Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [9] Core Insights - Recent acceleration in major infrastructure projects in Tibet and Xinjiang has drawn market attention, with additional key regions identified for potential investment opportunities [2][6] - The report highlights the strategic importance of regions such as Chongqing, Sichuan, and Shaanxi in the context of national development and infrastructure investment [7][11] Summary by Relevant Sections Chongqing - Chongqing is positioned as a significant strategic hub in the western development initiative, benefiting from the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle and major projects like the Three Gorges Waterway New Channel with a static total investment of approximately 76.6 billion [7] - The region's construction potential is bolstered by the release of project lists exceeding 70 billion for the new land-sea channel [7] Sichuan - Sichuan is recognized as a national strategic hinterland, with plans for four major projects totaling 736 billion in investment over the next five years [11] - The province's highway network is projected to reach about 20,000 kilometers by 2035, indicating sustained construction demand [11] Shaanxi - Shaanxi has a higher proportion of infrastructure investment compared to the national average, with significant projects underway, including the completion of 600 provincial key projects with an investment of approximately 260.8 billion in the first half of 2025 [11] - The region is expected to benefit from the strategic hinterland development, with ongoing advancements in transportation and energy sectors [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company has seen a significant increase in orders, with a 25% year-on-year growth in new contracts amounting to 37.6 billion yuan in Q2 2025, indicating strong performance and a robust order backlog [1] - The demand for transportation infrastructure in Sichuan is strong, driven by national strategic initiatives, with plans to double the highway network by 2035 [2] - The company is expected to maintain high dividend payouts, with a projected minimum cash dividend rate of 60% from 2025 to 2027, enhancing its attractiveness as a high-dividend investment [3] Summary by Sections Orders and Performance - In Q2 2025, the company secured new contracts worth 37.6 billion yuan, a 25% increase year-on-year, with infrastructure and housing construction contracts growing by 24% and 34% respectively [1] - Cumulative new contracts for H1 2025 reached 72.2 billion yuan, a 22% increase year-on-year, with infrastructure orders growing by 26% [1] - The company has a substantial order backlog of over 500 billion yuan, ensuring stable performance in the upcoming periods [1] Market Demand and Strategic Positioning - Sichuan is identified as a national strategic hinterland, with significant infrastructure development expected, including a planned highway network expansion [2] - The company is positioned to benefit from high-margin projects through its partnership with the Shudao Group, which is expected to drive profitability [2] Financial Outlook and Dividend Policy - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 8 billion yuan, 9 billion yuan, and 10 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.2%, 12.3%, and 11.5% [3] - The expected dividend yields for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 6.4%, 7.2%, and 8.1% respectively, indicating strong dividend potential [3]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained rating) [4] Core Viewpoints - The western fixed asset investment (FAI) is experiencing high growth, with the issuance of special bonds accelerating, which will provide stronger support for infrastructure [1][21] - The GDP growth rate in the western region from 2019 to 2024 has reached a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7%, with significant support from central financial policies and national strategic planning [28][32] - The issuance of special bonds in the central and western regions has significantly accelerated, with a notable increase in new special bonds in provinces like Sichuan and Shaanxi [21][32] Summary by Sections 1. High Prosperity of Western Fixed Asset Investment - The western region has maintained double-digit growth in FAI, with provinces like Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, and Tibet showing strong performance [1] - The issuance of special bonds has increased significantly, with Sichuan's issuance up by 162% year-on-year [21] 2. Investment Opportunities in Key Regions - **Sichuan-Chongqing**: The transportation planning investment in Sichuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan is expected to increase by 16.5% compared to the previous plan, benefiting local construction companies [2][36] - **Tibet**: Active mining and robust infrastructure projects are expected to drive high regional investment demand, with significant projects like the construction of major copper mines [2][48] - **Xinjiang**: The coal chemical industry is thriving, with nearly 500 billion yuan invested in the past five