth rate of 7.2% [3][9] - Net profit attributable to the parent company (in million) is forecasted to be 1,380 in 2023, growing to 1,764 by 2027, with a growth rate of 7.0% in the final year [3][9] - Earnings per share (in yuan) are expected to increase from 2.51 in 2023 to 3.19 in 2027 [3][9] - The return on equity is projected to decline from 15.8% in 2023 to 13.5% in 2027 [3][9] Operational Highlights - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 8.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.6%, and a net profit of 890 million, up 5.3% [8] - The managed area increased by 12% year-on-year, with third-party contract amounts growing by 17% [8] - The average property management fee for residential properties rose to 2.47 yuan per square meter per month, reflecting a steady increase [8]

集团期内毛利约为人民币16.267亿元，同比增长约1.0%，毛利率约为19.38%，同比下降约1.08个百分 点。期内溢利约为人民币9.040亿元，同比增长约5.8%，净利率约为10.8%，同比下降约0.1个百分点。 公司拥有人应占期内溢利约为人民币8.906亿元，同比增长约5.3%，每股基本盈利约为人民币1.6178 元。 保利物业公布截至2025年6月30日的六个月的中期业绩。期间，集团总收入约为人民币83.920亿元，同 比增长约6.6%。收入主要来自三部分：物业管理服务收入为人民币63.248亿元，同比增长约13.1%；非 业主增值服务收入为人民币8.631亿元，同比下降约16.1%；社区增值服务收入为人民币12.041亿元，同 比下降约3.7%。 ...

期內，集团毛利约为1.627亿元，同比增加1.0%；毛利率约为19.38%，同比减少约1.08个百分点。 本文源自：财华网 【财华社讯】保利物业(06049.HK)公布，截至2025年6月30日止六个月，收入约83.92亿元(人民币,下 同)，同比增加6.6%；公司拥有人应占溢利约8.91亿元，同比增加5.3%；每股基本盈利1.6178元。不派 息。 ...