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天齐锂业(002466):2025H1点评:锂价加速下跌拖累Q2业绩,Q3或现经营拐点
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-21 23:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tianqi Lithium Industries is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The report indicates that the company's total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 4.833 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 24.71%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 84 million yuan, showing a significant increase of 101.62% year-on-year. The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 1.32 million yuan, also up by 100.03% year-on-year [2][4]. - In the second quarter of 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.248 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decline of 12.99%, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 20 million yuan, a significant decrease of 119.05% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was a loss of 4.3 million yuan, down 197% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Tianqi Lithium achieved total revenue of 4.833 billion yuan, down 24.71% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 84 million yuan, up 101.62% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 1.32 million yuan, up 100.03% year-on-year [2][4]. - For the second quarter of 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.248 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.99% from the previous quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 20 million yuan, down 119.05% quarter-on-quarter, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was a loss of 4.3 million yuan, down 197% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. Market Conditions - The report highlights that lithium prices have been declining rapidly, which has increased the company's profitability pressure. The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in the second quarter of 2025 was 65,300 yuan per ton, a decrease of 14% quarter-on-quarter [11]. - The report also notes that the Greenbush project contributed a net profit of 584 million yuan to Tianqi Lithium in the first half of 2025, with a production volume of 340,000 tons of lithium concentrate in the second quarter, which remained stable [11]. Future Outlook - The report suggests that the company may see an operational turning point in the third quarter of 2025, as the lithium prices are expected to rebound from the current low levels [11]. - The completion of the CGP3 plant is anticipated to be delayed until December 2025, which will increase the company's lithium concentrate production capacity to 2.14 million tons per year [11].
港股概念追踪 | 锂电板块利好来袭!工信部将编制“十五五”新型电池发展规划 这些标的值得关注(附概念股)
智通财经网· 2025-09-21 23:25
Industry Overview - The 2025 Suining International Lithium Battery Industry Conference highlighted the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's (MIIT) commitment to deepening supply-side structural reforms and consolidating the industry's advantages [1] - The global lithium battery demand is expected to maintain a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 25% from 2025 to 2030, with the market size projected to exceed 1.5 trillion yuan [1] Policy Support - The MIIT and the State Administration for Market Regulation issued a plan for the electronic information manufacturing industry, targeting an average growth rate of 7% for major electronic device manufacturing from 2025 to 2026, which includes lithium batteries [2] - The automotive industry plan aims for approximately 32.3 million vehicle sales in 2025, with around 15.5 million being new energy vehicles, providing a significant market for lithium batteries [2] Market Demand - Current demand in the power battery, energy storage, and new energy vehicle markets is exceeding expectations, providing a solid foundation for the lithium battery industry [2] - The acceleration of solid-state battery industrialization is expected to create new growth points for the lithium battery sector [2] Technological Advancements - The solid-state battery industry is entering a "technology verification period," with several automakers planning to achieve mass production by around 2027 [3] - Solid-state batteries have a significantly higher lithium consumption per unit compared to traditional liquid batteries, which will drive structural growth in high-end lithium resource demand [3] Investment Insights - Investment suggestions highlight the ongoing demand for energy storage and commercial vehicles, with expectations for both volume and price increases in 2025-2026 [3] - Companies such as CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and Xinwangda are recommended for their leadership in the battery sector, while materials companies like Tianqi Lithium and Puli Technology are also noted [3] Market Recovery - The lithium battery sector is experiencing a price bottoming and production expansion slowdown, leading to a gradual recovery in market sentiment [4] - The upcoming traditional peak season and cost-reduction measures are expected to stabilize industry profitability and provide upward elasticity [4] Company Developments - Tianqi Lithium has a production capacity of 600 tons of lithium metal and is building an additional 1,000 tons, positioning itself as the second-largest globally [6] - Ganfeng Lithium has achieved mass production of energy storage cells and is expanding its presence in the solid-state battery market [6] - Zhongchu Innovation is experiencing strong demand for its energy storage batteries, with significant improvements in cost-effectiveness and yield rates [7] - CATL is operating at full capacity for both electric vehicle and energy storage system production, with strong demand particularly in overseas markets [7]
天齐锂业(002466):2025中报点评:成本优势对冲锂价压力,期待矿端扩产放量
Huafu Securities· 2025-09-20 11:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, anticipating a relative increase of over 20% in stock price compared to the market benchmark within the next six months [5][15]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 4.833 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 25% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 84 million yuan, an increase of 102% year-on-year [2]. - The report highlights that cost advantages are helping to offset the pressure from lithium prices, with expectations for increased production from mining operations [1][5]. - The company has confirmed an investment income of 235 million yuan from SQM, marking a return to profitability compared to the previous year [2]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.248 billion yuan, a decrease of 13% quarter-on-quarter, with a net loss of 20 million yuan [2]. - Lithium concentrate production in Q2 2025 was 340,000 tons, a slight decrease of 0.2% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 2.3% year-on-year [3]. - The average selling price of lithium concentrate in Q2 2025 was 725 USD/ton, down 8.3% from the previous quarter [3]. - The cash production cost per ton in Q2 2025 was 366 AUD, an increase of 7.3% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to lower ore grades [3]. Production and Cost Guidance - The company has provided production guidance for FY25, estimating an actual output of 1.479 million tons, with cash costs expected to be 325 AUD/ton, aligning with previous expectations [4]. - The production capacity of the lithium hydroxide plant in Australia is gradually increasing, with Q2 2025 output at 2,126 tons, a 36% increase quarter-on-quarter [4]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for the company has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 1.105 billion yuan, 1.556 billion yuan, and 1.790 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5].
