Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [5] Core Insights - Recent "14th Five-Year Plan" proposals from various regions emphasize the need for "good housing" and a "market + guarantee" supply-side policy, aiming for high-quality urban renewal and improved housing supply for low-income families [1][10] - The real estate sector is under pressure, with a significant year-on-year decline in new home sales, indicating a challenging market environment [2][22] - The report suggests that the policy environment is expected to strengthen, with a focus on improving the competitive landscape, particularly benefiting leading state-owned enterprises and quality developers [3] Summary by Sections 1. "14th Five-Year Plan" Proposals - Multiple regions have released proposals highlighting the importance of quality housing and a balanced supply system, focusing on urban renewal and affordable housing for disadvantaged families [1][10] 2. Market Review - The Shenwan Real Estate Index decreased by 2.2% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 3.43 percentage points, ranking 30th among 31 Shenwan primary industries [11] - A total of 30 stocks rose, while 82 stocks fell, indicating a challenging market sentiment [11] 3. New and Second-Hand Housing Transactions - New home sales in 30 cities totaled 176.6 million square meters this week, down 6.5% month-on-month and 47.7% year-on-year [2][22] - Second-hand home sales in 14 cities amounted to 190.7 million square meters, reflecting a 5.3% decrease from the previous week and a 40.8% decline year-on-year [33] 4. Credit Bond Issuance - This week, 9 credit bonds were issued by real estate companies, totaling 6.568 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.272 billion yuan from the previous week, with a net financing amount of -2.132 billion yuan [3][42]

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 呈交日期: 2025年12月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 06049 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 347,000,090 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 347,000,090 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 347,000,090 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 347,000,090 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 其他類別 (請註明) | | 於香港聯 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the earnings forecast for Poly Property (06049) and keeps the "outperform" rating with a target price of HKD 42.7, corresponding to a 13x P/E for 2026 and a 22% upside potential [1] Group 1: Strategic Layout and Growth - The "big property" strategic layout has achieved breadth, with the "14th Five-Year Plan" focusing on operational focus and industrial upgrades [2] - During the "14th Five-Year Plan," the company has proactively laid out the "big property" strategy, achieving over 25% compound growth in property management revenue from public services and commercial office sectors from 2021 to 2024 [2] - By 2024, the managed area for non-residential properties is expected to reach 510 million square meters, with non-residential property management revenue accounting for over 40% of total property management revenue [2] - The company's market-oriented external expansion capability and industry coverage are leading, with an annualized contract amount for non-residential external expansion expected to be RMB 2.75 billion in 2024, covering over 40 non-residential sectors [2] - The company has essentially achieved the layout and external expansion capability at the "big property" level, with future development transitioning from breadth and width to deep operations, aiming for further elevation in revenue structure, profitability, and operational capability [2] Group 2: Scenic Area Operations - Scenic area operations present good growth potential and financial models, with property management companies expected to upgrade from traditional management fees to operational revenue sharing through integrated management and operations [2] - The tourism industry is expected to continue its strong growth, with the China Tourism Research Institute predicting that cultural and tourism-related consumption will exceed RMB 10 trillion by 2030, with an average annual growth rate of 8%-10% during the "15th Five-Year Plan" [2] - For example, in the Shenzhen Xichong project, property management fee revenue is around RMB 10 million, with relatively low gross margins; however, integrating ticket revenue sharing and secondary consumption from tourists is expected to significantly enhance project gross margins [2] - By the end of 2024, Poly Property is expected to have served over 100 A-level scenic area projects, including three operational management projects, with ongoing development of benchmark projects providing a solid foundation for further acquisition of scenic area operation projects and creating an integrated service system for scenic area operations and urban management [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrates steady growth in managed area and property fees, with a strong performance in property management services contributing significantly to revenue growth [1][2] Group 1: Area and Revenue Growth - As of the first half of 2025, the company managed an area of 834 million square meters, representing a 10.1% increase from the beginning of the period [1] - The contracted area reached 996 million square meters, up 4.8% from the start of the period [1] - The average property fee increased from 2.23 RMB/sqm/month in 2020 to 2.47 RMB/sqm/month by the first half of 2025 [1] - Property management service revenue amounted to 6.32 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.1% [1] - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 8.39 billion RMB, a 6.6% increase year-on-year [2] Group 2: Revenue Structure and Profitability - The proportion of property management revenue increased to 75.4%, up 3.9 percentage points from the beginning of the period and 4.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The company's gross margin was 19.4%, while the net margin rose to 10.8%, indicating strong profitability compared to peers [2] - The selling and administrative expense ratio was 5.3%, and accounts receivable turnover days were 72, showing stable performance in these areas [2] Group 3: Investment Outlook - The company is positioned as a state-owned enterprise in property management, with strong internal and external growth prospects [2] - Projected net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 1.55 billion, 1.64 billion, and 1.72 billion RMB, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 11.4, 10.8, and 10.3 times [2]

