Group 1 - The precious metals sector continues to see significant gains, with notable increases in stock prices for companies such as Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (up 16.21% to HKD 38.56), China Silver Group (up 12.5% to HKD 0.9), Long Resources (up 9.49% to HKD 8.65), Shandong Gold (up 9.43% to HKD 43.42), and Zijin Mining International (up 4.76% to HKD 154.2) [1][1][1] - As of Wednesday, spot gold has surpassed USD 4000 per ounce, marking a new high with an increase of nearly USD 1400 per ounce this year, representing a rise of over 52% [1][1][1] - Spot silver has also seen a daily increase of 2%, reaching USD 48.77 per ounce [1][1][1] Group 2 - According to a report from JPMorgan, a quarterly increase of USD 10 billion in nominal gold demand could lead to a price increase of approximately 3% per quarter [1][1][1] - A slight shift of funds from the USD 29 trillion U.S. Treasury market to gold could potentially push gold prices above USD 5000 per ounce [1][1][1]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.07%, down 287 points, closing at 26,669 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 1.09% [1] - Gold stocks continued their recent upward trend, with New York gold prices surpassing $4,000; Zijin Mining International rose by 5.98%, Chifeng Jilong Gold increased by over 14%, and Shandong Gold gained 7.56% [1] Group 2 - Xinjiang Xin Mining (03833) surged over 19%, with its stock price nearly doubling after returning to A-shares, owning four nickel-copper mines [2] - Jinli Permanent Magnet (06680) rose over 6%, with institutions optimistic about the rare earth sector's valuation and performance [2] - Shanghai Electric (02727) increased by over 4% following a key breakthrough in the compact fusion energy project BEST in Hefei, Anhui [2] - Heyu-B (02256) climbed over 8% to reach a historical high, with the upcoming launch of Pimiatin expected to provide ongoing sales revenue [2] Group 3 - Yiming Anke-B (01541) rose over 7% after submitting an application for the Phase III clinical trial of IMM2510 [3] Group 4 - Botai Carlink (02889) increased over 19%, collaborating with SenseTime to promote AI applications in smart connected vehicles [4] - Changfeng Pharmaceutical (02652) debuted with a high opening of 218.64%, later rising over 180%, focusing on inhalation technology and inhalation drugs [4] Group 5 - China Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation (01138) fell over 3.7%, as OPEC+ production increases were significantly lower than previously reported, raising market concerns about oil transportation demand [5] Group 6 - Cryptocurrency-related stocks experienced significant declines, with Boya Interactive (00434) dropping over 8% as Bitcoin's plunge affected the crypto market [6]

Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Market Highlights - Jinli Permanent Magnet (06680) rose over 5%, with institutions optimistic about valuation and performance in the rare earth sector [1] - Heyu-B (02256) increased by more than 7%, as the upcoming launch of Pimiatin is expected to provide continuous sales revenue [1] - Sa Sa International (00178) saw a rise of over 6%, with a 8.4% year-on-year increase in revenue for the second fiscal quarter [1] - Gold stocks continued their recent upward trend, with Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693) up over 14% and Zijin Mining International (02259) up over 7% [1] - Xinjiang Xin Mining (03833) surged over 17%, with the company announcing a near doubling of stock price after its return to A-shares [1] Group 2: U.S. Stock Market Highlights - AMD (AMD.US) rose 3.83% after announcing a 6 GW computing power agreement with OpenAI for future AI infrastructure [3] - Trilogy Metals (TMQ.US) skyrocketed 211% following the U.S. government's announcement to acquire a 10% stake in the company [3] - AppLovin (APP.US) increased by 7.64%, amid reports of an SEC investigation regarding its advertising practices [3] - Ford Motor Company (F.US) fell 6.14% due to a significant fire at a key production facility, expected to halt operations until next year [4] - Soluna Holdings (SLNH.US) surged 12.78%, reporting an increase in mining capacity from 526 PH/s in August to 658 PH/s in September [4]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold stocks is driven by increased investor demand for gold as a safe-haven asset due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and