Core Viewpoint - Sichuan Road and Bridge experienced a stock price decline of 2.02% on September 4, 2023, with a current price of 8.71 CNY per share and a total market capitalization of 757.39 billion CNY [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Year-to-date, Sichuan Road and Bridge's stock price has increased by 26.18%, with a 3.08% rise over the last five trading days and a 3.81% increase over the last 20 days, while it has decreased by 3.79% over the last 60 days [2] - As of June 30, 2023, the number of shareholders is 50,400, a decrease of 23.90% from the previous period, with an average of 133,066 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 31.41% [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Sichuan Road and Bridge reported operating revenue of 43.536 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 4.91%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.780 billion CNY, down 13.00% year-on-year [2] Group 3: Dividend and Shareholding - Since its A-share listing, Sichuan Road and Bridge has distributed a total of 18.577 billion CNY in dividends, with 13.776 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3] - As of June 30, 2023, the top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 115 million shares, an increase of 25.4396 million shares from the previous period [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Viewpoints - The company achieved an operating revenue of 43.536 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.91%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.78 billion yuan, down 13.00% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 2.72 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.72% year-on-year [2][6]. - The company's performance was under pressure due to project transitions, but construction is expected to accelerate in the second half of the year, supported by a significant increase in orders [11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company experienced a decline in revenue and profit, with a total revenue of 43.536 billion yuan, down 4.91% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.78 billion yuan, down 13.00% year-on-year. The gross profit margin was 14.50%, a decrease of 1.38 percentage points year-on-year [11]. - The second quarter saw a revenue of 20.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.21%, primarily due to complex construction conditions in the Sichuan region [11]. Order Growth - The company saw a significant increase in orders in the second quarter, with a total bid amount of 37.559 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25%. The total bid amount for the first half of 2025 reached 72.24 billion yuan, up 22.2% year-on-year [11]. Profitability and Cash Flow - The company's net profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 6.38%, down 0.59 percentage points year-on-year. The operating cash flow showed a net outflow of 4.284 billion yuan, which was a reduction in outflow compared to the previous year [11]. - The company plans to increase its dividend payout ratio from 50% to 60% for 2025, which could enhance its attractiveness to investors [11]. Market Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the acceleration of infrastructure projects in Sichuan, with four major highways approved for construction, indicating a positive trend for future revenue growth [11].

Group 1 - The construction industry faced overall pressure in the first half of 2025, with a slight improvement in cash flow in Q2 [6][10][12] - The industry's revenue and profit both declined year-on-year, with total revenue of 3.92 trillion yuan, down 5.63%, and net profit of 936.2 billion yuan, down 5.33% [12][26] - The gross profit margin for construction companies was 10.14%, a slight decrease of 0.12 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin increased marginally to 2.39% [6][10][20] Group 2 - The construction industry saw an increase in cash collection efficiency, with the cash collection ratio rising by 6.29 percentage points to 95.11% [6][31] - The industry's asset-liability ratio increased to 77.52%, up 0.57 percentage points from the beginning of the year, indicating a rise in financial leverage [6][34] - The total amount of funds occupied by downstream owners increased, with accounts receivable and inventory reaching 10.03 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.57% [27][30] Group 3 - The chemical engineering and petroleum engineering sectors showed resilience, with positive revenue growth, while the steel structure sector also saw profit recovery due to overseas expansion [11][39][40] - In the first half of 2025, only two sub-sectors, steel structure and chemical engineering, achieved positive revenue growth of 2.81% and 1.33% respectively [39][41] - The gross profit margin for the international engineering and petroleum engineering sectors improved, with international engineering at 15.14%, up 3.26 percentage points [43][44]

Group 1: Share Buyback Announcement - The company plans to repurchase its shares using self-owned or raised funds through centralized bidding, with a total amount between RMB 100 million and RMB 200 million [2] - The maximum repurchase price is set at RMB 12.54 per share, which will be adjusted to RMB 12.16 per share after the cash dividend distribution on July 11, 2025 [2] - As of August 31, 2025, the company has not yet repurchased any shares through the centralized bidding method [2][3] Group 2: Half-Year Performance Meeting - The company will hold a half-year performance meeting on September 8, 2025, from 16:00 to 17:00, via the Shanghai Stock Exchange Roadshow Center [7][9] - Investors can submit questions for the meeting from September 2 to September 7, 2025, through the Roadshow Center website or via email [7][9] - The meeting will include participation from the company's chairman, general manager, independent directors, and other key personnel [9]