Core Insights - BlackRock increased its stake in Poly Property (06049) by acquiring 1.468 million shares at a price of HKD 36.672 per share, totaling approximately HKD 53.8345 million [1] - Following this acquisition, BlackRock's total shareholding in Poly Property is approximately 17.7899 million shares, representing a holding percentage of 5.13% [1]

Core Insights - BlackRock increased its stake in Poly Property (06049) by acquiring 1.468 million shares at a price of HKD 36.672 per share, totaling approximately HKD 53.8345 million [1] - Following this acquisition, BlackRock's total shareholding in Poly Property reached approximately 17.7899 million shares, representing a stake of 5.13% [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Poly Property Services [2][59] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in managed area and property fees, with a balanced structure in its operations. As of the first half of 2025, the managed area reached 834 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%, and the average property fee rose from 2.23 RMB/sqm/month to 2.47 RMB/sqm/month [8][25][28] - The property management service remains the cornerstone of the company's performance, contributing 75.4% to total revenue in the first half of 2025, with a revenue of 6.32 billion RMB, up 13.1% year-on-year [8][18] - The company is well-positioned for stable growth due to its strong backing from a leading developer and its focus on both internal and external expansion strategies [12][15][59] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Poly Property Services, established in 1996, has developed into a leading comprehensive property management operator in China, covering 191 cities with a managed area of 834 million square meters [12][15] Property Management Services - The company has a strong performance in property management, with a total revenue of 8.39 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, reflecting a 6.6% year-on-year growth [8][40] - The revenue from property management services is expected to continue growing, with projections of 13% growth in 2025 [55] Financial Analysis - The company maintains a high profit margin, with a gross margin of 19.4% and a net margin of 10.8% in the first half of 2025, indicating strong operational efficiency [42][43] - The company’s revenue and net profit are expected to grow steadily, with projected net profits of 1.55 billion RMB, 1.64 billion RMB, and 1.72 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [55][59] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve total revenues of 17.4 billion RMB in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.5% [55][56] - The average PE ratio for comparable companies is 12.7x, while Poly Property is expected to have a PE of 11.4x in 2025, indicating a favorable valuation [59][60]

Core Insights - The conference focused on the construction goals of a modern, innovative, livable, beautiful, resilient, civilized, and smart city, held in Shenzhen on November 27-28, 2023 [6][7] - The event aimed to explore new solutions for social governance and collaborative innovation in urban development [4][5] Group 1: Urban Governance and Service Models - Poly Property has proposed an upgraded all-domain service model to address new challenges in urban governance, transitioning from "reconstruction" to "governance" while enhancing urban quality [2][3] - The company has implemented various innovative practices, such as ecological renewal in Guangzhou's Haizhu National Wetland Park, integrating ecological resources into commercial scenarios [3] - In Huangpu District, Guangzhou, Poly Property has revitalized old spaces and idle land through systematic upgrades, introducing community-friendly projects like coffee stations and charging points [3] Group 2: Forum and Collaborative Governance - The Town Mayor Forum serves as a platform for discussing innovative social governance ideas, focusing on the modernization of urban governance since its inception in 2018 [4][5] - The fourth Town Mayor Forum in 2023 emphasized coordinated development among cities and towns, proposing a comprehensive service model called "One Core, Four Methods, Nine Scenarios" [5] Group 3: Conference Highlights - The conference attracted hundreds of participants from various sectors, facilitating in-depth discussions on modern urban construction and sharing replicable governance experiences [7][8] - Poly Property launched a new product system based on its all-domain service model, addressing existing governance pain points and aligning with urban development needs [8] - The event featured a dual-zone interactive experience, showcasing technological achievements in urban management and creating immersive engagement opportunities [9]

