房地产市场深度调整之下，物业服务行业也受到诸多挑战。 观点指数跟踪的40家港股物企，上半年平均区间涨幅为7.71%；估值也有较大的回升，市盈率(TTM)由 年初的5.09倍增长至上半年末的10.62倍。其中，股价上涨幅度较大的三家物企包括众安智慧生活 (+108.38%)、德商产投服务(+39.29%)及华润万象生活(+35.96%)；德商产投服务与华润万象生活的市盈 率 (TTM) 亦保持头部水平，分别为24.21倍及22.1倍。 总市值不足10亿港元的港股物企有38家 继2023年物业管理公司上市出现断崖式降温之后，2025年上半年，仅有来自深圳的奥联服务向港交所递 交招股书，部分企业甚至选择私有化退市。 截至 2025年6月30日，港股总市值超百亿的物企共有6家（比去年同期少一家），占上市物企的比例仅 10%。包括华润万象生活(866.21亿港元)、万物云(246.41亿港元)、碧桂园服务(219.33 亿港元)保利物业 (183.43亿港元)、中海物业(179.96 亿港元)绿城服务(137.76%)。相比之下，已有38家物企总市值不足10 亿港元，占比达到63%。 与此同时，今年以来进行股份回购的物 ...

基本面处于修复期，仍待政策持续放松 ——房地产行业统计局数据点评 房地产 证券研究报告/行业定期报告 2025 年 08 月 22 日 | 评级： | 增持（维持） | 重点公司基本状况 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 简称 | 股价 | | | EPS | | | | | PE | | | 评级 | | 分析师：由子沛 | | | （元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | | 执业证书编号：S0740523020005 | | 保利发展 | 7.93 | 1.01 | 0.42 | 0.46 | 0.51 | 0.54 | 7.9 | 18.9 | 17.2 | 15.5 | 14.7 | 买入 | | Email：youzp@zts.com.cn | | 招商蛇 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The real estate sector is at a historical low in holdings, combined with interest rate cuts, which enhances the attractiveness of investments in this sector [4] - The report highlights that the fund holdings in real estate stocks have reached a historical low, with a significant drop in market value from 14.1 billion to 3 billion, a decrease of 80% [19] - The report identifies several driving factors, including low fund holdings, global policy cycles, and high base pressure in Q4 2025, which necessitate further policy support [5] Summary by Sections 1. Real Estate Heavyweight Stock Analysis: Historical Low Holdings - The number of funds holding real estate stocks has reached a five-year low, with a decline from 372 funds in Q4 2020 to 194 funds in Q4 2023 [13] - The total market value of funds holding real estate stocks has decreased significantly, reaching a historical low of 3 billion by H1 2025 [19] - The report notes that the proportion of funds overweight in real estate stocks has remained around 55% over the past five years, indicating a stable but low allocation [23] 2. Impact of US Rate Cuts on Chinese Real Estate Stocks - The report discusses the correlation between US interest rate cuts and the valuation recovery of Chinese real estate stocks, suggesting that these cuts can alleviate pressure on the Chinese yuan and provide opportunities for local rate cuts [56] - It emphasizes that the US rate cuts can improve the financing environment for Chinese real estate companies, thereby enhancing their credit profiles and market valuations [58] - The report anticipates a 92.1% probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September 2025, which could further influence the Chinese real estate market positively [61]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the real estate industry, indicating a cautious but potential investment opportunity as the sector adjusts to current market conditions [3]. Core Insights - The real estate market is experiencing a "W-shaped" bottoming process, with new construction expected to show a trend of rising and then falling in the second half of the year, with the peak likely approaching zero growth [2][39]. - The overall development investment is under pressure, with July's investment amount showing a year-on-year decline of 17.0%, reflecting weaker construction intensity due to declining sales market heat [2][38]. - The funding chain index for the real estate sector has slightly improved but remains at historically low levels, indicating potential future improvements in the financial situation of some companies [2][10]. Summary by Sections Sales and Construction Data - In July, the adjusted year-on-year growth rate for new housing sales area was -7.8%, continuing a trend of low market activity since May [13][14]. - The total sales area for the first seven months of 2025 was 515.6 million square meters, with a cumulative year-on-year decline of 4.0% [9][14]. - The new construction area in July saw a year-on-year decline of 15.4%, with a cumulative decline of 19.4% for the first seven months [2][39]. Price Trends - The new home price index for 70 cities showed a month-on-month decline of 0.31% in July, with significant drops in second-tier cities [10][11]. - The average price of new homes in July was 9,613 yuan per square meter, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.6% [12][14]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the narrowing gap between net rental yields and mortgage rates is a key observation point for total demand in both new and second-hand housing markets [37]. - It emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with stable cash flow generation capabilities, such as China Overseas Development and Poly Developments, as potential investment opportunities [37][38].