expectations of multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, leading to record-high international gold prices [1] Company Performance - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693) rose by 6.57%, trading at 35.36 HKD - Zijin Mining Group (02259) increased by 3.8%, trading at 152.8 HKD - Shandong Gold Mining (01787) saw a rise of 2.97%, trading at 40.86 HKD - Tongguan Gold (00340) grew by 2.31%, trading at 3.1 HKD [1] Market Conditions - The ongoing "shutdown" crisis of the U.S. federal government and heightened expectations for multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are influencing market dynamics - Continuous geopolitical conflicts in various regions are prompting investors to increase their gold holdings for risk mitigation [1] Gold Price Milestone - On Tuesday, the price of gold futures on the New York Commodity Exchange briefly surpassed 4000 USD per ounce, marking the first time in history that this threshold has been crossed [1]

Group 1 - International gold prices surged to a historic high, with futures reaching $3945.2 per ounce and spot prices hitting $3920.77 per ounce, marking a significant increase in less than 10 days since surpassing the $3800 mark [1] - Domestic gold jewelry prices in China also rose, with brands like Chow Sang Sang, Chow Tai Fook, and Lao Feng Xiang seeing prices exceed 1100 RMB per gram, and Lao Miao Gold reaching 1148 RMB per gram [1] - Hong Kong-listed gold stocks experienced notable gains, with Zhu Feng Gold rising over 12%, Shandong Gold increasing by over 6%, and other companies like Lingbao Gold and Chifeng Gold also seeing upward movement [2][3] Group 2 - The gold market in Shenzhen's Shui Bei area witnessed a surge in consumer activity during the National Day holiday, particularly in wedding-related products, with foot traffic reportedly doubling [4][6] - The popularity of 5D craft gold jewelry is increasing among young consumers, attributed to its lightweight and stylish design, alongside traditional wedding gold items like dragon and phoenix bangles and wedding rings [6] - Deutsche Bank analysts noted that the recent record high in gold prices is driven by heightened risk aversion among investors, with predictions of gold prices potentially reaching $4000 to $4500 per ounce by 2026 under various scenarios [8]

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in gold stocks follows a significant drop in gold prices, influenced by cautious signals from Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rate policies [1] Group 1: Gold Stock Performance - Gold stocks experienced a widespread decline, with notable drops including Jihai Resources down 4.52% to 1.9 HKD, China Silver Group down 4.35% to 0.66 HKD, Chifeng Jilong Gold down 3.32% to 31.44 HKD, and Lingbao Gold down 2.4% to 19.93 HKD [1][1][1] Group 2: Gold Price Fluctuations - On October 2, gold prices saw a sharp decline, falling below 3820 USD/ounce after reaching a peak of 3896 USD/ounce, marking a drop of approximately 80 USD within the day [1][1][1] - Current spot gold prices are fluctuating around 3850 USD/ounce [1] Group 3: Federal Reserve Signals - Federal Reserve officials, including Logan, indicated a cautious approach towards interest rate policies, suggesting a slight increase in unemployment rates but not to a concerning level [1][1] - The officials emphasized the need for caution in avoiding premature rate cuts, stating that decisions will be based on available information rather than solely on official unemployment data [1][1]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market indices rose collectively, with the Hang Seng Index increasing by 1.61%, the National Enterprises Index by 1.77%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index by 3.36% due to rising expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut [1] - Chip stocks experienced significant gains, with SMIC (00981.HK) up 12.7%, ChipMOS Technologies (02166.HK) up 10.71%, and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) up 7.12% [1] - The AI investment surge is driving demand for semiconductor storage, supported by domestic wafer fabrication expansion plans [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - Gold and precious metals stocks saw substantial increases, with Tongguan Gold (00340.HK) rising 15.13% and Zijin Mining (02899.HK) up 3.99%, driven by lower-than-expected U.S. employment data and heightened