Core Insights - The conference focused on the construction goals of a modern, innovative, livable, beautiful, resilient, civilized, and smart city, held in Shenzhen on November 27-28, 2023 [2][7] Group 1: Urban Governance and Service Models - Poly Property has proposed a comprehensive service model for grassroots governance since 2018, responding to urban development needs and enhancing city quality [3][4] - In Haizhu National Wetland Park, Poly Property integrates ecological protection with urban development, creating a landmark flower sea and over 60 themed events to convert ecological value into economic value [3] - In Huangpu District, Poly Property revitalizes old spaces and idle land through systematic upgrades, introducing community-friendly projects like coffee stations and charging stations [3] Group 2: Cultural and Economic Integration - In Xichong Scenic Area, Poly Property focuses on cultural innovation, creating a new model that combines coastal culture with tourism, enhancing service capabilities and consumer engagement [4] - The company aims to redefine its role in urban governance from a basic service provider to a promoter of urban space value reconstruction and continuous operation [4] Group 3: Town Mayor Forum and Collaborative Governance - The Town Mayor Forum, initiated in 2018, serves as a platform for discussing social governance and collaborative innovation, focusing on the modernization of urban governance [5][6] - Each forum has addressed different themes, such as rural revitalization and fine governance, attracting numerous experts and stakeholders to explore new paths for social governance [6] Group 4: Conference Highlights - The conference attracted hundreds of participants from various sectors to discuss modern urban construction and share replicable governance experiences [8] - Poly Property launched a new product system for its comprehensive service model, addressing existing governance pain points and adapting to urban development changes [9] - The event featured a dual-zone interactive experience, showcasing technological achievements and creating immersive engagement opportunities for attendees [10]

Investment Rating - The industry maintains an "Overweight" rating, with a focus on real estate-related stocks due to expected policy support and market recovery [5][7]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the need for urban renewal, highlighting the government's commitment to improving living conditions and urban infrastructure, which is expected to support high-quality urban development [2][12]. - The real estate market is showing signs of pressure, with new home sales in 30 cities down 38.2% year-on-year, despite a 6.5% month-on-month increase [3][27]. - The report suggests that the competitive landscape in the real estate sector is improving, with leading state-owned enterprises and select private firms expected to benefit from favorable policies and market conditions [5]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Overview - The real estate index decreased by 5.8% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.06 percentage points, ranking 20th among 31 sectors [2][16]. 2. New Home Sales - In the latest week, new home sales in 30 cities totaled 169.3 million square meters, with a year-on-year decline of 38.2% and a month-on-month increase of 6.5% [3][27]. - Year-to-date, new home sales in these cities have reached 85.89 million square meters, down 9.7% year-on-year [33]. 3. Second-Hand Home Sales - Second-hand home sales in 14 cities totaled 199.9 million square meters, down 12.6% year-on-year and slightly down 0.2% month-on-month [38][39]. - Cumulatively, second-hand home sales for the year have increased by 9.9% [38]. 4. Credit Bond Issuance - A total of 9 credit bonds were issued by real estate companies this week, amounting to 4.71 billion yuan, with a net financing amount of -1.79 billion yuan [4][48]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and those benefiting from urban renewal policies, including both state-owned and select private enterprises [5].