Market Overview - On September 2, the infrastructure sector declined by 0.47% compared to the previous trading day, with Garden Holdings leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3858.13, down 0.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12553.84, down 2.14% [1] Individual Stock Performance - The top gainers in the infrastructure sector included: - China Communications Construction Co., Ltd. (交建股份) with a closing price of 11.02, up 9.98% on a trading volume of 411,900 shares and a turnover of 438 million yuan [1] - Pubang Co., Ltd. (普邦股份) with a closing price of 2.00, up 3.09% on a trading volume of 1,114,200 shares and a turnover of 224 million yuan [1] - The top decliners included: - Garden Holdings (园林股份) with a closing price of 16.72, down 6.85% on a trading volume of 199,400 shares and a turnover of 338 million yuan [2] - Pudong Construction (浦东建设) with a closing price of 8.64, down 6.49% on a trading volume of 751,400 shares and a turnover of 647 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The infrastructure sector experienced a net outflow of 797 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 519 million yuan [2] - Notable capital flows for specific stocks included: - Hongrun Construction (宏润建设) with a net inflow of 77.82 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 97.77 million yuan from retail investors [3] - China Communications Construction Co., Ltd. (交建股份) had a net inflow of 57.48 million yuan from institutional investors, with both retail and speculative investors showing net outflows [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the construction and decoration industry, highlighting specific companies as key investment targets [4][7]. Core Insights - The construction sector has experienced significant fluctuations over the past sixteen years, with eight winning phases (40% of the time) and seven losing phases (60% of the time) [1][12]. - The current market environment is characterized by a gradual easing of policies since late 2021, which has historically correlated with better performance in the construction sector [1][3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of thematic influences, such as the "Belt and Road Initiative" and "PPP" projects, which have driven substantial short-term excess returns in the sector [2][3]. Summary by Sections 1. Historical Review of the Construction Sector - The report divides the historical performance of the construction sector from June 2008 to December 2024 into fifteen phases based on excess returns relative to the CSI 300 index [11]. - Winning phases include significant periods of policy easing and economic recovery, while losing phases often coincide with tighter monetary policies [1][12]. 2. Policy Cycle and Market Trends - The report identifies four major policy cycles since 2008, with the current phase being a gradual easing that began in late 2021 [1][3]. - The correlation between excess returns and macroeconomic indicators is noted to be weak, with expectations of policy changes being more influential [1][3]. 3. Thematic Characteristics and Valuation - The construction sector's valuation is currently low, with a price-to-book ratio (PB) of 0.8, which is below historical averages and indicates potential for rebound [2][3]. - The report highlights that the sector's performance is sensitive to thematic catalysts, suggesting that upcoming regional initiatives could provide investment opportunities [3][4]. 4. Comparison with Banking Sector - The construction sector is compared to the banking sector, noting similarities in business models and sensitivity to credit environment changes [3]. - The current price-to-book ratio of the construction sector relative to banks is at a critical point, suggesting potential for significant excess returns if historical patterns hold [3]. 5. Investment Recommendations - Key investment targets include leading companies benefiting from strategic infrastructure projects, such as Sichuan Road and Bridge, China Metallurgical Group, and China Communications Construction [4][7]. - The report also suggests monitoring local leaders in Xinjiang and companies involved in coal chemical projects as potential high-return investments [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the construction industry [2][4]. Core Insights - The construction industry faced pressure on revenue and profit in H1 2025, with total revenue of 3.75 trillion, down 5.7% year-on-year, and net profit of 87.5 billion, down 6.5% year-on-year [2][7]. - The industry experienced a relative stability in gross margin and net margin, with a gross margin of 9.9% and a net margin of 2.33% in H1 2025 [8][19]. - Operating cash flow showed improvement, with a net cash flow of -477.4 billion, a reduction in outflow by 15.1 billion year-on-year [3][12]. - The industry’s return on equity (ROE) decreased by 0.31 percentage points to 2.50% in H1 2025, indicating pressure on profitability [16][27]. Summary by Sections Financial Overview - In H1 2025, major listed companies in the construction industry reported revenues of 3.75 trillion, a decrease of 5.7% year-on-year, and net profits of 87.5 billion, down 6.5% year-on-year [2][7]. - Quarterly revenues for Q1 and Q2 were 1.84 trillion and 1.91 trillion, respectively, with year-on-year declines of 6.2% and 5.2% [2][7]. Profitability Analysis - The industry maintained a gross margin of 9.9%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, and a net margin of 2.33%, down 0.02 percentage points [8][19]. - The ROE for the industry decreased to 2.50%, reflecting the impact of reduced investment and increased costs [16][27]. Cash Flow Improvement - The operating cash flow net amount was -477.4 billion, showing an improvement with a reduction in cash outflow by 15.1 billion year-on-year [3][12]. - The cash collection ratio improved to 103% in Q1 and 87% in Q2, with year-on-year changes of +0.85 percentage points and +11.65 percentage points, respectively [3][12]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights a shift in focus from growth to quality improvement among state-owned enterprises, with an emphasis on cash flow management and cost control [4][19]. - The construction industry is expected to see a recovery in revenue and cash flow in the second half of 2025, driven by anticipated government investment stimulus [4][19].