years, and the region is expected to see continued infrastructure support [3][60] 3. Major Infrastructure Projects Boosting Regional Investment - The construction of the Pinglu Canal is expected to significantly enhance water transport infrastructure in Guangxi, with a total investment of approximately 727 billion yuan [3] - The Western Land-Sea New Corridor is projected to connect multiple provinces and enhance regional infrastructure growth, with completion expected by 2035 [3][60] 4. Investment Recommendations - Key stocks recommended include Sichuan Road and Bridge, China Chemical, and China Energy Engineering, all rated as "Buy" [9][47]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the significant opportunities for the development of the private economy in Sichuan, as highlighted by President Xi Jinping, who stated that the private economy is an essential element of China's economic system and has a promising future [1][2][3] - In the first quarter, Sichuan's private economy achieved a value-added of 842.56 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.6%, continuing to outpace the overall economic growth of the province [1][2] - The provincial government has established a leadership group to promote the development of the private economy, ensuring a coordinated approach across 36 provincial departments [2][6] Group 2 - Sichuan's strategic advantages include being a major economic, population, and resource province, with 139 universities and 205 national-level innovation platforms, which will drive the high-quality development of the private economy [2][3] - The government is committed to supporting private enterprises in enhancing their innovation capabilities, with 18,149 private high-tech enterprises accounting for 93% of the province's high-tech firms [3][4] - The province aims to see significant growth in emerging industries, with projected increases of over 20% in sectors like artificial intelligence and biotechnology, and an 8.4% growth in high-tech manufacturing [4][5] Group 3 - The government encourages private enterprises to upgrade and transform by investing in digitalization, intelligence, and green technologies, aiming to improve supply quality and market competitiveness [5][6] - A focus on breaking down barriers to ensure equal opportunities and treatment for private enterprises is emphasized, with initiatives to enhance the business environment and protect the rights of entrepreneurs [6][7] - The introduction of the Private Economy Promotion Law aims to legally safeguard the rights and interests of private economic organizations and their operators, further supporting the sector's development [7]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [5] Core Viewpoints - The strategic importance of the central region has been further emphasized, particularly regarding the infrastructure boom in the Midwest, especially in Sichuan province. The central economic work conference at the end of 2023 highlighted the need to optimize major productivity layouts and strengthen the construction of national strategic hinterlands [2][13]. - The issuance of special bonds in the Midwest has significantly accelerated, with a total of 1.19 trillion yuan in new special bonds issued from January to April 2025, a year-on-year increase of 65%. This indicates a clear recovery in fixed asset investment sentiment in the region [3][14]. - The construction sector is expected to see a rebound in physical work volume, with cement shipment rates and asphalt plant operating rates showing positive trends. The cement shipment rate reached 49%, up 0.93 percentage points week-on-week, indicating optimism for Q2 [18]. Summary by Sections Strategic Importance of the Central Region - The central region's development opportunities, particularly in Sichuan, have been recognized at the highest levels of government, with strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing regional development and optimizing economic layouts [2][13][17]. Special Bond Issuance - The issuance of special bonds in the Midwest has accelerated, with Sichuan province alone issuing 800.17 billion yuan in new special bonds, a 162% increase year-on-year. This trend is expected to support infrastructure investment and economic recovery in the region [3][14]. Market Performance - The construction index rose by 1.10% during the week of May 12-16, 2025, with significant gains in the housing and construction decoration sectors. Notable stocks included Dongzhu Ecology (+22%) and Zhengzhong Design (+20%) [4][22]. Investment Recommendations - Focus on cyclical opportunities arising from improved infrastructure work volumes, particularly in water conservancy, railways, and aviation sectors. Recommended stocks include Sichuan Road and Bridge, Zhejiang Communications, and major state-owned enterprises like China Communications Construction [28][29]. - Emphasis on the transformation of the construction sector and emerging business directions, such as AI-driven computing power facilities and cleanroom technology, with recommendations for companies like Hainan Huatie and Baicheng Co [30][31].