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a decline in new housing transaction volume and value, with a year-on-year decrease of 4.0% in sales area and 6.5% in sales value for the first seven months of 2025 [5][14] - The report indicates a continued downward trend in sales data, with July showing a significant drop of 7.8% in sales area and 14.1% in sales value compared to the previous year [5][14] - The report notes that the construction data shows a narrowing decline, with new construction area down 19.4% year-on-year, while completion area decreased by 16.5% [6][20] - The report emphasizes that the investment in real estate development has seen an increasing decline, with a 12.0% drop in investment amount for the first seven months of 2025 [7][24] - The report mentions that the funding available to real estate developers has decreased by 7.5%, with only personal mortgage loans showing a month-on-month increase [7][27] Summary by Sections Sales Data - In the first seven months of 2025, the total sales area of commercial housing was 516 million square meters, down 4.0% year-on-year, with residential sales area down 4.1% [5][14] - The sales value for the same period was 4.96 trillion yuan, a decrease of 6.5% year-on-year, with residential sales value down 6.2% [5][14] Construction Data - The new construction area for the first seven months was 352 million square meters, down 19.4% year-on-year, with residential new construction down 18.3% [6][20] - The completion area was 250 million square meters, down 16.5% year-on-year, with residential completion down 17.3% [6][20] Investment Trends - Real estate development investment for the first seven months was 5.36 trillion yuan, down 12.0% year-on-year, with residential investment down 10.9% [7][24] - The funding available to developers was 5.73 trillion yuan, down 7.5% year-on-year, with domestic loans and personal mortgage loans showing slight increases [7][27] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the traditional off-season in July and August will see continued weakness in supply and demand, with a recommendation for strong credit real estate companies that can capture improvement-driven customer demand [8][33] - It also highlights companies benefiting from both residential and commercial real estate recovery, as well as those with high-quality property management services [8][33]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴 該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 POLY PROPERTY SERVICES CO., LTD. 保利物業服務股份有限公司 董事長兼執行董事 吳蘭玉 中國廣州，2025年8月13日 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份代號：06049） 董事會會議召開日期 保利物業服務股份有限公司（「本公司」）董事會（「董事會」）謹此宣佈，本公司將 於二零二五年八月二十五日（星期一）舉行董事會會議，藉以（其中包括）考慮及 批准本公司及其附屬公司截至二零二五年六月三十日止六個月之中期業績及其刊 發，及處理其他事項。 承董事會命 保利物業服務股份有限公司 於本公告日期，本公司執行董事為吳蘭玉女士及姚玉成先生；本公司非執行董事 為劉平先生及劉智慧先生；及本公司獨立非執行董事為王小軍先生、譚燕女士及 張禮卿先生。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights that despite the relaxation of purchase restrictions in Beijing, both new and second-hand housing transactions have declined [1][8] - The overall market performance is stronger than the broader market, with the Shenwan Real Estate Index rising by 2.16% compared to a 1.23% increase in the CSI 300 Index, resulting in a relative return of 0.93% [5][13] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The Shenwan Real Estate Index increased by 2.16%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index which rose by 1.23% [5][13] 2. Industry Fundamentals - For the week of August 1-7, the total number of new homes sold in 38 key cities was 19,984 units, a year-on-year decrease of 12% and a month-on-month decrease of 21.3% [6][21] - The total transaction area for new homes was 182.9 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 15.5% and a month-on-month decrease of 27% [6][21] - In the same week, the total number of second-hand homes sold in 16 key cities was 15,748 units, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.7% and a