证券分析师 王彬鹏 SAC：S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 戴铭余 SAC：S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC：S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 证券研究报告 建筑装饰 | 基础建设 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 09 月 02 日 | 盈利预测与估值（人民币） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入（百万元） | 115,042 | 107,238 | 116,654 | 128,453 | 138,946 | | 同比增长率（%） | -14.88% | -6.78% | 8.78% | 10.11% | 8.17% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 9,004 | 7,210 | 8,063 | 9,060 | 10,129 | | 同比增长率（%） ...

Group 1 - The overall industry sentiment shows an upward trend in sectors such as electronics, pharmaceuticals, textiles, home appliances, non-bank financials, real estate, and environmental protection, while food and beverage, banking, public utilities, and retail are on a downward trend [2][22] - The report predicts strong performance in specific sub-industries over the next four weeks, emphasizing automation equipment, general equipment, motorcycles, engineering machinery, packaging printing, commercial vehicles, real estate development, and medical commerce among others [2][22] - Investment strategies are focused on three main directions: breakthroughs in AI technology, valuation recovery in consumer stocks, and the rise of undervalued dividends, with a strong emphasis on the AI industry's progress [2][25] Group 2 - The report highlights the resilience of natural gas sales for New Hope Group, with a core profit increase of 1.4% year-on-year despite a 1.5% decline in total revenue [17] - The company has successfully implemented a pricing strategy, achieving a cumulative pricing ratio of 64% by mid-year, which has helped maintain stable gross profit margins [17] - The report also notes significant growth in the company's solar energy and smart home businesses, with solar installations increasing by 231% year-on-year [17] Group 3 - The report indicates that the AI sector is expected to accelerate growth following the release of government policies aimed at promoting AI technology development [8] - Alibaba's cloud business has shown remarkable growth, with a 26% year-on-year increase in revenue, significantly outpacing the previous quarter's growth rate [8] - The report suggests that the AI value reassessment trend in China is gaining momentum, with a focus on platform-based internet companies and AI ecosystem enterprises [8][10] Group 4 - The report emphasizes the strong performance of the home appliance sector, particularly in the domestic market, with XGIMI maintaining a leading market share in smart projectors [11] - The company reported a significant increase in net profit, achieving a 2062.3% year-on-year growth in the first half of 2025 [11] - The report also highlights the company's successful expansion into overseas markets with new product launches [11]

Group 1 - The company plans to repurchase its shares using self-owned or raised funds, with a total amount between RMB 100 million and RMB 200 million, and a maximum repurchase price of RMB 12.54 per share, adjusted to RMB 12.16 after the dividend distribution on July 11, 2025 [2][4] - As of August 31, 2025, the company has not yet repurchased any shares through the centralized bidding method [2][3] - The company will strictly follow relevant regulations and make repurchase decisions based on market conditions within the specified period [4] Group 2 - The company will hold a semi-annual performance briefing on September 8, 2025, from 16:00 to 17:00, via the Shanghai Stock Exchange Roadshow Center [7][9] - Investors can submit questions for the briefing from September 2 to September 7, 2025, and the company will address common concerns during the session [8][9] - The briefing will include participation from the company's chairman, general manager, independent directors, and other key personnel [9]