猝不及防!12天11板牛股闪崩,5连板牛股跌停!上市公司发出警示:击鼓传花效应十分明显,交易风险极大...
雪球· 2025-09-19 08:37
Market Overview - The market experienced a downward trend with all three major indices closing lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.30%, the Shenzhen Component down 0.04%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.16% [1] - Trading volume significantly decreased, with the total turnover of the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets at 2.32 trillion, a reduction of 811.3 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] High-Profile Stock Declines - Shanghai Construction fell to its daily limit, with a latest stock price of 3.49 yuan and a market capitalization of 31 billion [3] - The stock of Shanghai Construction saw a cumulative increase of 61% over five trading days from September 12 to September 18, with high turnover rates of 24.68% and 25.83% on September 17 and 18, indicating a "hot potato" effect [8] - Similarly, Shoukai Co., which had previously seen 12 consecutive days of gains, also experienced a limit down [9] Robotics Sector Retreat - The robotics sector saw a widespread decline, with stocks like Wolong Electric Drive, Bojie Co., and Wanxiang Qianchao hitting their daily limits, and Sanhua Intelligent Control dropping over 8% [13] - Wolong Electric Drive announced that its robotics-related products accounted for only 2.71% of its total revenue, indicating that the recent stock fluctuations would not significantly impact its operational performance [16] Lithium Mining Sector Surge - The lithium mining sector experienced a rally, with Ganfeng Lithium hitting its daily limit and other companies like Tianqi Lithium and Shengxin Lithium also seeing gains [17][18] - The upcoming 2025 Suining International Lithium Battery Industry Conference is expected to address safety and development standards in the lithium battery industry [20] Logistics Sector Activity - The logistics sector was active, with leading stock Shentong Express hitting its daily limit, and other companies like Huapengfei and YTO Express also seeing significant increases [21] - Recent operational data for August showed that YTO Express generated 5.39 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 9.82%, while Shentong Express reported a revenue of 4.43 billion yuan, up 14.47% year-on-year [24][25]
港股天齐锂业涨近5%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-19 07:13
每经AI快讯,9月19日,天齐锂业(09696.HK)涨近5%,截至发稿,涨4.98%,报41.28港元,成交额4.18 亿港元。 ...
天齐锂业涨近5% 工信部提出强化锂电池技术创新引领 金属锂增量市场巨大
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 06:59
消息面上,9月19日,2025遂宁国际锂电产业大会召开。工业和信息化部电子信息司二级巡视员吴国纲 在发言中表示,下一步,将强化锂电池技术创新引领,加快布局前瞻技术,加快固态电池、钠离子电 池、全气候电池、快充电池及关键材料的研发和产业化。 此外,近日,研究机构EVTank、伊维经济研究院联合中国电池产业研究院共同发布了《中国金属锂行 业发展白皮书(2025年)》。根据白皮书内容,全球各地固态电池头部企业已经开始布局和研发金属锂用 于固态电池负极材料,随着全固态电池实现大规模商业化,以及金属锂负极的渗透率的上升,将为金属 锂开拓一个巨大的增量市场。其中,天齐锂业拥有600吨金属锂产能,在建产能1000吨,排名全球第 二。 天齐锂业(002466)(09696)涨近5%,截至发稿,涨4.98%,报41.28港元,成交额4.18亿港元。 ...
港股异动 | 天齐锂业(09696)涨近5% 工信部提出强化锂电池技术创新引领 金属锂增量市场巨大
智通财经网· 2025-09-19 06:57
此外,近日,研究机构EVTank、伊维经济研究院联合中国电池产业研究院共同发布了《中国金属锂行 业发展白皮书(2025年)》。根据白皮书内容,全球各地固态电池头部企业已经开始布局和研发金属锂用 于固态电池负极材料,随着全固态电池实现大规模商业化,以及金属锂负极的渗透率的上升,将为金属 锂开拓一个巨大的增量市场。其中,天齐锂业拥有600吨金属锂产能,在建产能1000吨,排名全球第 二。 智通财经APP获悉,天齐锂业(09696)涨近5%,截至发稿,涨4.98%,报41.28港元,成交额4.18亿港元。 消息面上,9月19日,2025遂宁国际锂电产业大会召开。工业和信息化部电子信息司二级巡视员吴国纲 在发言中表示,下一步,将强化锂电池技术创新引领,加快布局前瞻技术,加快固态电池、钠离子电 池、全气候电池、快充电池及关键材料的研发和产业化。 ...
