Group 1 - The cement industry in Xinjiang is rated "overweight" by Guotai Junan, benefiting from geographical advantages and better price maintenance compared to the national average [1] - In the first half of 2025, Xinjiang's fixed asset investment is expected to grow by 13.0%, with cement production reaching 19.46 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 5.4%, outperforming the national growth rate by 9.7 percentage points [1] - The supply side in Xinjiang is stable, with a significant reduction in cross-regional cement flow, leading to better price maintenance, with prices in southern Xinjiang expected to remain at 470 yuan per ton compared to 350-430 yuan in East China [1] Group 2 - The China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway has officially commenced construction, with the Kyrgyz section expected to generate a cement demand of 400-600 million tons [2] - The total cement demand from the Kyrgyz section is estimated at 3.05-4.27 million tons, while the Chinese section is expected to require 1.49-2.13 million tons, totaling 4.54-6.40 million tons [2] - The annualized cement demand from both sections is projected to be 810,000 to 1.14 million tons [2] Group 3 - The ongoing construction of the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway is favorable for local Kyrgyz cement producers and Xinjiang cement companies due to insufficient local production capacity [3] - Xinjiang cement companies are expected to benefit from increased exports, with Qingsong Jianhua already exporting 42,000 tons of cement to Kyrgyzstan for railway construction in 2025 [3] - The construction of the Chinese section of the railway, which is entirely within Xinjiang, is anticipated to enhance the capacity utilization of local cement enterprises [3]

Summary of the Yarlung Tsangpo River Hydropower Project Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project, which is set to be the largest hydropower project globally, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan [1][5][26]. Key Points and Arguments Economic Impact - The project is expected to generate an annual electricity output of around 300 billion kWh, which is three times that of the Three Gorges Dam, potentially creating a production value of 90 billion yuan annually [8][19]. - It is estimated that for every 1 yuan invested in hydropower construction, it can stimulate 2-3 yuan in GDP growth, leading to a total potential output of nearly 4 trillion yuan due to the project's scale [7][21]. - The project will significantly enhance local infrastructure, including engineering, logistics, and trade services, thereby improving the economic landscape of Tibet [7][19]. Energy Strategy - The project aims to meet the electricity needs of 300 million households and contribute to the establishment of an Asian energy community [1][19]. - It will reduce reliance on imported fossil fuels and support the development of high-energy industries such as data centers and aluminum production, with a projected demand increase of 80,000 tons of copper and 50,000 tons of aluminum [1][9][21]. Regional Development - The project will generate over 20 billion yuan in annual fiscal revenue for Tibet, significantly contributing to local employment through construction and related industries [1][5]. - It is expected to create millions of jobs and stimulate growth in sectors such as construction materials, logistics, and tourism [8][21]. Geopolitical Implications - The hydropower station will primarily export electricity, enhancing China's influence in neighboring countries like Bangladesh and Myanmar while potentially diminishing India's geopolitical control in the region [12][13]. - The project has been included in China's 14th Five-Year Plan, indicating its strategic importance amid rising tensions with India [13][22]. Technical Aspects - The project utilizes a tunnel-based hydropower generation method, which is less environmentally invasive and has a lower investment cost compared to traditional dam construction [5][19]. - The engineering challenges are significant, with complex geological conditions and a need for advanced technology to ensure high water utilization rates [24][25]. Additional Important Content - The project is expected to have a long-term economic impact, with benefits extending to nearly 100 related industries, including construction, energy, and materials [8][19]. - The establishment of the China Yajiang Group as a key financing entity for the project highlights the government's commitment to supporting large-scale infrastructure initiatives [14][26]. - The project is anticipated to alleviate economic pressures in China, particularly in light of recent economic slowdowns, by accelerating investment and job creation [22][21]. This comprehensive overview captures the essential aspects of the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project as discussed in the conference call, emphasizing its economic, energy, regional, geopolitical, and technical significance.