gold price expectations [2] - The automotive supply chain, including lithium battery and electric vehicle stocks, performed well, with Tianqi Lithium (09696.HK) up 12.93% and BYD Electronics (00285.HK) up 6.63% [2] - Biopharmaceuticals, innovative drugs, and medical outsourcing sectors also showed strong performance [3] Group 3: Underperforming Sectors - The real estate sector declined, with companies like Oceanwide Holdings (03377.HK) down 4.38% and China Resources Land (01109.HK) down 3.42% [3] - Consumer sectors, including film, aviation, education, dairy products, sports goods, and luxury goods, faced pressure and showed weakness [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong gold sector has seen a significant rally, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets due to the U.S. government shutdown and escalating geopolitical tensions [1][7][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - Chinese Silver Group led the gains with a rise of over 30%, followed by Zijin Gold International with an increase of over 13%, and Tongguan Gold up by over 11% [1][2]. - Other companies such as Lingbao Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and Zijin Mining also experienced notable increases in their stock prices [1][2]. Group 2: Gold Price Trends - COMEX gold futures showed a slight pullback but remained above the critical level of $3,890 [2]. - Spot gold maintained a high level around $3,868, providing strong support for related stocks [4]. Group 3: Drivers of Demand - The core reason for the sector's rise is the increased demand for safe-haven assets, triggered by the U.S. government shutdown, which is the first political deadlock in nearly seven years [7][8]. - The shutdown has led to significant economic uncertainty, with the U.S. Labor Department halting data collection and publication, affecting key economic indicators [8]. Group 4: Geopolitical Factors - Escalating geopolitical conflicts, particularly the recent military actions by Russia against Ukraine, have further heightened market risk aversion [9]. - The potential for further conflict in Europe has contributed to the attractiveness of gold as a hedge against political risk [9]. Group 5: Future Gold Price Predictions - Central bank gold purchases are a significant factor supporting rising gold prices, with global official gold reserves increasing by 166 tons in Q2 [10]. - Predictions indicate that gold prices could reach $4,200 per ounce by mid-2026, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and increased demand for safe-haven assets [10][11].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong precious metals sector experienced a significant increase, with all stocks rising [1] - China Silver Group (00815.HK) saw a rise of 22.6%, reaching HKD 0.66 per share [1] - Zijin Gold International (02259.HK) increased by 12%, trading at HKD 136 per share [1] - Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) rose by 8.02%, priced at HKD 19.93 per share [1] - Tongguan Gold (00340.HK) experienced a 6.27% increase, with shares at HKD 2.88 [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693.HK) rose by 6.18%, trading at HKD 32.3 per share [1]

Group 1 - Gold stocks experienced a significant rise, with China Silver Group up 24.53%, Zijin Mining up 14.18%, Lingbao Gold up 8.02%, Tongguan Gold up 6.27%, and Chifeng Jilong Gold up 6.18% [1] - On October 1, international gold prices hit a new record, with London gold approaching $3900 per ounce and COMEX gold also surpassing $3900 per ounce [1] - The U.S. ADP employment report indicated a decrease of 32,000 jobs in the private sector for September 2025, significantly below the expected increase of 50,000 jobs, leading to a 99% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October [1] Group 2 - Everbright Securities noted that if the U.S. government shuts down, economic data will cease publication, complicating Federal Reserve decision-making, which may lead to a more gradual rate cut path, favoring gold over U.S. stocks and bonds [2] - Goldman Sachs projected that by mid-2026, international gold prices could soar to $4000 per ounce, potentially reaching $4500 in extreme scenarios [2] - Goldman Sachs also stated that if the independence of the Federal Reserve is compromised and investors shift a small portion of their holdings from U.S. Treasuries to gold bars, gold prices could rise to around $5000 per ounce [2]