我国发现“亚洲锂腰带”,稀有金属ETF(562800)盘中上涨1.49%,赣锋锂业领涨成分股
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 03:14
Group 1: Liquidity and Performance of Rare Metal ETF - The rare metal ETF had an intraday turnover of 2.39%, with a transaction volume of 62.4557 million yuan [3] - Over the past week, the average daily transaction volume of the rare metal ETF reached 250 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The rare metal ETF's scale increased by 66.2844 million yuan in the past week, achieving significant growth and ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The ETF's shares grew by 262 million shares in the past week, also ranking first among comparable funds [3] - In the last five trading days, the rare metal ETF attracted a total of 175 million yuan in inflows [3] - As of September 18, 2025, the net value of the rare metal ETF increased by 87.33% over the past year [3] - The highest monthly return since inception was 24.02%, with the longest consecutive monthly increase being four months and a maximum increase of 58.56% [3] - The average monthly return during the rising months was 8.77%, and the annualized return over the past three months exceeded the benchmark by 6.60% [3] Group 2: Industry Insights and Developments - The concept of the "Asian Lithium Belt" was introduced, spanning 2,800 kilometers across four provinces, with multiple large and super-large lithium mines discovered [4] - According to a report by CITIC Securities, the profitability growth rate of the metal sector is expected to rise further in the first half of 2025, maintaining strong performance [4] - Sub-sectors such as rare earths, tungsten, nickel, cobalt, tin, antimony, and copper are performing exceptionally well [4] - The metal sector's dividends and fund holdings are on the rise, with valuations reaching their highest levels since 2022, although still below the 2021 peak [4] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metal Theme Index account for 57.58% of the index, including companies like Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Tianqi Lithium [4] - Investors can also participate in the rare metal sector through the Rare Metal ETF linked fund (014111) [4]
天齐锂业股价涨5.59%,招商基金旗下1只基金重仓,持有32.17万股浮盈赚取77.53万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 02:42
责任编辑:小浪快报 9月19日,天齐锂业涨5.59%,截至发稿,报45.56元/股,成交19.16亿元,换手率2.91%,总市值747.74 亿元。 资料显示,天齐锂业股份有限公司位于四川省成都市天府新区红梁西一街166号,香港铜锣湾勿地臣街1 号时代广场2座31楼,成立日期1995年10月16日,上市日期2010年8月31日,公司主营业务涉及锂精矿产 品和锂化合物及其衍生物产品的生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为:锂化合物及衍生品50.54%,锂矿 49.25%,其他0.21%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示,招商基金旗下1只基金重仓天齐锂业。招商中证新能源汽车指数A(013195)二季度减持2.5 万股,持有股数32.17万股,占基金净值比例为2.49%,位居第十大重仓股。根据测算,今日浮盈赚取约 77.53万元。 招商中证新能源汽车指数A(013195)成立日期2021年8月27日,最新规模1.26亿。今年以来收益 42.44%,同类排名870/4222;近一年收益85.97%,同类排名872/3805;成立以来亏损24.96%。 招商中证新能源汽车指数A(013195)基金经理为刘重杰。 截至发稿,刘重 ...
天齐锂业股价涨5.59%,天弘基金旗下1只基金重仓,持有72.73万股浮盈赚取175.27万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 02:42
9月19日,天齐锂业涨5.59%,截至发稿,报45.56元/股,成交19.16亿元,换手率2.91%,总市值747.74 亿元。 资料显示,天齐锂业股份有限公司位于四川省成都市天府新区红梁西一街166号,香港铜锣湾勿地臣街1 号时代广场2座31楼,成立日期1995年10月16日,上市日期2010年8月31日,公司主营业务涉及锂精矿产 品和锂化合物及其衍生物产品的生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为:锂化合物及衍生品50.54%,锂矿 49.25%,其他0.21%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示,天弘基金旗下1只基金重仓天齐锂业。天弘中证新能源车A(011512)二季度减持2.68万股, 持有股数72.73万股,占基金净值比例为2.49%,位居第十大重仓股。根据测算,今日浮盈赚取约175.27 万元。 天弘中证新能源车A(011512)成立日期2021年4月9日,最新规模1.3亿。今年以来收益42.73%,同类 排名853/4222;近一年收益84.94%,同类排名894/3805;成立以来收益13%。 天弘中证新能源车A(011512)基金经理为祁世超。 截至发稿,祁世超累计任职时间241天,现任基金资产总规模2 ...