Market Overview - On July 22, the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.54%, closing at 25,130.03 points, with a total net inflow of HKD 2.717 billion through the southbound trading channel [1] - The total trading volume for the southbound trading was HKD 162.832 billion, with a net buy of HKD 2.717 billion [1] Southbound Trading Details - In the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, the trading volume was HKD 103.231 billion with a net buy of HKD 2.985 billion, while the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect had a trading volume of HKD 59.600 billion with a net sell of HKD 0.267 billion [1] - The top active stocks in the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect included Dongfang Electric with a trading volume of HKD 4.374 billion, followed by Huaxin Cement and Tencent Holdings with trading volumes of HKD 3.489 billion and HKD 2.647 billion, respectively [1] Stock Performance - China Life had the highest net buy amount of HKD 0.879 billion, with a closing price increase of 4.23% [1] - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) recorded the highest net sell amount of HKD 0.267 billion, with a closing price increase of 2.75% [1] Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect Highlights - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, SMIC led in trading volume with HKD 1.979 billion, followed by Meituan and Alibaba with trading volumes of HKD 1.833 billion and HKD 1.739 billion, respectively [2] - SMIC also had the highest net buy amount of HKD 0.779 billion, while Tencent Holdings had the highest net sell amount of HKD 0.373 billion, with a closing price increase of 0.86% [2] Active Stocks Summary - The top active stocks in the southbound trading on July 22 included: - Dongfang Electric: Trading volume of HKD 4.374 billion, net buy of HKD 0.165 billion, price change of -2.84% [2] - Huaxin Cement: Trading volume of HKD 3.489 billion, net buy of HKD 0.313 billion, price change of -15.05% [2] - Tencent Holdings: Trading volume of HKD 2.647 billion, net buy of HKD 0.027 billion, price change of 0.86% [2] - SMIC: Trading volume of HKD 2.590 billion, net sell of HKD 0.267 billion, price change of 2.75% [2] - China Life: Trading volume of HKD 1.919 billion, net buy of HKD 0.879 billion, price change of 4.23% [2]

从连续性进行统计， 有2只股获南向资金连续3天以上净买入，连续净买入天数较多的有阿里巴巴-W、 中芯国际，连续净买入天数分别为4天、4天。以其间净买入金额统计，净买入金额最多的是中芯国际， 合计净买入为11.76亿港元，其次是阿里巴巴-W合计净买入为5.78亿港元。（数据宝） 7月22日南向资金成交活跃股 | 代码 | 简称 | 成交金额（万港元） | 成交净买入（万港元） | 今日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 02628 | 中国人寿 | 191863.98 | 87850.80 | 4.23 | | 00939 | 建设银行 | 202947.92 | 75542.83 | -1.19 | | 00981 | 中芯国际 | 456868.79 | 51150.55 | 2.75 | | 03690 | 美团-W | 400715.04 | 38247.29 | -1.38 | | 06655 | 华新水泥 | 482203.23 | 33955.91 | -15.05 | | 03339 | 中国龙工 | 327254.27 | 26330.16 | ...

Group 1 - On July 22, 2025, the top three companies by trading volume in the Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound) were Dongfang Electric (01072) with a trading volume of 4.374 billion, Huaxin Cement (06655) with 3.489 billion, and Tencent Holdings (00700) with 2.647 billion [1] - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound), the top three companies by trading volume were SMIC (00981) with 1.979 billion, Meituan-W (03690) with 1.833 billion, and Alibaba-W (09988) with 1.739 billion [1] Group 2 - The top active companies in the Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound) included Dongfang Electric (01072) with a net buy of 0.165 billion, Huaxin Cement (06655) with 0.313 billion, and Tencent Holdings (00700) with 0.271 billion [2] - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound), SMIC (00981) had a net buy of 0.779 billion, while Meituan-W (03690) had a net sell of 0.050 billion [2]