month-on-month decrease of 8.2% [32][38] - The total transaction area for second-hand homes was 150.7 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.4% and a month-on-month decrease of 8.7% [32][38] - The inventory of commercial housing in 17 key cities was 188.41 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2% and a depletion cycle of 148 weeks [49] 3. Land Market Supply and Transaction Analysis - During the week, 2,497.7 million square meters of land were supplied, a year-on-year increase of 10.5% [7] - The average transaction price of land was 1,399 yuan per square meter, a year-on-year increase of 34.3% [7] 4. Real Estate Financing Analysis - Real estate companies issued a total of 17.76 billion yuan in credit bonds, with a year-on-year increase of 83.38% and a month-on-month increase of 108.18% [7]

Core Viewpoint - Poly Property (06049) announced that its executive director and chairman, Wu Lanyu, has been appointed as the deputy general manager of Poly Development (600048) [1] Company Summary - The appointment of Wu Lanyu is expected to strengthen the leadership and management structure of Poly Development [1] - This move may indicate a strategic alignment between Poly Property and Poly Development, potentially enhancing operational synergies [1]

POLY PROPERTY SERVICES CO., LTD. 保利物業服務股份有限公司 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因依 賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 承董事會命 保利物業服務股份有限公司 董事長兼執行董事 吳蘭玉 中國廣州，2025年8月8日 於本公告日期，本公司執行董事為吳蘭玉女士及姚玉成先生；本公司非執行董事 為劉平先生及劉智慧先生；及本公司獨立非執行董事為王小軍先生、譚燕女士及 張禮卿先生。 （股份代號：06049） 自願性公告 控股股東委任副總經理 保利物業服務股份有限公司（「本公司」）接獲本公司控股股東保利發展控股集團股 份有限公司（「保利發展」）的通知，本公司執行董事兼董事長吳蘭玉女士已獲委任 為保利發展副總經理。 如本公司董事會之組成或董事之角色和職能有任何後續變動，本公司將適時另行 公告。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the real estate industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4][5][59] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of implementing the spirit of the Central Urban Work Conference and conducting high-quality urban renewal [3][47] - The report highlights that since September 2024, the central government's clear requirement has been to stabilize the real estate and stock markets, which is crucial for boosting social expectations and facilitating domestic demand circulation [5][50] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.9%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.6%, the ChiNext Index by 0.7%, and the CSI 300 Index by 1.8%, while the real estate sector (Shenwan) dropped by 3.4% [5][8] - In terms of individual stocks, the top five gainers were Zhujiang Co. (+13.5%), Dazhong Electronics (+10.3%), Zhangjiang Hi-Tech (+6.8%), ST Nanzhi (+6.1%), and Quzhou Development (+5.9%), while the top five losers included Hainan Airport (-8.4%), Jindi Group (-8.1%), Lujiazui (-7.9%), China Merchants Shekou (-7.7%), and Hainan Expressway (-7.7%) [5][8] Data Tracking New Housing Transactions - For the week of July 26 to August 1, 205,000 square meters of new homes were sold across 42 key cities, a 19.9% increase from the previous week, but a 20.8% decrease year-on-year [14][18] - In July, a total of 761,000 square meters of new homes were sold, representing a 31.8% decrease month-on-month and an 18.3% decrease year-on-year [18] Second-Hand Housing Transactions - For the week of July 26 to August 1, 185,000 square meters of second-hand homes were sold across 21 key cities, a 5.4% decrease from the previous week, but a 2.5% increase year-on-year [29][35] - In July, a total of 854,000 square meters of second-hand homes were sold, reflecting a 2.1% decrease month-on-month and a 3.9% decrease year-on-year [35] Industry News - The Central Political Bureau meeting emphasized the need for high-quality urban renewal and the implementation of policies to stabilize the real estate market [47][48] - The National Taxation Administration reported that since the implementation of the housing tax refund policy, 11.1 billion yuan has been refunded, alleviating the tax burden on residents [47][48] Company Announcements - Lujiazui achieved a revenue of 6.598 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 33.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 815 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.9% [50][51] - Dazhong City completed a targeted issuance of 2.426 billion yuan, increasing its total share capital to 4.286 billion shares [50][51]