| 6.08亿 | 4.51亿 | 10.59亿 +1.57亿 | | --- | --- | --- | | 小米集团-W 5.07亿 | 5.00亿 | 10.07亿 +670.13万 | | 中国龙工 4.09亿 | 4.10亿 | 8.18亿 -86.81万 | | 康方生物 HK 09926 HK 01810 HK 03339 | | | 智通财经APP获悉，7月22日港股市场，北水成交净买入27.17亿港元，其中港股通(沪)成交净买入29.85 亿港元，港股通(深)成交净卖出2.67亿港元。 北水净买入最多的个股是中国人寿(02628)、建设银行(00939)、中芯国际(00981)。北水净卖出最多的个 股是国泰君安国际(01788)、腾讯(00700)。 | 股票名称 | 买入额 | 卖出额 | 买卖总额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 净流入 | | 东方电气 | 22.70亿 | 21.05 乙 | 43.74 Z | | HK 01072 | | | +1.65 亿 | | 华新水泥 | 19.01亿 | 15.88 亿 | 34.89 乙 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - Huaxin Cement, as a pioneer in the internationalization and diversification of China's cement industry, demonstrates resilience through overseas expansion and aggregate business growth, with a projected net profit increase of over 50% in the first half of 2025, indicating the initial success of its "anti-involution" strategy [1] Group 1: Domestic Challenges - Despite short-term price increases due to "anti-involution" policies, Huaxin Cement's domestic core business is weakening, with a projected 1.64% decline in core cement business revenue for 2024 and a drop in gross margin to 23.75%, alongside a 9.46 percentage point decrease in net margin [2] - The decline is rooted in a collapse in demand driven by deep adjustments in the real estate sector and delays in infrastructure projects, leading to a normalization of "moderate decline" in cement demand [2] - The industry faces overcapacity issues, with the national cement industry recording its first overall loss in the new century in 2024, while Huaxin has managed to stabilize through cost control, but remains under pressure from low-price competition [2] Group 2: Diversification Efforts - To mitigate risks, Huaxin is focusing on aggregates, concrete, and environmental protection as a "second growth curve," but these new businesses are not yet robust enough to support the company [2] - The aggregate business, with a high gross margin of 47.92%, contributed only 16.49% to total revenue in 2024, and while its sales growth outpaced cement, the concrete business suffered from declining margins due to weak downstream real estate [2] - The extension of the industrial chain has revealed coordination shortcomings, as the differing production processes of aggregates and cement lead to inefficiencies in resource allocation [2] Group 3: Capital Allocation and Financial Pressure - In 2025, capital expenditures of 13.3 billion yuan will be primarily directed towards overseas acquisitions and aggregate investments, sidelining upgrades in the cement main business, raising concerns that the transformation may become a financial game of "robbing Peter to pay Paul" if new businesses do not scale quickly [3] - Huaxin's overseas business is a significant highlight, with a 47% year-on-year revenue increase in 2024 and a production capacity exceeding 25 million tons per year across 18 countries, but this growth comes with risks [4] - Challenges include a lack of localization capabilities, frequent cultural conflicts, and supply chain management issues, as seen in the costly and time-consuming upgrades of old factories in South Africa [4] - The long return cycle of investments, such as the $838 million acquisition of Nigerian cement assets, requires sustained financial support, with local market development taking time before benefits are realized [4] Group 4: Financial Health Concerns - Aggressive expansion is eroding financial safety, with accounts receivable surging while operating cash flow declines year-on-year, resulting in significant profits being tied up on the balance sheet [5] Group 5: Strategic Recommendations - To address its challenges, Huaxin Cement needs to rebalance its ambitions between scale and survival by focusing on three dimensions: - Enhancing synergy between new and old businesses by geographically binding aggregate, concrete, and cement production to create an integrated regional supply chain, reducing logistics and management friction costs [6] - Shifting overseas expansion from heavy asset factory construction to technology output and management outsourcing to mitigate capital risk [6] - Implementing defensive financial strategies by strictly controlling accounts receivable periods, establishing foreign exchange hedging mechanisms, and adopting phased investment approaches instead of one-time acquisition payments to maintain cash flow flexibility [6]

| 代码 | 名称 | | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 800000 | 恒生指数 | 0 | 25130.03 | +135.89 | 0.54% | | 800100 | 国企指数 | | 9075.60 | +35.40 | 0.39% | | 800700 | 恒生科技指数 | | 5606.83 | +21.33 | 0.38% | 盘面上，大型科技股多数继续上涨行情，其中，快手涨近2%，百度涨1.38%，腾讯、小米、网易、阿里巴巴均上涨，美团、京东走低。 受相关传闻影响，煤炭股午后异动拉升上扬，蒙古焦煤涨11.55%，兖矿能源、南戈壁涨超9%，中煤能源、中国神华皆强势。 基建类股全天表现活跃，尤其是高铁基建股涨幅明显，中国交通建设涨7.57%领衔，中国铁建、中国中车、中国中铁齐涨。 汽车股、光伏股、半导体股、海运股、电力股、钢铁股、黄金股等有色金属股纷纷上涨。 今日，港股三大指数全天呈现窄幅震荡行情，盘中均刷新阶段新高，且都录得连涨行情，市场做多情绪稳步攀升。 截止收盘，恒生指数涨0.54%突破年内高点，创20 ...

受益的行业非常多，这个要分短期和中长期，因为时间跨度很长，预期是10-15年，但按照中国的速 度，只要资金到位，10年内就完工并非不可能。 短期来看，最开始就是水泥建材这些先行一步，考虑到水泥有个运输半径问题，因此最大龙头是本地水 泥厂的西藏天路(600326.SH)，被巨量封住一字，再是离基地项目400公里的港股华新水泥(06655)，大涨 超85%。本地产能肯定是不够的，需要从其它地区引进，其它有华润建材科技(01313)、中国建材 (03323)、金隅集团(02009)、中国建材(03323)、海螺水泥(00914)均涨超10%。 【解剖大盘】 周末没啥利空，市场主要担心的无非是日本的参议院选举，最新情况是由自民党和公明党组成的执政联 盟丧失参议院过半数议席。但靴子落地后日元并未出现明显波动，市场预期石破茂依旧可以继续履行职 责，从而稳定局面。因此港股继续跳空上行，今天涨0.68%。 扰动市场的巨头内卷也开始收敛，7月18日，根据央视新闻，市场监管总局约谈饿了么、美团、京东三 家平台企业，号召理性参与竞争。美团-W(03690)、京东集团(09618)、阿里巴巴(09988)均涨幅超2%。 而爆炸性题材 ...

Market Overview - On July 21, the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.68%, closing at 24,994.14 points, with a total net inflow of southbound funds through the Stock Connect amounting to HKD 70.51 billion [1] Trading Activity - The total trading volume for the Stock Connect on July 21 was HKD 1,603.52 billion, with a net buy of HKD 70.51 billion [1] - The Shanghai Stock Connect recorded a trading volume of HKD 1,033.25 billion and a net buy of HKD 39.00 billion, while the Shenzhen Stock Connect had a trading volume of HKD 570.27 billion and a net buy of HKD 31.52 billion [1] Active Stocks - In the Shanghai Stock Connect, the top active stock by trading volume was Dongfang Electric, with a transaction amount of HKD 92.89 billion and a closing price increase of 65.21% [1] - Other notable stocks included Huaxin Cement and Alibaba-W, with transaction amounts of HKD 70.24 billion and HKD 33.08 billion, respectively [1] - In terms of net buying, Dongfang Electric led with a net buy of HKD 9.60 billion, while Xiaomi Group-W had the highest net sell of HKD 4.52 billion, closing up by 1.32% [1] Shenzhen Stock Connect Highlights - In the Shenzhen Stock Connect, Meituan-W had the highest trading volume at HKD 31.76 billion, followed by Dongfang Electric and Huaxin Cement with HKD 30.12 billion and HKD 25.25 billion, respectively [2] - Alibaba-W recorded the highest net buy of HKD 3.93 billion, closing up by 1.81%, while Meituan-W had the highest net sell of HKD 4.42 billion, closing up by 2.75% [2]